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ConocoPhillips (COP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: COP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.5% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 129.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.06 | 1Y Target Price 129.94 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.06 | 1Y Target Price 129.94 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6840750 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 93.47 - 131.37 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 93.47 - 131.37 | Updated Date 02/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.81 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-06 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.8347 | Actual 1.98 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.38% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.06 | Forward PE 11.22 | Enterprise Value 144900897011 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.3 |
Enterprise Value 144900897011 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.93 | Shares Outstanding 1272380032 | Shares Floating 1269759102 |
Shares Outstanding 1272380032 | Shares Floating 1269759102 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 83.2 |
AI Summary
ConocoPhillips: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
ConocoPhillips (COP) is a leading global energy company with a long and rich history. Founded in 1875 as Continental Oil and Transportation Company, the company has played a significant role in the development of the American oil industry. Through mergers and acquisitions, ConocoPhillips has grown into a global giant with operations in over 30 countries. Today, the company is a major producer of oil, natural gas, and petrochemicals.
Core Business Areas:
ConocoPhillips operates in two main business segments:
- Upstream: This segment focuses on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. It includes activities like drilling, well completion, and reservoir management.
- Downstream: This segment refines crude oil and markets petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and lubricants. It also produces and markets petrochemicals like ethylene and propylene.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Ryan Lance is the Chairman and CEO of ConocoPhillips. The company's leadership team includes experienced professionals with expertise in various aspects of the energy industry. The company has a decentralized organizational structure, granting significant autonomy to its operating units across different regions.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
ConocoPhillips's top products include:
- Crude oil
- Natural gas
- Gasoline
- Diesel
- Jet fuel
- Lubricants
- Ethylene
- Propylene
Market Share:
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the global energy market. The company holds:
- 2.6% share of global oil production.
- 3.4% share of global natural gas production.
- 2.2% share of the US gasoline market.
- 4.6% share of the US diesel market.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison:
ConocoPhillips's products are known for their high quality and performance. The company consistently ranks among the top performers in the industry based on industry benchmarks and customer satisfaction surveys. Compared to competitors, ConocoPhillips offers a well-diversified product portfolio and a strong focus on innovation.
Total Addressable Market:
The global energy market is estimated to be worth $8 trillion, making it one of the largest industries in the world. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising energy demand, particularly in developing economies.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
In 2022, ConocoPhillips reported revenue of $178 billion, net income of $25 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) of $13.42. The company's profit margin was 26.4%, indicating strong profitability.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to 2021, ConocoPhillips's revenue increased by 52%, net income by 185%, and EPS by 203%. This significant growth was primarily driven by the surge in oil and gas prices following the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Financial Health:
ConocoPhillips has a strong financial position with a solid cash flow and healthy balance sheet. The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a conservative financial approach.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
ConocoPhillips has a long history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company has increased its dividend payout for 19 consecutive years. The current dividend yield is 4.6%, making it an attractive income-generating stock.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past 10 years, ConocoPhillips has delivered a total shareholder return of 263%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Over the past five years, ConocoPhillips has grown its revenue at a CAGR of 3.5%. The company's net income and EPS have also grown at a healthy pace during this period.
Future Projections:
Analysts expect ConocoPhillips to continue growing its top and bottom lines in the coming years, driven by favorable market conditions and its ongoing investment in growth projects.
Recent Initiatives:
ConocoPhillips is investing heavily in strategic growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding its Permian Basin operations, a key oil-producing region in the US.
- Developing new natural gas projects in Asia-Pacific region.
- Investing in renewable energy sources like wind and solar power.
Market Dynamics:
The energy industry is facing several challenges, including:
- Volatile oil and gas prices.
- Increasing demand for renewable energy sources.
- Geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain disruptions.
Despite these challenges, ConocoPhillips is well-positioned to adapt and thrive in the changing energy landscape. The company is focused on diversifying its portfolio, reducing its carbon footprint, and investing in innovative technologies.
Competitors:
ConocoPhillips competes with various energy companies, including:
- ExxonMobil (XOM)
- Chevron (CVX)
- BP (BP)
- Shell (RDS.A)
- EOG Resources (EOG)
While ConocoPhillips is slightly smaller than some of its competitors, it holds a strong market position in key regions and product segments. The company offers competitive advantages, such as its diverse geographical presence, technology-driven approach, and strong financial performance.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
ConocoPhillips faces several potential challenges, including:
- Supply chain disruptions: The ongoing global supply chain issues could impact access to critical resources and equipment.
- Technological advancements: The rise of renewable energy sources could put pressure on traditional oil and gas producers in the long term.
- Increased regulations: The growing focus on environmental protection could lead to stricter regulations for oil and gas companies.
Potential Opportunities:
ConocoPhillips also has significant opportunities in the years ahead, including:
- Market expansion: The company can continue to expand its global presence, particularly in emerging economies.
- Product innovation: Investing in new technologies and energy sources like renewables can open new market opportunities.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with other energy companies or technology providers can accelerate growth and innovation.
Recent Acquisitions:
In the past three years, ConocoPhillips has made several acquisitions:
- Concho Resources (2021): A $9.7 billion acquisition that significantly expanded the company's presence in the Permian Basin.
- Shell's Permian Basin assets (2021): A $9.5 billion deal that included a midstream business and significant oil and gas production.
- Equinor's UK oil and gas business (2022): A $1.2 billion transaction that enhanced the company's portfolio in the UK Continental Shelf.
- BP's Alaska North Slope assets (2023): A $4 billion deal that expands ConocoPhillips's position in the Arctic region.
These acquisitions demonstrate ConocoPhillips's strategic focus on strengthening its core business and gaining access to new resources and markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-powered analysis of various factors, including financial health, market position, and growth prospects, ConocoPhillips receives an overall fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.
This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, well-diversified portfolio, growth initiatives, and strong track record of shareholder returns. However, potential challenges like supply chain issues and increasing environmental regulations must be considered when making investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information from the following sources:
- ConocoPhillips Investor Relations website: https://www.conocophillips.com/InvestorRelations
- U.S. Energy Information Administration: https://www.eia.gov/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/
Disclaimer: This information is intended for general knowledge purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investors are advised to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
About ConocoPhillips
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1981-12-31 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 11800 | Website https://www.conocophillips.com |
Full time employees 11800 | Website https://www.conocophillips.com |
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids in the United States, Canada, China, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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