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Confluent Inc (CFLT)CFLT

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Confluent Inc
$20.32
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: CFLT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -15.42%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -15.42%
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.70B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 30.22
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.18
Volume (30-day avg) 3584141
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 14.69 - 35.07
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.70B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 30.22
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.18
Volume (30-day avg) 3584141
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 14.69 - 35.07
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -42.7%
Operating Margin (TTM) -46.11%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -10.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) -45.21%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 61.35
Enterprise Value 5894826778
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -18.93
Shares Outstanding 250068992
Shares Floating 240767866
Percent Insiders 3.69
Percent Institutions 93.91
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 61.35
Enterprise Value 5894826778
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -18.93
Shares Outstanding 250068992
Shares Floating 240767866
Percent Insiders 3.69
Percent Institutions 93.91

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.26
Target Price 38.95
Buy 8
Strong Buy 18
Hold 7
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.26
Target Price 38.95
Buy 8
Strong Buy 18
Hold 7
Sell 1
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Confluent Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Disclaimer: This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Company Profile

History and Background:

Confluent Inc. is a leading provider of data streaming platform solutions, offering a managed cloud service based on Apache Kafka. Founded in 2014, the company initially operated as a subsidiary of Confluent Inc., a leading cloud infrastructure provider, before becoming independent in 2021. Confluent offers a single platform for developers and businesses to easily build and operate event-driven applications across hybrid and multi-cloud environments.

Core Business Areas:

Confluent provides a real-time platform for data streaming and processing, enabling organizations to ingest, store, process, and analyze data in motion. Its core offerings include:

  • Kafka: An open-source distributed streaming platform used for building real-time data pipelines and streaming applications.
  • Confluent Cloud: A fully managed cloud service based on Apache Kafka, providing access to Kafka and other essential components for building streaming applications.
  • Confluent Platform: A suite of tools and services built on top of Kafka, offering additional functionalities like data governance, security, and monitoring.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Jay Kreps: CEO and co-founder, with extensive experience in distributed systems and streaming technologies.
  • Neha Narkhede: CTO and co-founder, known for her contributions to the development of Apache Kafka.
  • Kevin Ichhpurani: President and COO, with a background in enterprise software and cloud computing.

Confluent operates through a decentralized organizational structure, with autonomous teams focused on specific product areas and customer segments.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Apache Kafka: An open-source distributed streaming platform with high throughput and low latency, widely adopted for real-time data processing.
  • Confluent Cloud: A fully managed cloud service offering a seamless experience for deploying and managing Kafka-based applications.
  • Confluent Platform: Provides additional functionalities to enhance Kafka deployments, including security, governance, and monitoring.

Market Share:

Confluent is a dominant player in the data streaming market, with an estimated market share of 50% in the global event streaming platform market. In the US market, Confluent holds a similar market share, positioning itself as the leading provider of Kafka-based solutions.

Competitive Landscape:

Key competitors include:

  • Amazon Kinesis: A cloud-based data streaming service offered by Amazon Web Services.
  • Apache Pulsar: An open-source distributed streaming platform developed by Yahoo.
  • Google Cloud Dataproc: A managed data processing service offered by Google Cloud Platform.

While Confluent holds a leading position, competitors offer alternative solutions with varying strengths and feature sets.

Total Addressable Market:

The global event streaming software market is expected to reach USD 46.85 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 28.5% during the forecast period. This significant growth is driven by the increasing adoption of real-time data processing and analytics across various industries.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Highlights:

  • Revenue in 2022: USD 341.6 million, representing a 64% year-over-year growth.
  • Net income in 2022: USD 7.6 million, compared to a net loss of USD 97.8 million in 2021.
  • Gross profit margin in 2022: 67.7%, indicating a strong focus on operational efficiency.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) in 2022: USD 0.04, representing a significant improvement from a loss per share of USD 0.56 in 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Confluent exhibits a healthy financial position with a strong cash flow and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. The company generated USD 133.8 million in operating cash flow in 2022, demonstrating its ability to generate cash from its core operations.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Currently, Confluent does not pay dividends as it is focused on reinvesting its profits for growth.

Shareholder Returns:

Since its IPO in June 2021, Confluent's stock price has exhibited significant volatility. However, it has delivered strong returns for investors, with a total return of over 100% as of November 2023.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Confluent has experienced exceptional growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by over 60% year-over-year in 2022. This growth is driven by the increasing adoption of its data streaming platform solutions across various industries.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect Confluent to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of over 30% in the coming years. This growth will be fueled by the expanding market for data streaming, increasing cloud adoption, and new product innovations.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

The data streaming market is characterized by rapid innovation and intense competition. The growing demand for real-time data processing and analytics is driving the adoption of data streaming solutions across various industries.

Confluent's Positioning:

Confluent is well-positioned in this dynamic market due to its strong brand recognition, dominant market share, and open-source technology foundation. The company continuously invests in product development and strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive edge.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Amazon Kinesis: A cloud-based data streaming service offering scalability and integration with other AWS services.
  • Apache Pulsar: An open-source distributed streaming platform known for its high performance and flexibility.
  • Google Cloud Dataproc: A managed data processing service providing a comprehensive suite of tools for real-time data analytics.

Market Share Comparison:

While Confluent holds the leading position, competitors offer alternative solutions with varying strengths and features. Amazon Kinesis has a strong presence in the cloud market, while Apache Pulsar is gaining traction due to its open-source nature.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Intense competition from established players and emerging startups.
  • Rapid technological advancements requiring continuous innovation and product development.
  • Potential economic slowdown impacting IT spending and cloud adoption.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new industry verticals and geographic markets.
  • Introducing innovative new products and features to enhance its platform.
  • Building strategic partnerships to expand its ecosystem and reach.

Recent Acquisitions:

Acquisition History:

  • Landoop: Acquired in 2021, a company specializing in Apache Kafka optimization and managed services.
  • Immerok: Acquired in 2022, a developer of streaming-native database technology.
  • Confluent Japan: Acquired in 2023, a local subsidiary to expand market presence in Japan.

These acquisitions demonstrate Confluent's strategic focus on expanding its product portfolio, enhancing its technology, and increasing its global reach.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8.5/10

Confluent exhibits strong fundamentals, supported by its leading market position, robust financial performance, and continuous growth trajectory. The company's open-source technology foundation, strategic partnerships, and commitment to innovation position it well for future success.

Justification:

  • Financial Health: Confluent's strong revenue growth, improving盈利能力, and healthy cash flow indicate a solid financial foundation.
  • Market Position: Confluent holds a dominant market share in the data streaming market, providing a significant competitive advantage.
  • Future Prospects: The increasing demand for real-time data processing and analytics, combined with Confluent's focus on innovation and product development, suggest strong growth potential.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Confluent Inc. website
  • SEC filings
  • Zacks Investment Research
  • Markets and Markets
  • Statista

Disclaimer:

This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Information may be subject to change without notice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Confluent Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Mountain View, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-06-24 Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Edward Kreps
Sector Technology Website https://www.confluent.io
Industry Software - Infrastructure Full time employees 2744
Headquaters Mountain View, CA, United States
Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Edward Kreps
Website https://www.confluent.io
Website https://www.confluent.io
Full time employees 2744

Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. The company provides platforms that allow customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers, such as Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native software-as-a-service; and Confluent Platform, an enterprise-grade self-managed software. It offers connectors for existing applications, and IT and cloud infrastructure; Apache Flink services that allows teams to create reusable data streams that can be delivered real-time; ksqlDB, a data-in-motion database that allows users to build data-in-motion applications using a few SQL statements; stream governance, a managed data governance suite that is designed for the intricacies of streaming data, which allows teams to accelerate data streaming initiatives without bypassing controls for risk management and regulatory compliance; and stream designer which builds streaming data pipelines visually. In addition, the company offers professional services comprising packaged and residency offerings; education offerings consisting of instructor-led and self-paced training and certification guidance, technical resources, and access to hands-on training and certification exams; and certification programs. It serves banking and financial services industries, as well as retail and e-commerce, manufacturing, automotive, communication service providers, gaming, public sector, insurance, and technology industries. The company was formerly known as Infinitem, Inc. and changed its name to Confluent, Inc. in September 2014. Confluent, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

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