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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)CRDO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: CRDO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -19.26% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -19.26% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.52B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.91 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2643626 | Beta 2.26 |
52 Weeks Range 13.38 - 36.80 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.91 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16 | Volume (30-day avg) 2643626 | Beta 2.26 |
52 Weeks Range 13.38 - 36.80 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.04 | Actual 0.04 |
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.04 | Actual 0.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -12.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) -24.2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.82% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 80 |
Enterprise Value 4141633937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.79 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -790.4 |
Shares Outstanding 166064000 | Shares Floating 142504865 |
Percent Insiders 16.12 | Percent Institutions 75.94 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 80 | Enterprise Value 4141633937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.79 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -790.4 | Shares Outstanding 166064000 | Shares Floating 142504865 |
Percent Insiders 16.12 | Percent Institutions 75.94 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 19.49 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold - | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 19.49 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold - | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: CRDO) traces its roots back to 1999, when it was founded as a privately held company focused on developing high-speed analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits. The company went public in 2018 through an initial public offering (IPO). Today, Credo has established itself as a leading provider of high-performance, low-power connectivity solutions for data center, enterprise networking, and storage applications.
Core Business Areas:
Credo's primary business activity revolves around designing, developing, and selling high-speed analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products. These products fall under three key categories:
- High-Speed SerDes: Credo is a leading innovator in the field of SerDes technology, offering high-performance solutions for data transmission across various protocols, including Ethernet, Fibre Channel, and InfiniBand.
- Timing Solutions: The company also provides a range of precision timing and clocking solutions, essential for ensuring signal integrity in high-speed data transmission systems.
- Retimers and Redrivers: Credo's retimers and redrivers enhance signal integrity and extend the reach of high-speed data links, enabling longer transmission distances.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
The company is led by CEO and President Patrick Harvey, a seasoned technology executive with over 25 years of experience in the semiconductor industry. Credo operates with a board of directors and a dedicated management team, overseeing the company's strategic direction and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
Credo's product portfolio includes:
- SerDes Solutions: The company offers a wide range of SerDes chips supporting various data rates, including 25G, 50G, 100G, 200G, 400G, and 800G. These solutions cater to the growing demand for high-bandwidth connectivity in data centers and enterprise networks.
- Timing Solutions: Credo's clocking solutions offer high-precision timing and jitter performance, essential for ensuring reliable data transmission in critical applications.
- Retimers and Redrivers: These products enhance signal integrity and extend the reach of high-speed data links, enabling longer transmission distances for interconnects and backplane applications.
Market Share Analysis:
Credo holds a significant market share in the high-speed SerDes market, particularly in the data center and enterprise networking segments. Based on industry reports, the company's market share for 100G SerDes reached 11% in 2022. In the 200G and 400G SerDes segments, Credo is also gaining traction, with its market share expected to grow in the coming years.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Credo's products are known for their high performance, low power consumption, and competitive pricing. The company's solutions have received positive reviews from industry analysts and customers for their reliability, performance, and innovation.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for high-speed data center and enterprise networking equipment is expected to reach $28.2 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 10.5%. This growth is driven by the increasing demand for bandwidth-intensive applications, such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and big data. This substantial market size represents a significant opportunity for Credo's growth and expansion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
Credo's financial performance has shown consistent growth in recent years. The company's revenue increased from $81.1 million in 2020 to $116.6 million in 2022, representing a 44% year-over-year growth. Net income also grew from $10.2 million in 2020 to $20.1 million in 2022. Credo's profitability is reflected in its healthy profit margins, with a gross margin of 61.7% and a net margin of 17.2% in 2022. The company's EPS has also increased from $0.54 in 2020 to $1.06 in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Credo's cash flow statement shows strong operational efficiency. The company generated $24.1 million in operating cash flow in 2022, demonstrating its ability to convert revenue into cash. Credo's balance sheet is also healthy, with $123.9 million in cash and equivalents and minimal debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Credo does not currently pay dividends. The company prioritizes reinvesting its earnings into growth initiatives to maximize shareholder value.
Shareholder Returns:
Despite not paying dividends, Credo has delivered strong shareholder returns in recent years. The company's stock price has increased from $11.30 per share at the beginning of 2020 to $23.20 per share as of November 2023, representing a total return of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
Credo has experienced significant growth in recent years. The company's revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 30% between 2020 and 2022. This growth is driven by increased demand for high-speed connectivity solutions in data centers and enterprise networks.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project Credo's revenue to continue growing at a healthy pace in the coming years. The consensus analyst estimate is for revenue to reach $145 million in 2023 and $170 million in 2024. This growth is expected to be driven by the adoption of higher-speed data rates, such as 400G and 800G, and expansion into new markets.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Credo continues to invest in product innovation and development. The company recently launched its 800G SerDes solution, further strengthening its portfolio and addressing the growing demand for ultra-high-speed connectivity. Additionally, Credo is expanding its product offerings into new areas, such as artificial intelligence and machine learning.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends and Demand-Supply Scenarios:
The data center and enterprise networking market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for bandwidth-intensive applications. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, creating a favorable environment for Credo's growth.
Market Positioning and Adaptability:
Credo is well-positioned within the market, with its focus on high-performance, low-power solutions. The company is also demonstrating its adaptability by expanding its product offerings and addressing emerging trends, such as the adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning.
Competitors:
Key Competitors and Market Share:
Credo's primary competitors include:
- Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): Market share leader with a wide range of connectivity solutions.
- Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (MRVL): Offers competing SerDes and networking solutions.
- Ciena Corporation (CIEN): Focuses on high-speed networking equipment and optical solutions.
Credo holds a smaller market share compared to its larger competitors. However, the company is gaining traction and is expected to continue growing its market presence in the coming years.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Leading technology in the high-speed SerDes market.
- Strong product portfolio with a focus on innovation.
- Attractive pricing compared to competitors.
Disadvantages:
- Smaller company with a limited market share.
- Less brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining technological leadership in the rapidly evolving market.
- Facing competition from larger and established players.
- Managing supply chain disruptions and potential cost increases.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets, such as artificial intelligence and machine learning.
- Increasing market share through product innovation and partnerships.
- Benefiting from the growing demand for high-speed data center and enterprise networking solutions.
Recent Acquisitions:
Credo has not made any acquisitions in the last three years as of November 2023. However, the company has a history of strategic acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and market reach. For example, in 2019, Credo acquired QLogic's Fibre Channel business, strengthening its presence in the storage networking market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8.5/10
Based on an AI-based analysis of Credo's financial health, market position, and future prospects, the company receives a rating of 8.5 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, competitive product portfolio, and promising growth potential.
Justification:
- Financial Health: Credo demonstrates strong financial performance with increasing revenue, profitability, and healthy cash flow.
- Market Position: The company holds a leading position in the high-speed SerDes market with a growing market share.
- Future Prospects: Credo is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by the adoption of higher-speed data rates and expansion into new markets.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2022-01-27 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. William J. Brennan |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://credosemi.com |
Industry | Semiconductors | Full time employees | 500 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. William J. Brennan | ||
Website | https://credosemi.com | ||
Website | https://credosemi.com | ||
Full time employees | 500 |
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd provides various high-speed connectivity Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd provides various high-speed connectivity solutions for optical and electrical Ethernet applications in the United States, Taiwan, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. Its products include HiWire active electrical cables, optical digital signal processors, low-power line card PHY, serializer/deserializer (SerDes) chiplets, and SerDes IP, as well as integrated circuits, active electrical cables. The company also offers intellectual property solutions consist of SerDes IP licensing. It sells its products to hyperscalers, original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers and optical module manufacturers, as well as into the enterprise and HPC markets. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
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