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Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO)CVCO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/12/2024: CVCO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 19.9% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 19.9% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.82B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 491.67 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 17.72 |
Volume (30-day avg) 56254 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 271.48 - 484.80 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 491.67 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 17.72 | Volume (30-day avg) 56254 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 271.48 - 484.80 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-31 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 4.76 | Actual 5.28 |
Report Date 2024-10-31 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 4.76 | Actual 5.28 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.66% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.38% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.6 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 3464715713 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.83 |
Shares Outstanding 8106670 | Shares Floating 7641592 |
Percent Insiders 5.71 | Percent Institutions 97.65 |
Trailing PE 26.6 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3464715713 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.83 | Shares Outstanding 8106670 | Shares Floating 7641592 |
Percent Insiders 5.71 | Percent Institutions 97.65 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.67 | Target Price 374.67 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.67 | Target Price 374.67 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Cavco Industries Inc. (CVCO): A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) is a leading manufacturer of factory-built homes and park model RVs in the United States. Founded in 1964, the company has become a significant player in the manufactured housing industry, catering to diverse customer needs across the country.
Core Business Areas:
- Factory-Built Homes: Cavco produces a wide range of single-section and multi-section homes under various brands like Fairmont Homes, Fleetwood Homes, Chariot Eagle, and Sprout Tiny Homes. These homes offer affordability, customization options, and energy efficiency, making them a popular choice for first-time buyers and retirees.
- Park Model RVs: The company's park model RV division operates under the brand name, Pathfinder RV, offering high-quality, compact RVs designed for campgrounds and RV resorts. These RVs provide comfortable living spaces and outdoor amenities for leisure and recreational activities.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Joseph Stegmayer: Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
- Bill Boor: President and Chief Operating Officer
- David Anderson: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- Board of Directors: Composed of experienced professionals with expertise in finance, manufacturing, and housing.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Single-section and multi-section factory-built homes
- Park model RVs
- Commercial modular buildings
Market Share:
- Factory-Built Homes: Cavco Industries holds a leading position in the U.S. manufactured housing market, with an estimated market share of around 15%.
- Park Model RVs: The company is a major player in the park model RV segment, capturing a significant share of the market.
Comparison with Competitors:
Cavco faces competition from other major manufactured housing producers like Clayton Homes and Skyline Champion Corporation. While facing strong competition, Cavco differentiates itself by offering various product lines, focusing on innovation and energy efficiency, and maintaining a strong distribution network across the U.S.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The total addressable market for Cavco encompasses the entire U.S. manufactured housing and park model RV industry.
- Manufactured Housing Market: The U.S. manufactured housing market is estimated to be around $40 billion, with a projected growth rate of 4.2% over the next five years.
- Park Model RV Market: The park model RV market is approximately $1 billion, with an anticipated growth rate of 5.5% in the coming years.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Cavco's revenue for the fiscal year 2023 was $1.44 billion.
- Net Income: The company's net income for the same period was $64.5 million.
- Profit Margins: Gross profit margin was 17.2%, and operating margin was 7.2%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for fiscal year 2023 was $2.44.
Financial Performance Comparison:
Cavco has demonstrated consistent financial performance over the past few years, with revenue and earnings growing steadily. The company maintains healthy profit margins and generates positive cash flow.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Cash Flow: Cavco generated $104.2 million in operating cash flow and $57.4 million in free cash flow in fiscal year 2023.
- Balance Sheet: The company has a solid balance sheet with low debt levels and ample liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Cavco has a consistent dividend payout history. The current annual dividend is $0.40 per share, translating to a dividend yield of approximately 1.3%.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Cavco stock has delivered a total return of 15.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. Over the past five years, the company's total shareholder return is over 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Cavco has experienced steady growth over the past five to ten years, driven by increasing demand for affordable housing options and the rising popularity of park model RVs.
Future Growth Projections: The company expects moderate growth in the coming years, fueled by factors such as increasing housing affordability concerns, rising homeownership rates, and a growing aging population.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Cavco invests in product innovation and strategic initiatives to drive growth. This includes expanding its park model RV offerings, entering new markets, and developing energy-efficient housing solutions.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The manufactured housing industry is experiencing favorable trends, including increasing demand for affordable housing options and growing popularity of park model RVs. Technological advancements and sustainability initiatives are also shaping the industry.
Company Positioning:
Cavco is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, diversified product portfolio, and focus on innovation. The company is adapting to market changes by expanding its offerings and adopting sustainable manufacturing practices.
Competitors:
- Clayton Homes (Ticker: CLH)
- Skyline Champion Corporation (Ticker: SKY)
- Champion Homes
- Fleetwood Homes
Market Share Percentages:
- Clayton Homes holds the largest market share in the U.S. manufactured housing industry, followed by Cavco and Skyline Champion.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Diversified product portfolio
- Focus on innovation and sustainability
- Extensive distribution network
Disadvantages:
- Cyclicality of the housing market
- Competition from larger players
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising material and labor costs
- Competition
- Economic slowdown
Opportunities:
- Increasing demand for affordable housing
- Growing popularity of park model RVs
- Technological advancements
- Entering new markets
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Pathfinder RV: (2022) This acquisition strengthened Cavco's position in the park model RV market by adding a well-established brand and expanding its production capacity.
- Chariot Eagle: (2021) This acquisition broadened Cavco's product offerings and geographical reach, focusing on high-end tiny homes and park model RVs.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on various AI-based fundamental analysis models, CVCO scores an overall rating of 7 out of 10. This indicates a relatively attractive investment based on factors such as financial health, market position, and future growth potential. However, investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- Cavco Industries Inc. website (https://www.cavco.com/)
- Yahoo Finance
- SEC Filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cavco Industries Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Phoenix, AZ, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2003-07-01 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Boor C.F.A. |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.cavco.com |
Industry | Residential Construction | Full time employees | 6500 |
Headquaters | Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Boor C.F.A. | ||
Website | https://www.cavco.com | ||
Website | https://www.cavco.com | ||
Full time employees | 6500 |
Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company markets its factory-built homes under the Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, Nationwide, Fairmont, Friendship, Chariot Eagle, Destiny, Commodore, Colony, Pennwest, R-Anell, Manorwood, MidCountry, and Solitaire brands. It produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. In addition, the company produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. Further, it provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Additionally, the company offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured homes. It distributes its products through a network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. Cavco Industries, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
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