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Bluebird bio Inc (BLUE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: BLUE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -65.62% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 81.08M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 37.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 581027 | Beta 0.8 | 52 Weeks Range 5.80 - 38.40 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 5.80 - 38.40 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -36 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -548.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -36.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) -186.7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 374167625 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48 |
Enterprise Value 374167625 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.5 | Shares Outstanding 9722220 | Shares Floating 193013826 |
Shares Outstanding 9722220 | Shares Floating 193013826 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.63 | Percent Institutions 43.69 |
AI Summary
Bluebird bio Inc. (BLUE): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- Focuses on developing gene therapy treatments for severe genetic diseases.
- Publicly traded on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker symbol BLUE.
- Has faced challenges with the FDA regarding the safety and efficacy of their lead product.
Core business areas:
- Gene therapy for severe genetic diseases, including:
- LentiGlobin (beta-thalassemia)
- beti-cel (metachromatic leukodystrophy)
- eli-cel (early cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy)
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Nick Leschly, Chief Executive Officer
- Paul Sondel, Chief Operating Officer
- John Carroll, Chief Financial Officer
- Board of directors composed of industry veterans with expertise in biotechnology and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products:
- LentiGlobin: a potential one-time gene therapy for beta-thalassemia, currently under FDA review.
- Zynteglo: an approved gene therapy for beta-thalassemia in Europe.
- beti-cel: FDA-approved gene therapy for the treatment of Metachromatic Leukodystrophy (MLD).
Market share:
- Global market share for gene therapies for rare diseases is estimated to be less than 1%.
- LentiGlobin, if approved, could capture a significant share of the beta-thalassemia market, which is estimated to be worth over $2 billion annually.
- The MLD gene therapy market is estimated to be worth around $250 million.
Comparison against competitors:
- Bluebird faces competition from other gene therapy companies like Spark Therapeutics and uniQure.
- Bluebird has a first-mover advantage with LentiGlobin and has demonstrated strong clinical data for beti-cel and eli-cel.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
- The global gene therapy market is expected to reach $29.4 billion by 2027.
- The rare disease gene therapy market is estimated to be worth around $10 billion.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: $223 million (2022)
- Net income: -$429 million (2022)
- Gross margin: 84.3% (2022)
- EPS: -$11.31 (2022)
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue increased by 35% from 2021.
- Net loss increased from -$342 million in 2021.
- EPS declined from -$8.23 in 2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- $422 million in cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2022.
- Total debt of $750 million.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Bluebird does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder returns:
- One-year total return: -62%
- Five-year total return: -85%
- Ten-year total return: -97%
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
- Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% over the past five years.
- Net loss has also increased significantly during this period.
Future growth projections:
- Growth is expected to be driven by the potential approval and commercialization of LentiGlobin.
- The company is also developing additional gene therapies for other rare diseases.
Market Dynamics
Industry trends:
- Increasing investment in gene therapy research and development.
- Growing demand for personalized medicine.
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny of gene therapies.
Bluebird's positioning:
- Strong pipeline of gene therapy candidates.
- Experienced management team.
- Access to a global network of clinical trial sites.
Competitors
- Spark Therapeutics (ONCE)
- uniQure (QURE)
- Orchard Therapeutics (ORTX)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
Market share comparison:
- Bluebird does not currently have any products on the market in the U.S.
- Spark Therapeutics has one approved product, Luxturna, for the treatment of Leber congenital amaurosis.
- uniQure has one approved product, Glybera, for the treatment of lipoprotein lipase deficiency.
- Orchard Therapeutics has two approved products, Libmeldy and Strimvelis, for the treatment of metachromatic leukodystrophy and adenosine deaminase deficiency, respectively.
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical has several approved products for the treatment of rare diseases.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Bluebird has a first-mover advantage with LentiGlobin.
- The company has a strong track record of developing innovative gene therapies.
- However, Bluebird has faced setbacks with the FDA and has a limited commercial presence.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Obtaining regulatory approvals for new products.
- Manufacturing gene therapies at scale.
- Managing competition from other gene therapy companies.
Potential opportunities:
- The growing market for gene therapies.
- The potential to develop new treatments for other rare diseases.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- Bluebird has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 5/10
Justification:
- Bluebird has a promising pipeline of gene therapy candidates.
- The company has faced challenges with the FDA and has a limited commercial presence.
- The gene therapy market is growing rapidly, but it is also highly competitive.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Bluebird bio Inc. Investor Relations website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Somerville, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-06-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Andrew Obenshain | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 375 | Website https://www.bluebirdbio.com |
Full time employees 375 | Website https://www.bluebirdbio.com |
bluebird bio, Inc., a biotechnology company, researches, develops, and commercializes gene therapies for curative severe genetic diseases in the United States. The company's product candidates for severe genetic diseases include ZYNTEGLO (betibeglogene autotemcel) for the treatment of transfusion-dependent ß-thalassemia; lovotibeglogene autotemcel for the treatment of sickle cell disease (SCD); and SKYSONA (elivaldogene autotemcel) to treat cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy. Its clinical development programs include HGB-205, HGB-206, and HGB-210 to evaluate the safety and efficacy of lovo-cel in the treatment of patients with SCD; and HGB-204, HGB-205, HGB-207, and HGB-212 to evaluate the safety and efficacy of beti-cel in the treatment of patients with ß-thalassemia. The company was formerly known as Genetix Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and changed its name to bluebird bio, Inc. in September 2010. bluebird bio, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Somerville, Massachusetts.
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