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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Ferguson Plc (FERG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/05/2025: FERG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.13% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 03/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 32.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.72 | 1Y Target Price 194.59 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.72 | 1Y Target Price 194.59 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1637151 | Beta 1.31 | 52 Weeks Range 151.75 - 222.55 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 151.75 - 222.55 | Updated Date 03/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.02% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.49% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.71% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.07% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.72 | Forward PE 17.86 | Enterprise Value 37469186904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08 |
Enterprise Value 37469186904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.05 | Shares Outstanding 200686000 | Shares Floating 198237206 |
Shares Outstanding 200686000 | Shares Floating 198237206 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.46 | Percent Institutions 92.33 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.18 | Target Price 217.62 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 11 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 11 | ||
Hold 5 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ferguson Plc
Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1887 in the UK as Anderson & Wood, renamed Wolseley, and then Ferguson. Expanded into the US in 1982. Divested UK operations in 2021 and became Ferguson plc, focusing solely on North American operations.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Plumbing & HVAC: Distribution of plumbing and HVAC supplies to contractors and homeowners for residential construction and renovation projects.
- Commercial & Industrial: Distribution of pipes, valves, fittings (PVF), and other industrial supplies for commercial and industrial construction and maintenance.
- Waterworks: Distribution of water infrastructure products and solutions for municipalities and utility companies.
- Fire & Fabrication: Distribution of fire protection systems and fabrication services.
Leadership and Structure
Kevin Murphy (CEO). Organized by business segment, with a corporate headquarters overseeing operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pipes, Valves, and Fittings (PVF): Essential for fluid transport in various industries. Competitors include Wolseley, HD Supply. Market share estimated at 20-25% in North America.
- Plumbing Supplies: Wide range of fixtures, faucets, and related items for residential and commercial applications. Competitors include Home Depot, Lowe's. Market share varies by product category, approximately 15-20% in plumbing wholesale.
- HVAC Equipment: Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems for residential and commercial buildings. Competitors include Watsco, Carrier. Market share approximately 10-15% in HVAC distribution.
- Water Infrastructure Products: Pipes, hydrants, meters, and other components for water distribution and management. Competitors include Core & Main. Market share varies by region, around 15-20%.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The distribution industry is fragmented and cyclical, driven by construction activity and economic growth. Increasing demand for infrastructure upgrades and energy-efficient solutions.
Positioning
Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing supplies and PVF in North America. Its competitive advantages include a broad product range, extensive distribution network, and strong customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The North American market is estimated at $400+ billion. Ferguson's positioning enables it to capture a significant portion of this market, focusing on segments with higher growth potential.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leading market position
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong customer relationships
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong balance sheet
Weaknesses
- Exposure to cyclical construction markets
- Dependence on acquisitions for growth
- Vulnerability to supply chain disruptions
- Competition from online retailers
Opportunities
- Infrastructure spending initiatives
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Growth in e-commerce
- Increased demand for energy-efficient products
- Further market consolidation via acquisitions
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition
- Supply chain disruptions
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WTS
- HD
- LOW
Competitive Landscape
Ferguson has advantages in its scale, distribution network and customer relationships. Competitors may have strengths in specific product categories or geographic regions.
Major Acquisitions
East Coast Metal Distributors
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 163
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion into the HVAC market, increasing market share in the Northeast region.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Driven by organic growth and acquisitions. Needs real historical growth data.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, dependent on market conditions. Needs analyst projections.
Recent Initiatives: Strategic initiatives such as acquisitions, e-commerce investments, and expansion into new product categories.
Summary
Ferguson Plc is a leading North American distributor of plumbing and building products with a strong market position. Its extensive distribution network and diversified product portfolio are key strengths. However, it faces cyclical market risks and increasing competition, requiring a focus on efficiency and strategic acquisitions. Future growth will depend on capitalizing on infrastructure spending and expansion in the e-commerce area.
Similar Companies
- WTS
- HD
- LOW
- FAST
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ferguson Plc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Newport News, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-01-05 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Kevin M. Murphy | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Industrial Distribution | Full time employees 35000 | |
Full time employees 35000 | |||
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada. The company provides expertise, solutions, and products, including infrastructure, plumbing, appliances, fire, and fabrication, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) to residential and non-residential customers. It also supplies specialist water and wastewater treatment products to residential, commercial, and infrastructure contractors, as well as supplies pipe, valves, and fittings solutions to industrial customers. In addition, it offers customized solutions, such as virtual design, fabrication, valve actuation, pre-assembly, kitting, installation, and project management services, as well as after-sales support that comprises warranty, credit, project-based billing, returns and maintenance, and repair and operations support. The company sells its products through a network of distribution centers, branches, counter service and specialist sales associates, showroom consultants, and e-commerce channels. Ferguson Enterprises Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia.
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