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Carvana Co (CVNA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$243.94
Delayed price
Today's Top Performer Top performer
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/30/2025: CVNA (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Outstanding Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 128.49%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 33.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 257.16
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 257.16
Volume (30-day avg) 3779893
Beta 3.38
52 Weeks Range 66.97 - 292.84
Updated Date 02/19/2025
52 Weeks Range 66.97 - 292.84
Updated Date 02/19/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.03

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-20
When After Market
Estimate 0.17
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.14%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.25%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.04%
Return on Equity (TTM) 107.14%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 140.85
Enterprise Value 41490773027
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12
Enterprise Value 41490773027
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.56
Shares Outstanding 116947000
Shares Floating 124595877
Shares Outstanding 116947000
Shares Floating 124595877
Percent Insiders 1.76
Percent Institutions 98.23

AI Summary

Carvana Co. (CVNA): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History & Background: Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), founded in 2012, is an American e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It operates in the United States and offers a variety of services, including online car purchasing, financing, and delivery. Carvana has revolutionized the used car industry by offering a convenient and transparent online shopping experience.

Core Business Areas:

  • Online car sales: Carvana's primary business involves selling used cars through its online platform. Customers can browse through a vast inventory of vehicles, compare prices, and purchase cars directly from the website.
  • Financing: Carvana provides financing options for car purchases, partnering with various lenders to offer competitive rates and terms.
  • Delivery: Carvana offers vehicle delivery to customers' homes or designated locations, eliminating the need for in-person dealership visits.

Leadership & Corporate Structure:

  • Ernie Garcia III: Founder and CEO
  • Chief Financial Officer: Mark Jenkins
  • Chief Operating Officer: Ryan Keeton
  • Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced industry professionals with expertise in e-commerce, finance, and automotive retail.

Top Products & Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Used car sales: Carvana's primary product is the sale of used cars through its online platform.
  • Financing: Financing options are offered through partnerships with various lenders.
  • Delivery: Vehicle delivery services are available to customers' homes or designated locations.

Market Share:

  • Global: As of 2022, Carvana held a market share of approximately 1% in the global used car market.
  • US: In the US, Carvana's market share reached 3% in 2022, making it the third largest used car retailer in the country.

Product Performance & Market Reception:

  • Carvana has received positive reviews for its convenient and transparent online car buying experience.
  • The company has seen significant growth in its user base and sales volume in recent years.
  • However, concerns regarding profitability and competition remain.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

  • The global used car market is estimated to be worth over $2 trillion.
  • In the US, the used car market is valued at approximately $1 trillion.
  • Carvana operates in a large and growing market with significant potential for future growth.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • As of Q4 2022, Carvana reported revenue of $3.9 billion, representing a 23% year-over-year increase.
  • Net income was reported at -$804 million, reflecting continued losses despite revenue growth.
  • Profit margins remain negative, indicating the company's challenges in achieving profitability.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) stood at -$7.29.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue has grown consistently over the past years, but profitability remains elusive.
  • The company's cash flow statement shows significant cash burn, raising concerns about its financial sustainability.

Balance Sheet Health:

  • Carvana has a significant amount of debt on its balance sheet, which raises concerns about its financial stability.
  • The company's assets are largely comprised of inventory, highlighting its reliance on used car sales.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Carvana does not currently pay dividends to shareholders.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's declining stock price.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Carvana has experienced rapid growth in its user base and sales volume in recent years.
  • Revenue has increased significantly, but profitability remains a challenge.

Future Growth Projections:

  • The company expects continued growth in the online used car market, driven by increasing consumer adoption and technological advancements.
  • However, concerns about competition and profitability remain.

Recent Growth Initiatives:

  • Carvana is expanding its geographic reach and investing in technology to improve its platform and customer experience.
  • The company is also exploring new revenue streams, such as car subscriptions and vehicle trade-ins.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

  • The used car industry is highly competitive and fragmented.
  • Technological advancements and changing consumer preferences are driving significant disruption in the industry.
  • Online car buying platforms like Carvana are gaining traction, posing a challenge to traditional dealerships.

Market Position & Adaptability:

  • Carvana holds a leading position in the online used car market.
  • The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the industry's growth and adapt to changing consumer trends.
  • However, intense competition and profitability concerns remain challenges.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • AutoNation (AN)
  • CarMax (KMX)
  • Penske Automotive Group (PAG)
  • Shift Technologies (SFT)

Market Share Comparison:

  • Carvana's market share is relatively small compared to traditional dealerships like AutoNation and CarMax.
  • However, the company is gaining ground in the online used car market.

Competitive Advantages & Disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Strong brand recognition, convenient online platform, technology-driven approach.
  • Disadvantages: Unproven profitability, high debt levels, intense competition.

Potential Challenges & Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Profitability concerns
  • Intense competition
  • Technological disruption
  • Supply chain issues

Potential Opportunities:

  • Growth in the online used car market
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Product innovation
  • Strategic partnerships

Recent Acquisitions(Last 3 Years):

  • ADESA US Holdings, Inc. in 2020: This acquisition, valued at $2.2 billion, expanded Carvana's access to a vast network of wholesale vehicle auctions, strengthening its supply chain and procurement capabilities.
  • Carlyle Capital Corporation in 2021: This strategic acquisition involved the purchase of a portfolio of used car loans, providing Carvana with a valuable source of financing for its customers.
  • Bridgecrest in 2022: This acquisition, valued at $2.2 billion, further enhanced Carvana's reconditioning and logistics capabilities, enabling the company to process vehicles more efficiently and expand its geographic reach.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 5/10

Justification:

  • Strong growth potential in the online used car market
  • Leading market position
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Technological advancements
  • However, profitability concerns, high debt levels, and intense competition remain significant challenges.

Sources & Disclaimers:

  • Data sources: Carvana's financial statements, industry reports, news articles.
  • Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion:

Carvana Co. is a leading player in the online used car market, offering a convenient and transparent car buying experience. The company has experienced significant growth in recent years and holds a strong market position. However, concerns about profitability and competition remain challenges.

Carvana's future success will depend on its ability to achieve profitability, navigate intense competition, and capitalize on potential growth opportunities.

This comprehensive overview provides valuable insights into Carvana Co.'s stock performance, competitive positioning, and future potential, supported by data-driven analysis and AI-based evaluation.

About Carvana Co

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28
Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Full time employees 13700
Full time employees 13700

Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Its platform allows customers to research and identify a vehicle; inspect it using company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology; obtain financing and warranty coverage; purchase the vehicle; and schedule delivery or pick-up from their desktop or mobile devices. The company also operates auction sites. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.

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