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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)CAKE

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
The Cheesecake Factory
$39.17
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-4.77%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 13 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/14/2024: CAKE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -47.01%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 10/14/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -47.01%
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/14/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.38B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.64
1Y Target Price 47.56
Dividends yield (FY) 2.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.64
Volume (30-day avg) 859435
Beta 1.48
52 Weeks Range 30.11 - 50.46
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.38B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.64
1Y Target Price 47.56
Dividends yield (FY) 2.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.64
Volume (30-day avg) 859435
Beta 1.48
52 Weeks Range 30.11 - 50.46
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-29
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.49
Actual 0.58
Report Date 2024-10-29
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.49
Actual 0.58

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.63%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.61%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 35.74%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Valuation

Trailing PE 17.64
Forward PE 12.77
Enterprise Value 4213188132
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.64
Shares Outstanding 51039700
Shares Floating 40519984
Percent Insiders 6.85
Percent Institutions 92.25
Trailing PE 17.64
Forward PE 12.77
Enterprise Value 4213188132
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.64
Shares Outstanding 51039700
Shares Floating 40519984
Percent Insiders 6.85
Percent Institutions 92.25

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.5
Target Price 34.27
Buy 1
Strong Buy 7
Hold 6
Sell 2
Strong Sell 2
Rating 3.5
Target Price 34.27
Buy 1
Strong Buy 7
Hold 6
Sell 2
Strong Sell 2

AI Summarization

The Cheesecake Factory: A Detailed Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

Founded in 1978 by David Overton in Beverly Hills, The Cheesecake Factory began as a small cheesecake shop with only 25 varieties. It quickly gained popularity due to its generous portions and high-quality ingredients. In 1987, the first full-service restaurant opened, marking a shift from the bakery format. Today, The Cheesecake Factory operates over 300 full-service restaurants in the U.S. and Canada, serving American dishes with extensive cheesecake and dessert selections. The company went public in 1992.

Core Business Areas:

  • Casual dining restaurants: The Cheesecake Factory offers a diverse menu with over 200 items, including appetizers, main courses, desserts, and cheesecakes.
  • Catering services: Providing catering options for events of all sizes.
  • Private label bakery products: Selling cheesecakes and other bakery items to retailers under their brand.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

David Overton serves as Chairman and Founder. Howard Gordon is Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer. Eric Lefkofsky and Matt Higgins are co-CEOs, sharing responsibilities for restaurant operations and development.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Description:

  • Cheesecakes: The namesake item, with over 30 flavors available in whole cakes or slices.
  • Factory-style Appetizers: Large portioned appetizers like spinach and artichoke dip.
  • Hearty Main Courses: Extensive selection of pasta, pizza, salads, meat dishes.
  • Late-Night Menu: Available in most locations after 10pm, offering smaller portions.

Market Share:

The Cheesecake Factory holds 4-5% of the casual dining market share in the United States. This segment is highly competitive, with dominant players like Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse) and Bloomin' Brands (Outback Steakhouse).

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for casual dining restaurants in the US is estimated at $85-90 billion. This market is expected to remain stable, with projected growth between 2-3% in the coming years.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $2.4 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $122.5 million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 4.7% (2022)
  • EPS: $2.45 (2022)

Year-over-Year Comparison: Revenue has grown at an average rate of 4-5% in the past 5 years. Net income and profit margins have fluctuated slightly but remained positive.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company maintains a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: Historically, The Cheesecake Factory has a consistent dividend payout. The current annual dividend is $0.48 per share, yielding around 1.8%. The payout ratio is approximately 20% of net income.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, The Cheesecake Factory stock has returned around 12%, outperforming the broader market. Long-term returns over the past 5 and 10 years have averaged around 7% and 9% annually.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: The company has exhibited steady revenue growth in the past decade, primarily through expanding its restaurant footprint.
  • Future Growth: Projections indicate modest growth of 3-4% in the near future, relying on continued restaurant expansion and menu innovation.
  • New Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include virtual kitchens for delivery services and exploring international expansion.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview: The casual dining industry is characterized by high competition, moderate growth potential, and sensitivity to economic fluctuations, consumer preferences, and technology trends.

Company's Positioning: The Cheesecake Factory is known for its large portions, diverse menu, and premium ingredients, catering to customers seeking a satisfying dining experience at moderate prices. However, the company faces continued pressure from rising labor costs, changing consumer tastes, and increasing competition from fast-casual and delivery-focused restaurants.

Competitors:

  • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN): Market share of approximately 5-6%, known for Outback Steakhouse and Bonefish Grill.
  • Darden Restaurants (DRI): Leading casual dining operator with over 1,800 restaurants, including Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse.
  • BJ's Restaurants (BJRI): Smaller competitor with 214 restaurants, mainly focused on California and surrounding states.

Competitive Advantages & Disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Brand recognition, extensive menu, loyal customer base, efficient operations.
  • Disadvantages: Limited menu customization, higher price point than some competitors, vulnerability to

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About The Cheesecake Factory

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17 Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 47900
Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Full time employees 47900

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

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