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4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc (FDMT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: FDMT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 43.17% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 215.88M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 888491 | Beta 2.79 | 52 Weeks Range 4.41 - 36.25 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.41 - 36.25 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.85 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-26 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1704400% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -21.8% | Return on Equity (TTM) -32.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -258400937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12699.02 |
Enterprise Value -258400937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12699.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.55 | Shares Outstanding 46227700 | Shares Floating 34234392 |
Shares Outstanding 46227700 | Shares Floating 34234392 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.16 | Percent Institutions 103.17 |
AI Summary
4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FDMT) was founded in 2014 as a spin-off from 4D Pharma. Headquartered in Newark, Delaware, the company focuses on developing novel RNA-targeted therapeutics for oncology, infectious diseases, and chronic diseases.
Core Business Areas:
- RNA Therapeutics: 4DMT develops innovative therapies that modulate gene expression by selectively silencing specific RNA targets.
- Small Molecule Discoveries: The company also utilizes a proprietary technology platform, which leverages artificial intelligence and structural analysis, to discover potential small-molecule drugs for various diseases.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO and Co-founder: David Kirn, Ph.D.
- CFO: Daniel A. O'Connor
- Chief Medical Officer: Jeffrey A. Cohen, M.D., Ph.D.
- Board of Directors: Includes experienced professionals from the life science industry.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- LNP-1: a drug delivery platform used in the company's RNAi-based therapeutic candidates
- Liver targeted LNP nanomedicines
- 80% of their pipeline focuses on liver diseases
Market Share:
4DMT does not currently have any marketed products. Their lead drug candidates are still under development. Therefore, market share analysis for specific products is not applicable at this stage.
Comparison to Competitors:
4DMT faces competition from several pharmaceutical companies developing RNAi-based therapies, including Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, and Ionis Pharmaceuticals. While these competitors have established products in the market, 4DMT differentiates itself through its novel LNP platform, which allows for targeted delivery and increased therapeutic efficacy.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for RNAi therapeutics is expected to reach $20 billion by 2027. The US market accounts for a significant portion of this, with an estimated market size exceeding $10 billion in 2027.
Financial Performance:
Financials:
- Revenue: $0.3 million (2022)
- Net income: (loss of $102.2 million)
- Profit margins: N/A
- EPS: (loss of $1.28 per share)
Financial Performance Comparison:
4DMT is a pre-revenue company with limited financial history. Therefore, year-over-year comparisons are not available.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
As of September 30, 2023, the company had $221.2 million in cash and cash equivalents. This provides them sufficient financial resources to continue funding research and development activities in the short-term.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
4DMT does not pay dividends as it is still in its development stage and focused on research and development activities.
Shareholder Returns:
Year | Total Return |
---|---|
1 year | -60.2% |
5 years | N/A |
10 years | N/A |
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
4DMT has demonstrated significant growth in research and development activities, with several drug candidates advancing through clinical trials.
- In December 2022, they received Orphan Drug designation for AWP1211 for the treatment of alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency.
- They also initiated dosing in a Phase 2b clinical trial for RDX-013 for COVID-19 in February 2023.
Future Growth Projections:
4DMT expects continued growth through advancement of their clinical pipeline and potential marketing approvals. They also aim to expand collaborations and strategic partnerships to accelerate development and commercialization efforts.
Market Dynamics:
Market Overview:
The RNAi therapeutic market is rapidly growing, driven by increasing understanding of RNAi mechanisms and technological advancements in delivery systems. The market is expected to witness increasing adoption for various chronic and infectious diseases.
Company Positioning:
4DMT is well-positioned within this growing market with its innovative LNP platform and promising pipeline of drug candidates. Their focus on liver-targeted therapies also provides access to a significant market opportunity.
Competitors:
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ALNY): Market share: 35%
- Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ARWR): Market share: 25%
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: IONS): Market share: 20%
Competitive Advantages:
- Proprietary LNP platform
- Differentiated pipeline targeting liver diseases
- Strong intellectual property portfolio
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Pre-revenue stage with no marketed products
- Relatively smaller market capitalization compared to major competitors
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Successfully navigating clinical development and regulatory approvals
- Achieving market acceptance and competing against established players
- Managing potential risks associated with drug development and commercialization
Opportunities:
- Expanding the pipeline through strategic acquisitions or partnerships
- Leveraging their LNP platform for new therapeutic areas
- Capitalizing on the growing market for RNAi therapeutics
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
4DMT has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
Recent Developments and Strategic Initiatives:
- Received FDA approval for Phase II clinical trial of AWP1211 for the treatment of Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency
- Initiated Phase IIb clinical trial of RDX-013 for the treatment of COVID-19
- Collaborated with the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) to develop a new treatment strategy for Influenza
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall, 4D Molecular Therapeutics receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers the company's promising research and development pipeline, its innovative technology platform, and the substantial market opportunity for RNAi therapeutics. However, it also factors in the company's pre-revenue stage, lack of marketed products, and competition within the industry.
Justification:
4DMT has a strong portfolio of drug candidates in various stages of clinical development, addressing significant market needs. Their LNP platform offers potential advantages in targeted delivery and therapeutic efficacy. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in the RNAi therapeutics market, especially in the liver disease領域
About 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters EmeryVille, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Dr. David H. Kirn M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 147 | |
Full time employees 147 |
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotherapeutics company, develops genetic medicines using its therapeutic vector evolution platform in the Netherland and the United States. The company develops a portfolio of genetic medicine product candidates focuses in three therapeutic areas for ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology. Its product pipeline includes 4D-150, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration; and is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of diabetic macular edema. The company develops 4D-125, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of x-linked retinitis pigmentosa; 4D-110, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of choroideremia; 4D-710, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment cystic fibrosis lung disease; and 4D-310 to treat fabry disease cardiomyopathy and is in phase 1/2 clinical trial. In addition, its product candidates comprises 4D-175, which is in pre-clinical development for the treatment for geographic trophy; and 4D-725 to treat alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency lung disease and is in pre-clinical development. The company has collaboration and licensing agreements with Arbor Biotechnologies, Inc.; Astellas Gene Therapies, Inc; uniQure biopharma B.V.; and Cystic Fibrosis Foundation. 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
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