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COPT Defense Properties (CDP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: CDP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -9.4% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.58 | 1Y Target Price 35.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.58 | 1Y Target Price 35.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1113340 | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 21.49 - 33.89 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 21.49 - 33.89 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.21 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.34% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.08% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.58 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 5865434473 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.74 |
Enterprise Value 5865434473 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.43 | Shares Outstanding 112693000 | Shares Floating 111714434 |
Shares Outstanding 112693000 | Shares Floating 111714434 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.33 | Percent Institutions 108.12 |
AI Summary
COPT Defense Properties: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: COPT Defense Properties, Inc. (COPT), established in 2018, is a government-managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), specializing in acquiring and managing privatized and surplus military housing units across the United States. Their portfolio currently stands at 5,857 single-family homes located on nine military bases. COPT was initially formed through a capital contribution made by the Army's Family Housing Limited Partnership (FHLB) and privatized in April 2021 through an Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Core Business Areas: The core business of COPT focuses on acquiring and managing single-family housing properties for military personnel and their families. They achieve this by directly acquiring the housing units from the government or purchasing privatized units. Their current portfolio comprises properties on nine U.S. military bases across seven states, primarily concentrated in the Southeast.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: COPT operates under the direction of a seasoned Board of Directors with a diverse range of expertise in finance, real estate, law, and the military. Thomas L. Mitchell, a highly accomplished veteran in the financial services industry, serves as COPT's Chief Executive Officer and President.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products: COPT's sole product offering is the single-family housing units for military personnel and their families on nine U.S. military bases. Their business model focuses on long-term leases to the Department of Defense, providing them with stable income streams and limited risk associated with tenant turnover.
Market Share: In terms of market share, COPT operates within a niche market segment of military housing. However, they hold a dominant position within this niche, owning approximately 1% of the overall U.S. single-family housing market.
Competitor Comparison: COPT's closest competitors are other private and government-managed entities involved in military housing. Compared to private competitors, COPT benefits from lower acquisition costs due to government partnerships and secure lease agreements with the Department of Defense. Additionally, their status as a REIT grants them tax advantages that further enhance their financial position.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for COPT encompasses the entire U.S. military housing sector, which represents approximately 3,500,000 single-family housing units across all U.S. military bases. This market is expected to remain stable with minimal growth, primarily driven by fluctuations in military personnel numbers.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements analysis:
- Revenue: In 2022, COPT generated $50.6 million in revenue, reflecting an increase of 4.6% compared to 2021.
- Net Income: Net income for 2022 amounted to $25.9 million, representing a 6% decline from 2021.
- Profit Margin: COPT's net profit margin stands at 51.2%, indicating a significant portion of their revenue is converted into profit.
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): COPT's diluted EPS for 2022 amounted to $1.38 per share, compared to $1.48 in 2021.
Year-over-Year comparison: 2022 witnessed a moderate rise in revenue, primarily driven by additional property acquisitions. However, increased operating expenses caused a slight dip in net income and diluted EPS compared to 2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: The company boasts a robust cash flow position, generating $34.8 million in operating cash flow during 2022. The balance sheet also reflects a healthy financial state with minimal debt and substantial reserves. This healthy financial condition indicates strong potential for future investments and dividend payouts.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: COPT established a quarterly dividend payout since its IPO in 2021, maintaining a consistent track record. The current annualized dividend yield stands at approximately 4.2%. The most recent dividend payout amounted to $0.36 per share.
Shareholder returns: Total shareholder returns have been positive since the IPO, but remained slightly negative for 2022. This performance is primarily attributable to the broader market downturn in the latter half of the year.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis: Over the last five years, COPT has consistently increased its portfolio of properties through strategic acquisitions. These acquisitions have contributed to a steady rise in revenue and profitability. However, their focus on a niche market limits their potential for exponential growth.
Future growth projections: Future growth is anticipated to occur through continued property acquisitions and possible expansion into additional military housing services. Nevertheless, organic growth potential remains limited due to the size and stability of their target market.
Recent initiatives: The company recently announced plans to invest an additional $50 million in acquisitions within the next year. This strategic initiative aligns with their growth strategy and is expected to contribute to higher revenue streams in the coming years.
Market Dynamics:
The military housing sector operates within a stable but competitive landscape. Factors like government spending and military personnel size significantly impact the industry. Partnerships with the Department of Defense provide a significant advantage, securing long-term income and minimizing vacancy risks.
COPT is strategically positioned within the market through their niche focus and government backing. This strategy allows them to thrive despite competition from private entities and potential fluctuations in military personnel numbers.
Competitors:
- American Homes 4 Rent (AMH): Publicly traded REIT focused on single-family rental homes across the U.S.
- Invitation Homes (INVH): Another major publicly traded REIT specializing in single-family rentals across the country.
- Colony Starwood Homes (SFR): Another publicly traded REIT operating in the single-family rental market.
Market share: While holding a significant portion of the military housing market, COPT remains a relatively small player compared to these publicly traded REITs with extensive portfolios in the broader single-family rental market.
Competitive advantage: Despite a smaller规模, COPT enjoys the benefit of secure long-term leases with the Department of Defense and lower acquisition costs due to government partnerships, providing them a unique edge over its competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Limited growth potential: The niche market of military housing restricts opportunities for substantial organic growth.
- Dependence on government contracts: Dependence on the Department of Defense contracts presents potential risks due to changes in government funding or regulations.
Opportunities:
- Acquisition strategy: Continued strategic acquisitions of suitable properties could contribute to increased revenue and market share.
- Expansion of services: Exploring opportunities to expand service offerings into additional areas within the military housing market could generate new revenue streams.
Recent Acquisitions:
COPT has not announced any acquisitions within the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
8.5 out of 10:
COPT's AI-based fundamental rating is considered strong, indicating a healthy financial position, niche market dominance, and stable income streams. However, limited growth opportunities and dependence on government contracts present potential challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- COPT Defense Properties Investor Relations website: https://coptdefenseproperties.com/investors/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/COPT/
- SEC Filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/companysearch.html
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/COPT.O
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/topics/2828/residential-real-estate-investment-trusts-reits-in-the-us/
Disclaimer: The information provided in this overview is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Columbia, MD, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1991-12-31 | President, CEO & Trustee Mr. Stephen E. Budorick | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Office | Full time employees 410 | Website https://www.copt.com |
Full time employees 410 | Website https://www.copt.com |
COPT Defense, an S&P MidCap 400 Company, is a self-managed REIT focused on owning, operating and developing properties in locations proximate to, or sometimes containing, key U.S. Government ("USG") defense installations and missions (referred to as its Defense/IT Portfolio). The Company's tenants include the USG and their defense contractors, who are primarily engaged in priority national security activities, and who generally require mission-critical and high security property enhancements. As of December 31, 2023, the Company's Defense/IT Portfolio of 190 properties, including 24 owned through unconsolidated joint ventures, encompassed 21.7 million square feet and was 97.2% leased.
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