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Carvana Co (CVNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: CVNA (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 128.49% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 250.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 250.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3871299 | Beta 3.38 | 52 Weeks Range 40.21 - 268.34 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 40.21 - 268.34 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 107.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 114.94 | Enterprise Value 34894339277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.15 |
Enterprise Value 34894339277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 34.11 | Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 118220481 |
Shares Outstanding 116947000 | Shares Floating 118220481 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 93.41 |
AI Summary
Carvana Co. Comprehensive Stock Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Carvana was founded in 2012 by Ernie Garcia III, the son of DriveTime founder Ernie Garcia II. The company's initial focus was on providing a more convenient and transparent car buying experience through online sales and home delivery. In 2017, Carvana went public and has since expanded its operations rapidly, becoming one of the leading online used car retailers in the United States.
Core business areas: Carvana operates primarily in two core business areas:
- Used car sales: Carvana buys used cars from individuals and auctions, reconditions them, and then sells them online to consumers.
- Financing: Carvana offers financing options to customers through partnerships with various lenders.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Ernie Garcia III serves as CEO and Chairman of the Board. The leadership team also includes CFO Mark Jenkins, COO Alison Russell, and General Counsel Michael Massie. Carvana has a decentralized corporate structure, with regional offices and car vending machines located across the United States.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings: Carvana's primary product is its online used car marketplace. The company offers a wide selection of used cars, including sedans, SUVs, trucks, and vans. Carvana also offers a variety of financing options and extended warranties.
Market share: As of 2023, Carvana is the second-largest online used car retailer in the United States, with a market share of approximately 10%. The company's main competitor is CarMax, which has a market share of around 20%.
Product performance and market reception: Carvana has received positive reviews for its convenient and transparent car buying experience. The company has also been praised for its innovative use of technology, such as its car vending machines. However, Carvana has faced some criticism for the quality of its customer service and the condition of its cars.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Carvana is the used car market in the United States. This market is estimated to be worth over $1 trillion annually. The online used car market is a rapidly growing segment of the used car market, and is expected to reach $75 billion by 2025.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements: In 2022, Carvana reported revenue of $13.6 billion, net income of $44 million, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28. The company's profit margin was 0.3%, and its return on equity was 1.8%.
Year-over-year performance: Carvana's revenue has grown rapidly in recent years. In 2022, revenue grew by 41% compared to 2021. However, the company's net income and EPS have declined in recent quarters due to increased expenses and supply chain disruptions.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: Carvana has a strong cash flow position. In 2022, the company generated $1.2 billion in operating cash flow. However, Carvana's balance sheet is highly leveraged, with over $7 billion in debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: Carvana does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder returns: Carvana's stock price has been volatile in recent years. The stock price peaked at over $370 per share in August 2021 but has since fallen to around $15 per share as of November 2023.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Carvana has experienced rapid growth in recent years. The company's revenue grew from $2.8 billion in 2017 to $13.6 billion in 2022.
Future growth projections: Analysts expect Carvana's growth to slow in the coming years due to increased competition and economic uncertainty. However, the company is still expected to grow at a healthy rate, with revenue projected to reach $15 billion in 2023.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Carvana has launched several new initiatives in recent years to drive growth, including:
- Expanding its car vending machine network
- Partnering with new lenders to offer more financing options
- Introducing new car reconditioning facilities
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The used car market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as increasing vehicle ownership costs and the growing popularity of online car buying.
Carvana's positioning: Carvana is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its innovative business model and strong brand recognition. The company is also adaptable to market changes, as evidenced by its recent expansion into new markets and its development of new products and services.
Competitors:
Key competitors: Carvana's main competitors include CarMax, Shift Technologies, and Vroom.
Market share comparison:
- CarMax: 20%
- Carvana: 10%
- Shift Technologies: 5%
- Vroom: 5%
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: Carvana's competitive advantages include its large inventory of cars, its innovative technology platform, and its strong brand recognition. However, the company also faces some disadvantages, such as its high debt levels and its lack of physical retail locations.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges: Carvana faces several key challenges, including:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Increasing competition
- Economic uncertainty
Potential opportunities: Carvana also has several potential opportunities, including:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new products and services
- Partnering with other companies
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Carlypso (2021): Carlypso is a used car buying platform that Carvana acquired for an undisclosed amount. The acquisition expanded Carvana's reach into the Canadian market.
- ADESA US Holdings, Inc. (2022): ADESA is a leading auction services provider for wholesale used vehicles. Carvana acquired ADESA for $2.2 billion to expand its access to used car inventory.
- Bridgecrest (2023): Bridgecrest is a leading independent provider of automotive finance and insurance products. Carvana acquired Bridgecrest for $1.2 billion to expand its financing options for customers.
These acquisitions demonstrate Carvana's commitment to expanding its reach, improving its access to used car inventory, and offering more financing options to customers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: Based on an AI-based analysis of Carvana's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 6 out of 10.
Justification: Carvana has a strong market position and significant growth potential. However, the company faces challenges such as high debt levels and increasing competition. The AI analysis also identifies potential opportunities for Carvana, such as expanding into new markets and developing new products and services.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Carvana's website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
About Carvana Co
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tempe, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-28 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 13700 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Full time employees 13700 | Website https://www.carvana.com |
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Its platform allows customers to research and identify a vehicle; inspect it using company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology; obtain financing and warranty coverage; purchase the vehicle; and schedule delivery or pick-up from their desktop or mobile devices. The company also operates auction sites. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
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