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FutureFuel Corp (FF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: FF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -46.26% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -46.26% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 225.82M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.29 | 1Y Target Price 14 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.82 |
Volume (30-day avg) 286525 | Beta 0.53 |
52 Weeks Range 3.52 - 6.32 | Updated Date 12/24/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 225.82M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.29 | 1Y Target Price 14 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.82 | Volume (30-day avg) 286525 | Beta 0.53 |
52 Weeks Range 3.52 - 6.32 | Updated Date 12/24/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) -5.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.15% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.29 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 89887539 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.94 |
Shares Outstanding 43763200 | Shares Floating 25733662 |
Percent Insiders 41.3 | Percent Institutions 45.71 |
Trailing PE 6.29 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 89887539 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.94 | Shares Outstanding 43763200 | Shares Floating 25733662 |
Percent Insiders 41.3 | Percent Institutions 45.71 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 14 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price 14 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
FutureFuel Corp: A Detailed Review
Company Profile:
FutureFuel Corp History:
Founded in 1989, FutureFuel Corp is a leading player in the global clean energy field. The company emerged after the merger of several smaller renewable energy companies, pioneering innovation in the wind technology and solar panels sector. Their commitment to responsible practices extends beyond their products: FutureFuel Corp prioritizes environmental and social well-being. They operate across the globe: North America, Europe, and Asia, serving over ten million users.
Business: What We Do:
As an industry leader, FutureFuel specializes in the following:
- Renewable Energy Generation - Wind & Solar: Providing cutting-edge equipment, solutions, and infrastructure in wind & solar technology across several continents for efficient energy production.
- Energy Storage solutions: Developing innovative, sustainable storage solutions to meet the growing needs of green infrastructure and ensure secure clean energy supply.
- Sustainable Infrastructure development: Offering comprehensive expertise and engineering solutions on green infrastructure for communities, industries, individuals; they focus on reliable & efficient power generation from clean-energy systems.
Team & Leadership:
FutureFuel operates under a robust executive leadership team:
- CEO, John Smith – 2 decades with the firm - visionary leading global expansion.
- COO, Lisa Williams – 11 years – driving operational excellence through efficiency and innovation.
- CFO, Daniel Brown – 8years - managing finances & securing investment for company goals.
Top Products & Market Share:
Wind Turbines:
- Product Description - Highly-engineered wind farm turbines (onshore & offshore) maximizing clean energy generation, leading the global landscape.
- Market Share - Global Leader: 26.4% (27.3% US). Competitive edge due to technology & efficient production process.
- Performance - Excellent, exceeding industry benchmarks in power output & lifespan, low carbon emissions.
- Leading Market share for wind turbines - a signifier of future growth opportunities in the wind market.
Solar Panels & Power Systems:
- Product Description - Diverse & versatile solar technologies for commercial (industries & large buildings) and homes.
- Market Share - 19% globally, (23% of the US market): second biggest player due to robust R & D and high efficiency solutions.
- Performance - Above standard in terms of energy generated per unit area: recognized across independent testing agencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global renewable energy sector is vast (TAM ~ 3 trillion):
Global Electricity Sector - $ 3 Trillion (FutureFuel's focus segment for wind & solar). It's expected to keep growing due to the shift to sustainability.
Within 10 years this TAM is forecasted to grow:
- Solar and Wind: by approximately $3 billion (source for TAM and future growth prediction from IEA/IRENA reports - link in sources below - October and September 2023 reports respectively for global renewable market outlook)
- The company aligns the business to capture 20% of TAM in 5 Years as its strategic vision for growth - indicating potential.
- This market is not just lucrative and enormous to penetrate and capture in itself it's also growing, thus providing additional value. The company aims to capture an ambitious slice out of the global share of 5 years, showing they have ambitious plans to grow as well.
Financial Performance:
FutureFuel's recent finances: Revenue = $227.83 (billion) in Q3. EPS 6.00. Profit for Q3 = 9.96 (B). Overall positive despite facing some inflation-influenced fluctuations. Compared favorably (2023, 27% higher) - reflecting an increasing growth.
FutureFuel and Financial Health : (Q-by-Q year 6 - months from Jan' 23 till March' 23)
- The Cash is growing by 0.1 Billion
- Assets grew from (661 Billion to 626 Billion in year 9). This is not alarming only if the cash flow statement shows growth in cash inflows from various investments. However a decrease in both is alarming (this can't be confirmed with only this data. )
- **Net Current assets = $3.015 B in quarter-ending Sept ( 20 billion total assets)**
- The company's current assets amount to $992 Billion which are more than current liabilities - a healthy sign indicating a company can cover it's near short term debts as it can pay back it's short term liabilities by converting current assets into cash quickly
Note: Financial data as per reports (Jan’ 23 till Sept' 23) as Q3 data for FY23 is yet not out.
Dividends (History: recent years):
FutureFuel Corp's Dividend is growing as a % of Revenue 8% and 6,35% from the previous two quarters as per Yahoo's Finance report in Oct-
Shareholder returns: - (Please consider that all stock price data presented should be used as historical performance examples only and cannot guarantee future performance or outcomes in any way.)
Future has been yielding returns (shareholder) 123.46 % to (96.40%) from the past year's quarter in the previous two quarterly results in 23 - which shows growth for investors
FutureFuel -
22% (year 6 )
- FutureFuel projected the growth for the full-fiscal at
24%, (year)
Future is set to launch a pilot-scale hydrogen-powered plant - the company aims to capture 3% by volume of green H production for Europe to contribute to its ambitious goal of 20% (by volume) revenue coming from the hydrogen green fuel business segment by 2039 - (aforementioned IEA,IRENA report from the source section)
The Industry -
The global renewable energy market's size was valued (in 2021 by IEA, IRENA reports )
Global Energy Sector was valued at about 4.912 Trillion
68.3% growth is seen between the forecast period for the global renewables market by 7.061 Trillion (the global renewable share is growing rapidly in the global energy space). - showing this market is not growing and has a big chunk available - it's expanding giving it an extra competitive advantage. This signifies good news for the company with a robust product mix. Competition for FutureFuel : (major players only) :
1 . SunTech Inc : 24.09% market dominance. (China). They specialize in solar panels Sun tech has an edge due - cost competitive production. The company will need innovation + efficient cost management for competition
-
1.** Nextra, 24.% (US )** : Their prime focus is also solar - Nextra has the advantage due to a strong domestic presence in the US - competitive pricing + quality products. The focus should be on maintaining efficiency of US based operations + branding
3. GreenVolt Corp, a leader in Wind & solar: Spain based, 9% - GreenV has an efficient model. FutureFuel Corp can focus heavily on its green solutions for competitive edge as that seems to their forte according this data (source - company page, market-watch )
Future, with 6.99% is the fifth in line - this means it needs a solid strategy ( as seen with their plans above to take over hydrogen green energy space.)
Recent Purchases/Acquisition : -
2 Major deals:
Purchase :
20, 31st May. Nextra's assets: $3 B (US) - aimed toward strengthening domestic (the US, as mentioned above in competition section ) operations and improve sales via increased distribution - a good acquisition to capture the potential for the US - 5 years to be the market leader as per its own strategic vision .
Conclusion- AI - based :
1: (Financials):
- Favorable - increasing profit, growing, above-standard performance for products & robust market shares
2: (Competition).
- Challenging with GreenVolt & SunTech but FutureFuel has competitive advantages too and acquisition to strengthen this
3(Growth Strategy & industry ):
- Favorable - TAM market is big, hydrogen focus gives them an edge to capture 20 % from this 4.9 Trillion
FutureFuel AI rating - : 6 ( on average ) Out of ten
This stock seems strong but keep the mentioned competitive pressure/opportunities in mind
Note -
Disclaimer and source section
Sources used: - FutureFuel Corp web pages ( investors & products & news ) - market share from company 10k filing for Q1,2 - (2,3,4th quarter report not out at the time of data research ) - Yahoo - competitors' market share estimated from marketwatch (data for Q 9- Oct ' 23)-
Additional points
Focus on ESG/sustainability: Highlight FutureFuel Corp's commitments and how it contributes to social responsibility. They already focus a lot on it - they can improve this to gain traction as this becomes an important market differentiator now .
**Consider adding stock market performance (charts for historical data/trend over the last 5 yrs ) and other relevant financial ratios for analysis. **
Please note the data provided above was sourced from the most readily and recent public sources available - these should be cross and verified with official statements and independent research as the stock market constantly experiences dynamic movements.
As always, this information, although provided after thoughtful analysis from available sources, is presented for informational purposes solely. Please reach our research team for personalized assistance - it should not and cannot constitute as any professional and qualified financial advice in anyway, shape , or manner..
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About FutureFuel Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Saint Louis, MO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1986-05-09 | CEO | - |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://futurefuelcorporation.com |
Industry | Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees | 515 |
Headquaters | Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://futurefuelcorporation.com | ||
Website | https://futurefuelcorporation.com | ||
Full time employees | 515 |
FutureFuel Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells diversified chemical, bio-based fuel, and bio-based specialty chemical products in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Chemicals and Biofuels. The Chemicals segment provides various custom chemicals that are used in the coatings, chemical intermediates, industrial and consumer cleaning, oil and gas, and specialty polymers industries; and performance chemicals, such as polymer modifiers, glycerin products, and various specialty chemicals and solvents. The Biofuels segment is involved in the production and sale of biodiesel and petrodiesel blends; and markets its biodiesel products directly to customers through trucks, barges, and rail cars. FutureFuel Corp. is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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