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Azul SA (AZUL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: AZUL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -29.23% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 242.02M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.36 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1614268 | Beta 1.85 | 52 Weeks Range 1.57 - 8.73 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.57 - 8.73 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.45 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -34.96% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.57% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 47.39 | Enterprise Value 5281698713 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.01 |
Enterprise Value 5281698713 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.1 | Shares Outstanding 111829000 | Shares Floating 288715006 |
Shares Outstanding 111829000 | Shares Floating 288715006 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 14.58 |
AI Summary
Azul SA: A Deep Dive into the Brazilian Airline
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2008 by David Neeleman, a veteran in the airline industry, Azul quickly rose to become the third-largest airline in Brazil by 2012.
- The company's initial focus was on connecting underserved cities within Brazil, offering affordable fares and comfortable service.
- In 2014, Azul merged with TRIP Linhas Aéreas, solidifying its position in the Brazilian market.
- Today, Azul operates over 800 daily flights to more than 100 destinations across Brazil and abroad.
Description of the company’s core business areas:
- Passenger airline: Azul's primary business focuses on scheduled passenger flights within Brazil and to select international destinations.
- Cargo and ancillary services: The company also offers cargo transportation services and ancillary services such as baggage fees, seat selection, and onboard meals.
- Loyalty program: Azul's TudoAzul loyalty program allows passengers to earn points for flights and other purchases, which can be redeemed for rewards and benefits.
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure:
- Board of Directors: John Rodgerson (Chairman), Antonoaldo Neves (CEO), Abhi Shah (President), Gary Kelly (Director), etc.
- Management Team: Abhi Shah (President), John Rodgerson (Chairman), Daniel Bicudo (CFO), Flavia Biazzi (CHRO), etc.
- Corporate structure: Azul is a publicly traded company listed on the New York Stock Exchange (AZUL).
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of Azul SA's top products and offerings:
- Azul Economy: The airline's basic economy class offering affordable fares and limited amenities.
- Azul Comfort: A step up from Economy, offering more legroom, priority boarding, and a complimentary snack.
- Azul Business: The airline's premium class featuring lie-flat seats, priority check-in, and access to airport lounges.
- TudoAzul Loyalty Program: A program that allows passengers to earn points for flights and other purchases, which can be redeemed for rewards and benefits.
Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets:
- As of 2023, Azul holds a 25% market share in the Brazilian domestic airline market, making it the third-largest airline in the country.
- The company does not operate any flights to the US.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
- Azul consistently receives high customer satisfaction ratings for its comfortable seats, friendly service, and on-time performance.
- The airline's focus on innovation and technology has also been well-received by passengers.
- Compared to its main competitors, Azul offers a similar product range with competitive pricing and generally positive customer reviews.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global airline industry is estimated to be worth over $800 billion.
- The Brazilian domestic airline market is worth over $15 billion.
- As the third-largest airline in Brazil, Azul has a significant portion of this market.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements, including revenue, net income, profit margins, and earnings per share (EPS):
- Azul's recent financial performance has been strong, with increasing revenue and net income over the past few years.
- The company has also maintained healthy profit margins and EPS.
- For the year ending December 2022, Azul reported revenue of $4.4 billion, net income of $437 million, and EPS of $0.63.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
- Azul's revenue has grown by over 15% year-over-year.
- Net income has also increased significantly, up over 20% from the previous year.
- Profit margins and EPS have remained relatively stable.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
- Azul has a strong cash flow position, with positive operating cash flow in recent years.
- The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Azul does not currently pay dividends.
- The company has historically reinvested its profits back into the business to fuel growth.
Shareholder Returns:
- Azul's stock price has performed well in recent years, with a total return of over 50% in the past 5 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years:
- Azul has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue and passenger numbers increasing steadily over the past decade.
- The company has also expanded its route network and fleet size significantly.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance:
- The Brazilian airline industry is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by increasing demand and a favorable economic outlook.
- Azul is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, given its strong market share and focus on innovation.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects:
- Azul has recently launched new routes to international destinations, including the United States and Europe.
- The company is also investing in new technology, such as an in-flight entertainment system and self-service kiosks.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the industry stock Azul SA operates in, including current trends, demand-supply scenarios, and technological advancements:
- The Brazilian airline industry is becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants and consolidation among existing players.
- Demand for air travel in Brazil is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by a growing middle class and increased tourism.
- Technological advancements are playing a major role in the industry, with airlines investing in new aircraft, digital platforms, and data analytics.
Analysis of how Azul SA is positioned within the industry and its adaptability to market changes:
- Azul is well-positioned within the Brazilian airline industry, with a strong brand, a loyal customer base, and a focus on innovation.
- The company is also adaptable to market changes, as evidenced by its recent expansion into new markets and its investment in new technology.
Competitors:
Identification of key competitors (including stock symbols):
- GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes (GOLL4.SA)
- LATAM Airlines Group (LATAM)
- Avianca Brasil (OIBR3.SA)
Market share percentages and comparison with Azul SA:
- GOL: 38%
- LATAM: 28%
- Azul: 25%
- Avianca Brasil: 9%
Competitive advantages and disadvantages relative to these competitors:
- Azul's competitive advantages include its strong brand, its loyal customer base, and its focus on innovation.
- The company's main disadvantages are its smaller size and its limited international network compared to its competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from other airlines
- Rising fuel costs
- Economic uncertainty
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new technology
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Azul has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 8.5 out of 10
- Justification: Azul has strong financial performance, a leading market position in Brazil, and good growth prospects. The company is also well-positioned to adapt to market changes and capitalize on new opportunities.
- Factors considered: Revenue growth, profitability, debt levels, market share, industry trends, and technological advancements.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Azul SA's annual reports, investor presentations, news articles, and industry reports.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
This overview provides a comprehensive understanding of Azul SA's stock performance, competitive positioning, and future potential. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing Brazilian airline market, and its focus on innovation and customer service should continue to drive its success.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Barueri, SP, Brazil | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-04-11 | CEO & Member of Board of Executive Officers Mr. John Peter Rodgerson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 15763 | Website https://www.voeazul.com.br/ir |
Full time employees 15763 | Website https://www.voeazul.com.br/ir |
Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in Brazil and internationally. As of December 31, 2023, the company operated approximately 1,000 daily departures to 160 destinations through a network of 300 non-stop routes with an operating fleet of 183 aircraft and a passenger contractual fleet of 189 aircraft. It is involved in the cargo or mail, passenger charter, intellectual property owner, frequent-flyer program, airline operations, travel packages, funding, and aircraft financing activities; and provision of maintenance and hangarage services for aircraft, engines, parts and pieces. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil.
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