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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$32.93
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: BLBD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 31.58%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.26
1Y Target Price 53
Price to earnings Ratio 10.26
1Y Target Price 53
Volume (30-day avg) 553696
Beta 1.57
52 Weeks Range 30.67 - 59.40
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 30.67 - 59.40
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.21

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.05%
Operating Margin (TTM) 10.7%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.43%
Return on Equity (TTM) 84.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE 10.26
Forward PE 9.15
Enterprise Value 1015568798
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value 1015568798
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.76
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.6
Shares Outstanding 32111100
Shares Floating 31997726
Shares Outstanding 32111100
Shares Floating 31997726
Percent Insiders 0.73
Percent Institutions 111.84

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.43
Target Price 59.64
Buy 2
Strong Buy 4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 4
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Blue Bird Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Blue Bird Corp, founded in 1927, is an American bus manufacturer known for producing school buses. Initially a Ford Model T converted into a bus, it grew to become a leading player in the school bus market. Significant milestones include the introduction of all-steel buses and the development of alternative fuel buses.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • School Buses: Blue Bird's primary business is manufacturing school buses, including Type A, C, and D buses powered by diesel, gasoline, propane, and electric powertrains.
  • Parts and Service: The company also provides aftermarket parts, service, and support for its buses.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Phil Horlock serves as the President and CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure focusing on engineering, manufacturing, sales, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Type C School Buses: Blue Bird's Type C school buses are conventional buses with the engine in front. They hold a significant market share in this segment. Competitors include Navistar's IC Bus and Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck North America). Market share estimates vary but indicate Blue Bird as a key player.
  • Type D School Buses: These are transit-style or forward-engine buses. Blue Bird Vision and All American models are included here. Competitors include Thomas Built Buses and IC Bus. Market share estimates position Blue Bird as a notable competitor in this sector.
  • Electric School Buses: Blue Bird is a leader in the electric school bus market, offering electric versions of its Type C and D buses. This is a rapidly growing market segment. Competitors include Lion Electric and Proterra.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The school bus market is characterized by demand driven by student transportation needs, government regulations, and funding. The industry is increasingly focused on alternative fuel and electric buses due to environmental concerns and cost savings.

Positioning

Blue Bird is a leading player in the school bus market, recognized for its innovative designs, safety features, and alternative fuel options. Its competitive advantage lies in its long history, established brand reputation, and extensive dealer network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The North American school bus market is estimated to be worth several billion dollars annually. With the increased push for electric vehicles, this TAM is rapidly expanding. Blue Bird is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the growing electric school bus market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive dealer network
  • Leading position in alternative fuel buses
  • Long history and experience
  • Diverse product portfolio

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on government funding
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
  • Potential warranty costs
  • Higher debt compared to cash reserves

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for electric school buses
  • Government incentives for alternative fuel vehicles
  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of advanced safety technologies

Threats

  • Competition from other bus manufacturers
  • Economic downturns affecting school budgets
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Navistar International Corp (NAV)
  • Daimler Truck North America (Parent: DTRUY)
  • Lion Electric Co (LEV)

Competitive Landscape

Blue Bird maintains a competitive advantage through its extensive network and alternative fuel offerings, especially in electric buses. Competitors like Navistar and Daimler Truck focus more broadly on commercial vehicles, while Lion Electric concentrates exclusively on electric buses.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Data unavailable. Analyst required to populate.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth driven by the increasing adoption of electric school buses and demand for alternative fuel options.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding electric bus production capacity, developing new safety technologies, and strengthening partnerships with suppliers.

Summary

Blue Bird Corp is a significant player in the school bus market, particularly known for its expertise in alternative fuel vehicles, including electric buses. The company's strengths lie in its brand recognition and dealer network, but it faces challenges related to government funding dependence and economic sensitivity. The increasing adoption of electric buses presents a substantial growth opportunity. The company needs to be mindful of competitor's pricing and technology advancements.

Similar Companies

LEVratingrating

Lion Electric Corp

$0.07
Small-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

LEVratingrating

Lion Electric Corp

$0.07
Small-Cap Stock
0%
PASS

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and estimates, and is subject to change. Market share data may vary by source.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Blue Bird Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Macon, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-20
President, CEO & Director Mr. John Wyskiel
Sector Industrials
Industry Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Full time employees 1945
Full time employees 1945

Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.

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