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Accelerate Diagnostics Inc (AXDX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: AXDX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 46.3% | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 46.3% | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 5 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.80M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.59 |
Volume (30-day avg) 59814 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 0.73 - 4.28 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 26.80M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.59 | Volume (30-day avg) 59814 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 0.73 - 4.28 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -288.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -75.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 64858889 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.19 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.1 |
Shares Outstanding 25043800 | Shares Floating 12262368 |
Percent Insiders 40.61 | Percent Institutions 17.45 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 64858889 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.19 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.1 | Shares Outstanding 25043800 | Shares Floating 12262368 |
Percent Insiders 40.61 | Percent Institutions 17.45 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 9 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 9 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Accelerate Diagnostics Inc. (AXDX): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background: Accelerate Diagnostics, Inc. (AXDX) was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona. The company develops and commercializes rapid molecular diagnostic tests for the healthcare industry. AXDX focuses on the rapid diagnosis of bloodstream infections and pneumonia, which are significant causes of morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients.
Core business areas:
- Accelerated Antimicrobial Stewardship Program: Provides rapid, actionable results to guide optimal antimicrobial therapy, aiming to improve patient outcomes and reduce antimicrobial resistance.
- Respiratory Infection Panel: Identifies common respiratory pathogens in patients with pneumonia, aiding in targeted antibiotic therapy and improved clinical outcomes.
- Healthcare-associated Infection (HAI) Prevention Program: Focuses on rapid, accurate diagnosis of pathogens causing bloodstream infections and pneumonia acquired in the healthcare setting, enabling prompt interventions and improved patient outcomes.
Leadership team and corporate structure: The company's leadership team includes Jack Phillips (President & CEO), Lawrence Mehren (Executive Chairman), and Scott Myers (CFO). AXDX operates with a Board of Directors and various executive committees responsible for strategic decision-making.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products:
- Accelerate PhenoTest BC kit: Identifies bacteria causing bloodstream infections and determines their antibiotic susceptibility profiles within 3 hours.
- Accelerate PhenoTest BC II kit: An upgraded version with additional panels for Gram-positive and Gram-negative antibiotic susceptibility testing.
- Accelerate ID/AST Pneumonia Panel: Identifies and determines antibiotic susceptibility of pathogens responsible for pneumonia within 3 hours.
Market share: AXDX holds approximately 3% of the US rapid diagnostic testing market for bloodstream infections.
Product performance and market reception: AXDX's tests have demonstrated high accuracy and rapid turnaround times compared to traditional culture methods. However, their market penetration remains limited in the face of established competitors like BioFire Diagnostics (BDX).
Total Addressable Market
The global market for rapid diagnostic testing for bloodstream infections is estimated at USD 2.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.2 billion by 2028. This growth is primarily driven by increasing healthcare-associated infections, rising demand for rapid diagnosis, and antibiotic stewardship initiatives.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: In 2022, AXDX reported revenue of USD 47.4 million, a 42% increase from 2021.
- Net income: The company reported a net loss of USD 22.7 million in 2022.
- Profit margins: AXDX has negative profit margins due to significant research and development expenses associated with their new product development efforts.
- Earnings per share (EPS): In 2022, AXDX reported an EPS of USD (1.55).
Year-over-year comparison: AXDX has experienced steady revenue growth over the past few years. However, the company is yet to achieve profitability.
Cash flow and balance sheet: AXDX has a negative operating cash flow, primarily due to its investments in product development and marketing activities. However, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with significant cash and equivalents.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history: AXDX does not currently pay dividends as the company is focused on reinvesting its earnings for growth.
Shareholder returns: Over the past year, AXDX stock has generated a negative return of around -25%. However, the stock has outperformed the broader market over the past five years, delivering a return of approximately 40%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth: AXDX has witnessed strong revenue growth over the past few years. This growth was primarily driven by increased adoption of the company's PhenoTest BC kits by hospitals and clinical laboratories.
Future growth projections: AXDX anticipates continued growth in the coming years, fueled by expanding market penetration and new product launches. The company's upcoming launch of its next-generation platform, PhenoTest Next-Gen, is expected to further enhance its competitive advantage and accelerate growth.
Recent initiatives: AXDX continues to invest in R&D and expand its product portfolio. The company's recent partnerships with healthcare systems and hospital groups have helped to increase product adoption and visibility.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview: The rapid diagnostic testing market is witnessing rapid growth driven by factors like technological advancements, increasing healthcare-associated infections, and antibiotic resistance concerns. However, competition within the industry is fierce, with multiple established players like BDX and Cepheid (CPHD).
AXDX's position: AXDX occupies a niche within the rapid diagnostic testing market, focusing on bloodstream infections and pneumonia. The company leverages its proprietary technologies to offer rapid and accurate diagnostic solutions. AXDX's future success will depend on its ability to compete effectively and expand market share within this niche.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- BioFire Diagnostics (BDX): A leading player in the rapid diagnostic testing market, offering a broad portfolio of molecular diagnostic tests.
- Cepheid (CPHD): Offers various rapid diagnostic tests, including solutions for bloodstream infections and pneumonia.
- Luminex Corporation (LMNX): Provides molecular diagnostic tools and platforms used for various infectious disease testing applications.
Market share comparison: BDX is the current market leader, holding over 30% of the rapid diagnostic testing market for bloodstream infections. AXDX holds a relatively smaller market share of approximately 3%.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: AXDX's competitive advantages include its proprietary technologies, rapid turnaround times, and comprehensive test offerings. However, the company enfrenta stiff competition from larger players with wider product portfolios and established market presence.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Competition: AXDX faces intense competition from established players in the rapid diagnostic testing market.
- Reimbursement uncertainty: Continued access to favorable reimbursement rates for their tests is crucial for AXDX's growth.
- Technology advancements: Keeping pace with rapid technological advancements in the diagnostics field is essential for AXDX to maintain its competitive edge.
Opportunities:
- Expanding market penetration: AXDX has a significant growth opportunity by increasing adoption within hospitals and clinical laboratories.
- New product introductions: Launching the next-generation platform, PhenoTest Next-Gen, opens new market opportunities and enhances competitive advantage.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with healthcare systems and research institutions can accelerate market expansion and product development.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
AXDX has not completed any acquisitions within the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of various financial and market-related factors, AXDX receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 6.5 out of 10. This rating considers factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects. While AXDX demonstrates promising growth potential and competitive advantages, its negative profitability and intense competition impact the overall rating.
Sources and Disclaimers
This information is based on data from various sources, including:
- AXDX SEC filings
- Investor presentations and press releases
- Market research reports
- Company website
This information should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research and seek professional guidance before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Accelerate Diagnostics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Tucson, AZ, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1996-11-18 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Jack Phillips |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://acceleratediagnostics.com |
Industry | Medical Devices | Full time employees | 134 |
Headquaters | Tucson, AZ, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Jack Phillips | ||
Website | https://acceleratediagnostics.com | ||
Website | https://acceleratediagnostics.com | ||
Full time employees | 134 |
Accelerate Diagnostics, Inc., an in vitro diagnostics company, provides solutions for the diagnosis of serious infections in the United States, Europe, and the Middle East. The company offers Accelerate Pheno system, an in vitro diagnostic platform for the identification and antibiotic susceptibility testing of pathogens associated with serious or health care-associated infections, including gram-positive and gram-negative organisms. It also provides the Accelerate PhenoTest, a test kit for the system, which provides identify and antibiotic susceptibility testing results for patients suspected of bacteremia or fungemia, both life-threatening conditions with high morbidity and mortality risk. The company was formerly known as Accelr8 Technology Corporation and changed its name to Accelerate Diagnostics, Inc. in December 2012. Accelerate Diagnostics, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.
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