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Mission Produce Inc (AVO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$13.23
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/12/2024: AVO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 0.16%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/12/2024

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 860.20M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 23.33
1Y Target Price 17
Price to earnings Ratio 23.33
1Y Target Price 17
Volume (30-day avg) 235165
Beta 0.5
52 Weeks Range 9.54 - 15.25
Updated Date 01/13/2025
52 Weeks Range 9.54 - 15.25
Updated Date 01/13/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.52

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-12-19
When After Market
Estimate 0.08
Actual 0.28

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.06%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.19%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.91%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 23.33
Forward PE 28.9
Enterprise Value 1019496123
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76
Enterprise Value 1019496123
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.21
Shares Outstanding 70914800
Shares Floating 45281388
Shares Outstanding 70914800
Shares Floating 45281388
Percent Insiders 37.12
Percent Institutions 31.35

AI Summary

Mission Produce Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

  • Mission Produce, Inc. was established in 1983 by Steve Barnard in Oxnard, California.
  • The company began with a small avocado packing house and has grown to become the world's largest avocado distributor and marketer.
  • In 1998, the company went public through an initial public offering (IPO).
  • Today, Mission Produce operates in 9 countries across North America, South America and Europe.

Core Business Areas:

  • Avocado Sourcing and Distribution: The company sources avocados from over 2,000 growers around the world and distributes them to over 25 countries.
  • Fresh-Cut and Value-Added Products: Mission also offers fresh-cut and value-added avocado products such as guacamole and sliced avocado.
  • Ripe Program: Through its innovative and proprietary Ripe program, Mission utilizes controlled atmosphere and ethylene technology to consistently deliver ripe and ready-to-eat avocados.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Steve Barnard: Founder, Chairman, and CEO
  • Patrick Cortes: President and COO
  • Devon Prunty: CFO
  • Michael Mendez: Executive Vice President of Sales
  • Mission Produce operates through two business segments:
    • Avocados
    • Fresh and Value-Added Products

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Conventional Avocados: Mission is the world's leading distributor of conventional avocados.
  • Organic Avocados: The company also offers a growing portfolio of organic avocados.
  • Value-added products: These products include ready-to-eat guacamole, sliced avocados, and avocado oil.

Market Share:

  • Mission Produce has a market share of approximately 25% of the global avocado market.
  • In the United States, the company is the market leader with a market share of over 30%.
  • The company's top competitors include Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) and West Pak Avocado, Inc. (WPAK).

Product Performance:

  • Mission's Ripe program and commitment to quality have differentiated its avocados in the market.
  • The company's value-added products are gaining traction and expanding its product offerings.

Total Addressable Market

  • The global avocado market is estimated to reach $17 billion by 2026, driven by growing demand from health-conscious consumers.
  • Per capita consumption of avocados in the United States has tripled since 2000, indicating significant potential for continued growth.

Financial Performance

Revenue and Profitability

  • In 2022, Mission Produce reported revenue of $1.7 billion, a 20% increase year-over-year.
  • The company's net income for 2022 was $73.6 million.
  • Gross profit margin in 2022 was around 15%, while operating profit margin was approximately 8%.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

  • Mission Produce generated $137 million of operating cash flow in 2022.
  • The company has a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

  • Mission Produce initiated a dividend in 2018.
  • The company's current annual dividend payout is $0.48 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 1.5%.

Shareholder Returns

  • Mission Produce's stock price has increased by over 200% in the past five years, outperforming the S&P 500.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

  • Mission Produce has consistently delivered double-digit revenue growth in recent years.
  • The company's growth has been driven by increasing avocado consumption, expansion into new markets, and product innovation.

Future projections

  • Analysts expect Mission Produce to continue its strong growth trajectory in the coming years.
  • The company's long-term growth strategy includes expanding its global footprint, developing new value-added products, and leveraging its Ripe technology.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends

  • The global avocado industry is experiencing strong growth driven by rising demand, health trends, and increasing avocado consumption in emerging markets.
  • Technology plays an increasingly important role in the industry, particularly in areas such as supply chain management, ripening technologies, and marketing.

Competitive Landscape

  • Mission Produce is the largest player in the avocado industry with significant scale and brand recognition.
  • The company faces competition from other major players like Calavo Growers and regional distributors.

Competitors

Key competitors:

  • Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW): 15% US market share
  • West Pak Avocado, Inc. (WPAK): 10% US market share
  • Del Monte Produce (DLM): Smaller market share but a significant player in the fresh fruit market.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Market Leadership: Mission Produce is the global leader in avocado distribution and has a strong brand reputation.
  • Global reach: The company operates in over 20 countries, providing a significant competitive advantage in sourcing and marketing avocados.
  • Ripe Program: The company's innovative Ripe program differentiates its products by guaranteeing ripe and ready-to-eat avocados.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Seasonal Volatility: The avocado industry is seasonal, which can lead to price fluctuations and impact profitability.
  • Competition: The company faces intense competition from other major players in the avocado market.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges

  • Supply Chain Disruptions: The global pandemic and geopolitical events have disrupted supply chains and increased volatility in the avocado market.
  • Technological Changes: New technologies could disrupt the industry, requiring Mission to adapt its operations and marketing strategies.

Opportunities

  • Growth in Emerging Markets: Increasing demand for avocados in emerging markets, particularly in Asia, presents significant growth opportunities for the company.
  • Product Innovation: Developing new value-added products can expand Mission Produce's offerings and increase revenue streams.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • In April 2021, Mission Produce acquired the remaining 40% ownership in Ready Avocado.
  • In August 2021, the company acquired the Mexican avocado producer, Agromex Agroecologia.
  • In January 2022, Mission Produce acquired the Westfalia Fruit Group (Chilean Operations S.A.).
  • These acquisitions strengthen the company's global footprint, increase avocado sourcing and production capacity, and expand its value-added product offerings.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an analysis of financial statements, market positioning, industry trends, and growth prospects, an AI model assigns Mission Produce a fundamental rating of 8.2/10.

This rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, market leadership position, and promising growth opportunities.

However, the model also identifies challenges such as supply chain volatility and competition as factors to consider.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This overview was prepared using information from the following sources:

  • Mission Produce Inc. Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings (10K, 10Q)
  • Industry reports
  • Market research articles

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Individuals should carefully consider their own investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation before making any investment decisions.

About NVIDIA Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Oxnard, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-10-01
Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Stephen J. Barnard
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Food Distribution
Full time employees 3300
Full time employees 3300

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, distributors, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.

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