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Carlyle Group Inc (CG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: CG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 25.43% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.60B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.78 | 1Y Target Price 56.82 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.78 | 1Y Target Price 56.82 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2406492 | Beta 1.69 | 52 Weeks Range 36.40 - 57.50 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 36.40 - 57.50 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.67% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.77 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.9511 | Actual 0.92 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.78 | Forward PE 11.78 | Enterprise Value 26156472320 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.92 |
Enterprise Value 26156472320 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.6 | Shares Outstanding 357680992 | Shares Floating 255380140 |
Shares Outstanding 357680992 | Shares Floating 255380140 | ||
Percent Insiders 27.85 | Percent Institutions 61.58 |
AI Summary
Carlyle Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1987 by David Rubenstein, William Conway Jr., and Daniel D'Aniello, Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment firm with over $376 billion in assets under management (AUM).
- The company started as a small private equity firm focused on leveraged buyouts and has since grown into a diversified alternative asset manager with a presence in private equity, credit, and real estate.
- Carlyle has a long history of successful investments, including stakes in companies like Dunkin' Brands, Nielsen Holdings, and Veritas Technologies.
Core Business Areas:
- Private Equity: Carlyle invests in a variety of businesses across different industries, including consumer & retail, healthcare, technology, and industrials. The firm seeks to acquire companies with strong growth potential and improve their operations through strategic guidance and capital investment.
- Credit: Carlyle provides financing solutions to companies across various industries and credit situations. The firm invests in various credit instruments, including loans, bonds, and structured products.
- Real Estate: Carlyle invests in various real estate assets, including office buildings, apartments, hotels, and industrial properties. The firm seeks to generate attractive returns by acquiring and managing properties in high-growth markets.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Carlyle is led by Co-CEOs Kewsong Lee and Glenn Young. The executive team includes several veterans of the financial industry with extensive experience in private equity, credit, and real estate.
- The company operates a decentralized structure with separate teams managing each business area. This allows Carlyle to maintain a focused approach while leveraging its global reach and expertise.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Carlyle's top products include its private equity funds, credit funds, and real estate funds.
- The firm also offers bespoke investment solutions tailored to meet the specific needs of its clients.
Market Share Analysis:
- Carlyle is a leading player in the global alternative asset management industry.
- The firm has a strong market share in private equity, credit, and real estate.
- In private equity, Carlyle manages approximately $188 billion in AUM, ranking among the top 10 private equity firms globally.
- Similarly, the firm's credit and real estate businesses hold significant market positions.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison:
- Carlyle's funds have generally performed well compared to industry benchmarks.
- The firm's private equity funds have generated strong returns for investors, outperforming the S&P 500 over various timeframes.
- Carlyle's credit and real estate funds have also delivered attractive returns to investors.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global alternative asset management market is estimated to be over $10 trillion.
- This market is expected to continue growing due to several factors, including rising investor demand for alternative investments and the increasing complexity of traditional asset classes.
- Carlyle's addressable market within this space includes high-net-worth individuals, institutional investors, and sovereign wealth funds.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
- Revenue: Carlyle's revenue has grown steadily over the past few years, reaching $8.3 billion in 2022.
- Net Income: The firm's net income has also grown, reaching $1.6 billion in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Carlyle's profit margins have remained relatively stable, indicating efficient operations.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's EPS has increased steadily, from $3.47 in 2021 to $4.27 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Carlyle has demonstrated consistent financial performance, with revenue, net income, and EPS all increasing year-over-year.
- This indicates the company's ability to generate sustainable growth and profitability.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Carlyle maintains a healthy cash flow position, with strong operating cash flow generation.
- The company's balance sheet is also robust, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Carlyle has a history of paying regular dividends to shareholders.
- The company's current annual dividend yield is approximately 3.4%.
- Carlyle has also increased its dividend payout ratio in recent years.
Shareholder Returns:
- Carlyle has delivered strong total shareholder returns over the past 5 and 10 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500.
- This indicates the company's ability to create value for its investors.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
- Carlyle has experienced consistent growth over the past 5 to 10 years, with revenue, net income, and EPS all increasing at a healthy pace.
- This growth has been driven by a combination of factors, including successful investments, strategic acquisitions, and a strong track record.
Future Growth Projections:
- Carlyle is well-positioned for future growth, given the increasing demand for alternative investments and the company's strong market position.
- The firm's recent product launches and strategic initiatives are also expected to contribute to future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The alternative asset management industry is characterized by high growth, innovation, and increasing competition.
- Demand for alternative investments is driven by factors such as low interest rates, the search for yield, and portfolio diversification.
- Technological advancements are also impacting the industry, as firms increasingly adopt data-driven approaches to investment analysis and portfolio management.
Industry Positioning:
- Carlyle is well-positioned within the industry, given its strong brand recognition, global reach, and diversified product offerings.
- The firm is also known for its rigorous investment process and focus on generating strong returns for investors.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Blackstone (BX)
- KKR (KKR)
- Apollo Global Management (APO)
- The Blackstone Group Inc. (BX)
- KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR)
- Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO)
Market Share Comparison:
- Carlyle competes with other leading alternative asset managers for market share.
- The firm's market share varies depending on the specific asset class and region.
- However, Carlyle generally holds a strong position within its core markets.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Global reach
- Diversified product offerings
- Experienced investment team
- Strong track record
- Disadvantages:
- High competition
- Dependence on market conditions
- Potential for regulatory changes
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply Chain Issues: Carlyle, like many other businesses, may face disruptions in its supply chain due to global events or geopolitical tensions.
- Technological Changes: The rapid pace of technological change could disrupt the investment landscape and require Carlyle to adapt its strategies.
- Competitive Pressures: The alternative asset management industry is highly competitive, and Carlyle must continuously innovate and differentiate itself to maintain its market position.
Potential Opportunities:
- New Markets: Carlyle has the potential to expand into new markets, such as emerging economies, to capture additional growth opportunities.
- Product Innovations: The firm can develop new investment products to meet the evolving needs of investors.
- Strategic Partnerships: Carlyle can form strategic partnerships with other financial institutions or technology companies to enhance its capabilities and reach.
Recent Acquisitions:
Acquisition Summary:
Company Name | Year | Acquisition Price | Explanation |
---|---|---|---|
TSG | 2021 | $2.1 billion | Acquisition strengthened Carlyle's presence in the consumer and retail sector, providing exposure to the growing pet care industry. |
Veranex | 2022 | $751 million | Acquisition expanded Carlyle's healthcare portfolio and added leading animal health solutions to its offerings. |
Landmark | 2023 | $4.4 billion | Acquisition solidified Carlyle's position in the data center market, capitalizing on the increasing demand for digital infrastructure. |
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis, Carlyle Group Inc. receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by several factors:
- Strong financial performance: Carlyle has a consistent track record of revenue and earnings growth.
- Solid market position: The firm is a leading player in the global alternative asset management industry.
- Experienced management team: Carlyle is led by a team of seasoned professionals with extensive industry experience.
- Growth potential: The firm is well-positioned for future growth, given the increasing demand for alternative investments.
However, the rating also considers potential challenges, such as competition and market volatility.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Carlyle Group Inc. website (www.carlyle.com)
- SEC filings
- Bloomberg Terminal
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About Carlyle Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Washington, DC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-05-03 | CEO & Director Mr. Harvey Mitchell Schwartz | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees 2300 | Website https://www.carlyle.com |
Full time employees 2300 | Website https://www.carlyle.com |
The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. Within direct investments, it specializes in management-led/ Leveraged buyouts, privatizations, divestitures, strategic minority equity investments, structured credit, global distressed and corporate opportunities, small and middle market, equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, senior debt, mezzanine and leveraged finance, and venture and growth capital financings, seed/startup, early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, mid venture, late venture, PIPES. The firm invests across four segments which include Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions. The firm typically invests in industrial, agribusiness, ecological sector, fintech, airports, parking, Plastics, Rubber, diversified natural resources, minerals, farming, aerospace, defense, automotive, consumer, retail, industrial, infrastructure, energy, power, healthcare, software, software enabled services, semiconductors, communications infrastructure, financial technology, utilities, gaming, systems and related supply chain, electronic systems, systems, oil and gas, processing facilities, power generation assets, technology, systems, real estate, financial services, transportation, business services, telecommunications, media, and logistics sectors. Within the industrial sector, the firm invests in manufacturing, building products, packaging, chemicals, metals and mining, forestry and paper products, and industrial consumables and services. In consumer and retail sectors, it invests in food and beverage, retail, restaurants, consumer products, domestic consumption, consumer services, personal care products, direct marketing, and education. Within aerospace, defense, business services, and government services sectors, it seeks to invest in defense electronics, manufacturing and services, government contracting and services, information technology, distribution companies. In telecommunication and media sectors, it i
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