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Axogen Inc (AXGN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: AXGN (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 6 days. Profits (3.95%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 19.31% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 796.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 476751 | Beta 1.13 | 52 Weeks Range 5.55 - 19.00 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.55 - 19.00 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.33 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) -14.51% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 50.25 | Enterprise Value 840441405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.4 |
Enterprise Value 840441405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.4 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 489.77 | Shares Outstanding 44008300 | Shares Floating 38541993 |
Shares Outstanding 44008300 | Shares Floating 38541993 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.46 | Percent Institutions 84.54 |
AI Summary
Axogen Inc. (AXGN): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Axogen Inc. was founded in 2006 and went public in 2014. The company focuses on developing and commercializing innovative treatments for peripheral nerve injuries. Axogen's flagship product is Avance Nerve Graft, a processed human nerve allograft used to repair damaged nerves in the peripheral nervous system.
Core Business Areas: Axogen's primary business area is the development and commercialization of biological solutions for peripheral nerve repair. The company focuses on providing surgeons with readily available, off-the-shelf nerve grafts that eliminate the need for autografts, which have limitations in supply and donor site morbidity.
Leadership Team & Corporate Structure: The current leadership team of Axogen Inc. includes:
- Karen Zaderej: President and Chief Executive Officer
- O. John Brooks: Chief Financial Officer
- Kevin R. Thomas: Chief Operating Officer
- David E. Donzelli: Chief Medical Officer
- Diane C. Tunney: Senior Vice President, Regulatory Affairs and Quality
The company operates under a Board of Directors responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction and performance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Axogen's primary product is Avance Nerve Graft, available in various lengths and configurations to accommodate different nerve repair needs. The company also offers a portfolio of supporting products, including Avance Nerve Repair System, Avance Nerve Cuff, and Avance Nerve Guide.
Market Share: Axogen estimates the global market for peripheral nerve repair to be approximately $1.5 billion. However, the company currently holds a small market share due to the relatively new and niche nature of its products.
Product Performance and Market Reception: Avance Nerve Graft has received positive feedback from surgeons and patients due to its ease of use, off-the-shelf availability, and demonstrated efficacy. However, broader market adoption is still ongoing, and the company faces competition from established players in the nerve repair market.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Axogen Inc. is estimated to be around $1.5 billion, encompassing the global market for peripheral nerve repair. The company's primary focus is on the United States market, which represents a significant portion of the global market opportunity.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements: As of its most recent quarterly report (Q3 2023), Axogen Inc. reported:
- Revenue: $4.1 million
- Net Income: $(4.2) million
- Gross Profit Margin: 81.2%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $(0.13)
Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to the same period in 2022, Axogen's revenue increased by 16.7%, while net income remained negative. The company's gross profit margin has been steadily improving, reflecting increasing product adoption and economies of scale.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Axogen currently has a strong cash position of $83.5 million and minimal debt. The company's balance sheet appears healthy, with sufficient resources to support ongoing operations and future growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Axogen Inc. has not yet declared or paid any dividends as it is currently focused on reinvesting profits back into the business to drive growth.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Axogen's stock price has increased by approximately 10%. However, over longer timeframes, the stock has experienced significant volatility, reflecting the company's early-stage growth profile.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Axogen has experienced steady revenue growth over the past few years, driven by increasing product adoption and market awareness. The company's revenue has more than doubled since 2020.
Future Growth Projections: Axogen expects continued revenue growth in the coming years as it expands its sales force and gains further market penetration. The company is also pursuing new product development and strategic partnerships to fuel long-term growth.
Recent Initiatives: Axogen recently launched a new product, Avance Nerve Cuff, which expands its portfolio and targets a broader range of nerve repair needs. The company is also actively engaging in research and development efforts to further refine its existing products and explore new opportunities.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: The peripheral nerve repair market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% over the next five years, driven by increasing demand for minimally invasive procedures and the aging population. Technological advancements in nerve regeneration and bioengineering are also shaping the market landscape.
Axogen's Positioning: Axogen is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its innovative, off-the-shelf nerve repair solutions. The company's focus on addressing the limitations of traditional nerve grafts and developing user-friendly products aligns well with the evolving needs of surgeons and patients.
Adaptability: Axogen demonstrates an adaptable approach by actively participating in clinical trials and collaborating with key opinion leaders to refine its products and stay ahead of emerging trends.
Competitors
Key Competitors: Axogen faces competition from several established players in the medical device and biologics industries, including:
- Medtronic (MDT)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Integra LifeSciences (IART)
- AxoGen (AXGN)
Market Share Comparison: Axogen currently holds a small market share compared to these larger competitors. However, the company is actively expanding its market presence and gaining recognition for its innovative products.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages: Axogen's competitive advantages include its proprietary technology, ease of use of its products, and strong intellectual property portfolio. However, the company faces challenges in competing with larger players with greater resources and established distribution networks.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges: Axogen's primary challenges include:
- Limited market awareness and adoption of its products
- Competition from established players with larger product portfolios
- Uncertainty around reimbursement and market access for its products
Potential Opportunities: Axogen has significant opportunities to:
- Expand its sales force and market reach
- Develop new products and expand its product portfolio
- Pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions
- Leverage its strong IP position to gain a competitive edge
Recent Acquisitions
Axogen has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years. The company has historically focused on organic growth initiatives and expanding its existing product portfolio.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis, Axogen Inc. receives a 4 out of 10 fundamental rating. This rating considers various factors discussed above, including the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects. While Axogen shows promising growth potential and positive financial trends, its early-stage commercialization and limited market share contribute to the lower rating.
Justification:
- Financial Health: Axogen has a strong cash position and improving gross margins, indicating a healthy financial foundation. However, the company's current profitability remains negative, and its revenue base is relatively small.
- Market Position: Axogen holds a niche market share but faces stiff competition from established players. The company's innovative products offer differentiation, but broader market adoption is still in progress.
- Future Prospects: Axogen's growth trajectory appears promising, driven by its expanding product portfolio and potential for market penetration. However, the company's long-term success will depend on its ability to execute its growth strategy and overcome competitive challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Axogen Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions regarding Axogen Inc. stock.
About Axogen Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Alachua, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-27 | CEO - | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Devices | Full time employees 426 | Website https://www.axogeninc.com |
Full time employees 426 | Website https://www.axogeninc.com |
Axogen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and commercializes technologies for peripheral nerve regeneration and repair worldwide. The company's products include Avance Nerve Graft, a biologically active off-the-shelf processed human nerve allograft for bridging severed peripheral nerves without the comorbidities associated with a second surgical site; AxoGuard Nerve Connector, a porcine submucosa extracellular matrix (ECM) coaptation aid for tensionless repair of severed peripheral nerves; AxoGuard Nerve Protector, a porcine submucosa ECM product that is used to wrap and protect damaged peripheral nerves, as well as reinforces the nerve reconstruction while preventing soft tissue attachments; and Axoguard HA+ Nerve Protector, a processed porcine submucosa ECM base layer with a hyaluronate-alginate gel coating designed to provide short- and long-term protection for peripheral nerve injuries. Its products also comprise Axoguard Nerve Cap, a porcine submucosa ECM product that is used to protect a peripheral nerve end, as well as separates the nerve from the surrounding environment to reduce the development of symptomatic or painful neuroma; and AxoTouch two-point discriminator, a tool that is used for measuring the innervation density of surface area of the skin. The company provides its products to hospitals, surgery centers, and military hospitals, plastic reconstructive surgeons, orthopedic and plastic hand surgeons, and various oral and maxillofacial surgeons. Axogen, Inc. is headquartered in Alachua, Florida.
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