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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: CSAN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.23% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.04 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.04 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1224464 | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 4.54 - 12.32 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.54 - 12.32 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.65% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.61 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-25 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual -3.4198 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -21.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) -18.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 13.14 | Enterprise Value 10417001351 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 10417001351 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.37 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.81 | Shares Outstanding 464660992 | Shares Floating 1190492902 |
Shares Outstanding 464660992 | Shares Floating 1190492902 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 3.77 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 13.69 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cosan SA ADR
Company Overview
History and Background
Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 as a sugar mill in Piracicaba, Brazil. It has since expanded into a diversified energy and logistics conglomerate. Significant milestones include expansion into ethanol production, fuel distribution (Rau00edzen joint venture), and logistics services.
Core Business Areas
- Rau00edzen (Energy): Rau00edzen is a joint venture with Shell, focusing on ethanol production, sugar production, bioenergy, and fuel distribution. It's one of the world's largest sugar and ethanol companies.
- Compass Gu00e1s e Energia (Gas & Energy): Compass Gu00e1s e Energia operates in the natural gas distribution and power generation sectors.
- Cosan Logu00edstica (Logistics): Cosan Logu00edstica provides logistics services, including transportation, storage, and port operations, primarily for agricultural commodities and fuels.
- Moove (Lubricants): Moove produces and distributes lubricants and greases under various brands, including Mobil in South America and Europe.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a board of directors and an executive team. Key leaders include the CEO and CFO. The organizational structure is divided into the various business units described above, each with its own management team.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Cosan, through Rau00edzen, is a major ethanol producer. Market share varies by region in Brazil. Competitors include other sugar and ethanol producers like Su00e3o Martinho (SMTO3.SA) and Biosev (not publicly traded). Revenue is dependent on sugar and ethanol pricing, and crop yields.
- Sugar: Rau00edzen also produces sugar. Market share varies by region. Competitors include COFCO International and other Brazilian sugar mills. Revenue is dependent on sugar pricing, and crop yields.
- Fuel Distribution: Rau00edzen distributes gasoline, diesel, and other fuels under the Shell brand in Brazil. Competitors are Vibra Energia (VBBR3.SA) and Ipiranga (private). Market share is a significant portion of the Brazilian fuel distribution market.
- Natural Gas Distribution: Compass Gu00e1s e Energia distributes natural gas in specific regions of Brazil. Key competitor is other regional gas distributors. They also have a TAM for this sector in the Brazilian regions they operate in.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The Brazilian energy market is heavily influenced by government regulations, global commodity prices (sugar, ethanol, oil), and agricultural production. The logistics sector is critical for transporting agricultural products and fuels.
Positioning
Cosan is a vertically integrated player in the Brazilian energy and logistics sectors. Its competitive advantages include its scale, geographic reach, and strong relationships with global partners (e.g., Shell).
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM encompasses the Brazilian energy, sugar, ethanol, fuel distribution, natural gas, and logistics markets. The combined market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of USD annually. Cosan is positioned to capture a significant share of these markets through its various business units.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified business portfolio
- Strong market position in Brazil
- Strategic partnerships (e.g., Shell)
- Vertically integrated operations
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on Brazilian economy
- Regulatory risks in Brazil
- High Debt Levels
Opportunities
- Expansion into renewable energy sources
- Growth in natural gas demand in Brazil
- Infrastructure development in Brazil
- International expansion
Threats
- Economic downturn in Brazil
- Increased competition
- Changes in government regulations
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- VBBR3.SA
- SMTO3.SA
- UGP
- ADM
- LSXMA
Competitive Landscape
Cosan has advantages in terms of scale and diversification, but faces competition from other large players in the energy, sugar, and logistics sectors. Its vertically integrated structure provides some cost advantages.
Major Acquisitions
Vale Fertilizantes Assets
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 488
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion into the fertilizer business to capture synergies with agricultural commodity logistics.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cosan's historical growth has been driven by acquisitions, expansion into new business segments, and organic growth in its core businesses.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in renewable energy, natural gas, and logistics. Analyst estimates require access to financial databases.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable energy projects, expansion of natural gas distribution networks, and optimization of logistics operations.
Summary
Cosan is a diversified Brazilian conglomerate with a strong foothold in the energy and logistics sectors. Its scale and vertical integration provide competitive advantages, however, it faces challenges due to commodity price volatility and regulatory risks in Brazil. Its strengths are offset by the debt levels and market risks, requiring strong focus on cash flow. Future growth hinges on successful execution of expansion strategies in renewable energy and natural gas.
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LSXMA
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UGP
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates (Placeholder)
- News Articles
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Financial data is illustrative and needs to be updated with real-time data from financial databases.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cosan SA ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-08 | CEO & Vice Chairman Mr. Marcelo Eduardo Martins | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.cosan.com.br | ||
Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company's Raízen segment engages in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of ethanol, bioenergy, renewable sources, and sugar; trading and resale of electricity; and distribution and commercialization of fuels and lubricants. Its Compass segment distributes piped natural gas to industrial, residential, commercial, automotive, and cogeneration customers; and develops infrastructure projects in a regasification terminal, offshore gas pipeline, and thermal generation projects utilizing natural gas, as well as commercialization of electricity and natural gas. The company's Moove segment produces and distributes lubricants under the Comma brand. Its Rumo segment provides logistics services for rail transportation, port storage, and loading of goods, including grains and sugar; and leases locomotives, wagons, and another railroad equipment, as well as operates containers. The company's Radar segment manages agricultural property. It operates in Brazil, England, France, Spain and Portugal, Argentina, Bolivia, Uruguay and Paraguay, the United States, Asia, and internationally. Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
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