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Chuy\'s Holdings Inc (CHUY)CHUY

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Chuy\'s Holdings Inc
$37.34
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY0.51%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 41 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: CHUY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 29.71%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 29.71%
Avg. Invested days: 46
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 643.74M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.1
1Y Target Price 35.79
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.55
Volume (30-day avg) 435773
Beta 1.78
52 Weeks Range 22.52 - 39.41
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 643.74M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.1
1Y Target Price 35.79
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.55
Volume (30-day avg) 435773
Beta 1.78
52 Weeks Range 22.52 - 39.41
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.84%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.96%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.45%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.36%

Revenue by Products

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.1
Forward PE 13.42
Enterprise Value 773560547
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.96
Shares Outstanding 17230800
Shares Floating 16044840
Percent Insiders 1.75
Percent Institutions 109.03
Trailing PE 24.1
Forward PE 13.42
Enterprise Value 773560547
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.96
Shares Outstanding 17230800
Shares Floating 16044840
Percent Insiders 1.75
Percent Institutions 109.03

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 41.57
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 8
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3
Target Price 41.57
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 8
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Chuy's Holdings Inc. (CHUY): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background

  • Founded in 1982 by Mike Young and John Zapp in Austin, Texas.
  • Started as a single restaurant serving Tex-Mex cuisine with a focus on quality ingredients and fresh flavors.
  • Rapid expansion through organic growth and franchising, reaching 100 locations by 2012.
  • Went public in 2012 through an IPO raising over $100 million.
  • Faced challenges in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but rebounded strongly with increased focus on off-premise dining and digital ordering.

Core Business Areas

  • Owning and operating full-service Tex-Mex restaurants under the Chuy's brand.
  • Generating revenue through food and beverage sales, catering services, and merchandise sales.
  • 100% company-owned, no franchises.
  • Locations primarily concentrated in the Southern and Midwestern United States.

Leadership team and corporate structure

  • Current CEO: Steven Hislop.
  • Strong executive team with extensive experience in the restaurant industry.
  • Board of Directors with diverse expertise in finance, marketing, and operations.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products and Offerings

  • Signature menu items like:
    • Elvis Green Chile Fried Chicken
    • Boom Boom Shrimp
    • Chuy's Famous Chicken Enchiladas
  • Full bar featuring margaritas, tequila flights, and craft beers.
  • Private dining and catering options.
  • Strong focus on fresh ingredients and made-from-scratch recipes.

Market share analysis

  • Limited market share: Estimated market share of around 0.5% in the US casual dining industry.
  • Competition: Faces stiff competition from other Tex-Mex chains like Chipotle and Taco Bell, as well as larger casual dining chains like Olive Garden and Chili's.

Product performance and market reception

  • Positive reviews: Customers generally praise Chuy's for its flavorful dishes, generous portions, and friendly atmosphere.
  • Distinctive brand: Strong brand identity and loyal customer base.
  • Need to broaden appeal: Needs to attract new customer segments and diversify its menu offerings to compete effectively.

Total Addressable Market

  • TAM for Tex-Mex Restaurants: $25 billion in the United States.
  • TAM for Casual Dining Industry: $135 billion in the United States.
  • Chuy's holds a small market share in a large and growing market, indicating significant potential for expansion.

Financial Performance

  • Revenue: $222 million in 2022 (up 26% YoY).
  • Net Income: $12.3 million in 2022 (up 23% YoY).
  • Profit Margin: 5.5% (steady growth over the past 3 years).
  • EPS: $0.52 in 2022 (up 23% YoY).

Year-over-year comparison: Strong financial performance in recent years, demonstrating recovery from pandemic impact and positive growth trajectory.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow in 2022.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio: 1.5, considered moderate and manageable.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • No current dividend payout.
  • Historically, Chuy's has not paid dividends, opting to reinvest earnings back into the business for growth.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Stock price performance has fluctuated in recent years, underperforming the broader market, resulting in negative shareholder returns.
  • Investors primarily seek capital appreciation through long-term growth potential rather than dividend income.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Steady revenue and profit growth over the past 3-5 years, demonstrating successful pandemic recovery and business expansion.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Moderate growth expectations due to market saturation and increased competition.
  • Focus on increasing same-store sales, expanding online ordering and delivery options, and exploring new market opportunities.

Recent initiatives:

  • Launched new menu items and partnered with delivery platforms.
  • Opened a new restaurant in the first half of 2023.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

  • Tex-Mex segment: Growing segment within the casual dining industry, driven by increasing demand for ethnic cuisine and healthier food options.
  • Casual Dining Industry: Facing increasing competition from fast casual chains and changing consumer preferences.
  • Technological advancements: Importance of online ordering, delivery platforms, and mobile app engagement for customer convenience.

Market Positioning and Adaptability:

  • Chuy's is well-positioned in the Tex-Mex segment with its strong brand identity, focus on fresh ingredients, and loyal customer base.
  • The company needs to adapt to changing industry dynamics by investing in technology and exploring new growth avenues.

Competitors

Key competitors:

  • Tex-Mex chains: Chipotle (CMG), Del Taco (TACO), Taco Bueno.
  • Casual Dining chains: Darden Restaurants (DRI), Olive Garden (DRI), Chili's (EAT), Texas Roadhouse (TXRH).

Market share comparison:

  • Chuy's holds a smaller market share compared to major competitors.

Competitive advantages:

  • Distinctive brand identity.
  • High-quality food and fresh ingredients.
  • Strong customer loyalty.

Competitive disadvantages:

  • Limited market share and geographic reach.
  • Relatively higher price points compared to fast casual competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Intense competition in the casual dining industry.
  • Rising food costs and labor expenses.
  • Potential economic downturn impacting consumer spending.

Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets and untapped customer segments.
  • Leveraging technology to enhance online ordering and delivery services.
  • Introduction of new menu items and innovative culinary concepts.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 6.5 out of 10.

Justification:

  • Strengths: Strong brand, positive financial performance, growth potential in a growing market segment.
  • Weaknesses: High competition, lack of dividend payout, limited market share.

Future prospects: Chuy's has the potential for moderate growth, but faces challenges from intense competition and a changing industry landscape.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risks, and you should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Chuy's Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2012-07-24 Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Steven J. Hislop
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.chuys.com
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 7400
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Steven J. Hislop
Website https://www.chuys.com
Website https://www.chuys.com
Full time employees 7400

Chuy's Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants under the Chuy's name in the United States. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

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