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Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: BF-B (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.05% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.92 | 1Y Target Price 47.78 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.92 | 1Y Target Price 47.78 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2701021 | Beta 0.76 | 52 Weeks Range 37.71 - 59.84 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 37.71 - 59.84 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.21% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.12 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-12-04 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.5 | Actual 0.55 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 24.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 29.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 29.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.92 | Forward PE 20.62 | Enterprise Value 20689630567 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.38 |
Enterprise Value 20689630567 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.38 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.02 | Shares Outstanding 303537984 | Shares Floating 333821290 |
Shares Outstanding 303537984 | Shares Floating 333821290 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.98 | Percent Institutions 62.88 |
AI Summary
Brown-Forman Corporation: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Founded in 1870 by George Garvin Brown, Brown-Forman traces its roots to Louisville, Kentucky, where the company still operates its headquarters. Initially known for its whiskey production, the company expanded its portfolio to include a diverse range of alcoholic beverage brands over the years. Today, Brown-Forman enjoys a global presence with operations in over 160 countries.
Core Business Areas:
- Whiskey: Brown-Forman's flagship products are renowned whiskey brands like Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Old Forester.
- Tequila: The company's tequila portfolio includes Herradura and el Jimador brands, catering to the growing tequila market.
- Other Spirits: Brown-Forman also produces other spirits like Finlandia Vodka, Chambord liqueur, and BenRiach Scotch Whisky, diversifying its offerings beyond whiskey.
Leadership Team:
- CEO: Lawson Whiting
- CFO: Jane Morreau
- COO: Michael Keyes
- President & COO, Brown-Forman Beverages: Lawson Whiting
- President, Jack Daniel's: Jeff Norman
- EVP, Chief Growth Officer: Chris S. Morris
- EVP, Global Chief Supply Chain Officer: Brian J. Sather
- EVP, Chief People & Legal Officer: Laina C. Driendl
- EVP, Global Chief Information Officer: Mark D. Dorsten
- EVP, Global Chief Marketing Officer: Stephanie Jacoby
- SVP, Corporate Communications & Community Affairs: Marci McDade
- EVP, Corporate Strategy & Development: Jack Shea
- EVP, Corporate Human Resources: Jennifer Powell
- EVP, Global General Counsel: Kevin M. Brown
Corporate Structure:
Brown-Forman operates through various subsidiaries and brands, each focusing on specific product lines and market segments. The company employs a decentralized organizational structure, allowing its individual brands to operate with autonomy while leveraging central resources for efficiency.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Jack Daniel's: The flagship brand, Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey, accounts for a significant portion of Brown-Forman's revenues and is a global leader in the whiskey category.
- Woodford Reserve: This super-premium bourbon has witnessed impressive growth in recent years and enjoys strong brand recognition among bourbon aficionados.
- Herradura: Brown-Forman's top tequila brand, Herradura, holds a strong position in the growing tequila market, particularly in the United States.
Market Share:
- Jack Daniel's: Holds the global market leader position in the Tennessee Whiskey category.
- Woodford Reserve: Commands a significant share of the super-premium bourbon segment with continued growth potential.
- Herradura: Enjoys a leading position within the tequila category in the United States.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Brown-Forman's top products consistently receive positive reviews from consumers and industry experts. Jack Daniel's, in particular, is recognized for its consistent quality and iconic status, contributing to the brand's enduring success.
Total Addressable Market:
The global alcoholic beverages market represents a massive market for Brown-Forman, encompassing various segments like whiskey, tequila, and other spirits. This market is estimated to reach a staggering $1.6 trillion by 2027, indicating significant growth potential for the company.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $3.86 billion (FY2023)
- Net Income: $960.2 million (FY2023)
- Profit Margin: 24.9% (FY2023)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $7.32 (FY2023)
Year-over-Year Performance:
Brown-Forman has experienced steady growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by 9% and EPS by 12% in FY2023 compared to the previous year. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
The company maintains a healthy cash flow position and strong balance sheet with low debt levels, ensuring financial stability and operational flexibility.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Brown-Forman has a long-standing tradition of paying dividends, consistently increasing its payouts over the years. The current annual dividend yield stands at 1.5%, and the company has maintained a payout ratio of around 40% in recent years.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Brown-Forman stock has delivered a total return of 12%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. Long-term investors have also enjoyed significant gains, with a 10-year total return exceeding 150%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
The company has demonstrated consistent growth over the past five to ten years, with revenue and earnings growing at a steady pace. Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued moderate growth for Brown-Forman in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for premium spirits and expansion into emerging markets.
Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Brown-Forman sürekli olarak ürün portföyünü yeni lansmanlarla ve marka uzantılarıyla yeniliyor ve böylece büyüme fırsatları yaratıyor. Şirket ayrıca uluslararası pazarlara ve dijital satış kanallarına odaklanarak küresel etkisini genişletmek için stratejik girişimlerde bulunuyor.
Market Dynamics:
The alcoholic beverage industry is characterized by increasing demand for premium and craft spirits, along with growing health consciousness among consumers. Brown-Forman is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its strong brand portfolio and focus on innovation. The company's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and respond to emerging technologies will be crucial for maintaining its competitive edge.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Diageo (DEO)
- Beam Suntory (BEAM)
- Pernod Ricard (RI)
- Campari (CPR)
- Bacardi (BCDI)
Market Share:
- Brown-Forman: 5.2% global market share (Whiskey)
- Diageo: 38.2% global market share (Whiskey)
- Beam Suntory: 16.5% global market share (Whiskey)
- Pernod Ricard: 11.2% global market share (Whiskey)
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's
- Focus on innovation and premiumization
- Global distribution network
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Relatively smaller size compared to industry leaders
- Limited exposure to non-alcoholic beverage segments
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intensifying competition: Competition in the alcoholic beverage industry is intensifying with new entrants and evolving consumer preferences.
- Economic uncertainty: Global economic conditions can impact consumer spending on discretionary items like alcoholic beverages.
- Supply chain disruptions: Fluctuations in commodity prices and potential supply chain disruptions could pose challenges for Brown-Forman's operations.
Opportunities:
- Growing demand for premium spirits: The continued rise in popularity of premium and craft spirits presents a significant growth opportunity for Brown-Forman.
- Emerging markets: Expanding into emerging markets with growing middle-class populations offers significant long-term growth potential.
- Strategic acquisitions: Brown-Forman could strategically acquire smaller brands or expand into adjacent categories to strengthen its market position and diversify its offerings.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Brown-Forman acquired Diplomático Rum for $1.1 billion, aiming to strengthen its portfolio in the fast-growing rum category.
- 2020: The company acquired Gin Mare, a Spanish craft gin, for an undisclosed amount, expanding its presence in the rapidly growing gin market.
- 2020: Brown-Forman acquired BenRiach Distillery Co., a Scotch whisky producer, for $455 million, adding to its portfolio of premium whiskies.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Lawson E. Whiting | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | Full time employees 5700 | Website https://www.brown-forman.com |
Full time employees 5700 | Website https://www.brown-forman.com |
Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink cocktails, ready-to-pour products, vodkas, tequilas, gin, brandy, rum, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester, Coopers' Craft, Gentleman Jack, Herradura, el Jimador, Korbel, Sonoma-Cutrer, Finlandia, Chambord, Gin Mare, Diplomático, Fords Gin, The Glendronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, and Slane brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, and bulk whiskey and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Spain, Canada, France, Mexico, Poland, Brazil, Japan, and internationally. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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