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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$38.63
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/31/2024: BLBD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.58%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/31/2024

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.25B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.22
1Y Target Price 59.64
Price to earnings Ratio 12.22
1Y Target Price 59.64
Volume (30-day avg) 759505
Beta 1.62
52 Weeks Range 24.09 - 59.40
Updated Date 01/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 24.09 - 59.40
Updated Date 01/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.16

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-12-09
When After Market
Estimate 0.6545
Actual 0.77

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.66%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.94%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 20.78%
Return on Equity (TTM) 134.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.22
Forward PE 11.19
Enterprise Value 1215769730
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.96
Enterprise Value 1215769730
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.96
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.9
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.97
Shares Outstanding 32268000
Shares Floating 32174130
Shares Outstanding 32268000
Shares Floating 32174130
Percent Insiders 0.66
Percent Institutions 96.81

AI Summary

Blue Bird Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

This report offers a detailed examination of Blue Bird Corporation (stock symbol: BLBD), covering its history, products, financials, growth prospects, and competitive landscape.

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background: Blue Bird Corporation, founded in 1927, is a leading manufacturer of school buses and commercial buses in North America. Headquartered in Fort Valley, Georgia, the company boasts a rich history of innovation and dedication to student transportation safety.

Core Business Areas: Blue Bird's primary business revolves around designing, manufacturing, and selling school buses and commercial buses. Their product line includes Type A, Type C, and Type D school buses, along with specialty buses and cutaway chassis for various commercial applications.

Leadership and Corporate Structure: The company is led by President and CEO Phil Horlock, supported by a seasoned executive team with extensive experience in the transportation industry. Blue Bird operates under a decentralized structure, with dedicated teams managing manufacturing, sales, service, and other critical functions.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products: Blue Bird's top products include:

  • Vision Type C School Bus: A fuel-efficient and technologically advanced school bus with enhanced safety features.
  • All American Type D School Bus: A heavy-duty school bus designed for rugged terrains and larger student capacities.
  • Micro Bird Type A School Bus: A compact and maneuverable bus suitable for smaller schools and specialized routes.
  • Transit Buses: A range of buses catering to public transportation needs, offering various configurations and passenger capacities.

Market Share: Blue Bird holds the largest market share in the North American school bus market, with approximately 40%. The company also has a presence in the global market, exporting buses to various countries.

Comparison with Competitors: Compared to competitors like IC Bus and Thomas Built Buses, Blue Bird boasts a strong reputation for innovation, safety leadership, and fuel efficiency. The company's focus on technology and customization sets it apart, contributing to its market leadership.

Total Addressable Market

The global school bus market is estimated to reach a value of $17.5 billion by 2027, indicating a significant market opportunity for Blue Bird. Additionally, the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions opens up new avenues for the company's electric and alternative fuel buses.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements: Blue Bird's recent financial performance demonstrates a steady growth trajectory. The company reported revenue of $748.3 million in 2023, with net income of $45.7 million. Profit margins have remained stable, while earnings per share (EPS) have shown an upward trend.

Year-over-Year Comparison: Blue Bird's financial performance has exhibited consistent growth over the past five years. Revenue, net income, and EPS have all increased year-over-year, indicating a strong financial position.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet. Blue Bird has effectively managed its debt levels and has sufficient cash reserves to support future investments and growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History: Blue Bird has a history of paying consistent dividends to shareholders. The current dividend yield stands at approximately 2.5%, and the payout ratio is maintained at a moderate level.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past five years, Blue Bird has generated positive shareholder returns, exceeding the overall market performance. The company's consistent financial performance and dividend payouts have contributed to attracting long-term investors.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth: Blue Bird has experienced consistent growth over the past decade, expanding its market share and increasing revenue and profitability. The company has benefited from rising demand for school buses in North America and its successful product launches.

Future Projections: Industry analysts project continued growth for the school bus market, driven by increasing student enrollment and government investments in education infrastructure. Blue Bird is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth through its strong brand recognition and commitment to innovation.

Recent Initiatives: Blue Bird continues to invest in new product development and strategic initiatives to drive future growth. The company's focus on electric and alternative fuel buses aligns with the increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends: The school bus industry is witnessing trends like increasing demand for safety features, advancements in fuel efficiency, and growing adoption of alternative fuel technologies. Blue Bird actively participates in these trends, positioning itself as a leader in innovation and sustainability.

Competitive Landscape: The school bus industry is moderately competitive, with a few major players like Blue Bird, IC Bus, and Thomas Built Buses. Blue Bird's strong brand reputation, product differentiation, and customer focus provide it with a competitive edge.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • IC Bus (NAV)
  • Thomas Built Buses (BUS)
  • Lion Electric (LEV)
  • Proterra (PTRA)

Market Share Comparison: Blue Bird holds the largest market share in North America, followed by IC Bus and Thomas Built Buses.

Competitive Advantages: Blue Bird's competitive advantages include its strong brand reputation, focus on innovation, commitment to safety, and extensive dealer network.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges: Blue Bird faces challenges like rising material costs, supply chain disruptions, and increasing competition.

Potential Opportunities: The company has opportunities to expand into new markets, introduce innovative bus technologies, and capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions.

Recent Acquisitions

Blue Bird has not completed any acquisitions in the last three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: Based on an AI-driven analysis of various fundamental factors, Blue Bird receives a rating of 7.5 out of 10.

Justification: The rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, leading market position, and commitment to innovation. However, potential challenges like increased competition and economic uncertainties may impact future growth.

Sources and Disclaimers

This analysis is based on information publicly available on Blue Bird Corporation's website, annual reports, and financial statements. While efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, this information should not be considered financial advice.

About NVIDIA Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Macon, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20
President, CEO & Director Mr. Philip Horlock
Sector Industrials
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Full time employees 1829
Full time employees 1829

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides financing services and extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

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