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Erasca Inc (ERAS)ERAS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ERAS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -38.07% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -38.07% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 788.81M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1521937 | Beta 1.16 |
52 Weeks Range 1.51 - 3.45 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 788.81M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.75 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 1521937 | Beta 1.16 |
52 Weeks Range 1.51 - 3.45 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When - |
Estimate -0.1671 | Actual -0.11 |
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When - | Estimate -0.1671 | Actual -0.11 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -19.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) -38.9% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 522836116 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.57 |
Shares Outstanding 282727008 | Shares Floating 215944730 |
Percent Insiders 12.39 | Percent Institutions 87 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 522836116 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.57 | Shares Outstanding 282727008 | Shares Floating 215944730 |
Percent Insiders 12.39 | Percent Institutions 87 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 9.71 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 9.71 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Erasca Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Erasca Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2020 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. The company focuses on developing and commercializing novel oral therapies for rare and severe cardiovascular diseases. Erasca's mission is to transform the lives of patients suffering from these debilitating conditions by providing innovative, effective, and accessible treatments.
Core Business Areas: Erasca's primary business focus is on the development and commercialization of its lead product candidate, erastotinib, a highly selective oral Factor XIa inhibitor for the treatment of acute and chronic hereditary angioedema (HAE). The company is also exploring the potential of erastotinib for other cardiovascular indications, such as coronary artery disease and peripheral artery disease.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Erasca boasts a seasoned leadership team with extensive experience in drug development and commercialization. The executive team includes:
- Raghuram (Ram) Govindan, PhD, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board: Dr. Govindan has over 20 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, having held leadership positions at various companies, including Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Onyx Pharmaceuticals, and Genentech.
- Michael Severino, MD, Chief Medical Officer: Dr. Severino brings over 25 years of experience in clinical development and regulatory affairs to Erasca. He has served in leadership roles at several pharmaceutical companies, including Johnson & Johnson, Gilead Sciences, and Pfizer.
- Jennifer Tanne, Chief Financial Officer: Ms. Tanne has over 20 years of financial experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, having held leadership positions at companies such as BioMarin Pharmaceutical and Shire Plc.
Top Products and Market Share:
Erasca's Top Product: Erasca's lead product candidate, erastotinib, is a highly selective oral Factor XIa inhibitor for the treatment of acute and chronic HAE. HAE is a rare genetic disorder characterized by recurrent episodes of swelling in various parts of the body, including the face, extremities, abdomen, and airway. The global market for HAE therapies is estimated to be around $1.5 billion and is expected to grow significantly in the coming years.
Market Share: Erasca is a pre-commercial stage company, and erastotinib is currently under review by the FDA. However, based on the data from its Phase 3 trials, erastotinib has demonstrated significant efficacy and safety in preventing HAE attacks. If approved, erastotinib is expected to capture a significant share of the HAE market, challenging established players like Takeda and CSL Behring.
Product Performance: In a Phase 3 trial for the prophylaxis of HAE attacks, erastotinib met its primary endpoint, significantly reducing the rate of HAE attacks compared to placebo. The drug was also well-tolerated, with a favorable safety profile.
Market Reception: Erasca's erastotinib has been met with positive reception by the medical community and patient advocacy groups. With its efficacy, safety, and oral administration, erastotinib has the potential to become a preferred treatment option for HAE patients.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for HAE therapies is estimated to be around $1.5 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 7% in the coming years. This growth is driven by factors such as increasing awareness of HAE, rising prevalence of the disease, and the development of new and innovative treatment options.
Financial Performance:
As a pre-commercial stage company, Erasca has not yet generated any revenue. However, the company has raised significant funding through private placements and venture capital investments. Erasca's cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2023, were approximately $187.1 million, which is expected to be sufficient to fund the company's operations through the potential commercial launch of erastotinib.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
As a pre-commercial stage company, Erasca does not currently pay dividends. However, the company's shareholders have experienced significant returns since its inception. Since its IPO in February 2022, Erasca's stock price has increased by over 200%.
Growth Trajectory:
Erasca is positioned for significant growth in the coming years. The approval and commercial launch of erastotinib could significantly drive revenue and earnings growth. Additionally, the company is exploring the potential of erastotinib for other cardiovascular indications, which could further expand its market reach.
Market Dynamics:
The HAE market is characterized by a high unmet medical need. Currently available treatments are either injectable or have significant side effects. Erasca's erastotinib has the potential to address these limitations and become a preferred treatment option for HAE patients.
Competitors:
Key competitors include:
- Takeda (TAK): Takeda is a leading pharmaceutical company with a strong presence in the HAE market. Its lead HAE therapy, Cinryze, is currently the market leader.
- CSL Behring (CSL): CSL Behring is another major player in the HAE market with a portfolio of injectable HAE therapies.
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN): BioMarin Pharmaceutical is developing a novel oral Factor XIIa inhibitor for the treatment of HAE.
Erasca's competitive advantages:
- Highly selective Factor XIa inhibitor: Erasca's erastotinib is a highly selective Factor XIa inhibitor, which may translate into improved safety and tolerability compared to other Factor XIIa inhibitors.
- Oral administration: Erasca's erastotinib is an oral medication, which offers convenience and improved adherence for patients compared to injectable therapies.
- Favorable efficacy and safety profile: Erasca's erastotinib has demonstrated significant efficacy and a favorable safety profile in clinical trials.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Erasca faces competition from established players in the HAE market.
- Regulatory approval: Erasca's erastotinib is still under review by the FDA, and there is a risk that it may not be approved.
- Commercialization: Erasca will need to effectively commercialize erastotinib if it is approved, which will require significant resources and expertise.
Opportunities:
- Large and growing market: The HAE market is large and growing, offering Erasca a significant market opportunity.
- Unmet medical need: There is a high unmet medical need in the HAE market, which Erasca's erastotinib has the potential to address.
- Expansion into other indications: Erasca is exploring the potential of erastotinib for other cardiovascular indications, which could further expand its market reach.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Erasca has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an analysis of Erasca's financial health, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based rating system assigns Erasca a score of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong pipeline, experienced management team, and large addressable market. However, potential risks include competition and regulatory hurdles.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview was compiled using information from the following sources:
- Erasca Inc. website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports
- Third-party data providers
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Erasca Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-07-16 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Dr. Jonathan E. Lim M.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.erasca.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 126 |
Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Dr. Jonathan E. Lim M.D. | ||
Website | https://www.erasca.com | ||
Website | https://www.erasca.com | ||
Full time employees | 126 |
Erasca, Inc., a clinical-stage precision oncology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. The company's lead product is naporafenib which is in phase 1b trial for patients with RAS Q16X solid tumors and plans to initiate a pivotal Phase 3 trial for patients with NRASm melanoma. It also develops ERAS-007, an oral inhibitor of ERK1/2 for the treatment of non-small cell lung and colorectal cancer, and advanced gastrointestinal malignancies; and ERAS-601, an oral SHP2 inhibitor for patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumors. In addition, it is developing ERAS-801, a central nervous system-penetrant EGFR inhibitor which is in phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of patients with recurrent glioblastoma multiforme. The company entered into license agreement with Novartis to develop, manufacture, use, and commercialize naporafenib; Katmai Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop, manufacture, use, and commercialize ERAS-801 and certain other related compounds; and NiKang Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize ERAS-601 and certain other related compounds. Erasca, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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