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Cytokinetics Inc (CYTK)CYTK

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Cytokinetics Inc
$55.94
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: CYTK (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -21.9%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -21.9%
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.61B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 80.65
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.36
Volume (30-day avg) 1224192
Beta 0.78
52 Weeks Range 25.98 - 110.25
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.61B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 80.65
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.36
Volume (30-day avg) 1224192
Beta 0.78
52 Weeks Range 25.98 - 110.25
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -52277.91%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -27.46%
Return on Equity (TTM) -572.15%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 6341162900
Price to Sales(TTM) 2108.42
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2023.34
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -15.82
Shares Outstanding 117660000
Shares Floating 117053631
Percent Insiders 0.51
Percent Institutions 118.02
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 6341162900
Price to Sales(TTM) 2108.42
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2023.34
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -15.82
Shares Outstanding 117660000
Shares Floating 117053631
Percent Insiders 0.51
Percent Institutions 118.02

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.17
Target Price 62.27
Buy 7
Strong Buy 7
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.17
Target Price 62.27
Buy 7
Strong Buy 7
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Cytokinetics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

Cytokinetics Incorporated, founded in 1998, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel small molecule muscle activators for the treatment of debilitating muscle diseases. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California, and has a research facility in Exton, Pennsylvania.

Cytokinetics' initial focus was on developing small molecule activators of cardiac myosin for the treatment of heart failure. However, in 2009, the company shifted its focus to skeletal muscle activators and acquired intellectual property rights to omecamtiv mecarbil (omecamtiv). Omecamtiv acts as a selective activator of cardiac troponin, a protein responsible for regulating muscle contraction in the heart.

Core Business Areas:

Cytokinetics’ core business revolves around three primary areas:

  • Discovery and Development of Skeletal Muscle Activators: The company’s main focus is on advancing its lead product candidate, omecamtiv mecarbil, for the treatment of various muscle-wasting and debilitating diseases, including ALS, DMD, and SMA.
  • Development of Novel Cardiac Myosin Activators: Cytokinetics continues to research and develop novel small molecule cardiac myosin activators for the treatment of heart failure.
  • Collaboration and Partnering: The company actively seeks partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to expand its development programs and market reach.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

Board of Directors:

  • Robert Blum, Ph.D. (Chair)
  • Michael Blum, M.D. (Director)
  • Peter B. Corr, J.D. (Director)
  • F. Joseph Duffy, M.D. (Director)
  • Janet A. Englert, Ph.D. (Director)
  • Ira D. Greifer, M.D. (Director)
  • Arthur Krieg, M.D., Ph.D. (Director)
  • Robert N. Matsuk, M.D., Ph.D. (Director)
  • Michael F. Tringale, Jr., J.D. (Director)

Executive Leadership Team:

  • Robert I. Blum, Ph.D. (Chairperson and Chief Executive Officer)
  • F. Joseph Duffy, M.D. (Executive Vice President, Clinical Development)
  • Stephen E. Kolb, Ph.D. (Chief Financial Officer)
  • Robert A. Leda, Ph.D. (Chief Scientific Officer)
  • Stephen M. Raverty, Ph.D. (Chief Operating Officer)
  • Robert F. Spignesi (Executive Vice President and General Counsel)

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Offerings:

  • Omecamtiv Mecarbil: This lead product candidate is in late-stage clinical development for the treatment of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). It is categorized as a muscle activator that enhances muscle contractility by increasing the sensitivity of troponin to calcium.

Market Share:

Currently, omecamtiv mecarbil is not yet commercially available; therefore, the company does not have a defined market share. However, upon potential approval for ALS treatment, Cytokinetics will face competition from existing ALS medications like Radicava (edaravone) and Rilutek (riluzole).

Product Performance and Market Reception:

In clinical trials, omecamtiv mecarbil has demonstrated promising results in improving muscle function and slowing disease progression in ALS patients. The company plans to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the second half of 2023. The market reception will depend upon the FDA's approval decision and subsequent launch success.

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for ALS treatment is estimated to reach US$1.3 billion by 2028, with the U.S. market accounting for a significant portion. Additionally, other muscle-wasting diseases like DMD and SMA represent potential future markets for Cytokinetics.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: Cytokinetics primarily generates revenue through grants and collaborations. In 2022, the company reported total revenue of $53.3 million.
  • Net Income: As of 2022, Cytokinetics remains pre-commercial and has not yet achieved profitability. The company reported a net loss of $132.4 million in 2022.
  • Profit Margins: With no product sales yet, Cytokinetics has negative profit margins.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): As a non-profitable company, Cytokinetics does not report positive EPS.

Year-over-Year Financial Performance Comparison:

Cytokinetics has demonstrated consistent year-over-year revenue growth, primarily driven by increased collaboration and licensing agreements. The company is actively investing in its R&D programs, which has resulted in increased operating expenses and net losses.

Cash Flow Statements and Balance Sheet Health:

Cytokinetics has a strong cash position, with cash and equivalents of $418.3 million as of December 31, 2022. This provides the company with financial flexibility to continue investing in its development programs.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Cytokinetics is a non-dividend-paying company due to its pre-commercial stage.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, Cytokinetics’ stock price has experienced volatility due to market conditions and clinical trial updates. However, in the longer term, the company's future potential and successful product launch could lead to significant shareholder returns.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

Cytokinetics has shown consistent revenue growth and advancement in clinical development pipelines over the past five years.

Future Growth Projections:

The success of omecamtiv mecarbil for ALS and potential expansion into other muscle-wasting diseases could drive significant growth for Cytokinetics in the coming years. However, potential delays in regulatory approvals and market competition present challenges to its growth trajectory.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:

Cytokinetics anticipates the potential launch of omecamtiv mecarbil for ALS in late 2024, subject to FDA approval. Additionally, the company continues to explore strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its pipeline and market reach.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

The pharmaceutical industry for muscle-wasting diseases is evolving rapidly, with a focus on developing innovative therapies with improved efficacy and safety profiles.

Cytokinetics' Positioning:

Cytokinetics is at the forefront of developing novel muscle activators with the potential to address unmet medical needs in various muscle-wasting conditions. The company's focus on innovation and scientific leadership positions it for potential success in this dynamic market.

Adaptability to Market Changes:

Cytokinetics actively monitors and adapts to market trends. The company’s strategic collaborations and research & development investments demonstrate its commitment to staying ahead of the curve in this evolving landscape.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
  • Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
  • PTC Therapeutics (PTCT)
  • Roche (RHHBY)

Market Share Percentages and Comparison:

These competitors have varying market shares depending on the specific muscle-wasting disease indication. Cytokinetics, currently without commercial products, will compete for market share upon potential entry into these markets.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Cytokinetics' primary competitive advantage lies in its innovative muscle activator approach with potentially superior clinical outcomes. However, established competitors with existing products and market presence pose challenges.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Regulatory Approval Delays: The FDA approval process for omecamtiv mecarbil could face delays or setbacks, impacting the company's commercialization timeline.
  • Competition: Existing and emerging competitors could hinder market share acquisition and put downward pressure on pricing.
  • Clinical Trial Results: Continued positive clinical trial data is crucial for supporting regulatory approval and market acceptance.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Market Expansion: Cytokinetics has the potential to expand into additional muscle-wasting diseases beyond ALS, increasing its overall market reach.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies could accelerate development and commercialization efforts.
  • Technological Advancements: Continued research into innovative muscle activators could lead to novel therapeutic approaches and strengthen the company's competitive edge.

Recent Acquisitions:

Cytokinetics has not made any acquisitions in the past three years. The company focuses on internal R&D and strategic partnerships for pipeline development.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis considering factors like financial health, market position, and growth potential, Cytokinetics receives a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10.

Justification:

Cytokinetics demonstrates strong R&D capabilities, a promising lead product candidate, and a solid financial position. However, potential regulatory hurdles, market competition, and dependence on clinical trial outcomes introduce risks that moderate the AI-based rating.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Data Sources:

  • Cytokinetics Inc. Investor Relations website
  • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Market research reports
  • Company press releases and news articles

Disclaimer:

This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your independent research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Cytokinetics Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2004-04-29 CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert I. Blum
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.cytokinetics.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 423
Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States
CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert I. Blum
Website https://www.cytokinetics.com
Website https://www.cytokinetics.com
Full time employees 423

Cytokinetics, Incorporated, a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing muscle activators and inhibitors as potential treatments for debilitating diseases. The company develops small molecule drug candidates primarily engineered to impact muscle function and contractility. Its drug candidates include omecamtiv mecarbil, a novel cardiac myosin activator that is in Phase III clinical trial in patients with heart failure. The company also develops CK-136, a novel cardiac troponin activator that is in Phase I clinical trial; CK-586, a small molecule cardiac myosin inhibitor, that is in Phase I clinical trial; and aficamten, a novel cardiac myosin inhibitor, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Cytokinetics, Incorporated has a strategic alliance with Ji Xing Pharmaceuticals Limited. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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