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Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B)BF-B

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Brown-Forman Corporation
$47.69
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY5.53%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 33 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: BF-B (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -17.95%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 25
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: -17.95%
Avg. Invested days: 25
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 21.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.72
1Y Target Price 47.89
Dividends yield (FY) 1.85%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.07
Volume (30-day avg) 1686421
Beta 0.74
52 Weeks Range 41.22 - 61.99
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 21.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.72
1Y Target Price 47.89
Dividends yield (FY) 1.85%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.07
Volume (30-day avg) 1686421
Beta 0.74
52 Weeks Range 41.22 - 61.99
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-08-29
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.46
Actual 0.41
Report Date 2024-08-29
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.46
Actual 0.41

Profitability

Profit Margin 24.15%
Operating Margin (TTM) 29.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) 29.05%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.72
Forward PE 25.45
Enterprise Value 24865878064
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.92
Shares Outstanding 303536992
Shares Floating 333826017
Percent Insiders 1.98
Percent Institutions 58.55
Trailing PE 22.72
Forward PE 25.45
Enterprise Value 24865878064
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.92
Shares Outstanding 303536992
Shares Floating 333826017
Percent Insiders 1.98
Percent Institutions 58.55

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.17
Target Price 69.84
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Hold 11
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.17
Target Price 69.84
Buy 1
Strong Buy 3
Hold 11
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

Brown-Forman Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

  • Founded in 1870 by George Garvin Brown in Louisville, Kentucky.
  • Originally named Brown-Forman Distillers Corporation.
  • The company's flagship brands, Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey and Brown-Forman, were established in the 1860s and 1870s, respectively.
  • Today, Brown-Forman is a global beverage alcohol company with a portfolio of over 25 premium brands.

Core Business Areas:

  • Production and marketing of distilled spirits, including whiskey, tequila, vodka, and gin.
  • Major brands include Jack Daniel's, Finlandia Vodka, Herradura Tequila, Woodford Reserve Bourbon, Old Forester Bourbon, and El Jimador Tequila.
  • Focus on the premium and super-premium segments of the spirits market.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Lawson Whiting
  • Chairman of the Board: Garvin Brown III
  • Board of Directors composed of 12 members, including industry experts and independent directors.
  • The company is organized into three divisions: Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Jack Daniel's Tennessee Whiskey: The world's best-selling whiskey brand.
  • Finlandia Vodka: A leading vodka brand with a strong presence in Europe and the US.
  • Herradura Tequila: A premium tequila brand with strong growth potential.
  • Woodford Reserve Bourbon: A super-premium bourbon brand experiencing rapid growth.

Market Share:

  • Jack Daniel's: 36% market share in the US whiskey market (2022).
  • Finlandia Vodka: 2.5% market share in the US vodka market (2022).
  • Herradura Tequila: 7% market share in the US tequila market (2022).
  • Woodford Reserve Bourbon: Strong growth, but market share data not readily available.

Comparison with Competitors:

  • Jack Daniel's faces strong competition from Diageo's Johnnie Walker and Jim Beam brands.
  • Finlandia Vodka competes with Stolichnaya, Absolut, and Tito's Handmade Vodka.
  • Herradura Tequila competes with Patron, Jose Cuervo, and Sauza.
  • Woodford Reserve competes with Maker's Mark, Knob Creek, and Eagle Rare.

Total Addressable Market:

The global spirits market was valued at approximately $682.4 billion in 2022. Brown-Forman focuses on the premium and super-premium segments, which are expected to grow at a faster rate than the overall market.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $3.8 billion (FY 2023)
  • Net Income: $964.5 million (FY 2023)
  • Profit Margin: 25.4% (FY 2023)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $5.54 (FY 2023)

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue growth of 6% compared to FY 2022.
  • Net income growth of 8% compared to FY 2022.
  • EPS growth of 9% compared to FY 2022.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow generation.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Brown-Forman has a long history of paying dividends, with annual increases for 36 consecutive years (as of 2023).
  • Recent dividend yield: 1.2%.
  • Payout ratio: 46% (FY 2023).

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder returns of 18% over the past year (as of October 27, 2023).
  • 10-year average annual total return of 12%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% over the past 5 years.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) has grown at a CAGR of 7% over the past 5 years.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Brown-Forman expects to continue to grow revenue and earnings in the mid-single digits in the coming years.
  • Growth will be driven by continued strong demand for its premium brands, geographic expansion, and new product launches.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • Growing demand for premium and super-premium spirits.
  • Increasing popularity of craft and artisanal brands.
  • Evolving consumer preferences towards healthier and more sustainable products.

Brown-Forman's Position:

  • Strong brand portfolio and innovation capabilities.
  • Global reach and distribution network.
  • Focus on sustainability and responsible consumption.

Competitors:

  • Major competitors include Diageo (DEO), Pernod Ricard (RI), and Constellation Brands (STZ).
  • Brown-Forman has a strong market share in certain categories, but faces stiff competition in others.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining brand relevance and market share in a changing industry.
  • Managing supply chain disruptions and cost inflation.
  • Increasing competition from craft and artisanal brands.

Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets and categories.
  • Innovation and product development.
  • Partnerships and acquisitions to strengthen market position.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2021: Benriach Distillery Company, a Scotch whisky producer, for $415 million.
  • 2022: Diplomático Rum, a Venezuelan rum producer, for $1.4 billion.
  • 2023: Fords Gin, a super-premium gin brand, for $140 million.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance and growth prospects.
  • Premium brand portfolio with strong market share and pricing power.
  • Experienced management team and solid corporate governance.
  • Potential for continued growth and value creation.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Brown-Forman Corporation website (www.brown-forman.com)
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports
  • Financial news sources

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Brown-Forman Corporation

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 CEO, President & Director Mr. Lawson E. Whiting
Sector Consumer Defensive Website https://www.brown-forman.com
Industry Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Full time employees 5700
Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
CEO, President & Director Mr. Lawson E. Whiting
Website https://www.brown-forman.com
Website https://www.brown-forman.com
Full time employees 5700

Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. It provides wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink cocktails, ready-to-pour products, vodkas, tequilas, gin, brandy, rum, bourbons, and liqueurs. The company offers its products primarily under the Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester, Coopers' Craft, Gentleman Jack, Herradura, el Jimador, Korbel, Sonoma-Cutrer, Finlandia, Chambord, Gin Mare, Diplomático, Fords Gin, The Glendronach, Benriach, Glenglassaugh, and Slane brands. It is also involved in the sale of used barrels, and bulk whiskey and wine; and provision of contract bottling services. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments; and retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments directly. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Spain, Canada, France, Mexico, Poland, Brazil, Japan, and internationally. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

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