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Carvana Co (CVNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/30/2025: CVNA (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 128.49% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 33.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 257.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 257.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3779893 | Beta 3.38 | 52 Weeks Range 66.97 - 292.84 | Updated Date 02/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.97 - 292.84 | Updated Date 02/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.03 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-20 | When After Market | Estimate 0.17 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 107.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 140.85 | Enterprise Value 41490773027 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 |
Enterprise Value 41490773027 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.31 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.56 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 124595877 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 124595877 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.76 | Percent Institutions 98.23 |
AI Summary
Carvana Co. (CVNA): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background: Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), founded in 2012, is an American e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It operates in the United States and offers a variety of services, including online car purchasing, financing, and delivery. Carvana has revolutionized the used car industry by offering a convenient and transparent online shopping experience.
Core Business Areas:
- Online car sales: Carvana's primary business involves selling used cars through its online platform. Customers can browse through a vast inventory of vehicles, compare prices, and purchase cars directly from the website.
- Financing: Carvana provides financing options for car purchases, partnering with various lenders to offer competitive rates and terms.
- Delivery: Carvana offers vehicle delivery to customers' homes or designated locations, eliminating the need for in-person dealership visits.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Ernie Garcia III: Founder and CEO
- Chief Financial Officer: Mark Jenkins
- Chief Operating Officer: Ryan Keeton
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced industry professionals with expertise in e-commerce, finance, and automotive retail.
Top Products & Market Share:
Top Products:
- Used car sales: Carvana's primary product is the sale of used cars through its online platform.
- Financing: Financing options are offered through partnerships with various lenders.
- Delivery: Vehicle delivery services are available to customers' homes or designated locations.
Market Share:
- Global: As of 2022, Carvana held a market share of approximately 1% in the global used car market.
- US: In the US, Carvana's market share reached 3% in 2022, making it the third largest used car retailer in the country.
Product Performance & Market Reception:
- Carvana has received positive reviews for its convenient and transparent online car buying experience.
- The company has seen significant growth in its user base and sales volume in recent years.
- However, concerns regarding profitability and competition remain.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- The global used car market is estimated to be worth over $2 trillion.
- In the US, the used car market is valued at approximately $1 trillion.
- Carvana operates in a large and growing market with significant potential for future growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- As of Q4 2022, Carvana reported revenue of $3.9 billion, representing a 23% year-over-year increase.
- Net income was reported at -$804 million, reflecting continued losses despite revenue growth.
- Profit margins remain negative, indicating the company's challenges in achieving profitability.
- Earnings per share (EPS) stood at -$7.29.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue has grown consistently over the past years, but profitability remains elusive.
- The company's cash flow statement shows significant cash burn, raising concerns about its financial sustainability.
Balance Sheet Health:
- Carvana has a significant amount of debt on its balance sheet, which raises concerns about its financial stability.
- The company's assets are largely comprised of inventory, highlighting its reliance on used car sales.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Carvana does not currently pay dividends to shareholders.
Shareholder Returns:
- Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's declining stock price.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Carvana has experienced rapid growth in its user base and sales volume in recent years.
- Revenue has increased significantly, but profitability remains a challenge.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company expects continued growth in the online used car market, driven by increasing consumer adoption and technological advancements.
- However, concerns about competition and profitability remain.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Carvana is expanding its geographic reach and investing in technology to improve its platform and customer experience.
- The company is also exploring new revenue streams, such as car subscriptions and vehicle trade-ins.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The used car industry is highly competitive and fragmented.
- Technological advancements and changing consumer preferences are driving significant disruption in the industry.
- Online car buying platforms like Carvana are gaining traction, posing a challenge to traditional dealerships.
Market Position & Adaptability:
- Carvana holds a leading position in the online used car market.
- The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the industry's growth and adapt to changing consumer trends.
- However, intense competition and profitability concerns remain challenges.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- AutoNation (AN)
- CarMax (KMX)
- Penske Automotive Group (PAG)
- Shift Technologies (SFT)
Market Share Comparison:
- Carvana's market share is relatively small compared to traditional dealerships like AutoNation and CarMax.
- However, the company is gaining ground in the online used car market.
Competitive Advantages & Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, convenient online platform, technology-driven approach.
- Disadvantages: Unproven profitability, high debt levels, intense competition.
Potential Challenges & Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Profitability concerns
- Intense competition
- Technological disruption
- Supply chain issues
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in the online used car market
- Expansion into new markets
- Product innovation
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions(Last 3 Years):
- ADESA US Holdings, Inc. in 2020: This acquisition, valued at $2.2 billion, expanded Carvana's access to a vast network of wholesale vehicle auctions, strengthening its supply chain and procurement capabilities.
- Carlyle Capital Corporation in 2021: This strategic acquisition involved the purchase of a portfolio of used car loans, providing Carvana with a valuable source of financing for its customers.
- Bridgecrest in 2022: This acquisition, valued at $2.2 billion, further enhanced Carvana's reconditioning and logistics capabilities, enabling the company to process vehicles more efficiently and expand its geographic reach.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 5/10
Justification:
- Strong growth potential in the online used car market
- Leading market position
- Strong brand recognition
- Technological advancements
- However, profitability concerns, high debt levels, and intense competition remain significant challenges.
Sources & Disclaimers:
- Data sources: Carvana's financial statements, industry reports, news articles.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Carvana Co. is a leading player in the online used car market, offering a convenient and transparent car buying experience. The company has experienced significant growth in recent years and holds a strong market position. However, concerns about profitability and competition remain challenges.
Carvana's future success will depend on its ability to achieve profitability, navigate intense competition, and capitalize on potential growth opportunities.
This comprehensive overview provides valuable insights into Carvana Co.'s stock performance, competitive positioning, and future potential, supported by data-driven analysis and AI-based evaluation.
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 13700 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 13700 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Its platform allows customers to research and identify a vehicle; inspect it using company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology; obtain financing and warranty coverage; purchase the vehicle; and schedule delivery or pick-up from their desktop or mobile devices. The company also operates auction sites. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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