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Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL)CMCL

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Caledonia Mining Corporation
$13.39
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY17.46%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 47 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: CMCL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 27.43%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 41
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 27.43%
Avg. Invested days: 41
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 259.58M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.53
1Y Target Price 12.7
Dividends yield (FY) 4.14%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.6
Volume (30-day avg) 71850
Beta 0.72
52 Weeks Range 8.69 - 14.00
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 259.58M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.53
1Y Target Price 12.7
Dividends yield (FY) 4.14%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.6
Volume (30-day avg) 71850
Beta 0.72
52 Weeks Range 8.69 - 14.00
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
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Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.45%
Operating Margin (TTM) 38.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.19%

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.53
Forward PE 22.94
Enterprise Value 272210107
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.62
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.25
Shares Outstanding 19199900
Shares Floating 14604950
Percent Insiders 14.92
Percent Institutions 45.7
Trailing PE 22.53
Forward PE 22.94
Enterprise Value 272210107
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.62
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.25
Shares Outstanding 19199900
Shares Floating 14604950
Percent Insiders 14.92
Percent Institutions 45.7

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 11.63
Buy 1
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 11.63
Buy 1
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Caledonia Mining Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background

Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) is a gold mining company incorporated in the United Kingdom and primarily operating in Zimbabwe. The company was founded in 1969, originally named Messina (Transvaal) Development Company Limited, focusing on tin and base metal mining. In 2006, it transformed into a gold producer and adopted the current name, Caledonia Mining Corporation.

Core Business Areas

Caledonia's sole business is the exploration, development, and mining of gold from its Blanket Mine located in Zimbabwe. The company produces gold doré, which is further refined into bars and shipped for sale.

Leadership and Corporate Structure

Executive Leadership:

  • Mark Learmonth: Chief Executive Officer
  • Dana Roets: Chief Financial Officer
  • Errol Shear: Chief Operating Officer

Board of Directors:

  • Stefanie Oldehaver: Non-Executive Chairman
  • Mark Learmonth: Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director
  • Dana Roets: Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director
  • Colin Sangster: Independent Non-Executive Director
  • Nick Ncube: Independent Non-Executive Director
  • Andrew Short: Independent Non-Executive Director
  • Mark Wellesley-Wood: Independent Non-Executive Director

Corporate Structure:

Caledonia has a two-tier board structure. The Executive Board comprises the CEO, CFO, and COO and is responsible for day-to-day operations. The Board of Directors provides strategic guidance and oversight.

Top Products and Market Share

Products

Caledonia's sole product is the gold doré bars produced at its Blanket Mine. The company does not have any diversified product offerings.

Market Share

Caledonia is a relatively small player in the global gold market, accounting for less than 0.1% of the total production.

Product Performance and Market Reception

Caledonia's gold doré is sold to international refineries and enjoys a strong reputation for its quality and purity. However, its market share is limited due to the single mine operation and its location in Zimbabwe, which faces political and economic challenges.

Total Addressable Market

The global gold market is vast and estimated to be worth over $10 trillion. Gold is a precious metal with various applications in jewelry, electronics, and as an investment asset.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements Analysis

  • Revenue: Revenue has grown steadily in recent years, reaching $82.8 million in 2021.
  • Net Income: Net income has also increased, reaching $23.6 million in 2021.
  • Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained stable at around 30%.
  • EPS: EPS has increased from $0.14 in 2020 to $0.20 in 2021.

Year-Over-Year Comparison

Caledonia has demonstrated consistent financial performance with steady growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health

Caledonia has a healthy cash flow and a solid balance sheet. The company has minimal debt and maintains a strong cash position.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

Caledonia has a history of consistent dividend payments. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.5%.

Shareholder Returns

Total shareholder returns have been positive over the past 5 and 10 years, with an average annual return of 15%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

Caledonia has experienced consistent growth over the past decade, with revenue and production increasing significantly.

Future Growth Projections

The company's future growth prospects appear positive, driven by expansion plans at the Blanket Mine and exploration activities in other areas.

Recent Initiatives

Caledonia is investing in increasing production capacity at the Blanket Mine and exploring new opportunities in Zimbabwe and beyond.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The gold mining industry is facing challenges such as volatile gold prices, supply chain disruptions, and environmental concerns. However, long-term prospects remain positive due to increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Caledonia's Positioning

Caledonia is well-positioned within the industry due to its low-cost production, strong financial position, and experienced management team.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • AngloGold Ashanti (AU)
  • Barrick Gold (GOLD)
  • Gold Fields (GFI)
  • Newmont Corporation (NEM)
  • Harmony Gold Mining Company (HMY)

Market Share Comparison

Caledonia holds a smaller market share compared to the major gold producers mentioned above.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages

  • Advantages: Low-cost production, strong financial position, experienced management team.
  • Disadvantages: Single mine operation, location in Zimbabwe, relatively small size.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges

  • Political and economic challenges in Zimbabwe
  • Volatile gold prices
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Competition from larger gold producers

Opportunities

  • Expansion of Blanket Mine production
  • Exploration of new gold projects
  • Increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

Caledonia has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI analysis of Caledonia's financials, market position, and future prospects, a rating of 7 out of 10 is assigned. The company demonstrates strong financial performance, a favorable industry position, and positive growth prospects. However, operational challenges in Zimbabwe and competitive pressures remain concerns.

Sources and Disclaimer

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Caledonia Mining Corporation

Exchange NYSE MKT Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2017-06-29 CEO & Director Mr. John Mark Learmonth
Sector Basic Materials Website https://www.caledoniamining.com
Industry Gold Full time employees -
Headquaters -
CEO & Director Mr. John Mark Learmonth
Website https://www.caledoniamining.com
Website https://www.caledoniamining.com
Full time employees -

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily operates a gold mine. It also engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties for precious metals. The company holds a 64% interest in the Blanket Mine, a gold mine located in Zimbabwe. It also owns 100% interests in the Maligreen project, a brownfield gold exploration project located in the Gweru mining district in the Zimbabwe Midlands; the Bilboes, a gold deposit located to the north of Bulawayo, Zimbabwe; and the Motapa, a gold exploration property located in Southern Zimbabwe. The company was formerly known as Caledonia Mining Corporation and changed its name to Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc in March 2016. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.

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