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Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)DMLP

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Dorchester Minerals LP
$30.72
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: DMLP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -14.07%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 47
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -14.07%
Avg. Invested days: 47
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.23B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.62
1Y Target Price -
Dividends yield (FY) 10.84%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.65
Volume (30-day avg) 55174
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 25.16 - 34.14
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.23B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.62
1Y Target Price -
Dividends yield (FY) 10.84%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.65
Volume (30-day avg) 55174
Beta 1.08
52 Weeks Range 25.16 - 34.14
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 67.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) 63.24%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 41.03%
Return on Equity (TTM) 68.4%

Revenue by Products

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.62
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1199941477
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.93
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.11
Shares Outstanding 40088600
Shares Floating 37233902
Percent Insiders 7.09
Percent Institutions 21.99
Trailing PE 11.62
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1199941477
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.93
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.11
Shares Outstanding 40088600
Shares Floating 37233902
Percent Insiders 7.09
Percent Institutions 21.99

Analyst Ratings

Rating -
Target Price -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating -
Target Price -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Dorchester Minerals LP Overview

Company Profile

History and Background

Dorchester Minerals LP (NASDAQ: DMLP) was formed in 2013. It is a master limited partnership (MLP) engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin. The company was originally sponsored by Dorchester Minerals, Inc. (NASDAQ: DMLP), a publicly traded exploration and production company. Dorchester Minerals LP became independent in 2018 as a result of a drop-down transaction with its sponsor.

Core Business Areas

Dorchester Minerals LP's primary business focuses on:

  • Oil and Natural Gas Production: The company operates approximately 2,900 wells in the Appalachian Basin, primarily in West Virginia and Kentucky. Its production mix is roughly 80% natural gas and 20% oil.
  • Acquisition and Development: The company actively seeks to acquire and develop new oil and natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin.
  • Mineral Rights Ownership: Dorchester Minerals LP also owns approximately 160,000 net mineral acres in the Appalachian Basin, which generates royalty income from other operators.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure

Michael Trikilis Jr. serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Dorchester Minerals LP. The leadership team also includes:

  • James Wills: Chief Operating Officer
  • Stephen Harrison: Chief Financial Officer
  • Scott White: Vice President of Land
  • William Jenkins: Vice President of Engineering

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products and Offerings

Dorchester Minerals LP's primary products are natural gas and oil.

Market Share

The company's market share is relatively small. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the Appalachian Basin accounts for approximately 35% of total U.S. natural gas production. As of 2023, DMLP's production represented less than 1% of this total.

Competitor Comparison

Dorchester Minerals LP competes with numerous other oil and gas producers in the Appalachian Basin, including EQT Corporation (EQT), Antero Resources (AR), and Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation (COG). These companies are generally larger and have higher production volumes. DMLP differentiates itself through its focus on lower-cost, shallower wells and its strong track record of reserve replacement.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market for natural gas in the United States is enormous. According to the EIA, the U.S. consumed over 34 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in 2022. The Appalachian Basin is a major natural gas producing region, making it a significant portion of DMLP's TAM.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Results

  • Revenue: For the year ended December 31, 2022, Dorchester Minerals LP reported revenue of $105.7 million, compared to $91.3 million in 2021.
  • Net Income: Net income in 2022 was $28.9 million, compared to $81.1 million in 2021. This decrease was caused by several factors, including lower commodity prices and higher operating costs.
  • Profit Margins: Operating margin for 2022 was 36%, compared to 87% in 2021. This decrease largely reflects the impact of lower commodity prices.
  • EPS: EPS for 2022 was $2.47, compared to $5.78 in 2021.

Year-over-Year Comparison

Dorchester Minerals LP's financial performance has been impacted by the volatility of oil and natural gas prices. The company's revenue and earnings tend to fluctuate with commodity prices.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

The company generated $48.7 million in operating cash flow in 2022. As of December 31, 2022, DMLP had $116 million in cash and equivalents and $271 million in total debt.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

Dorchester Minerals LP has a history of paying dividends to unitholders. The current annualized dividend rate is $2.28 per unit.

Shareholder Returns

Total shareholder returns for DMLP have been volatile in recent years. Over the past year, the total return has been negative, primarily due to the decline in the underlying commodity prices. However, over the past five years, the total shareholder return has been positive, exceeding 100%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

Dorchester Minerals LP has grown its production and reserves over the past five years. The company's production has increased from approximately 24 Bcfe in 2018 to nearly 38 Bcfe in 2022.

Future Growth Projections

The company expects to continue growing its production and reserves through a combination of acquisitions and development of existing properties. Additionally, DMLP may benefit from rising natural gas prices in the future.

Recent Growth Initiatives

Dorchester Minerals LP has recently expanded its operations into the Marcellus Shale play in Pennsylvania. The company also plans to increase its drilling activity in 2023.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends

The oil and natural gas industry is cyclical, with commodity prices and drilling activity fluctuating based on various factors, including supply, demand, and geopolitical events. The recent volatility in energy markets has significantly impacted the industry.

Dorchester Minerals LP's Positioning

Dorchester Minerals LP is positioned as a low-cost producer of natural gas. The company benefits from its focus on the Appalachian Basin, which has a lower cost of production than other major shale plays.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • EQT Corporation (EQT)
  • Antero Resources (AR)
  • Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation (COG)
  • CNX Resources (CNXC)
  • Range Resources (RRC)
  • Southwestern Energy (SWN)

Competitive Advantages:

  • Low-cost production
  • Focus on the Appalachian Basin
  • Strong track record of reserve replacement
  • Experienced management team

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Relatively small production size
  • Limited geographic diversification
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Potential Challenges

  • Lower commodity prices
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Regulatory changes

Potential Opportunities

  • Rising natural gas prices
  • Development of new technologies
  • Acquisition opportunities

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on a data-driven analysis that considers various factors such as financial health, market position, and growth prospects, an AI-based fundamental rating system provides Dorchester Minerals LP with a score of 7.5 out of 10.

This rating reflects the company's relatively strong financial position, its potential for future growth, and its favorable exposure to the natural gas market. However, the rating also acknowledges the challenges DMLP faces from volatile commodity prices and competition.

Sources and Disclaimers

  • Dorchester Minerals LP financial reports
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
  • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Yahoo Finance

Disclaimer: This information is provided for general knowledge and should not be considered investment advice. You should always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Dorchester Minerals LP

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Dallas, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-02-03 CEO -
Sector Energy Website https://www.dmlp.net
Industry Oil & Gas E&P Full time employees 27
Headquaters Dallas, TX, United States
CEO -
Website https://www.dmlp.net
Website https://www.dmlp.net
Full time employees 27

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States. Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 593 counties and parishes in 28 states; and net profits interests represent net profits overriding royalty interests in various properties owned by the operating partnership. Dorchester Minerals Management LP serves as the general partner of Dorchester Minerals, L.P. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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