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CAKE logo CAKE
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$47.27
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/17/2025: CAKE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -31.61%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.57B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.53
1Y Target Price 56.22
Price to earnings Ratio 15.53
1Y Target Price 56.22
Volume (30-day avg) 1828794
Beta 1.56
52 Weeks Range 32.22 - 57.01
Updated Date 03/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 32.22 - 57.01
Updated Date 03/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.17%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.2

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.38%
Operating Margin (TTM) 6.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.13%
Return on Equity (TTM) 41.18%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.53
Forward PE 13.42
Enterprise Value 4389670425
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72
Enterprise Value 4389670425
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.53
Shares Outstanding 51643000
Shares Floating 40455964
Shares Outstanding 51643000
Shares Floating 40455964
Percent Insiders 6.97
Percent Institutions 98.89

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.53
Target Price 50.29
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Hold 6
Sell 2
Strong Sell 2
Strong Sell 2

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

The Cheesecake Factory

stock logo

Company Overview

History and Background

The Cheesecake Factory was founded in 1978 by David M. Overton in Beverly Hills, California. It started as a bakery selling cheesecakes and expanded to a full-service restaurant chain known for its extensive menu and large portions. Significant milestones include its IPO in 1992 and expansion across the US and internationally.

Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: The primary business segment involves operating full-service restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and other brand names. These restaurants offer a wide variety of menu items, including appetizers, entrees, desserts, and beverages.
  • Food Manufacturing and Bakery: This segment focuses on producing cheesecakes and other baked goods for its restaurants and third-party distributors.

Leadership and Structure

The current CEO is David M. Overton. The company has a traditional corporate structure with departments for operations, finance, marketing, and human resources.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Cheesecakes: The Cheesecake Factory's signature product, available in numerous flavors. Market share information specifically for cheesecake sales is not publicly available, but the brand is a dominant player in the dessert category within the casual dining segment. Competitors include local bakeries, grocery store bakeries, and other restaurant chains with dessert offerings.
  • Entrees: The Cheesecake Factory offers a wide range of entrees, including pasta, seafood, steak, and salads. These contribute significantly to overall revenue. Competitors are a vast array of casual dining restaurants such as Olive Garden (DRI), Red Lobster (private), and Chili's (EAT).
  • North Italia: The Cheesecake Factory operates restaurants under the brand name North Italia. North Italia is an upscale restaurant chain serving a range of Italian dishes from pizzas and pastas to sandwiches and salads. Competitors include Maggianos (private), Carrabbas (private), and other local Italian restaurants.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The restaurant industry is highly competitive and subject to economic fluctuations, changing consumer preferences, and rising food and labor costs. The casual dining segment faces increasing competition from fast-casual restaurants and delivery services.

Positioning

The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as a higher-end casual dining restaurant known for its extensive menu, large portions, and popular cheesecakes. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, diverse menu, and a loyal customer base.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US restaurant industry's TAM is estimated to be over $900 billion. The Cheesecake Factory is positioned within the casual dining segment, estimated at approximately $200 billion of that TAM. They aim to capture a significant share through their diverse offerings and brand recognition.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive menu with diverse options
  • High average check size
  • Established supply chain
  • Loyal customer base

Weaknesses

  • High labor costs
  • Menu complexity can impact service speed
  • Susceptible to commodity price fluctuations
  • Large restaurant footprint can be inefficient
  • Relatively slow growth compared to fast-casual

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets (international and domestic)
  • Increased focus on delivery and takeout
  • Menu innovation and new product development
  • Leveraging technology to improve efficiency
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Rising food and labor costs
  • Increased competition from other restaurant chains
  • Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • DRI
  • EAT
  • TXRH

Competitive Landscape

The Cheesecake Factory faces intense competition from other casual dining chains. It differentiates itself through its extensive menu, popular cheesecakes, and brand recognition. However, it faces challenges related to cost management and service speed.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: The Cheesecake Factory has experienced steady growth in revenue and restaurant count over the past decade, although growth has slowed in recent years due to increased competition and economic headwinds.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for The Cheesecake Factory in the coming years, driven by new restaurant openings and same-store sales increases.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the North Italia concept, investing in technology to improve the customer experience, and focusing on cost management.

Summary

The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established casual dining chain with strong brand recognition and a diverse menu. Its extensive menu and brand loyalty help it maintain strong revenue. However, it faces challenges related to rising costs, increased competition, and changing consumer preferences. Expanding delivery options and innovating on their menu can boost the company.

Similar Companies

  • DRI
  • EAT
  • BLMN
  • RUTH
  • DIN

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company website, SEC filings, market research reports, analyst reports.

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About The Cheesecake Factory

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 47900
Full time employees 47900

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

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