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Century Aluminum Company (CENX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/03/2025: CENX (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.46% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.92B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.57 | 1Y Target Price 24 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.57 | 1Y Target Price 24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 941050 | Beta 2.47 | 52 Weeks Range 9.64 - 25.39 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 9.64 - 25.39 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.11 |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 57.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.57 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2376456041 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 |
Enterprise Value 2376456041 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.4 | Shares Outstanding 92798800 | Shares Floating 52446195 |
Shares Outstanding 92798800 | Shares Floating 52446195 | ||
Percent Insiders 44.14 | Percent Institutions 61.01 |
AI Summary
Century Aluminum Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1916 as the Marmet Coal Company, transitioning to aluminum production in 1940.
- Acquired by Glencore International in 2000.
- Became an independent, publicly traded company in 2016.
- Headquarters in Russellville, Arkansas.
Core Business Areas:
- Primary Aluminum: Production of primary aluminum through the electrolytic reduction process.
- Value-Added Products: Manufacturing of high-value aluminum products for diverse applications.
- Recycling: Processing of aluminum scrap and converting it into usable aluminum products.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Michael Bless
- CFO: Jesse Gary
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced professionals with expertise in aluminum industry and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Primary aluminum ingots
- Automotive sheet products
- Billet for extrusion
- Foundry alloys
Market Share:
- Global: 2.4% market share in primary aluminum production.
- US: 11% market share in primary aluminum production.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Competitive pricing and favorable product quality.
- Strong presence in automotive and construction markets.
- Facing increasing competition from Chinese producers.
Total Addressable Market
The global aluminum market is valued at approximately $300 billion USD. The US market is a significant segment with a value of approximately $50 billion USD.
Financial Performance
Revenue: $2.6 billion USD (2022) Net Income: $398 million USD (2022) Profit Margin: 15.3% (2022) Earnings per Share (EPS): $4.82 per share (2022)
Financial Performance Comparison:
- Revenue and earnings have increased significantly in recent years, driven by strong demand and favorable pricing.
- Profit margins have also improved due to cost optimization initiatives.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation, supporting investments and shareholder returns.
- Conservative leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Consistent dividend payer since 2017.
- Current annual dividend yield is approximately 1.5%.
- Payout ratio is approximately 30%, indicating room for further dividend increases.
Shareholder Returns:
- 5-year total shareholder return is approximately 120%.
- 10-year total shareholder return is approximately 350%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Revenue and earnings have grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% in the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued growth expected, driven by rising aluminum demand in key markets.
- Expansion plans are underway to increase production capacity.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Investments in new smelter technologies to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
- Development of partnerships with automotive and construction companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- Growing demand for aluminum from diverse industries.
- Increasing competition from low-cost producers.
- Focus on sustainability and environmental regulations.
Company Positioning:
- Strong market presence in North America.
- Commitment to sustainability through recycling and innovation.
- Well-positioned to benefit from long-term aluminum demand growth.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Alcoa (AA)
- Constellium (CSTM)
- Novelis (NVL)
- Rusal (0486)
Market Share Comparison:
- Century Aluminum Company holds a smaller market share compared to larger competitors.
- However, the company has a strong presence in specific product segments.
Competitive Advantages:
- Low-cost production facilities in the US.
- Vertical integration from bauxite mining to aluminum production.
- Focus on customer relationships and product quality.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller scale compared to major competitors.
- Limited geographical reach.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Rising raw material costs.
- Increasing competition from emerging producers.
- Volatile aluminum prices.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for aluminum in electric vehicles and renewable energy.
- Expansion into new markets and product segments.
- Development of innovative low-carbon aluminum production technologies.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
- No major acquisitions have been reported in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance and growth prospects.
- Competitive advantages in cost and product quality.
- Exposure to growing aluminum markets.
- Potential challenges need to be monitored.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Century Aluminum Company investor relations website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this overview is for general knowledge and informational purposes only, and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
About Century Aluminum Company
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-03-28 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Aluminum | Full time employees 2939 | Website https://centuryaluminum.com |
Full time employees 2939 | Website https://centuryaluminum.com |
Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. It also owns and operates an alumina production facility in Iceland, and a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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