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Carnival Corporation (CCL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: CCL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 47.24% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.51 | 1Y Target Price 28.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.51 | 1Y Target Price 28.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 27333733 | Beta 2.67 | 52 Weeks Range 13.78 - 28.72 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.78 - 28.72 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.55 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-25 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.0222 | Actual 0.13 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.51 | Forward PE 10.43 | Enterprise Value 53828786336 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 |
Enterprise Value 53828786336 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.52 | Shares Outstanding 1166610048 | Shares Floating 1265929445 |
Shares Outstanding 1166610048 | Shares Floating 1265929445 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.56 | Percent Institutions 65.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.21 | Target Price 29.7 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 17 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 17 | ||
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell 2 | |
Strong Sell 2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Carnival Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Carnival Corporation, founded in 1972 as Carnival Cruise Lines by Ted Arison, initially operated a single ship. It grew through acquisitions and expanded its portfolio to become the world's largest cruise company, incorporating multiple brands targeting diverse demographics. Notable milestones include going public in 1987 and acquiring Princess Cruises in 2003.
Core Business Areas
- North America & Australia (NAA): Includes brands like Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, and Seabourn, serving the North American and Australian markets with cruises ranging from short getaways to extended voyages.
- Europe: Brands include AIDA Cruises, Costa Cruises, Cunard, and P&O Cruises (UK), catering to European travelers with diverse cruise experiences.
- Cruise Support & Other: Encompasses port operations, tour activities, and other services supporting the cruise lines, as well as corporate overhead.
Leadership and Structure
Josh Weinstein is the current CEO. The company operates with a brand-led organizational structure, with each brand having its own management team. Carnival Corporation is structured as a dual-listed company, with listings on both the New York Stock Exchange (CCL) and the London Stock Exchange (CCL).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Carnival Cruise Line: Carnival Cruise Line is the company's flagship brand, focusing on fun, affordable cruises for families and young adults. It boasts the largest market share within Carnival's portfolio and the broader cruise industry. Competitors include Royal Caribbean International and Norwegian Cruise Line. The estimated market share varies, but is estimated near 8.4 million passengers in 2019. Revenue for Carnival Cruise Line is undisclosed but constitutes a significant portion of Carnival Corporation's overall revenue.
- Princess Cruises: Princess Cruises offers premium, destination-focused cruises catering to a more mature demographic. Competitors include Holland America Line and Celebrity Cruises. Princess Cruises' generated an estimated 1.3 million passengers in 2019.
- Holland America Line: Holland America Line focuses on longer itineraries and cultural immersion, targeting affluent travelers. Competitors include Princess Cruises and Viking Ocean Cruises. Generated over 780,000 passengers in 2019.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cruise industry is characterized by high capital costs, cyclical demand, and sensitivity to economic conditions and geopolitical events. The industry has seen significant growth in recent decades, but was severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Recovery is underway, with increasing occupancy rates and new ship orders. Sustainability is a growing concern.
Positioning
Carnival Corporation is the world's largest cruise company, with a diverse portfolio of brands that cater to a wide range of demographics and preferences. Its scale provides significant cost advantages, but also makes it more susceptible to industry-wide downturns. The company has a strong presence in both North America and Europe.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global cruise market was valued at approximately $30 billion in 2023, is projected to reach $40 billion by 2028. Carnival Corporation is positioned as a leader in this market, capturing a large percentage of the market share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Largest cruise company globally
- Diverse brand portfolio
- Extensive route network
- Strong brand recognition
- Economies of scale
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Vulnerability to economic downturns
- Environmental concerns
- Exposure to geopolitical risks
- Damage to brand reputation due to past incidents
Opportunities
- Growing demand for experiential travel
- Expansion into new markets (e.g., Asia)
- Development of sustainable cruising practices
- Technological innovation (e.g., automation)
- Increasing disposable income in emerging economies
Threats
- Economic recessions
- Geopolitical instability
- Pandemics and health crises
- Environmental regulations
- Increased competition from other travel options
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH)
Competitive Landscape
Carnival Corporation benefits from its scale and brand diversity. However, Royal Caribbean Cruises has been gaining market share and has a reputation for innovation. Norwegian Cruise Line is another major competitor with a strong brand portfolio.
Major Acquisitions
P&O Princess Cruises
- Year: 2003
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 5400
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of P&O Princess Cruises expanded Carnival Corporation's brand portfolio and geographic reach, particularly in the European market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Carnival Corporation experienced steady growth prior to the pandemic. The pandemic caused a significant contraction in revenue and profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued revenue growth as the cruise industry recovers. Future growth is dependent on factors such as consumer confidence, travel restrictions, and the company's ability to manage costs and deleverage.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet optimization, cost-cutting measures, and investments in new ships and technologies. The company is also focused on improving its environmental performance.
Summary
Carnival Corporation, though currently recovering from the pandemic's impact, demonstrates resilience as the world's largest cruise company. While burdened by debt, its diverse brand portfolio and established market presence position it well for long-term growth. Successful deleveraging and adapting to evolving consumer preferences and environmental regulations are key to realizing its potential. Investors should monitor industry trends and Carnival's execution of its strategic initiatives.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Earnings Call Transcripts
- Industry Reports (e.g., Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA))
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carnival Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Miami, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-07-24 | President, CEO, Chief Climate Officer & Director Mr. Joshua Ian Weinstein | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Travel Services | Full time employees 115000 | Website https://www.carnivalcorp.com |
Full time employees 115000 | Website https://www.carnivalcorp.com |
Carnival Corporation & plc, a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: NAA Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The company offers its services under the AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), P&O Cruises (UK), Princess Cruises, and Seabourn brands. It sells its cruises through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, websites, and onboard future cruise consultants. Carnival Corporation & plc was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
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