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FAT Brands Inc (FATBW)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.65
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY8.31%
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/28/2025: FATBW (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -13.75%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 159.35M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 7075
Beta 1.8
52 Weeks Range 1.90 - 7.49
Updated Date 02/7/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.90 - 7.49
Updated Date 02/7/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -24.53%
Operating Margin (TTM) -6.16%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -1.53%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value -
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value -
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding -
Shares Floating 5329563
Shares Outstanding -
Shares Floating 5329563
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions -

AI Summary

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT): Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) was founded in 1986 as Fatburger. It subsequently acquired several other restaurant chains, including Buffalo's Cafe, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Elevation Burger, and Yalla Mediterranean. In 2021, FAT went public through a SPAC merger.

Core Business Areas:

FAT Brands primarily operates in the restaurant industry, specializing in casual dining and fast-casual dining concepts. Its core business areas include:

  • Franchise Operations: Owning and operating a portfolio of restaurant brands, including its own and acquired brands.
  • Licensing: Granting licenses to franchisees for operating restaurants under its brand names.
  • Food Delivery: Offering delivery services through partnerships with third-party platforms.
  • Marketing: Building brand awareness and promoting its restaurants through various marketing channels.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Board of Directors: Andrew Wiederhorn (Executive Chairman), Robert Cobb (Non-Executive Chairman), Michael L. Krouse (Lead Independent Director), and seven other directors.
  • Executive Management: Andy Wiederhorn (CEO), Michael Serruya (President & COO), Mark Matheny (CFO), Fran Zeuli (Chief Development Officer), and several other executives.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fatburger: Premium hamburgers and other American cuisine.
  • Buffalo's Cafe: Wings, burgers, and other American fare.
  • Hurricane Grill & Wings: Wings, burgers, and other American cuisine.
  • Elevation Burger: Premium burgers and other American cuisine.
  • Yalla Mediterranean: Mediterranean dishes and sandwiches.

Market Share:

FAT Brands estimates its market share in the US casual and fast-casual dining market to be approximately 0.5%. However, this data may vary depending on the specific category and region.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Fatburger and Buffalo's Cafe are considered well-established brands with a strong following. Elevation Burger and Yalla Mediterranean are newer additions facing competition in their respective niche markets. Overall, FAT Brands boasts a diversified portfolio with a good mix of established and emerging brands.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The global restaurant industry is estimated to be valued at over $3 trillion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. The fast-casual dining segment is expected to experience strong growth in the coming years, offering promising opportunities for FAT Brands.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $188.6 million (2022)
  • Net Income: $16.4 million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 8.7% (2022)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.44 (2022)

Year-over-Year Performance:

  • Revenue: Increased by 19% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Net Income: Increased by 30% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • EPS: Increased by 28% in 2022 compared to 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • Strong cash flow from operations: $40.3 million in 2022.
  • Healthy balance sheet with minimal debt.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

FAT Brands does not currently pay dividends.

Shareholder Returns:

  • 1-year return: -29%
  • 5-year return: -17%
  • 10-year return: Data not available as the company went public in 2021.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

FAT Brands has experienced significant growth in recent years, primarily through acquisitions. The company's revenue has increased by over 100% in the past three years.

Future Projections:

FAT Brands projects continued growth in the coming years, driven by its expansion strategy, menu innovation, and digital initiatives.

Recent Initiatives:

  • Introduction of delivery-only ghost kitchens.
  • Expansion into new international markets.
  • Development of technology-driven customer loyalty programs.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • Increasing demand for convenience and online ordering.
  • Growing popularity of healthy and sustainable food options.
  • Emphasis on enhancing customer experience through technology and personalization.

Positioning and Adaptability:

FAT Brands is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends through its diversified portfolio, digital initiatives, and focus on operational efficiency.

Competitors:

  • Shake Shack (SHAK)
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
  • McDonald's Corporation (MCD)
  • Wendy's Company (WEN)

Market Share and Competitive Advantages:

While FAT Brands has a smaller market share compared to its larger competitors, it benefits from:

  • Strong brand recognition for its legacy brands.
  • Diversified offerings catering to different customer preferences.
  • Franchise model, allowing for rapid expansion and reduced capital requirements.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition in the casual dining and fast-casual industry.
  • Rising costs of labor and ingredients.
  • Potential economic slowdown impacting consumer spending.

Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets, both domestically and internationally.
  • Continued development of digital offerings and customer engagement strategies.
  • Introduction of new and innovative menu items.

Recent Acquisitions (since 2020):

  • 2023:
    • Nestle Toll House Cafe by Chip: Acquired for $100 million to expand its dessert and cafe offerings.
    • Fazoli's: Acquired for $150 million to enter the Italian fast-casual segment.
  • 2022:
    • Twin Peaks: Acquired for $300 million to diversify its portfolio with a sports bar concept.
  • 2020:
    • Yalla Mediterranean: Acquired for $10 million to expand its presence in the healthy fast-casual segment.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7.5/10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance: Revenue and earnings growth, healthy cash flow, and low debt levels.
  • Growth potential: Expansion plans, new acquisitions, and digital initiatives.
  • Competitive advantages: Diversified brand portfolio, franchise model, and strong brand recognition.
  • Risks: Intense competition, economic uncertainty, and potential for operational challenges.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: FAT Brands Inc. website, SEC filings, Zacks Investment Research, Bloomberg, MarketWatch.
  • Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion:

FAT Brands Inc. is a growing company in the restaurant industry with a promising future. Its diversified portfolio, growth strategy, and focus on technology and innovation position it well to compete in the market. However, the company faces challenges from intense competition and potential economic headwinds. It is important to carefully evaluate the risks and opportunities before investing in FAT Brands.

About FAT Brands Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Beverly Hills, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-07-14
CFO & Co-CEO Mr. Kenneth J. Kuick CPA
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 2600
Full time employees 2600

FAT Brands Inc., a multi-brand restaurant franchising company, acquires, develops, markets, and manages quick service, fast casual, casual dining, and polished casual dining restaurant concepts worldwide. It owns restaurant brands, including Round Table Pizza, Marble Slab Creamery, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Pretzelmaker, Fazoli's, Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, Elevation Burger, Yalla Mediterranean, Buffalo's Cafe and Buffalo's Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Ponderosa Steakhouse/Bonanza Steakhouse, Native Grill & Wings, Smokey Bones, and Twin Peaks. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. FAT Brands Inc. is a subsidiary of Fog Cutter Holdings, LLC.

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