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American Axle & Manufacturing (AXL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: AXL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -42.18% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 463.87M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.52 | 1Y Target Price 6.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.52 | 1Y Target Price 6.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2580177 | Beta 1.85 | 52 Weeks Range 3.72 - 7.98 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.72 - 7.98 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.29 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.24% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.52 | Forward PE 8.75 | Enterprise Value 2648467214 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 |
Enterprise Value 2648467214 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.69 | Shares Outstanding 118333000 | Shares Floating 114110036 |
Shares Outstanding 118333000 | Shares Floating 114110036 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.5 | Percent Institutions 102.68 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.11 | Target Price 7.69 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Axle & Manufacturing

Company Overview
History and Background
American Axle & Manufacturing (AAM) was founded in 1994 as a spin-off from General Motors' axle and drivetrain business. Initially focused on supplying GM, AAM has diversified its customer base and product offerings through organic growth and acquisitions. Key milestones include strategic acquisitions and expanding into electrification technologies.
Core Business Areas
- Driveline: Designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline systems, including axles, driveshafts, and transfer cases for light, commercial, and industrial vehicles.
- Metal Forming: Provides precision metal forming processes for automotive and industrial applications, including gears, housings, and other components.
- Electrification: Focuses on developing and manufacturing electric drive systems and components for hybrid and electric vehicles.
Leadership and Structure
AAM is led by David C. Dauch, Chairman and CEO. The company has a hierarchical organizational structure with distinct business units focused on driveline, metal forming, and electrification, supported by functional departments like finance, engineering, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Axles: AAM is a leading supplier of axles for light trucks and SUVs. Competitors include Dana Incorporated (DAN) and Meritor (now part of Cummins (CMI)). Market share varies by specific application but is estimated to be significant in the North American light truck market. No specific official number of user is available.
- Electrified Driveline Systems: AAM develops and produces electric drive units and components for hybrid and electric vehicles. The company has secured contracts with major OEMs. Market share is growing but still relatively small compared to established players. Competitors include BorgWarner (BWA) and Magna International (MGA).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by electrification, autonomous driving, and connectivity. The demand for traditional driveline components is expected to decline in the long term, while the market for electric drive systems is growing rapidly.
Positioning
AAM is positioning itself as a key supplier of both traditional driveline components and electric drive systems. The company is investing in research and development to expand its electrification capabilities. AAMu2019s competitive advantage lies in its established relationships with major OEMs and its expertise in driveline engineering.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global automotive driveline market is estimated to be billions of dollars. Electrification adds another TAM, estimated in the hundreds of billions. AAM is aiming to capture a larger share of the electrification TAM by investing in e-drive technology and securing contracts with key automotive manufacturers.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationships with major OEMs
- Expertise in driveline engineering
- Growing electrification capabilities
- Global manufacturing footprint
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the automotive industry
- Exposure to cyclical demand
- High debt levels
- Profitability lower than some competitors
Opportunities
- Growing demand for electric vehicles
- Expansion into new markets
- Acquisition of complementary technologies
- Development of new driveline solutions
Threats
- Declining demand for traditional driveline components
- Increased competition from established players
- Disruptive technologies
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DAN
- CMI
- BWA
- MGA
Competitive Landscape
AAM faces intense competition from established players in the automotive supply industry. The company's competitive advantage lies in its driveline expertise and its growing electrification capabilities. However, competitors have larger resources.
Major Acquisitions
GKN Drivelineu2019s ePowertrain business
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0.62
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded AAM's electrification capabilities and secured access to key technologies and customers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AAM's growth has been driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The company has focused on diversifying its customer base and product offerings.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for AAM, driven by the increasing demand for electric drive systems and continued strength in the light truck market.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in electrification technologies, expansion of manufacturing capacity, and cost reduction programs.
Summary
American Axle & Manufacturing is adapting to the changing automotive landscape by expanding into electrification. While the transition poses challenges and it has high debt, its existing strengths in driveline systems and relationships with major OEMs will position the company for long-term sustainability if it can execute its strategy of increasing revenues while reducing liabilities and maintaining profitability. Key concerns for the company lie in its debt load and competitive pressure.
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BWA

BorgWarner Inc



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DAN

Dana Inc



DAN

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LEA

Lear Corporation



LEA

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MGA

Magna International Inc



MGA

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SLM

SLM Corp



SLM

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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Press Releases
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market Share percentages are for estimation purposes and might not be exact.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Axle & Manufacturing
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Detroit, MI, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-01-29 | Chairman & CEO Mr. David Charles Dauch | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.aam.com |
Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.aam.com |
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The Metal Forming segment provides range of products, such as engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway vehicles, as well as products for industrial markets. It operates in North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
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