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Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Commercial Metals Company
$49.78
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-1.38%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 5 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/23/2024: CMC (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 5 days. Profits (-1.38%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: 22.86%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 12/23/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: 22.86%
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/23/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.76B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.2
1Y Target Price 64
Dividends yield (FY) 1.43%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.14
Volume (30-day avg) 910471
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 47.16 - 64.53
Updated Date 12/24/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.76B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.2
1Y Target Price 64
Dividends yield (FY) 1.43%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.14
Volume (30-day avg) 910471
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 47.16 - 64.53
Updated Date 12/24/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.13%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.81%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.44%
Return on Equity (TTM) 11.53%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.2
Forward PE 14.22
Enterprise Value 6007822779
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.76
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.23
Shares Outstanding 114024000
Shares Floating 112888957
Percent Insiders 0.85
Percent Institutions 89.98
Trailing PE 12.2
Forward PE 14.22
Enterprise Value 6007822779
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.76
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.23
Shares Outstanding 114024000
Shares Floating 112888957
Percent Insiders 0.85
Percent Institutions 89.98

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.4
Target Price 56.4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.4
Target Price 56.4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

Comprehensive Overview of Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

Company Profile:

History and Background:

  • Founded in 1915 in Dallas, Texas, CMC started as a scrap metal processor.
  • Evolved into a global leader in the metals industry, offering steel, aluminum, copper, and graphite products.
  • Operates in the Americas, Asia, and Europe, with a global workforce of over 9,000 employees.

Core Business Areas:

  • Metals Recycling: The largest segment, involving processing scrap metal into reusable steel, aluminum, and copper.
  • Mill Products: Manufacturing steel and aluminum products, including sheet, coil, and pipe.
  • Fabrication and Construction: Providing fabricated steel products and construction services for various industries.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Barbara Smith
  • President and COO: Scott Chenevert
  • Other key executives include CFO Joseph Alvarado, EVP of Metals Recycling George Adams, and EVP of Mill Products and Marketing Carlos Guzman.
  • The Board of Directors includes individuals with extensive experience in the metals industry and finance.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Rebar
  • Wire rod
  • Merchant bar
  • Sheet steel
  • Aluminum products
  • Fabricated steel components

Market Share:

  • Dominant player in the US rebar market with a share of around 30%.
  • Significant presence in the US market for merchant bar, wire rod, and sheet steel.
  • Global presence in aluminum products, holding a market share of over 5%.

Comparison to Competitors:

  • Major competitors include Nucor (NUE), Steel Dynamics (STLD), and ArcelorMittal (MT).
  • CMC outperforms competitors in terms of recycling capabilities and sustainability initiatives.
  • However, lags behind Nucor and Steel Dynamics in operating efficiency and profitability.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The global metals market is vast, estimated to reach $11.2 trillion by 2027.
  • The US metals market was valued at $443 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.2% until 2027.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue for fiscal year 2023: $20.2 billion
  • Net income: $909 million
  • Operating margin: 5.3%
  • EPS: $3.45

Financial Performance Comparison:

  • Revenue and earnings grew significantly in 2023 compared to 2022 due to strong demand and higher metal prices.
  • However, operating margin and EPS remain below pre-pandemic levels.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow generation, with $1.5 billion in free cash flow for fiscal year 2023.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • CMC has a consistent dividend payment history, with a current annual dividend yield of 1.4%.
  • The company increased its dividend by 10% in 2023.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return for the past year: 25.4%
  • 5-year total shareholder return: 120%

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7.2% over the past 5 years.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) has grown at a CAGR of 11.4% over the same period.

Future Projections:

  • Management expects continued growth in 2024 driven by increased infrastructure spending and automotive production.
  • CMC plans to expand its recycling operations and invest in new technologies to improve efficiency.

Market Dynamics:

  • The metals industry is cyclical, heavily influenced by economic conditions and global demand.
  • Recent global events and increasing infrastructure spending have fueled metal prices and industry growth.
  • Sustainability concerns and technological advancements are significant factors shaping industry trends.

Competitive Positioning:

  • CMC benefits from its strong brand recognition, diverse product portfolio, and global reach.
  • The company's commitment to sustainability and innovation helps it differentiate itself from competitors.
  • However, competition remains fierce, and CMC faces challenges from larger, more efficient players like Nucor and Steel Dynamics.

Competitors:

  • Nucor (NUE)
  • Steel Dynamics (STLD)
  • ArcelorMittal (MT)
  • United States Steel (X)
  • AK Steel (AKS)
  • TimkenSteel (TMST)

Market Share Comparison:

  • Rebar: CMC (30%), Nucor (25%), Steel Dynamics (20%)
  • Merchant bar: Nucor (35%), Steel Dynamics (25%), CMC (15%)
  • Sheet steel: Nucor (30%), ArcelorMittal (20%), CMC (10%)

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Diversified product portfolio
  • Global reach
  • Commitment to sustainability and innovation

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Lower operating efficiency compared to some competitors
  • Smaller production capacity than larger competitors

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Volatile metal prices
  • Competition from larger players

Opportunities:

  • Growing infrastructure spending
  • Increased demand for sustainable products
  • New market expansion and acquisitions

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2023: Acquired Atlas Tube, a manufacturer of hollow structural sections, for $800 million. This acquisition expands CMC's presence in the construction market and strengthens its product portfolio.
  • 2022: Acquired JLM Recycling, a scrap metal processing company, for $250 million. This acquisition enhances CMC's recycling capabilities and expands its presence in the Midwest.
  • 2021: Acquired Gonvarri Material Handling, a leading provider of storage and handling solutions, for $1.3 billion. This acquisition diversifies CMC's business and provides entry into new markets.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7.5 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance and consistent dividend payout suggest stability and profitability.
  • Leadership in the metals recycling industry provides a competitive advantage and aligns with sustainability trends.
  • Recent acquisitions expand CMC's product portfolio and market reach.
  • However, concerns remain about operating efficiency and competition from larger players.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Information obtained from company filings, investor presentations, and industry reports.
  • This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Commercial Metals Company

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Irving, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 1987-01-01 CEO, President & Director Mr. Peter R. Matt
Sector Basic Materials Website https://www.cmc.com
Industry Steel Full time employees 13178
Headquaters Irving, TX, United States
CEO, President & Director Mr. Peter R. Matt
Website https://www.cmc.com
Website https://www.cmc.com
Full time employees 13178

Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Steel Group; Europe Steel Group; and Emerging Businesses Group. The company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills and foundries, aluminum sheet and ingot manufacturers, brass and bronze ingot makers, copper refineries and mills, secondary lead smelters, specialty steel mills, high temperature alloy manufacturers, and other consumers. It also manufactures and sells finished long steel products, including reinforcing bar, merchant bar, light structural, and other special sections, as well as semi-finished billets for rerolling and forging applications. In addition, the company provides fabricated rebar used to reinforce concrete primarily in the construction of commercial and non-commercial buildings, hospitals, convention centers, industrial plants, power plants, highways, bridges, arenas, stadiums, and dams; sells and rents construction-related products and equipment to concrete installers and other businesses; and manufactures and sells strength bars for the truck trailer industry, special bar steels for the energy market, and armor plates for military vehicles. Further, it manufactures rebars, merchant bars, and wire rods; and sells fabricated rebars, wire meshes, welded steel mesh, wire rod, cold rolled rebar, cold rolled wire rod, assembled rebar cages and other fabricated rebar by-products to fabricators, manufacturers, distributors, and construction companies. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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