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DLTR logo DLTR
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$70.16
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-4.97%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 1 day
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

03/05/2025: DLTR (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Profits (-4.97%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -33.16%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/05/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 16.68B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.06
1Y Target Price 82.93
Price to earnings Ratio 16.06
1Y Target Price 82.93
Volume (30-day avg) 2992653
Beta 0.91
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 135.94
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 135.94
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.83

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -17.24%
Operating Margin (TTM) 12.01%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.65%
Return on Equity (TTM) 18.47%

Valuation

Trailing PE 16.06
Forward PE 13.07
Enterprise Value 22778454274
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95
Enterprise Value 22778454274
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.3
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.29
Shares Outstanding 215083008
Shares Floating 202646914
Shares Outstanding 215083008
Shares Floating 202646914
Percent Insiders 0.08
Percent Institutions 103.57

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.48
Target Price 84.13
Buy 3
Strong Buy 6
Buy 3
Strong Buy 6
Hold 19
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Dollar Tree Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1953 as K&K 5&10 in Norfolk, Virginia. In 1986, it was renamed Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. and went public in 1995. Through strategic acquisitions and organic growth, it has become a leading operator of discount variety stores.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Dollar Tree: Operates stores offering a variety of merchandise priced at $1.25 or less (formerly $1.00), including consumables, variety and seasonal goods, and home decor.
  • Family Dollar: Operates a chain of discount stores offering a broader assortment of merchandise than Dollar Tree, typically at slightly higher price points. Merchandise includes food, health and beauty aids, apparel, and household products.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Richard Dreiling. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional and district managers overseeing store operations. Board of Directors oversee executive management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Consumables: Includes food, health and beauty aids, and household chemicals. Competitors include Walmart, Dollar General, and grocery stores. Hard to specifically isolate market share data by category without proprietary data.
  • Variety & Seasonal: Encompasses toys, gifts, stationery, party supplies, and seasonal decorations. Competitors are general merchandise retailers and specialty stores. Market share is fragmented and difficult to isolate.
  • Apparel and Accessories: Includes clothing items and accessories sold at low prices. Competitors such as Walmart and Target who also sell apparel at a discount.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is characterized by high competition and sensitivity to economic conditions. Key drivers include consumer spending patterns, inflation, and supply chain efficiency.

Positioning

Dollar Tree Inc. is positioned as a deep-discount retailer, appealing to value-conscious consumers. Its competitive advantage lies in its wide selection of low-priced goods and extensive store network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The discount retail market is estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Dollar Tree Inc. is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this TAM through its store expansion and product diversification strategies.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive store network
  • Value-oriented pricing
  • Wide product assortment
  • Strong supply chain

Weaknesses

  • Low profit margins
  • Dependence on low-income consumers
  • Inventory management challenges
  • Store conditions and aesthetics
  • Reliance on imported goods

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Increasing online presence
  • Offering private-label brands
  • Improving store layouts and merchandising
  • Catering to diverse customer segments

Threats

  • Increased competition from other discount retailers
  • Economic downturns
  • Rising costs of goods and transportation
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DG
  • WMT
  • TGT
  • FIVE

Competitive Landscape

Dollar Tree Inc. competes with a variety of retailers, including dollar stores, supermarkets, and online retailers. The company differentiates itself through its low prices and extensive store network. Dollar General has a greater store presence and market share.

Major Acquisitions

Family Dollar

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 8500
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Family Dollar was intended to expand Dollar Tree's customer base and store network, and to realize synergies through combined operations and economies of scale.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Dollar Tree Inc. has experienced significant growth through acquisitions and organic store expansion. The company continues to grow and expand into new regions.

Future Projections: Analysts predict continued revenue growth, driven by store expansion and same-store sales increases. Profitability improvements will depend on cost management and pricing strategies.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include store renovations, expansion of private-label offerings, and investments in e-commerce capabilities.

Summary

Dollar Tree is a major player in the discount retail sector. The company's strength lies in its broad network and value pricing, but its margins are thin and sensitive to economic changes. While ongoing initiatives may improve outlook, it faces stiff competition and supply chain risks. Overall, its a mixed bag that is very dependant on the current macro economic conditions.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Company Website
  • Earnings Reports
  • Third party sources

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available public information. Actual results may vary. Financial metrics are representative and require access to specific reporting periods for accuracy. AI-Generated rating is directional and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Dollar Tree Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chesapeake, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-03-06
CEO & Director Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 64434
Full time employees 64434

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

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