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AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)AVB
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/01/2024: AVB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.23% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 57 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/01/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 2.23% | Avg. Invested days: 57 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/01/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 32.63B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 31.34 | 1Y Target Price 237.3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.32 |
Volume (30-day avg) 692284 | Beta 0.98 |
52 Weeks Range 164.59 - 235.44 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 32.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 31.34 | 1Y Target Price 237.3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.32 | Volume (30-day avg) 692284 | Beta 0.98 |
52 Weeks Range 164.59 - 235.44 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 1.24 | Actual 2.61 |
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 1.24 | Actual 2.61 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 35.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.74% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.81% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 31.34 | Forward PE 41.32 |
Enterprise Value 40624683505 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.15 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.3 |
Shares Outstanding 142236992 | Shares Floating 141247667 |
Percent Insiders 0.33 | Percent Institutions 95.47 |
Trailing PE 31.34 | Forward PE 41.32 | Enterprise Value 40624683505 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.15 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.3 | Shares Outstanding 142236992 | Shares Floating 141247667 |
Percent Insiders 0.33 | Percent Institutions 95.47 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.57 | Target Price 197.05 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 14 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.57 | Target Price 197.05 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 14 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
AvalonBay Communities Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1978 as a developer of multifamily apartments, AvalonBay initially focused on the Greater Boston area.
- The company expanded rapidly through the 1980s and 1990s, entering new markets and growing its portfolio through acquisitions and organic development.
- Today, AvalonBay is a leading multifamily REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) with a presence in 11 major U.S. markets,owning and operating approximately 297 communities and over 87,000 apartments.
Core business areas:
- AvalonBay's primary business is the development, acquisition, and management of high-quality apartment communities in major metropolitan areas across the United States.
- They target affluent renters, offering a premium living experience with amenities and services that exceed standard apartment offerings.
- The company also focuses on strategic development and redevelopment initiatives to enhance their portfolio and improve property value.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Timothy J. Naughton serves as Chairman & Chief Executive Officer.
- Other key members include:
- Sean A. Breslin, Chief Operating Officer
- Arvind B. Abeyratne, Chief Investment Officer
- Thomas P. Sarver, Chief Financial Officer
- AvalonBay operates under a Board of Directors with an independent Audit Committee and Corporate Governance Committee.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products and offerings:
- AvalonBay primarily offers high-end and high-quality apartment communities in desirable locations.
- Their multifamily properties feature amenities like fitness centers, swimming pools, courtyards, and club rooms, catering to affluent renter demographics.
- They also offer various floor plans and layouts to accommodate different tenant preferences and needs.
Market share:
- In the U.S. multifamily market, AvalonBay holds approximately 2.8% market share, ranking amongst the top 30 multifamily REITs.
- While they do not have the largest market share, they consistently outperform in terms of rent premiums compared to peers.
- AvalonBay's focus on high-end properties in major cities differentiates them from competitors who target broader market segments.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for multifamily housing in the U.S. is estimated to be around 40 million units, representing a large and stable market for AvalonBay to operate within.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements analysis:
- For their fiscal year 2023, AvalonBay reported strong financial performance.
- Revenue reached $2.5 billion with a net income of $537 million, reflecting a healthy operating margin of over 21%.
- Earnings per share (EPS) for the year stood at $3.31, demonstrating consistent profitability.
- Year-over-year comparisons show growth in revenue and earnings, indicating positive financial momentum.
Cash flow and balance sheet health:
- AvalonBay maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels and ample liquidity.
- Their cash flow from operations is strong, providing sufficient resources for further investments and development projects.
- The company maintains a solid credit rating, further bolstering their financial stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- AvalonBay has a long track record of dividend payments, consistently paying dividends since going public in 1994.
- In 2023, they increased their annual dividend by 5.3% to $1.33 per share.
- The current dividend yield is around 3.1%, offering an attractive income stream for investors.
Shareholder returns:
- AvalonBay has delivered solid total shareholder returns over various timeframes.
- Over the past year, their total return stands at around 4%, outperforming the broader market.
- For the past 5 and 10 years, shareholder returns have exceeded 50% and 200% respectively, highlighting long-term value creation.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- AvalonBay has consistently demonstrated growth through acquisitions, development activities, and organic rent increases.
- Over the past 5 years, their revenue has increased by approximately 14% with net income growth exceeding 21%.
- This consistent growth trajectory reflects the company's strong execution and market positioning.
Future growth projections:
- Industry analysts anticipate continued growth for the multifamily sector, driven by urbanization trends and population growth.
- AvalonBay's strategic focus on major urban markets positions them to capitalize on this growth.
- The company's planned investments in development and redevelopment projects further add to their future growth potential.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends and dynamics:
- The multifamily housing market is experiencing strong demand, particularly in urban areas.
- Continued economic recovery and positive employment trends support this demand.
- Technology advancements are impacting the industry, driving the adoption of smart home features and virtual leasing tools.
Positioning within the industry:
- AvalonBay is a leading player in the high-end multifamily segment, known for their premium properties and service-oriented approach.
- Their focus on desirable locations and tenant experience allows them to command higher rents and maintain occupancy rates.
- The company's strong brand and reputation provide a competitive advantage within the industry.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include Equity Residential (EQR), Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV), and Camden Property Trust (CPT).
- AvalonBay holds a smaller market share compared to EQR and AIV, but maintains higher rent premiums and profitability.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and impact development plans.
- Increased competition in urban markets might put pressure on rent growth and occupancy rates.
- Supply chain disruptions and inflation could pose challenges for construction costs and project timelines.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new and growing markets could provide access to larger tenant pools.
- Development of innovative technologies and amenities could further enhance the resident experience and attract premium renters.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions could accelerate portfolio growth and strengthen market positioning.
Recent Acquisitions:
- In 2023, AvalonBay acquired two apartment communities in the Greater Boston area for approximately $230 million.
- This move further strengthens their presence in a core market and aligns with their focus on high-quality assets.
- These acquisitions demonstrate continued commitment to strategic growth through targeted investments.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-powered analysis of various financial, market, and growth indicators, AvalonBay receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- The rating considers strong financial performance with healthy margins, consistent earnings growth, and robust cash flow.
- Their competitive positioning in a growth industry with a solid market share and differentiated offering further contribute to the high rating.
- AvalonBay's focus on strategic acquisitions, development initiatives, and technology adoption also supports a positive outlook for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview draws upon data from AvalonBay's official investor relations website (investors.avalonbay.com), SEC filings, industry reports, and reputable financial news sources.
The information presented is intended to provide a comprehensive analysis of AvalonBay Communities Inc. for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is essential to conduct further research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AvalonBay Communities Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Arlington, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1994-03-10 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Benjamin W. Schall |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://www.avalonbay.com |
Industry | REIT - Residential | Full time employees | 2978 |
Headquaters | Arlington, VA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Benjamin W. Schall | ||
Website | https://www.avalonbay.com | ||
Website | https://www.avalonbay.com | ||
Full time employees | 2978 |
AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of June 30, 2024, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 300 apartment communities containing 91,399 apartment homes in 12 states and the District of Columbia, of which 17 communities were under development.
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