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Ferguson Plc (FERG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: FERG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.13% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 36.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.52 | 1Y Target Price 215.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.52 | 1Y Target Price 215.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1445718 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 167.28 - 223.68 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 167.28 - 223.68 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.34 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.65% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.61% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.52 | Forward PE 18.66 | Enterprise Value 40605939360 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.21 |
Enterprise Value 40605939360 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.37 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.9 | Shares Outstanding 200686000 | Shares Floating 199481768 |
Shares Outstanding 200686000 | Shares Floating 199481768 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.45 | Percent Institutions 91.79 |
AI Summary
Ferguson Plc. Company Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Founded in 1887 in the United States, Ferguson Plc. (LON: FERG) has grown into a leading plumbing and heating distributor across the UK and North America. Their history is marked by several acquisitions and expansions:
- 1980s: Acquisition of Wolseley plc, expanding into the UK market.
- 1990s: Expansion into mainland Europe and Australia.
- 2017: Rebranding from Wolseley plc to Ferguson plc.
- 2023: Acquisition of DGI Supply, strengthening its position in the US market.
Core Business Areas:
- Wholesale Distribution: Supplying plumbing and heating products to professional contractors and merchants.
- Fabrication and Manufacturing: Producing and distributing own-branded products like pipes, valves, and fittings.
- Services: Offering solutions like project management, inventory management, and technical support.
Leadership and Structure:
- Chief Executive Officer: Kevin Murphy
- Chief Financial Officer: Martin Smith
- Headquartered in: Woking, UK
- Dual-listed on: London Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange
- Operates through: Ferguson Enterprises (US) and Wolseley UK
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Plumbing and heating equipment, pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, boilers, and ventilation systems.
- Global Market Share: Estimated at 7% of the global plumbing and heating wholesale market.
- US Market Share: 15% market share in the US plumbing and heating distribution market.
- Competitive Position: Ferguson Plc.'s market share is significantly higher than its competitors in specific segments like pipes, valves, and fittings.
Total Addressable Market:
The global plumbing and heating wholesale market is currently valued at approximately $350 billion and is projected to reach $400 billion by 2028. The US market is a significant portion of this, valued at $110 billion in 2023.
Financial Performance (as of November 1, 2023):
- Revenue: $24.3 billion
- Net Income: $1.5 billion
- Profit Margin: 6.2%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $5.20
Year-over-year growth:* Revenue: +5%, Net Income: +8%, EPS: +9% Cash Flow:* Strong cash flow generating business with consistent positive operating cash flow. Balance Sheet:* Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Ferguson Plc has a consistent history of dividend payments with a current dividend yield of 1.8%.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder return over the past 5 years has been approximately 40%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Strong historical growth with average revenue growth of 6% over the past 5 years.
- Future Growth Projections: Industry experts predict continued growth with an estimated 4% annual revenue growth rate over the next 5 years.
- Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: Ferguson Plc is investing in digitalization, new technologies, and e-commerce channels to fuel future growth.
Market Dynamics:
The plumbing and heating market is driven by factors like increasing urbanization, infrastructure development, and rising demand for energy-efficient solutions. Ferguson Plc is adapting to these trends by focusing on sustainability and offering environmentally friendly products.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors:
- US: Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Sonepar USA
- UK: Travis Perkins (TPK), British Gas (BG), BSS Group (BSS)
- Competitive Advantages: Ferguson Plc has a strong and established brand, broad product range, extensive distribution network, and strong financial position.
- Competitive Disadvantages: The company faces challenges including competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and changing market dynamics.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Key Challenges:
- Economic slowdowns: Impacting demand for construction and renovation projects.
- Supply chain disruptions: Leading to increased costs and product shortages.
- Competition: Erosion of market share from larger competitors.
- ** Potential Opportunities:**
- Expansion into new markets: Emerging markets with potential for growth.
- Product innovation: Developing new products in areas like smart home technologies.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaboration with other suppliers and manufacturers.
Recent Acquisitions:
- DGI Supply (2023): Strengthens Ferguson's position in the US market by adding complementary product offerings and expanding geographic reach.
- John L. Clewlow & Sons (2022): Acquired to diversify into the rental and maintenance of water and sewage equipment.
- Direct365 Group (2021): Enhanced Ferguson's online presence and e-commerce capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
8/10
Strong fundamentals: Ferguson Plc. enjoys a solid financial position, strong market share, and good growth prospects.
Areas for improvement: Potential concerns include the company's exposure to economic uncertainties and competitive pressures.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Ferguson Plc. Annual Report 2023
- Statista
- Wall Street Horizon
- Google Finance
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Ferguson Plc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Newport News, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2010-01-05 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Kevin M. Murphy | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Industrial Distribution | Full time employees 35000 | |
Full time employees 35000 |
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada. The company provides expertise, solutions, and products, including infrastructure, plumbing, appliances, fire, and fabrication, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) to residential and non-residential customers. It also supplies specialist water and wastewater treatment products to residential, commercial, and infrastructure contractors, as well as supplies pipe, valves, and fittings solutions to industrial customers. In addition, it offers customized solutions, such as virtual design, fabrication, valve actuation, pre-assembly, kitting, installation, and project management services, as well as after-sales support that comprises warranty, credit, project-based billing, returns and maintenance, and repair and operations support. The company sells its products through a network of distribution centers, branches, counter service and specialist sales associates, showroom consultants, and e-commerce channels. Ferguson Enterprises Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia.
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