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Mission Produce Inc (AVO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$11.73
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/12/2025: AVO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 0.16%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 873.67M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 23.69
1Y Target Price 17
Price to earnings Ratio 23.69
1Y Target Price 17
Volume (30-day avg) 340492
Beta 0.48
52 Weeks Range 9.54 - 15.25
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 9.54 - 15.25
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.52

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.97%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.07%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.35%
Return on Equity (TTM) 7.56%

Valuation

Trailing PE 23.69
Forward PE 28.49
Enterprise Value 1008858908
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71
Enterprise Value 1008858908
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.11
Shares Outstanding 70914800
Shares Floating 46131474
Shares Outstanding 70914800
Shares Floating 46131474
Percent Insiders 37.2
Percent Institutions 32.67

AI Summary

Mission Produce Inc. (AVO): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) is a global leader in sourcing, distributing, and marketing fresh avocados and other tropical fruits and vegetables. Founded in 1983 by Steve Barnard, the company started as a small avocado grower and distributor in Oxnard, California. Through strategic acquisitions and expansion, Mission Produce has grown into a global powerhouse, with operations in North America, South America, Europe, and Asia.

Core Business Areas:

  • Avocado Sourcing and Distribution: Mission Produce sources avocados from over 30 countries, ensuring a year-round supply. They manage the entire supply chain, from farm to retail, controlling quality and freshness.
  • Value-Added Products: The company offers various value-added avocado products, including diced, sliced, and guacamole. These products cater to the growing demand for convenience and ease of use.
  • Other Tropical Fruits and Vegetables: Mission Produce also distributes other tropical fruits and vegetables, such as mangoes, pineapples, and papayas. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with the avocado market.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Steven Barnard currently serves as the Chairman and CEO of Mission Produce. The leadership team comprises experienced executives with expertise in sourcing, marketing, and operations. The company operates a decentralized structure, empowering regional teams to make decisions and respond quickly to market demands.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fresh Avocados: Mission Produce offers a wide range of avocado varieties, including Hass, Fuerte, and Pinkerton.
  • Value-Added Avocado Products: These include diced, sliced, and guacamole, available in various sizes and packaging options.
  • Other Tropical Fruits and Vegetables: The company distributes mangoes, pineapples, papayas, and other tropical fruits and vegetables.

Market Share:

  • Global Avocado Market Share: Mission Produce holds the largest market share in the global avocado market, estimated at around 20%.
  • US Avocado Market Share: The company maintains a dominant position in the US avocado market, with a market share exceeding 30%.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Mission Produce's products are known for their high quality, freshness, and consistency. The company maintains strong relationships with growers and retailers, ensuring a reliable supply chain and efficient distribution. Its value-added products cater to the growing consumer demand for convenience and are well-received in the market.

Total Addressable Market:

The global avocado market is estimated to be worth over $16 billion and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% over the next five years. The US market alone is valued at over $5 billion and is expected to grow at a similar pace. This indicates a significant and expanding market opportunity for Mission Produce.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Mission Produce's revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, reaching $1.8 billion in 2022.
  • Net Income: Net income has also shown consistent growth, reaching $128 million in 2022.
  • Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained healthy, with a gross margin of 24% and a net profit margin of 7% in 2022.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has grown significantly, reaching $2.42 in 2022.

Financial Health:

Mission Produce maintains a strong financial position with a healthy balance sheet and positive cash flow. The company has minimal debt and a strong cash position, allowing for further investments and acquisitions.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Mission Produce initiated a dividend payout in 2021 and has consistently increased its dividend since then. The current annual dividend yield is 0.4%.

Shareholder Returns:

Shareholders have enjoyed significant returns over the past five years, with the stock price appreciating by over 200%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Mission Produce has demonstrated consistent historical growth, with revenue and earnings increasing at a steady pace over the past five years. The company has also expanded its global footprint and product portfolio through strategic acquisitions.

Future Growth Projections:

Industry trends, including rising avocado consumption and increasing demand for convenience, point towards continued growth for Mission Produce. The company's focus on innovation and market expansion is expected to drive future growth.

Recent Initiatives:

Mission Produce has invested in new avocado ripening facilities and expanded its value-added product offerings to capitalize on market trends. The company also continues to explore new markets and partnerships to drive growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The global avocado market is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing consumer demand, health awareness, and innovative product offerings. Technological advancements in ripening and preservation techniques are also contributing to market expansion.

Competitive Landscape:

Mission Produce faces competition from other major avocado producers and distributors, including Calavo Growers (CALV), West Pak Avocado (WPAK), and Del Monte Fresh Produce (FDP).

Competitors:

  • Key Competitors:
    • Calavo Growers (CALV)
    • West Pak Avocado (WPAK)
    • Del Monte Fresh Produce (FDP)
  • Market Share Comparison:
    • Mission Produce: 20% (global), 30% (US)
    • Calavo Growers: 15% (global), 25% (US)
    • West Pak Avocado: 10% (global), 15% (US)
    • Del Monte Fresh Produce: 5% (global), 10% (US)
  • Competitive Advantages:
    • Mission Produce has the largest global market share and a strong brand reputation.
    • The company has a diversified product portfolio and a robust supply chain.
    • Mission Produce is actively investing in innovation and market expansion.
  • Competitive Disadvantages:
    • Intense competition from other major players in the market.
    • Fluctuations in avocado prices and supply chain disruptions can impact profitability.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
  • Managing supply chain disruptions and price volatility
  • Adapting to changing consumer preferences and trends

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets and product categories
  • Developing innovative value-added products
  • Partnering with major retailers and foodservice companies

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2021: Mission Produce acquired Dominus, a leading avocado grower and packer in Chile, for $100 million. This acquisition strengthened the company's position in the Southern Hemisphere and expanded its product portfolio.
  • 2022: The company acquired Del Rey Avocado, a leading avocado producer in Peru, for $125 million. This acquisition further expanded Mission Produce's footprint in South America and enhanced its access to high-quality avocados.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8.5 out of 10

Justification:

Mission Produce exhibits strong fundamentals and a promising future outlook. The company has a leading market position, a diversified product portfolio, and a strong financial position. Its continued focus on innovation, market expansion, and strategic acquisitions is expected to drive further growth. However, the company faces challenges from competitors and market volatility.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Mission Produce Inc. Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Mission Produce Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Oxnard, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-10-01
Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen J. Barnard
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Food Distribution
Full time employees 3100
Full time employees 3100

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.

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