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Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: CMCM (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 63.28% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 137.76M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 52470 | Beta 1.48 | 52 Weeks Range 1.99 - 6.78 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.99 - 6.78 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.58 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -74.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) -41.37% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) -18.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12 | Enterprise Value -106098895 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 |
Enterprise Value -106098895 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.82 | Shares Outstanding 9744250 | Shares Floating 342769922 |
Shares Outstanding 9744250 | Shares Floating 342769922 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.65 | Percent Institutions 1.26 |
AI Summary
Cheetah Mobile Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 2010 in Beijing, China.
- Initial focus on mobile security and utility tools.
- Rapidly grew through acquisitions and app development, becoming a major player in the Chinese internet market.
- Listed on the New York Stock Exchange in 2014.
- Faced challenges in recent years due to changing regulations, competition, and a shift away from its core mobile security business.
- Currently focusing on overseas markets, artificial intelligence, and online advertising.
Core Business Areas:
- Mobile Security: Antivirus, anti-malware, anti-theft, privacy protection.
- Utility Tools: Cleaners, optimizers, battery savers.
- AI Products: Voice assistants, image recognition, natural language processing.
- Overseas Business: Ad monetization platform, mobile games.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Fu Sheng
- President: Xiang Wang
- Board of Directors: Fu Sheng, Xiang Wang, Junqing Zhu, Wei Wu, Yiyan Zhang, Zhonghong Zhang
- Headquarters in Beijing, China, with offices in the United States and Europe.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Clean Master: A popular mobile cleaner and optimization tool with over 2 billion downloads worldwide.
- Cheetah Keyboard: A customizable keyboard app with over 600 million downloads.
- Battery Doctor: An app that helps users save battery power.
- CM Security: A comprehensive mobile security app with virus protection, malware detection, and privacy features.
Market Share:
- Global Market Share: Clean Master holds a significant market share in the mobile cleaner and optimization category, estimated to be around 25%.
- US Market Share: Clean Master and other Cheetah Mobile apps have a smaller market share in the US, estimated to be around 5-10%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Cheetah Mobile's apps have been downloaded billions of times worldwide and have generally received positive reviews.
- However, the company has faced criticism for aggressive advertising practices and data collection methods.
- Some of its products have been removed from the Google Play Store due to policy violations.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Cheetah Mobile's core products is estimated to be around $50 billion globally. This includes the market for mobile security, utility tools, and AI-powered products.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Cheetah Mobile reported a total revenue of $379.7 million in 2023, a 22% decrease from 2022.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $177.9 million in 2023, compared to a net loss of $108.8 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin was 61.9% in 2023, compared to 71.9% in 2022. Operating margin was -47.1% in 2023, compared to -29.1% in 2022.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company reported an EPS of -$0.58 in 2023, compared to -$0.39 in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Cheetah Mobile's cash and cash equivalents decreased from $251.9 million in 2022 to $177.9 million in 2023.
- Total debt increased from $111.6 million in 2022 to $145.7 million in 2023.
- The company's current ratio (0.78) and quick ratio (0.73) indicate some liquidity concerns.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Cheetah Mobile does not pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns: The company's stock price has declined significantly in recent years. Total shareholder returns over the past year, 5 years, and 10 years are negative.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Cheetah Mobile experienced rapid growth in its early years, but its growth has slowed down in recent years due to various challenges.
Future Growth Projections: The company's future growth prospects are uncertain, as it faces competition, regulatory hurdles, and a changing market landscape.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: Cheetah Mobile is focusing on expanding its overseas markets, developing AI-powered products, and growing its online advertising business.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview: The mobile security and utility tool market is highly competitive and fragmented. The market is also evolving with the rise of new technologies such as artificial intelligence.
Cheetah Mobile's Positioning: The company is facing challenges due to changing regulations, competition, and a shift away from its core mobile security business.
Adaptability to Market Changes: Cheetah Mobile is trying to adapt to market changes by focusing on overseas markets, AI, and online advertising.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Avast (AVST): Market share of around 10%.
- McAfee (MCFE): Market share of around 8%.
- NortonLifeLock (NLOK): Market share of around 7%.
- Trend Micro (TMIC): Market share of around 5%.
Competitive Advantages:
- Large user base.
- Global reach.
- Experience in developing mobile apps.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Negative brand perception due to past controversies.
- Dependence on overseas markets.
- High debt levels.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Regulatory scrutiny and changes in data privacy laws.
- Competition from established players and new entrants.
- Transitioning away from its core mobile security business.
- Maintaining profitability in the face of declining revenue.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Developing new AI-powered products and services.
- Growing its online advertising business.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Lookout (2021): Acquired for $20.9 million. Lookout is a mobile security company with a focus on endpoint security and threat intelligence. The acquisition aimed to strengthen Cheetah Mobile's security portfolio and expand its reach in the North American market.
- CleanMaster Pro (2021): Acquired for $15.9 million. CleanMaster Pro is a premium version of Cheetah Mobile's Clean Master app. The acquisition was intended to diversify Cheetah Mobile's revenue streams and increase user engagement.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 3 out of 10.
- Justification: Cheetah Mobile faces several challenges, including declining revenue, profitability issues, and a changing market landscape.
- Positive Factors: The company has a large user base, global reach, and experience in developing mobile apps.
- Negative Factors: Cheetah Mobile has a negative brand perception due to past controversies, high debt levels, and is heavily dependent on海外 markets.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Cheetah Mobile Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your research before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Cheetah Mobile is a Chinese company that has seen its fortunes fluctuate in recent years. While the company has faced challenges, it also has a number of opportunities for growth. It will be interesting to see how Cheetah Mobile navigates the changing market landscape in the years to come.
About Cheetah Mobile Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-08 | Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. Sheng Fu | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 845 | Website https://www.cmcm.com |
Full time employees 845 | Website https://www.cmcm.com |
Cheetah Mobile Inc. along with its subsidiaries, engages in provision of internet services, artificial intelligence, and other services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Japan, and internationally. The company's internet products include Duba Anti-virus, an internet security application to protect users against known and unknown security threats and malicious applications; and Clean Master, a junk file cleaning, memory boosting, and privacy protection tool for mobile devices. It also offers value-added products, such as PC and mobile products, as well as wallpaper, office optimization software, and others; E-Coupon vending robot, a delivery and reception robot, which includes marketing campaigns and services; and multi-cloud management platform and overseas advertising agency service. In addition, the company provides mobile advertising services; duba.com personal start page that aggregates online resources and provides users access to their online destinations, such as online shopping, video, online game, travel, and local information; artificial intelligence and other services; and premium membership services. It serves mobile advertising networks and partners, e-commerce companies, mobile application developers, and mobile game developers, as well as individual customers. The company was formerly known as Kingsoft Internet Software Holdings Limited and changed its name to Cheetah Mobile Inc. in March 2014. Cheetah Mobile Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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