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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$213.14
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/27/2025: AVB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -12.28%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 30.38B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.1
1Y Target Price 238.05
Price to earnings Ratio 28.1
1Y Target Price 238.05
Volume (30-day avg) 694195
Beta 1.01
52 Weeks Range 173.26 - 237.44
Updated Date 03/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 173.26 - 237.44
Updated Date 03/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.28%
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.6

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 36.5%
Operating Margin (TTM) 31.54%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.9%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.12%

Valuation

Trailing PE 28.1
Forward PE 39.06
Enterprise Value 38524730485
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.25
Enterprise Value 38524730485
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.87
Shares Outstanding 142255008
Shares Floating 141289577
Shares Outstanding 142255008
Shares Floating 141289577
Percent Insiders 0.37
Percent Institutions 97.06

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.67
Target Price 239.95
Buy 6
Strong Buy 5
Buy 6
Strong Buy 5
Hold 13
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

AvalonBay Communities Inc

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Company Overview

History and Background

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) was founded in 1998 through the merger of Avalon Properties and Bay Apartment Communities. It has grown to become one of the largest publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs) focused on the development, redevelopment, acquisition, and management of high-quality apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas.

Core Business Areas

  • Apartment Ownership and Operation: Core business involves owning, operating, and managing apartment communities. Focuses on high-barrier-to-entry markets.
  • Development and Redevelopment: Develops and redevelops apartment communities to enhance portfolio and increase property value.
  • Acquisitions: Acquires existing apartment communities strategically to expand its portfolio.

Leadership and Structure

Benjamin Schall serves as the President and CEO. The company operates with a structured management team overseeing various functional areas, including development, property management, and finance, governed by a Board of Trustees.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Apartment Residences: Offers a range of apartment residences, from studios to multi-bedroom units, in various urban and suburban locations. Targets affluent demographic. Competitors include Equity Residential (EQR) and UDR Inc. (UDR). Market share data is not directly available at the product level, but overall AvalonBay has a significant share among publicly traded REITs.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The apartment REIT industry is influenced by factors such as interest rates, employment growth, and housing affordability. Demand is driven by population growth, urbanization, and lifestyle preferences. Supply is dictated by construction costs, zoning regulations and available financing.

Positioning

AvalonBay is a leading apartment REIT with a focus on high-quality properties in high-barrier-to-entry markets. Its competitive advantages include a strong brand, development expertise, and efficient property management.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for multifamily housing in the US is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. AvalonBay is positioned to capture a portion of this market by focusing on affluent renters in specific geographic areas and developing new properties.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Recognition
  • High-Quality Portfolio
  • Development Expertise
  • Efficient Property Management
  • Focus on High-Barrier-to-Entry Markets

Weaknesses

  • High Debt Levels
  • Sensitivity to Interest Rate Changes
  • Geographic Concentration
  • Susceptibility to Economic Downturns

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Markets
  • Development of Mixed-Use Properties
  • Technological Innovations in Property Management
  • Increasing Demand for Rental Housing

Threats

  • Rising Interest Rates
  • Increased Competition
  • Economic Downturn
  • New Housing Supply
  • Changes in Government Regulations

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • EQR
  • UDR
  • MAA
  • INVH

Competitive Landscape

AvalonBay competes effectively based on its high-quality portfolio, development expertise, and strong brand. However, it faces competition from other large REITs and private developers.

Major Acquisitions

Archstone (partial portfolio)

  • Year: 2013
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3400
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded AVB's presence in key markets such as New York, Southern California, and the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: AvalonBay has grown through development, acquisitions, and organic rent growth.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to come from continued development and acquisition activities, as well as rent increases. Analyst estimates vary.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include new development projects, property renovations, and technological implementations.

Summary

AvalonBay is a strong REIT with a focus on high-quality apartment communities in desirable locations. Its development expertise and brand recognition are advantages, but it faces risks from rising interest rates and increased competition. The company's strategic initiatives and focus on innovation position it well for future growth, but careful monitoring of economic conditions is crucial.

Similar Companies

  • EQR
  • UDR
  • MAA
  • INVH
  • ESS

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Presentations
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data and market conditions are subject to change. Market share percentages are based on total market capitalization of the respective companies in relation to total REIT market cap.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About AvalonBay Communities Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-03-10
President, CEO & Director Mr. Benjamin W. Schall
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Residential
Full time employees 2928
Full time employees 2928

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT that develops, redevelops, acquires and manages apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of December 31, 2024, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 306 apartment communities containing 93,518 apartment homes in 12 states and the District of Columbia, of which 17 communities were under development.

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