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Confluent Inc (CFLT)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: CFLT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -26.88% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6037581 | Beta 0.9 | 52 Weeks Range 17.79 - 37.90 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 17.79 - 37.90 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -35.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) -40.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) -38.95% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 66.23 | Enterprise Value 7068835101 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.17 |
Enterprise Value 7068835101 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -18.93 | Shares Outstanding 272936992 | Shares Floating 262873937 |
Shares Outstanding 272936992 | Shares Floating 262873937 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.56 | Percent Institutions 85.85 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.24 | Target Price 33.05 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 18 |
Buy 7 | Strong Buy 18 | ||
Hold 8 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Confluent Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Confluent, Inc. was founded in 2014 by the creators of Apache Kafka. It aims to provide a streaming data platform based on Kafka, enabling businesses to access, store, and manage data in real-time. It went public in June 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Confluent Cloud: A fully managed, cloud-native data streaming platform built on Apache Kafka, allowing businesses to deploy and scale Kafka without managing the underlying infrastructure.
- Confluent Platform: A self-managed platform that allows businesses to run Kafka on-premises or in their own cloud environments, offering greater control and customization.
- Services and Support: Offers professional services, training, and support to help customers implement and optimize their use of Confluent's products.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Jay Kreps (Co-founder & CEO), Erica Ruliffson Schultz (President). Confluent operates with a functional organizational structure, with departments focused on engineering, sales, marketing, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Confluent Cloud: A fully managed Apache Kafka service. While exact market share is difficult to pinpoint, Confluent is a leader in the Kafka-as-a-service market. Competitors include Amazon Managed Streaming for Kafka (MSK), Azure Event Hubs, and Google Cloud Pub/Sub.
- Confluent Platform: A self-managed, enterprise-grade distribution of Apache Kafka. It provides additional features like Schema Registry, Connectors, and Stream Processing. Competitors include open-source Kafka, Cloudera, and Hortonworks (now part of Cloudera).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The data streaming market is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing need for real-time data processing and analytics. Cloud adoption and the rise of IoT are major drivers.
Positioning
Confluent is positioned as a leader in the data streaming market, offering a comprehensive platform based on Apache Kafka. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in Kafka and its focus on providing a reliable and scalable solution.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Estimates for the data streaming market vary, but projections reach tens of billions of dollars. Confluent is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market with its comprehensive platform and expertise.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong founding team with deep Kafka expertise
- Comprehensive data streaming platform
- Leading position in the Kafka ecosystem
- Large and growing customer base
- Strong open-source community support
Weaknesses
- High operating expenses
- Reliance on the Apache Kafka open-source project
- Complex product offerings
- Competition from larger cloud providers
- Profitability concerns
Opportunities
- Growing demand for real-time data processing
- Expansion into new industries and use cases
- Partnerships with cloud providers
- Increasing adoption of cloud-native technologies
- Further development of its platform and services
Threats
- Competition from established cloud providers
- Open-source alternatives to Kafka
- Economic downturn
- Security vulnerabilities
- Evolving regulatory landscape
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMZN
- MSFT
- GOOGL
Competitive Landscape
Confluent benefits from its Kafka expertise, but faces competition from larger, well-resourced cloud providers. To stay ahead, Confluent needs to innovate and differentiate its offerings.
Major Acquisitions
Metadata.io
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: AI-powered marketing automation company, likely to enhance customer acquisition and marketing efficiency.
ksqlDB
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Added functionality of a stream processing database that allowed Kafka Streams to have more features.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Confluent has experienced significant revenue growth in recent years, driven by the increasing adoption of its platform.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for Confluent's future growth vary, but generally project continued strong revenue growth due to the increasing demand for data streaming solutions. Future estimates must be verified on Analyst sites.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its cloud offerings, investing in new technologies, and strengthening its partnerships.
Summary
Confluent is a leader in the growing data streaming market, built upon the foundation of Apache Kafka. The company demonstrates strong revenue growth but grapples with profitability challenges and competition from cloud giants. Its expertise in Kafka and comprehensive platform are key strengths, while ongoing innovation and market differentiation are vital for sustained success. Investors need to monitor its growth as well as balance sheets going forward.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Confluent Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data is dynamic and subject to change. Market share estimates are approximate. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Confluent Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Mountain View, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-06-24 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Edward Kreps | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 3060 | Website https://www.confluent.io |
Full time employees 3060 | Website https://www.confluent.io |
Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. The company provides platforms that allow customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers comprising Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native software-as-a-service (SaaS); and Confluent Platform, an enterprise-grade self-managed software. It also offers connectors for existing applications, and IT and cloud infrastructure; Apache Flink services that allows teams to create reusable data streams that can be delivered real-time; WarpStream, a bring your own cloud managed streaming service; and stream governance, a managed data governance suite that is designed for the intricacies of streaming data, which allows teams to accelerate data streaming initiatives without bypassing controls for risk management or regulatory compliance. In addition, the company offers professional services comprising packaged and residency offerings; education offerings consisting of training and certification guidance, technical resources, and access to hands-on training and certification exams; and certification programs. It serves banking and financial services, retail and ecommerce, manufacturing, automotive, telecommunication, gaming, insurance, and technology industries, as well as public sector. The company was formerly known as Infinitem, Inc. and changed its name to Confluent, Inc. in September 2014. Confluent, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
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