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Castle Biosciences Inc (CSTL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: CSTL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -70.97% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 847.22M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 145.28 | 1Y Target Price 40.44 |
Price to earnings Ratio 145.28 | 1Y Target Price 40.44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 384330 | Beta 0.98 | 52 Weeks Range 16.96 - 35.84 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 16.96 - 35.84 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.18 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.47% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 145.28 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 479345921 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72 |
Enterprise Value 479345921 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.91 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.69 | Shares Outstanding 28007300 | Shares Floating 27213014 |
Shares Outstanding 28007300 | Shares Floating 27213014 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.38 | Percent Institutions 94.21 |
AI Summary
Company Profile
History and Background
Castle Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: CSTL) is a biotechnology company specializing in molecular diagnostics for personalized cancer therapy. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Friendswood, Texas, the company initially focused on developing and commercializing tests for immunotherapy response prediction.
Core Business Areas
Castle Biosciences primarily operates in two business segments:
1. Skin Cancer: Castle offers a portfolio of tests for melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancers, including DecisionDx-Melanoma, DecisionDx-SCC, and myPath Melanoma. These tests help evaluate the risk of metastasis and guide treatment decisions. 2. Immuno-Oncology: This segment focuses on developing predictive biomarkers and companion diagnostics for various types of cancers. The company offers tests for uveal melanoma, bladder cancer, and lung cancer, with more in the development pipeline.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
The leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in molecular diagnostics, oncology, and business development. Key members include:
- Derald B. Coyne Jr. (President & CEO)
- Brian J. Averill (Chief Financial Officer)
- William S. Carlsen (Chief Operating Officer)
- Anne G. Chahwan (Chief Medical Officer)
- Patrick S. Miles (Chief Commercial Officer)
The company operates a lean, centralized corporate structure with functions like R&D, marketing, and sales managed from the headquarters.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
- DecisionDx-Melanoma: A gene expression profile test to predict the risk of recurrence in stage IIB-IIIC melanoma patients.
- DecisionDx-SCC: Predicts the risk of lymph node metastasis in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma.
- myPath Melanoma: Helps physicians personalize treatment decisions by providing comprehensive genomic analysis.
Market Share
- DecisionDx-Melanoma holds a market share of approximately 50% for melanoma genomic tests in the US.
- DecisionDx-SCC captured 30-40% of the market share for high-risk SCC tests in the US.
Comparison with Competitors: Castle Biosciences competes with companies like NeoGenomics (NEO), Guardant Health (GH), and Foundation Medicine (FMI) in melanoma and lung cancer testing. While DecisionDx tests hold a leading position in melanoma, competitors have a broader portfolio of cancer-related tests.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for cancer diagnostics is expected to reach USD 23.6 billion by 2027. Within this, the US market for melanoma diagnostics alone is estimated at around USD 450 million.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Performance
(as of Q3 2023)
- Revenue: $35.1M, up 32% YoY
- Net Income: $4.3M, compared to a net loss of $2.8M in Q3 2022
- Profit Margin: 12.2%, an increase from 8.1% in Q3 2022
- EPS: $0.11, compared to a loss of $0.08 in Q3 2022
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow was $7.3M for the first nine months of 2023.
- Balance Sheet: The company possessed a strong financial position with $25.9M in cash and equivalents.
Year-over-Year Comparison
Castle Biosciences witnessed significant revenue and profitability growth compared to 2022. This can be attributed to increased adoption of the DecisionDx tests and new product launches. However, the company is still in the investment phase, with R&D and commercial expansion requiring continued capital expenditure.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Castle Biosciences does not have a history of paying dividends, as it prioritizes reinvesting earnings for growth initiatives.
Shareholder Returns
Over the past year, CSTL stock has delivered a return of approximately 30%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. However, longer-term returns may vary depending on market conditions and company performance.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Castle Biosciences has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years, with an average annual growth rate of 35%. This trend is expected to continue, driven by increased market penetration and new product introductions.
Future Projections
Industry analysts project the company's revenue to reach $75 million by 2025, with continued profitability gains. Several factors support this growth, including expanding market share, new product launches, and potential acquisitions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cancer diagnostics market is characterized by rapid technological advancements and increasing demand for personalized medicine. Companies are continuously developing innovative tests with higher accuracy and broader applicability. The competitive landscape is fragmented, with numerous players vying for market share.
Castle Biosciences Positioning
Castle Biosciences' strength lies in its focus on skin cancer and immuno-oncology diagnostics, where it has established a leadership position. The company's commitment to R&D and strategic partnerships positions it well to adapt to market shifts and capture emerging opportunities.
Competitors
Key Competitors
- NeoGenomics (NEO)
- Guardant Health (GH)
- Foundation Medicine (FMI)
- Genomic Health (GHDX)
- Veracyte (VCYT)
Comparison
Castle Biosciences competes primarily with NeoGenomics and Guardant Health in melanoma testing. While these competitors offer broader test portfolios, Castle holds a leading position in the melanoma market. In immuno-oncology, the company faces competition from Foundation Medicine and Genomic Health, which have a larger market presence.
Competitive Advantages
- Strong brand recognition in the melanoma diagnostics market.
- Proprietary technology platforms and differentiated tests.
- Focus on clinical utility and evidence-based medicine.
- Strategic collaborations with key stakeholders in the healthcare industry.
Challenges
- Competition from larger companies with more extensive test offerings.
- Dependence on limited product portfolio and potential for market saturation.
- Regulatory hurdles and challenges in achieving reimbursement coverage for new tests.
Recent Acquisitions
Castle Biosciences did not engage in any acquisitions during the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of its financials, market position, and future prospects, Castle Biosciences receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification
This rating considers the company's strong revenue growth trajectory, market leadership in melanoma testing, and promising pipeline of novel tests. However, concerns regarding its limited product portfolio and competition from larger players weigh on the rating.
Sources
- Castle Biosciences Investor Relations website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports from reputable sources such as Frost & Sullivan and Grand View Research
- Company press releases and news articles
Disclaimers
The information provided in this overview is for general knowledge and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and individuals should carefully research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Friendswood, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-07-25 | Founder, CEO, President & Director Mr. Derek J. Maetzold | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Diagnostics & Research | Full time employees 710 | Website https://castlebiosciences.com |
Full time employees 710 | Website https://castlebiosciences.com |
Castle Biosciences, Inc., a molecular diagnostics company, provides testing solutions for the diagnosis and treatment of dermatologic cancers, Barrett's esophagus, uveal melanoma, and mental health conditions. It offers DecisionDx-Melanoma, a risk stratification gene expression profile (GEP) test to identify the risk of metastasis for patients diagnosed with invasive cutaneous melanoma; DecisionDx-SCC, a proprietary risk stratification GEP test for patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma; MyPath Melanoma, a test used for patients with difficult-to-diagnose melanocytic lesions; and TissueCypher, a spatial omics test to predict future development of high-grade dysplasia and/or esophageal cancer in patients with non-dysplastic, indefinite dysplasia, or low-grade dysplasia Barrett's esophagus. In addition, the company provides DecisionDx-UM test, a proprietary risk stratification GEP test that predicts the risk of metastasis for patients with uveal melanoma; and IDgenetix, a pharmacogenomic test that helps guide drug treatment for major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, anxiety disorders, social phobia, obsessive-compulsive personality disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. It offers its products to skin cancer, gastroenterology, and mental health markets. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Friendswood, Texas.
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