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Century Aluminum Company (CENX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: CENX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 11.46% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 11.46% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.70B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.82 | 1Y Target Price 24.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.15 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1029850 | Beta 2.47 |
52 Weeks Range 9.64 - 25.39 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.70B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.82 | 1Y Target Price 24.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.15 | Volume (30-day avg) 1029850 | Beta 2.47 |
52 Weeks Range 9.64 - 25.39 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 57.21% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.82 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 2129147122 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.84 |
Shares Outstanding 92798800 | Shares Floating 52446195 |
Percent Insiders 43.78 | Percent Institutions 61.73 |
Trailing PE 5.82 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2129147122 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.84 | Shares Outstanding 92798800 | Shares Floating 52446195 |
Percent Insiders 43.78 | Percent Institutions 61.73 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 7.67 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 7.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Century Aluminum Company: An In-Depth Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is an American primary aluminum producer. Founded in 1996, the company initially purchased aluminum-related assets from the bankruptcy of Ravenswood Aluminum Corporation. Since then, it has grown through acquisitions and expansions, becoming one of the largest primary aluminum producers in the United States.
Core Business Areas
Century Aluminum focuses on two primary segments:
- Primary Aluminum Ingot: This segment involves the production of aluminum ingots using the electrolytic reduction process. These ingots are sold to various industries, including automotive, packaging, and construction.
- Value-Added Products: This segment focuses on processing primary aluminum into fabricated products like sheet and foil. This adds value to the raw material and targets specific customer needs.
Leadership and Structure
Leadership: Michael Bless serves as the President and CEO of Century Aluminum, leading a team of experienced executives in various functions like finance, operations, and sales.
Corporate Structure: The company operates under a single-tier board structure with a Board of Directors responsible for overseeing management and strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
Century Aluminum's primary product is primary aluminum ingot, which forms the foundation for various downstream products. Additionally, the company offers value-added products like sheet and foil, catering to specific customer needs.
Market Share
Global: Century Aluminum holds a 2.0% market share in the global primary aluminum market.
US: The company captures a 4.4% share of the US primary aluminum market.
Product Performance and Comparison
Century Aluminum's product performance is generally on par with its competitors. The company focuses on producing high-quality aluminum, meeting industry standards and customer specifications.
Competitive Comparison:
- Alcoa (AA): World's largest aluminum producer, enjoys a broader product portfolio and larger market share.
- Novelis (NVL): Leads in the rolled aluminum segment, focusing on high-value applications.
- Rio Tinto (RIO): Global mining giant with significant aluminum production capacity.
Total Addressable Market
The global primary aluminum market is estimated to reach $288.5 billion by 2028, indicating significant growth potential. The US market represents a substantial portion of this, with a projected value of $57.8 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance
Recent Financials
- Revenue: $2.68 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $164.4 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 6.1% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $4.65 (2022)
Year-over-Year Comparison
Century Aluminum experienced strong financial performance in 2022, with revenue increasing by 30% and net income jumping by 94% compared to 2021. This growth reflects favorable market conditions and improved operational efficiency.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Century Aluminum has a history of paying dividends, with a current annualized dividend yield of 1.4%. The company has consistently increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder Returns
Over the past 1 year, Century Aluminum stock has delivered a total return of 44.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. Over 5 years, the total return stands at an impressive 226.7%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Century Aluminum has experienced significant growth over the past 5 years, driven by favorable market conditions and strategic acquisitions. Revenue has increased by 75% during this period.
Future Growth Projections
The company expects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by increasing demand for aluminum and ongoing operational improvements.
Growth Initiatives
Century Aluminum is actively pursuing growth opportunities through:
- Expanding production capacity: Investing in facility upgrades and potential acquisitions.
- Developing new products: Focusing on innovative and high-value-added aluminum products.
- Targeting new markets: Exploring opportunities in emerging markets and specialized applications.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The aluminum industry is characterized by:
- High cyclical nature: Demand for aluminum is closely tied to economic growth and industrial activity.
- Consolidation trend: The industry has seen significant consolidation in recent years, leading to fewer but larger players.
- Technological advancements: New technologies are driving efficiency improvements and creating opportunities for product innovation.
Competitive Landscape
Century Aluminum faces competition from established players with larger market shares and diversified product portfolios. However, the company focuses on:
- Low-cost production: Utilizing efficient operations and strategic sourcing to maintain competitive pricing.
- Sustainability focus: Investing in environmentally friendly production methods to attract sustainability-conscious customers.
- Customer relationships: Building strong partnerships with key customers to secure long-term contracts and loyalty.
Key Competitors
- Alcoa (AA)
- Novelis (NVL)
- Rio Tinto (RIO)
- Constellium (CSTM)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges
- Volatile aluminum prices: Fluctuations in aluminum prices can impact profitability.
- Supply chain disruptions: Global trade disruptions and raw material shortages can pose challenges.
- Competition: Maintaining a competitive edge in a crowded market requires constant innovation and cost optimization.
Opportunities
- Growing demand: Increasing demand for aluminum, driven by sectors like transportation and construction, presents significant growth potential.
- New product development: Innovation in aluminum alloys and applications can open up new markets and revenue streams.
- Sustainability focus: Capitalizing on the growing demand for sustainable aluminum production can attract environmentally conscious customers.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
- Hawesville Aluminum Smelter: Acquired in 2023, this smelter adds 257,000 metric tons of annual capacity, strengthening the company's position in the US market.
- Ravenswood Aluminum Cast House: Acquired in 2021, this facility expands Century Aluminum's downstream capabilities and allows for greater product diversification.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-powered analysis, Century Aluminum receives a 7 out of 10 fundamental rating. This rating considers various factors, including financial health, market position, and growth prospects. The company demonstrates strong financial performance, a solid competitive position, and promising growth opportunities.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis relies on information from sources such as Century Aluminum's corporate website, SEC filings, industry reports, and financial news outlets. While the information is believed to be accurate, it is essential to conduct independent research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Century Aluminum Company
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Chicago, IL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1996-03-28 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D. |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://centuryaluminum.com |
Industry | Aluminum | Full time employees | 2939 |
Headquaters | Chicago, IL, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D. | ||
Website | https://centuryaluminum.com | ||
Website | https://centuryaluminum.com | ||
Full time employees | 2939 |
Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. It also owns and operates an alumina production facility in Iceland, and a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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