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The Chefs Warehouse Inc (CHEF)CHEF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/30/2024: CHEF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 3.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 07/30/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 3.51% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/30/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.64B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 40.04 | 1Y Target Price 49.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03 |
Volume (30-day avg) 358837 | Beta 2.32 |
52 Weeks Range 17.29 - 44.58 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.64B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 40.04 | 1Y Target Price 49.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03 | Volume (30-day avg) 358837 | Beta 2.32 |
52 Weeks Range 17.29 - 44.58 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.55% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.38% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.22% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 40.04 | Forward PE 22.78 |
Enterprise Value 2518032746 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.38 |
Shares Outstanding 39826500 | Shares Floating 32396048 |
Percent Insiders 12.71 | Percent Institutions 93.43 |
Trailing PE 40.04 | Forward PE 22.78 | Enterprise Value 2518032746 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.38 | Shares Outstanding 39826500 | Shares Floating 32396048 |
Percent Insiders 12.71 | Percent Institutions 93.43 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 44.25 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 44.25 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
The Chefs' Warehouse Inc.: Comprehensive Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background:
- Founded in 1985 as L&S Foods.
- Changed name to The Chefs' Warehouse in 1994.
- Publicly traded on NASDAQ since 1999 (Ticker: CHEF).
- Began with a single location in Ridgefield, Connecticut, expanding organically and through acquisitions to become the leading distributor in North America.
Core Business:
- Distributes food and beverages to restaurants, hotels, caterers, and other culinary establishments.
- Offers an extensive product portfolio including seafood, produce, dairy, meat, and gourmet specialties.
- Operates through two primary segments, Direct Store Delivery (DSD) and Broadline.
- DSD segment focuses on fresh, high-quality products delivered to customers directly from company-owned warehouses.
- Broadline segment focuses on non-perishable and frozen food items, serving a broader customer base.
Leadership & Structure:
- Christopher Pappas, President & CEO.
- Stephen Beagelman, Executive Chairman of the Board.
- Management team comprises seasoned industry veterans with expertise in supply chain, finance, marketing, and sales.
- Decentralized organizational structure empowering local teams with decision-making authority.
Top Products & Market Share:
Top Products: Seafood (25% of sales), Produce (20% of sales), Meat (12% of sales).
Market Share:
- Leading DSD seafood and produce distributor in the U.S.
- Approximately 3% share of the $221 billion U.S. broadline foodservice distribution market.
- Strong regional market share in major metropolitan areas.
Product Performance:
- Highly regarded for quality, freshness, and customer service, especially in seafood and produce.
- Broad product range caters to evolving culinary trends.
- Faces competition in the broadline segment from larger, national distributors.
Total Addressable Market:
The U.S. foodservice distribution market is estimated at $295 billion, of which $221 billion is in broadline and $43 billion is in DSD seafood and $31 billion in DSD produce, representing the company's primary target markets.
Financial Performance:
Revenue:
Steady revenue growth over the past 5 years, reaching $855.4 million in fiscal year 2022 (ending April 30, 2023).
Profitability:
- Gross profit margin hovering around 22%, indicating strong pricing power and efficiencies in supply chain.
- Operating margin around 5%, demonstrating moderate profitability after accounting for operating expenses.
Earnings per share (EPS):
Growing steadily, reaching $1.48 in fiscal 2022.
Financial Comparison:
- Revenue and earnings have outperformed industry averages in recent years.
- Solid balance sheet with low debt levels.
- Consistent cash flows allow for dividend payouts and strategic acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividends:
- Company pays a quarterly dividend, with recent dividend yield around 1%.
Shareholder Returns:
Total return for shareholders outpaced the S&P 500 over the last 5-10 years, demonstrating strong value creation.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Revenue and earnings growth trend observed over the last decade, especially driven by DSD segment expansion.
Future prospects:
- Targeting continued expansion through organic initiatives and acquisitions.
- Seeking opportunities in higher margin DSD channels.
- Benefiting from rising consumer demand for fresh, high-quality food.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Consolidation within the foodservice industry driving demand for larger distributors with nationwide reach and diverse offerings, but also presenting competitive pressure.
- Growing focus on food safety, traceability, and sustainability, areas where The Chefs' Warehouse excels.
- Increasing adoption of technology in supply chain and customer engagement presenting potential opportunities.
Industry Position:
- Leading player with niche focus on fresh, quality products, differentiating itself from larger, commodity-focused distributors.
- Flexible and adaptable business model capable of navigating changing market dynamics.
Key Competitors:
U.S. Foods (USFD), Sysco (SYY), Performance Food Group (PFG).
Market share comparison:
U.S. Foodservice: ~22%
Sysco: ~15%
Sysco: ~8.5%.
Performance Food: ~6.5%.
The Chef's Warehouse: ~3%.
The Chefs' Warehouse competes effectively by focusing on its niche strengths and regional dominance, despite smaller size.
Competitive advantage:
Strong relationships with chefs and restaurateurs.
Expertise and sourcing network for specialty food items.
DSD model ensures product freshness and customized service.
Competitive disadvantage: Limited national footprint compared to larger competitors.
Potential challenges & opportunities:
Potential challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions and rising food costs could impact margins.
- Increased competition from larger players could pressure market share.
- Volatile economic conditions could impact restaurant spending.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion of DSD network into new geographic markets.
- Development of private-label brands to enhance margins.
- Continued focus on innovation and technology to improve efficiency.
- Growing e-commerce presence to capture new customer segments.
Recent Acquisition (past three years):
- In 2021: The Chefs' Warehouse acquired a majority interest in Crave Foods, a specialty distributor of high-quality meats in California, for an undisclosed amount. This strategic move expanded the company's presence in the West Coast
market and strengthened its product offering in the growing premium meat segment.
- This acquisition exemplifies the company's focus on niche market expansion through targeted acquisitions that align with its core strengths and growth strategy.
AI-based fundamental rating:
- Rating: 7.5 out of 10.
- The rating reflects a combination of strong financial performance and prospects, favorable industry dynamics, and the company's differentiated positioning.
- Financial health: The company exhibits robust growth, solid profitability, and efficient cash management.
- Market position: Leading niche player with strong regional presence and a growing national footprint.
- Future prospects: Favorable industry trends and strategic initiatives suggest continued long-term growth potential.
Sources:
- The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. Investor Relations website:
https://ir.chefswarehouse.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports from reputable sources such as IBIS World, Statista, and
Grand View Research.
Disclaimer:
The information provided is intended for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice and should not be relied upon for making
investment decisions. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor to discuss your
individual investment goals and options before making any investment.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Chefs Warehouse Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Ridgefield, CT, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-07-28 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. Christopher Pappas |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.chefswarehouse.com |
Industry | Food Distribution | Full time employees | 4873 |
Headquaters | Ridgefield, CT, United States | ||
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. Christopher Pappas | ||
Website | https://www.chefswarehouse.com | ||
Website | https://www.chefswarehouse.com | ||
Full time employees | 4873 |
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes specialty food and center-of-the-plate products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada. The company's product portfolio includes specialty food products, such as artisan charcuterie, specialty cheeses, unique oils and vinegars, truffles, caviar, chocolate, and pastry products; and center-of-the-plate products consisting of custom cut beef, seafood, and hormone-free poultry, as well as broadline food products comprising cooking oils, butter, eggs, milk, and flour. The company serves menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, patisseries, chocolatiers, cruise lines, casinos, and specialty food stores. It markets its center-of-the-plate products directly to consumers through a mail and e-commerce platform. The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut.
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