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National Vision Holdings Inc (EYE)EYE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: EYE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -12.83% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 41 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -12.83% | Avg. Invested days: 41 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 864.20M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.9 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.94 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2608978 | Beta 1.41 |
52 Weeks Range 9.61 - 24.11 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 864.20M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.9 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.94 | Volume (30-day avg) 2608978 | Beta 1.41 |
52 Weeks Range 9.61 - 24.11 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.75% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.91% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) -8.43% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 20.16 |
Enterprise Value 1617337339 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 37.29 |
Shares Outstanding 78635504 | Shares Floating 77010922 |
Percent Insiders 2 | Percent Institutions 109.49 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 20.16 | Enterprise Value 1617337339 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 37.29 | Shares Outstanding 78635504 | Shares Floating 77010922 |
Percent Insiders 2 | Percent Institutions 109.49 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.64 | Target Price 22 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 6 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.64 | Target Price 22 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Comprehensive Overview of National Vision Holdings Inc. (EYE)
Company Profile:
History and Background:
National Vision Holdings Inc. (EYE) is an American company that operates as an optical retailer. Founded in 1979, the company has grown to become one of the largest retail optical companies in the US, with over 1,300 stores across 44 states.
Core Business Areas:
EYE offers a variety of eye care services and products, including:
- Comprehensive eye exams: Performed by licensed optometrists.
- Eyewear: Including prescription eyeglasses, sunglasses, and contact lenses.
- Contact lens fitting and care: Instruction on proper lens care and follow-up appointments.
- Vision therapy: Treatment for focusing and eye teaming issues.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Reade Fahs
- CFO: Paul Edwards
- President: Marc Ferrara
- SVP and General Counsel: Jennifer Greeson
- Board of Directors: Comprised of 7 members with extensive experience in retail, finance, and healthcare.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Eyeglasses: National Vision offers a wide variety of eyeglasses, including designer brands and private label options.
- Contact Lenses: The company offers a comprehensive selection of contact lenses, including daily disposables, multifocal lenses, and specialty lenses.
- Vision Services: EYE provides comprehensive eye exams, contact lens fittings, and vision therapy services.
Market Share:
- US Eyeglass Market Share: National Vision holds approximately 10% of the US eyeglass market share, ranking it as the third largest eyeglass retailer in the country.
- Global Eyeglass Market Share: The company's global market share is negligible compared to larger players like Luxottica and Essilor.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
National Vision's products are generally well-received by customers, with positive reviews for their quality, affordability, and customer service. However, the company faces stiff competition from other large retailers like Walmart and Costco, which offer similar products at lower prices.
Total Addressable Market:
The global eye care market is estimated to be worth over $200 billion. Within the US, the market is valued at approximately $40 billion. National Vision's target market includes individuals of all ages who require vision correction or eye care services.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $1.88 billion in 2022, representing a 12% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: $114.7 million in 2022, compared to $85.7 million in 2021.
- Profit Margin: 6.1% in 2022.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.33 in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow of $172.8 million in 2022.
- Balance Sheet: Strong balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- National Vision has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.7%.
- The company has increased its dividend payout each year for the past five years.
Shareholder Returns:
- Over the past year, National Vision's stock has returned 35.4%.
- Over the past five years, the stock has returned 125.7%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- National Vision has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% over the past five years.
- The company has opened numerous new stores and expanded its product offerings.
Future Growth Projections:
- Analysts project that National Vision will continue to grow its revenue and earnings in the coming years.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from the aging population and the increasing demand for eye care services.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- The eye care industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years due to factors such as the aging population and the increasing prevalence of eye diseases.
- Technological advancements such as telemedicine and online eye exams are also expected to drive growth in the industry.
National Vision's Positioning:
- National Vision is well-positioned within the industry due to its large store network, its strong brand recognition, and its focus on providing affordable eye care services.
- The company is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for online eye care services.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include:
- Walmart (WMT)
- Costco (COST)
- Luxottica (LUX)
- Essilor (ESLOY)
Market Share Percentages:
- Walmart: 15%
- Costco: 12%
- Luxottica: 25%
- Essilor: 20%
- National Vision: 10%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Large store network
- Strong brand recognition
- Focus on affordable eye care
- Growing online presence
Disadvantages:
- Limited international presence
- Smaller scale compared to larger competitors
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from other retailers
- Rising healthcare costs
- Supply chain disruptions
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Introducing new products and services
- Partnering with other healthcare providers
Recent Acquisitions:
- In 2021, National Vision acquired Eye Care Associates, a group of 12 optometry practices in the southeastern US.
- This acquisition expanded National Vision's network of eyecare providers and its geographic reach.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- National Vision has strong financial performance, a solid market position, and good growth prospects.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing eye care market.
- However, National Vision faces competition from other large retailers.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- This analysis is based on data from the following sources:
- National Vision Holdings Inc. annual reports
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer:
I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National Vision Holdings Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Duluth, GA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-10-26 | CEO & Director | Mr. L. Reade Fahs |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.nationalvision.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 13998 |
Headquaters | Duluth, GA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. L. Reade Fahs | ||
Website | https://www.nationalvision.com | ||
Website | https://www.nationalvision.com | ||
Full time employees | 13998 |
National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Owned & Host and Legacy. It offers eyeglasses and contact lenses, and optical accessory products; provides eye exams through its America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, and Vista Optical military, as well as Vision Center branded stores; and offers health maintenance organization and optometric services. National Vision Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
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