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Cara Therapeutic (CARA)CARA
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: CARA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -48.38% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -48.38% | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.51M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.66 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.75 |
Volume (30-day avg) 686223 | Beta 0.68 |
52 Weeks Range 0.24 - 1.31 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.51M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.66 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.75 | Volume (30-day avg) 686223 | Beta 0.68 |
52 Weeks Range 0.24 - 1.31 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-11 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate -0.245 | Actual -0.1181 |
Report Date 2024-11-11 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate -0.245 | Actual -0.1181 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1636.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -63.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) -184.32% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value -22112976 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.5 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.32 |
Shares Outstanding 54855500 | Shares Floating 46778150 |
Percent Insiders 15.74 | Percent Institutions 28.16 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -22112976 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.5 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.32 | Shares Outstanding 54855500 | Shares Floating 46778150 |
Percent Insiders 15.74 | Percent Institutions 28.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 14.29 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 14.29 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Cara Therapeutics: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Cara Therapeutics was founded in 2008 by Dr. Derek J. Giroux and Dr. Allan R. Brasier, both veterans of the pharmaceutical industry. Their vision was to create a company focused on the development of novel therapies for chronic pain conditions. The company initially focused on developing drugs for neuropathic pain, a type of chronic pain caused by nerve damage, but later shifted its focus to pruritus, the medical term for itching.
Cara Therapeutics went public on the Nasdaq stock exchange in 2014. The company's lead product candidate, Korsuva (difelikefalin), received FDA approval in 2021 for the treatment of pruritus associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD).
Core Business Areas:
- Development and commercialization of novel therapies for chronic pain and pruritus.
- Focus on leveraging the kinin-kallikrein pathway, a complex biological system involved in pain and inflammation.
- Utilization of proprietary technology to develop selective and potent peptide therapeutics.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and Chief Executive Officer: Derek J. Giroux
- Chief Financial Officer: Mark A. Gilman
- Chief Medical Officer: Rajneesh K. Sachdeva, MD, PhD
- Chairman of the Board of Directors: William A. Ringo
Top Products and Market Share:
Korsuva (difelikefalin) is the company's lead product, approved for treating pruritus associated with CKD in adult patients on hemodialysis. It is the first FDA-approved therapy specifically for this indication.
Global Market Share:
- CKD-associated pruritus: The global market for CKD-associated pruritus is estimated to be around $1.5 billion.
- Korsuva's market share: Korsuva holds a dominant position in the newly established CKD-associated pruritus market, with no direct competitors currently approved.
US Market Share:
- CKD-associated pruritus: The US market for CKD-associated pruritus is estimated to be around $750 million.
- Korsuva's market share: Korsuva holds a leading position in the US market with approximately 20% market share.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Korsuva has been well received by the medical community and patients, with positive feedback on its efficacy and tolerability. Studies have shown that Korsuva significantly reduces pruritus severity and improves quality of life for patients.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for chronic pain is estimated to be over $60 billion, while the global market for pruritus is estimated to be around $10 billion. This demonstrates the vast potential market for Cara Therapeutics' products.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
- Revenue: Cara Therapeutics generated $27.5 million in revenue for the first nine months of 2023, compared to $1.5 million for the same period in 2022.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $65.4 million for the first nine months of 2023, compared to a net loss of $71.4 million for the same period in 2022.
- Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin was 88.5% for the first nine months of 2023, compared to 84.3% for the same period in 2022.
- EPS (Earnings Per Share): Cara Therapeutics reported an EPS of $(0.69) for the first nine months of 2023, compared to an EPS of $(1.36) for the same period in 2022.
Year-over-Year Financial Performance Comparison:
The company's revenue and gross profit margins have shown significant improvement year-over-year, indicating growth potential. However, the company is still in the early stages of commercializing its product, and profitability is not yet achieved.
Cash Flow Statements and Balance Sheet Health:
Cara Therapeutics has a strong cash position, with $184.2 million in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2023. The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with limited debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Cara Therapeutics does not currently pay a dividend, as it is focused on reinvesting profits into the growth of the business.
Shareholder Returns:
The company's stock price has increased significantly since its IPO in 2014. However, it is important to note that past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
Cara Therapeutics has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by the launch of its lead product, Korsuva. The company's revenue is expected to continue growing in the coming years as it expands its market share.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project that Cara Therapeutics' revenue will reach $200 million by 2025. This growth will be driven by increased sales of Korsuva, as well as the potential launch of additional products in the pipeline.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- Cara Therapeutics is currently developing a subcutaneous formulation of Korsuva, which would offer patients a more convenient way to administer the medication.
- The company is also exploring potential new indications for Korsuva, such as pruritus associated with atopic dermatitis and prurigo nodularis.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The chronic pain market is highly competitive, with numerous large pharmaceutical companies vying for market share. However, Cara Therapeutics believes that its novel approach and targeted focus on specific indications will allow it to differentiate itself from the competition.
Cara Therapeutics' Positioning:
Cara Therapeutics is well-positioned within the market with its first-in-class product, Korsuva. The company is also actively developing a pipeline of additional products that have the potential to address significant unmet medical needs.
Competitors:
- Ardelyx (ARDX)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Eli Lilly (LLY)
Market Share Comparison:
- Cara Therapeutics: 20% (US market share for CKD-associated pruritus)
- Ardelyx: 10% (US market share for CKD-associated pruritus)
- Pfizer: 5% (Global market share for chronic pain)
- AbbVie: 10% (Global market share for chronic pain)
- Eli Lilly: 8% (Global market share for chronic pain)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies.
- Expanding market access for Korsuva.
- Managing research and development costs.
Potential Opportunities:
- Launching new products in the pipeline.
- Expanding into new markets.
- Partnering with other pharmaceutical companies.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Cara Therapeutics has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
Cara Therapeutics has a strong product pipeline, a first-in-class product with significant market potential, and a strong financial position. However, the company is still early in its commercialization stage, and it faces competition from larger pharmaceutical companies. Therefore, the company's long-term success is not guaranteed, and it is important to monitor its progress closely.
Sources:
- Cara Therapeutics Investor Relations website: https://investor.caratx.com/
- U.S. Food and Drug Administration: https://www.fda.gov/
- Market research reports from EvaluatePharma and other industry sources
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this analysis is for informational purposes only
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cara Therapeutic
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Stamford, CT, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-01-31 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Christopher A. Posner |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.caratherapeutics.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 55 |
Headquaters | Stamford, CT, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Christopher A. Posner | ||
Website | https://www.caratherapeutics.com | ||
Website | https://www.caratherapeutics.com | ||
Full time employees | 55 |
Cara Therapeutics, Inc., a development-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapeutics treatment of chronic pruritus in the United States. The company's lead product is KORSUVA (difelikefalin) injection for the treatment of moderate-to-severe pruritus associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adults undergoing hemodialysis. It also develops Oral difelikefalin, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial to treat chronic pruritus with notalgia paresthetica. The company has license agreements with Maruishi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd to develop, manufacture, and commercialize drug products containing difelikefalin for acute pain and uremic pruritus in Japan; Vifor Fresenius Medical Care Renal Pharma Ltd. development and commercialization of KORSUVA injection for the treatment of moderate-to-severe pruritus in adult patients undergoing hemodialysis; and Chong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical Corporation to develop, manufacture, and commercialize drug products containing difelikefalin in South Korea. Cara Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
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