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Carvana Co (CVNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: CVNA (3-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (34.04%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: 128.49% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: 128.49% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.08B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 248.81 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2460323 | Beta 3.38 |
52 Weeks Range 40.21 - 268.34 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 248.81 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 | Volume (30-day avg) 2460323 | Beta 3.38 |
52 Weeks Range 40.21 - 268.34 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 107.14% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 111.11 |
Enterprise Value 33929226916 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.08 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.17 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 118220481 |
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 93.19 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 111.11 | Enterprise Value 33929226916 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.08 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.17 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 118220481 |
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 93.19 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 40.28 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 14 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 40.28 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 14 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Carvana Co.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2012 by Ernie Garcia III, Ryan Keeton, and Ben Huston.
- Began as a used-car e-commerce platform, offering online car buying and selling.
- Launched its first car vending machine in 2013, revolutionizing the car-buying experience.
- Went public in 2017, raising $286 million.
Core business areas:
- Online used car sales: Carvana offers a wide selection of used cars through its website and mobile app.
- Financing and insurance: Provides financing options through partnerships with lenders and offers vehicle protection plans.
- Reconditioning and logistics: Reconditions used cars to meet its standards and operates its own logistics network for vehicle delivery.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- CEO: Ernie Garcia III
- CFO: Mark Jenkins
- President: Ryan Keeton
- Board of Directors comprises experienced leaders in technology, finance, and retail.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Used car sales: Carvana offers a wide variety of used cars across different makes, models, and price points.
- Financing options: Provides flexible financing options with various loan terms and competitive interest rates.
- Vehicle protection plans: Offers comprehensive protection plans covering mechanical breakdowns, accidents, and other unforeseen events.
Market share:
- Holds a significant share of the online used car market in the US.
- Market share estimates vary depending on the source, ranging from 10% to 20%.
- Faces competition from other online car retailers, traditional dealerships, and private sellers.
- Market share is expected to grow with increasing consumer adoption of online car buying.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global used car market is estimated to be worth over $2 trillion.
- The US used car market represents a significant portion, valued at around $800 billion.
- The online used car market is a growing segment within the overall used car market, driven by convenience and wider selection.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial performance:
- Revenue has grown significantly in recent years, reaching $13.8 billion in 2021.
- Net income has fluctuated, with a loss of $509 million in 2021.
- Gross profit margin has remained relatively stable around 15%.
- EPS has also fluctuated, with a loss of $2.83 per share in 2021.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue growth has slowed down in recent quarters compared to previous years.
- Net income losses have widened in 2021 compared to 2020.
- The company is facing challenges in managing its operating expenses and profitability.
Financial health:
- Carvana has a strong cash position with over $2 billion in cash and equivalents.
- However, the company also has significant debt, with total liabilities exceeding $8 billion.
- The company's cash flow is negative due to high operating expenses and investments in growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Carvana does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing in growth.
- Future dividend payments are uncertain and will depend on the company's financial performance and strategic priorities.
Shareholder returns:
- Carvana's stock price has been volatile since its IPO.
- Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the stock price decline.
- However, long-term shareholders who invested early have seen significant gains.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Carvana has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years, driven by increasing consumer adoption of online car buying.
- However, the company is facing challenges in achieving profitability.
Future growth projections:
- Industry analysts project continued growth in the online used car market.
- Carvana's future growth will depend on its ability to manage costs, improve profitability, and expand its market share.
- Recent product launches, such as its car subscription service, could contribute to future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview:
- The used car market is a large and fragmented industry with a wide range of players.
- The industry is characterized by competition, technological advancements, and changing consumer preferences.
- Online car retailers are disrupting the traditional dealership model by offering convenience and wider selection.
Carvana's positioning:
- Carvana is a leader in the online used car market, offering a user-friendly platform and innovative car vending machines.
- The company faces competition from other online retailers, traditional dealerships, and private sellers.
- Carvana's competitive advantages include its technology platform, logistics network, and customer-centric approach.
Competitors:
- Major competitors include:
- AutoNation (AN)
- CarMax (KMX)
- Shift Technologies (SFT)
- Vroom (VRM)
- Carvana holds a market share advantage over most of its competitors, except for CarMax.
- Each competitor has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the competitive landscape is constantly evolving.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Managing operating expenses and achieving profitability.
- Maintaining a strong cash position while investing in growth initiatives.
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements.
- Facing competition from traditional dealerships and other online retailers.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and product categories.
- Leveraging technology to further improve the car buying experience.
- Building strategic partnerships to enhance its offerings.
Recent Acquisitions:
- In 2021, Carvana acquired ADESA, a leading wholesale used-car auction company, for $2.2 billion. This acquisition strengthens Carvana's access to used car inventory and provides it with a platform for vehicle remarketing.
- In 2020, Carvana acquired Auction Direct, another wholesale used-car auction company, for $3.1 billion.
- In 2019, Carvana acquired Carlyle Capital, a used-car finance company, for $2.2 billion.
These acquisitions have significantly expanded Carvana's footprint in the used car market and strengthened its competitive position.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Carvana receives a rating of 7 out of 10 based on an AI-driven analysis of its fundamentals.
- This rating considers factors such as financial health, market position, growth prospects, and brand strength.
- The AI system identifies Carvana's strong market position, growth potential, and brand recognition as key strengths.
- However, concerns regarding profitability and financial stability are highlighted as weaknesses.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- This overview is compiled using information from various sources, including Carvana's financial reports, SEC filings, industry publications, and news articles.
- The information presented here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer:
This is an overview of Carvana Co. stock and should not be taken as financial advice. I am an AI language model and cannot give financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carvana Co
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Tempe, AZ, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.carvana.com |
Industry | Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees | 13700 |
Headquaters | Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Website | https://www.carvana.com | ||
Website | https://www.carvana.com | ||
Full time employees | 13700 |
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Its platform allows customers to research and identify a vehicle; inspect it using company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology; obtain financing and warranty coverage; purchase the vehicle; and schedule delivery or pick-up from their desktop or mobile devices. The company also operates auction sites. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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