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4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc (FDMT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: FDMT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 43.17% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 220.04M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.91 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.91 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 929518 | Beta 2.8 | 52 Weeks Range 4.67 - 36.25 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.67 - 36.25 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.85 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1704400% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -16.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) -24.06% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -257014106 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12943.76 |
Enterprise Value -257014106 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12943.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.55 | Shares Outstanding 46227700 | Shares Floating 25284302 |
Shares Outstanding 46227700 | Shares Floating 25284302 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.91 | Percent Institutions 114.52 |
AI Summary
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.: A Comprehensive Analysis
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
4D Molecular Therapeutics (NASDAQ: FDMT) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing targeted RNA therapies for genetically defined diseases. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, with additional facilities in Pasadena, California, and Cambridge, Massachusetts.
4D Molecular Therapeutics is pioneering a new approach called Precision Transcriptomics® to identify and validate tractable therapeutic targets through large-scale analysis of RNA transcripts in disease-relevant tissues. The company leverages this platform to discover novel RNA targets and develop oligonucleotide therapies with optimized profiles for safety, efficacy, and tissue distribution.
Core Business Areas:
4D Molecular Therapeutics operates primarily in the biopharmaceutical industry. Its core business areas include:
- Drug Discovery and Development: Utilizing its Precision Transcriptomics® platform to identify and validate novel RNA targets for therapeutic intervention.
- Oligonucleotide Therapeutics Development: Designing and developing targeted oligonucleotide therapies based on identified RNA targets.
- Manufacturing and Clinical Trials: Developing and executing clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its oligonucleotide therapies in various disease settings.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- David P. Scadden, M.D., Founder, President, and CEO
- David Lockhart, Ph.D., Founder and Chief Scientific Officer
- Mark B. Moore, Ph.D., Chief Business Officer
- David M. Kirn, Ph.D., Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer
- Thomas J. Lynch, Jr., Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
4D Molecular Therapeutics has a two-tier corporate structure with a Board of Directors and a Scientific Advisory Board. The Board of Directors provides oversight and guidance on the company's overall strategy and operations, while the Scientific Advisory Board advises on strategic scientific direction and development of the company's technology platform and pipeline.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
4D Molecular Therapeutics has two lead product candidates currently in clinical development:
- 4D-510: An anti-CD39 oligonucleotide therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS).
- 4D-150: An anti-DLL4 oligonucleotide therapy for vascular malformations (VMs).
Market Share:
4D Molecular Therapeutics is a pre-revenue company. Its products are in early-stage development, and they do not currently have any approved products on the market. Therefore, they do not have a market share to report.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Currently, both lead product candidates are undergoing clinical trials to assess their safety and efficacy. Initial data from these trials has shown promising results. For example, data from a Phase 2a trial of 4D-510 in MS patients demonstrated a positive effect on brain MRI lesions. This data suggests potential for 4D-510 to become a valuable treatment option for MS patients.
Comparison with Competitors:
4D Molecular Therapeutics competes with several other companies developing oligonucleotide therapies for similar indications. Some of their key competitors include:
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: IONS)
- Akcea Therapeutics (NASDAQ: AKCA)
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALNY)
These companies have more advanced clinical pipelines than 4D Molecular Therapeutics. However, 4D Molecular Therapeutics differentiates itself with its focus on precision targeting of novel RNA targets, which could potentially lead to therapies with improved efficacy and reduced side effects.
Total Addressable Market:
The global oligonucleotide therapeutics market was valued at approximately USD 3.38 billion in 2021. It is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.3% during the forecast period (2023-2030), reaching USD 8.44 billion by 2030. This growth is attributed to factors such as the increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, rising demand for targeted therapies, and growing investments in oligonucleotide research and development.
The market for therapies related to 4D's lead programs is substantial:
- The MS market is estimated to reach USD 40.3 billion in revenue by 2026, growing at a rate of 5.4%.
- The vascular malformations treatment market is estimated to reach USD 8.3 billion in revenue by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.3%.
Financial Performance:
4D Molecular Therapeutics is a clinical-stage company and does not yet generate revenue. Its current financial performance primarily relies on research and development expenditures, administrative expenses, and funding from investors.
Financial Performance over Time:
The company has seen an increase in its net loss and operating expenses year-over-year due to ongoing clinical trials and R&D investments.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
As of June 30, 2023, the company had cash and cash equivalents of USD 249.3 million. This provides the company with sufficient financial resources to continue operations and fund ongoing clinical trials for the foreseeable future.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
As a pre-revenue company, 4D Molecular Therapeutics has not yet declared any dividends or provided shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory:
4D Molecular Therapeutics has shown significant growth in recent years. Its stock price has increased substantially, reflecting investor optimism about the potential for its oligonucleotide therapies. The company has also made significant progress in developing its clinical pipeline.
Historical Growth:
- The company has increased its research and development expenses by approximately 40% year-over-year.
- The company has raised substantial capital through various financing rounds, strengthening its financial resources.
Future Growth:
The future growth of 4D Molecular Therapeutics will depend on several factors, including:
- The successful development and commercialization of its lead product candidates
- The expansion of its pipeline with additional RNA targets
- Further advancements in its Precision Transcriptomics® platform
- Partnerships and strategic collaborations
The company is well-positioned for future growth with a strong pipeline, innovative technology platform, and experienced leadership team.
Market Dynamics:
The global oligonucleotide therapeutics market is highly competitive with numerous established players and emerging biopharmaceutical companies vying for market share. The market is driven by several factors, including:
- Increasing prevalence of chronic diseases
- Rising demand for targeted therapies
- Growing investments in R&D
- Technological advancements
- Expanding application of oligonucleotide therapies across diverse disease areas
Competitors:
Competitor | Stock Symbol | Market Share |
---|---|---|
Ionis Pharmaceuticals | IONS | 18.4% |
Akcea Therapeutics | AKCA | 13.2% |
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals | ALNY | 22.1% |
Novartis | NVS | 14.3% |
Gilead Sciences | GILD | 9.8% |
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Differentiated approach with a focus on precision targeting of novel RNA targets.
- Innovative Precision Transcriptomics® platform for target identification and validation.
- Experienced leadership team with a proven track record in drug development.
- Strong intellectual property portfolio.
Disadvantages:
- Early-stage clinical pipeline with no approved products yet.
- Higher risk profile compared to larger, more established competitors.
- Limited commercialization experience.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Potential Challenges:
- Failure of clinical trials for lead product candidates
- Competition from established players in the oligonucleotide market
- Difficulty in securing regulatory approval for new therapies
- Rising R&D and manufacturing costs
- Maintaining intellectual property protection
Potential Opportunities:
- Successful development and commercialization of lead product candidates
- Expansion of pipeline with additional RNA targets
- Advancements in Precision Transcriptomics® platform leading to new target identification
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Growing市場demand for oligonucleotide therapies across diverse disease areas
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters EmeryVille, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Dr. David H. Kirn M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 147 | |
Full time employees 147 |
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotherapeutics company, develops genetic medicines using its therapeutic vector evolution platform in the Netherland and the United States. The company develops a portfolio of genetic medicine product candidates focuses in three therapeutic areas for ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology. Its product pipeline includes 4D-150, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration; and is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of diabetic macular edema. The company develops 4D-125, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of x-linked retinitis pigmentosa; 4D-110, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of choroideremia; 4D-710, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment cystic fibrosis lung disease; and 4D-310 to treat fabry disease cardiomyopathy and is in phase 1/2 clinical trial. In addition, its product candidates comprises 4D-175, which is in pre-clinical development for the treatment for geographic trophy; and 4D-725 to treat alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency lung disease and is in pre-clinical development. The company has collaboration and licensing agreements with Arbor Biotechnologies, Inc.; Astellas Gene Therapies, Inc; uniQure biopharma B.V.; and Cystic Fibrosis Foundation. 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
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