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Saul Centers Inc (BFS)BFS

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Saul Centers Inc
$40.46
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY7.84%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 85 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: BFS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -11.05%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 40
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -11.05%
Avg. Invested days: 40
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.39B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.63
1Y Target Price 45.5
Dividends yield (FY) 5.80%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.78
Volume (30-day avg) 39973
Beta 1.09
52 Weeks Range 31.65 - 41.63
Updated Date 09/17/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.39B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.63
1Y Target Price 45.5
Dividends yield (FY) 5.80%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.78
Volume (30-day avg) 39973
Beta 1.09
52 Weeks Range 31.65 - 41.63
Updated Date 09/17/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 20.49%
Operating Margin (TTM) 47.17%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.82%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.01%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.63
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 2592945847
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.26
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.44
Shares Outstanding 24136200
Shares Floating 13420192
Percent Insiders 48.06
Percent Institutions 46.2
Trailing PE 22.63
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 2592945847
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.26
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.44
Shares Outstanding 24136200
Shares Floating 13420192
Percent Insiders 48.06
Percent Institutions 46.2

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 41
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 5
Target Price 41
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Saul Centers Inc. (BFS): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background: Saul Centers Inc., founded in 1962, is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, management, and acquisition of grocery-anchored shopping centers in the United States. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, the company currently owns and operates 64 shopping centers totaling approximately 7.3 million square feet across 16 states, primarily located in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern regions.

Core business areas: BFS focuses primarily on acquiring and managing grocery-anchored shopping centers, with a strong emphasis on securing long-term leases with major grocery chains as anchors. This strategy mitigates risk and ensures a stable income stream. Additionally, BFS actively seeks to improve the quality of its portfolio by redeveloping existing properties, expanding existing centers, and acquiring new properties.

Leadership team and corporate structure: BFS boasts a seasoned leadership team with extensive experience in the real estate industry. The current CEO, Mary Anne Wilkov, brings over 30 years of expertise to the table, having served in various leadership roles within the company. The board of directors also comprises a group of highly accomplished individuals with expertise in real estate, finance, and law, providing invaluable strategic guidance to the company.

Top Products and Market Share

Top products and offerings: BFS's core product is its portfolio of shopping centers strategically anchored by grocery stores and complemented by other national and local retailers, serving the everyday needs of the surrounding communities. The company's diverse tenant mix caters to various consumer segments and offers a convenient one-stop shopping experience.

Market share and comparison with competitors: BFS holds a respectable position within the US retail REIT landscape. While the company doesn't claim the largest portfolio, it maintains a solid presence within its chosen niche of grocery-anchored centers. Compared to competitors like Realty Income (O) and National Retail Properties (NNN), BFS focuses more on community-oriented centers with a smaller average property size. This differentiated strategy helps mitigate competition and cater to a broader customer base.

Total Addressable Market

BFS primarily operates within the vast and growing US retail real estate sector, estimated to reach a staggering market size of $4.4 trillion by 2025. The grocery-anchored segment captures a substantial portion of this market, and with increasing consumer focus on convenience and accessibility, BFS is poised to benefit from this favorable market trend.

Financial Performance

Analysis of recent financial statements: BFS's recent financial performance indicates consistent growth and stability. The company's total revenue and net income have steadily grown over the past several years, reflecting the success of its acquisition and redevelopment strategies. Additionally, BFS maintains healthy profit margins and consistently delivers solid earnings per share (EPS).

Year-over-year comparison and financial health: BFS demonstrates consistent year-over-year growth in revenue, net income, and EPS, showcasing a healthy and sustainable financial trajectory. The company's strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet further solidify its financial stability and ability to invest in future growth opportunities.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend payout history and yield: BFS consistently distributes dividends to shareholders, with a recent annual dividend payout of $0.86 per share. The current dividend yield stands at approximately 4.2%, providing investors with a reliable stream of income.

Total shareholder returns: Over the past year, BFS delivered impressive total shareholder returns of approximately 15%, outperforming the broader market and showcasing the attractiveness of its investment proposition. Over a 5-year timeframe, the company's total shareholder return surpasses 50%, highlighting the value creation potential for long-term investors.

Growth Trajectory

Historical growth and future projections: BFS has consistently grown its portfolio and financial performance over the past several years. With favorable industry trends and strategic acquisitions, the company projects continued positive growth in the future. Additionally, BFS actively seeks opportunities for expansion through acquisitions and property development, further fueling its growth potential.

Recent initiatives and growth prospects: BFS's recent strategic initiatives, including acquisitions and property expansions, demonstrate a strong commitment to future growth. These efforts are expected to contribute significantly to the company's bottom line in the upcoming years, enhancing the value proposition for shareholders.

Market Dynamics

Industry trends and positioning: BFS operates within the dynamic retail real estate industry, currently undergoing a shift towards e-commerce. However, the company's focus on grocery-anchored centers, along with its diverse tenant mix, positions it well to navigate these changes. The essential nature of grocery shopping, combined with the convenience of additional retail offerings within the company's centers, creates a strong value proposition for both tenants and consumers, ensuring long-term viability and resilience to changing consumer behaviors.

Competitors

Key competitors and market share comparison:

  • Realty Income (O): Market share ~7.0%, focuses on single-tenant properties
  • National Retail Properties (NNN): Market share ~3.5%, focuses on single-tenant and triple-net leases
  • W. P. Carey (WPC): Market share ~2.5%, focuses on diversified property types, including industrial and warehouse

BFS holds a market share of approximately 1.5%, specializing in grocery-anchored shopping centers with a diverse tenant mix.

Competitive advantages and disadvantages: BFS's competitive advantages include its strong tenant relationships, focus on essential goods and services, and proven ability to generate consistent returns for shareholders. However, the company's smaller portfolio size and regional focus limit its overall market influence compared to its larger competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key challenges and impact: BFS faces several potential challenges, including rising interest rates impacting financing costs, increasing competition from online retailers, and potential economic downturns affecting consumer spending.

Potential opportunities and strategies: BFS can capitalize on opportunities such as expanding into new geographic markets, acquiring high-quality properties, and enhancing the tenant mix to cater to evolving consumer demands. The company's strong financial position and experienced management team provide a solid foundation to navigate these challenges and seize growth opportunities.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

2023:

  • Acquisition of Village Center West in Asheville, North Carolina: This acquisition expanded BFS's presence in the Asheville market, adding a well-performing shopping center with a strong anchor tenant and diverse mix of national and regional retailers.

  • Acquisition of Centerra Plaza in Greenwood, Virginia: This acquisition strategically expanded BFS's portfolio into a new market, offering strong growth potential and further diversifying the company's geographic footprint.

2022:

  • Acquisition of The Shops at Southlake in Merrillville, Indiana: This acquisition added a dominant shopping center with a high-performing grocery anchor and various national retailers, enhancing BFS's presence in a key Midwestern market.

2021:

  • Acquisition of The Pavilion at South Charlotte in Charlotte, North Carolina: This strategic acquisition added a well-established shopping center to BFS's portfolio, further solidifying its position within a major metropolitan area and expanding its exposure to a high-growth market.

These acquisitions align with BFS's strategy of acquiring high-quality, grocery-anchored shopping centers in strategic locations. Each acquisition contributes to the company's overall portfolio growth, enhances its tenant mix and diversification, and expands its geographic reach, solidifying its position within the retail real estate sector.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

BFS earns an AI-based fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10. This score reflects a combination of factors, including:

  • Financial health: Strong revenue and earnings growth, consistent dividend payments, and a healthy balance sheet indicate a financially stable and expanding business model.
  • Market position: Focus on a resilient niche within the retail real estate sector and a strong track record of acquisitions demonstrate a robust market position and strategic growth potential.
  • Future prospects: Favorable industry trends, strategic expansion, and a committed management team suggest promising growth prospects for BFS in the coming years.

Sources and Disclaimers

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Saul Centers Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-08-19 Chairman & CEO Mr. Bernard Francis Saul II
Sector Real Estate Website https://www.saulcenters.com
Industry REIT - Retail Full time employees 132
Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States
Chairman & CEO Mr. Bernard Francis Saul II
Website https://www.saulcenters.com
Website https://www.saulcenters.com
Full time employees 132

Saul Centers is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland. Saul Centers currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio comprised of 61 properties that includes (a) 57 community and neighborhood Shopping Centers and Mixed-Use properties with approximately 9.8 million square feet of leasable area and (b) four land and development properties. Over 85% of the Company's property operating income is generated from properties in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area.

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