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Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)CGAU

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Centerra Gold Inc
$6.06
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: CGAU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -27.5%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 31
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -27.5%
Avg. Invested days: 31
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.54
1Y Target Price 8.25
Dividends yield (FY) 3.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.48
Volume (30-day avg) 950817
Beta 1.23
52 Weeks Range 4.33 - 7.76
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.27B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.54
1Y Target Price 8.25
Dividends yield (FY) 3.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.48
Volume (30-day avg) 950817
Beta 1.23
52 Weeks Range 4.33 - 7.76
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-31
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.2
Actual 0.18
Report Date 2024-10-31
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.2
Actual 0.18

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.32%
Operating Margin (TTM) 16.95%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.29%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.02%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.54
Forward PE 9.53
Enterprise Value 684005505
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.91
Shares Outstanding 211320992
Shares Floating 210889948
Percent Insiders 0.18
Percent Institutions 90.94
Trailing PE 12.54
Forward PE 9.53
Enterprise Value 684005505
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.91
Shares Outstanding 211320992
Shares Floating 210889948
Percent Insiders 0.18
Percent Institutions 90.94

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.73
Target Price 7.75
Buy 6
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell 2
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.73
Target Price 7.75
Buy 6
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell 2
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Centerra Gold Inc. - Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

Centerra Gold Inc. (TSX: CG) is a gold mining company established in 2004 through the amalgamation of several companies, including Aur Resources Inc. and Kyrgyzaltyn JSC. Its primary focus is the exploration, development, and operation of gold mines and related projects in North America and Central Asia.

Core business areas:

  • Gold Mining: Owns and operates the Kumtor Mine in the Kyrgyz Republic, one of the largest and most profitable open-pit gold mines in Central Asia.
  • Exploration and Development: Actively exploring and developing gold projects in Kyrgyzstan, Canada, and the United States.
  • Corporate Social Responsibility: Committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable development in the communities where it operates.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Scott Perry: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Paul Wright: Chief Financial Officer
  • Mark Cruise: Chief Operating Officer
  • David Reed: Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary
  • Ken McNeill: Senior Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings:

  • Gold production: The company focuses on gold production from its flagship Kumtor Mine, contributing to a significant portion of its revenue.
  • Other metals: Traces of silver are also produced as a by-product of gold mining.

Market share:

  • Global: Centerra Gold Inc. is a mid-tier gold producer with a global market share of approximately 0.5%.
  • US: The company has a limited presence in the US market, with its only operating mine located in Canada.

Competition:

  • Major gold producers include Barrick Gold (ABX), Newmont Corporation (NEM), and AngloGold Ashanti (AU).

Total Addressable Market:

The global gold market is estimated to be worth approximately $350 billion, with demand driven by factors such as jewelry, investment, and industrial uses.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: $641.8 million (2022)
  • Net income: $159.3 million (2022)
  • Profit margin: 24.8% (2022)
  • EPS: $0.86 (2022)

Year-over-year comparison:

The company has experienced fluctuations in its financial performance in recent years, influenced by factors such as gold prices and operating costs.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

Centerra Gold maintains a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

The company has a history of paying dividends, with a recent annual dividend yield of approximately 3.5%.

Shareholder returns:

Over the past 5 years, Centerra Gold Inc. has generated total shareholder returns of approximately 20%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

The company has experienced modest historical growth in production and revenue, primarily driven by the Kumtor Mine.

Future growth:

Future growth prospects are tied to exploration success, mine expansion, and potential new acquisitions.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends:

The gold mining industry is characterized by fluctuating gold prices, evolving environmental regulations, and technological advancements.

Company positioning:

Centerra Gold Inc. is well-positioned in the industry due to its low-cost operations, strong cash flow, and established reserves.

Competitors:

  • Barrick Gold (ABX): Market share - 5%
  • Newmont Corporation (NEM): Market share - 4.5%
  • AngloGold Ashanti (AU): Market share - 3.5%

Competitive advantages:

  • Low-cost production at the Kumtor Mine
  • Strong financial position
  • Experienced management team

Competitive disadvantages:

  • Geopolitical risks in Kyrgyzstan
  • Limited market share

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Maintaining profitability in a volatile gold price environment
  • Managing environmental and social risks associated with mining operations
  • Expanding production beyond the Kumtor Mine

Key opportunities:

  • Exploring and developing new gold projects
  • Increasing production at existing mines
  • Acquiring new assets

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • None. Centerra Gold Inc. has not made any significant acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

Centerra Gold Inc. is a financially sound company with a strong track record of production. However, its future growth prospects are somewhat uncertain due to its reliance on the Kumtor Mine and the challenges of exploring and developing new projects. The company's competitive advantages, such as its low-cost production and strong cash flow, provide a solid foundation for future growth, but it needs to mitigate risks associated with geopolitical instability and diversify its operations.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Centerra Gold Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15 President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul Botond Stilicho Tomory
Sector Basic Materials Website https://www.centerragold.com
Industry Gold Full time employees -
Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
President, CEO & Director Mr. Paul Botond Stilicho Tomory
Website https://www.centerragold.com
Website https://www.centerragold.com
Full time employees -

Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Turkey, and internationally. The company explores for gold, copper, and molybdenum deposits. Its flagship projects are the 100% owned Mount Milligan gold-copper mine located in British Columbia, Canada; and the Öksüt gold mine located in Turkey. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

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