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AeroVironment Inc (AVAV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$158.13
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-16.49%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 3 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: AVAV (2-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (-16.49%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 20.89%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.46B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 93.02
1Y Target Price 226.74
Price to earnings Ratio 93.02
1Y Target Price 226.74
Volume (30-day avg) 376507
Beta 0.52
52 Weeks Range 121.74 - 236.60
Updated Date 02/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 121.74 - 236.60
Updated Date 02/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.7

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.39%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.7%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.22%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.89%

Valuation

Trailing PE 93.02
Forward PE 56.82
Enterprise Value 4463696849
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.86
Enterprise Value 4463696849
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.86
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.86
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 50.75
Shares Outstanding 28219400
Shares Floating 27657862
Shares Outstanding 28219400
Shares Floating 27657862
Percent Insiders 2.15
Percent Institutions 99.76

AI Summary

AeroVironment Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History: Founded in 1971, AeroVironment Inc. is a global leader in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for defense, commercial, and industrial applications.

Core Business Areas:

  • Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS): The company designs, manufactures, and sells small drones for military and civilian use, including the Switchblade loitering munition.
  • Renewable Energy Systems: AeroVironment develops and markets wind turbines for generating clean energy, primarily for remote and off-grid applications.

Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Wahid Nawabi
  • CTO: Kirk Flittie
  • CFO: Christopher Baur

The company operates in a decentralized structure with three main segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Government Services, and Efficient Energy Systems.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • RQ-11 Raven: This hand-launched UAV is widely used by the U.S. military for reconnaissance and surveillance.
  • Puma 3 AE: A larger, longer-range drone for military and commercial uses.
  • Switchblade 300 & 600: Loitering munitions used for precision strikes, gaining significant traction with recent conflicts.

AeroVironment holds a dominant market share in the small tactical UAV segment, estimated at approximately 60%.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The global market for small UAVs is estimated at around $11.5 billion in 2023, with growth projected to reach $17.8 billion by 2028. Additionally, the global market for wind turbines is estimated at $80.5 billion in 2023, expected to grow to $101.8 billion by 2028.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: $572 million (2022)
  • Net Income: $43.5 million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 7.6% (2022)
  • EPS: $1.45 (2022)

Year-over-year revenue growth has been strong, driven by increased demand for Switchblade systems and other UAS products. Cash flow generation has also been positive, although balance sheet leverage is relatively high.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

AeroVironment does not currently pay dividends. Total shareholder returns for the past year have been negative, although long-term (5 and 10 year) returns have been positive.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth over the past five years has been driven by increasing demand for small UAVs and wind turbines. Future growth projections are positive, supported by strong industry trends and a robust product pipeline. Important considerations include ongoing geopolitical tensions and their impact on UAS demand.

Market Dynamics:

The small UAV market is characterized by rapid technological advancements and increasing competition. AeroVironment is well-positioned with its strong brand recognition, technological expertise, and established customer base. However, continued innovation and strategic partnerships will be crucial for maintaining market share and driving future growth.

Competitors:

  • Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS): Designs and manufactures unmanned aerial systems and tactical missiles.
  • Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings (AJRD): Produces propulsion systems and other aerospace and defense technologies.
  • General Atomics (GA): Leading manufacturer of military UAVs, including the Predator and Reaper drones.

Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Supply Chain Constraints: Ongoing supply chain disruptions could impact AeroVironment's ability to manufacture and deliver products on time.
  • Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes could lead to disruptions and require significant investments in innovation.
  • Competition: Intense competition could put pressure on pricing and profitability.
  • Geopolitical Uncertainty: Volatility in global conflicts could impact demand for UAS and influence government funding priorities.

AeroVironment's strategic partnerships and ongoing research initiatives will be crucial for addressing these challenges and capitalizing on opportunities in new markets, product innovations, and strategic partnerships.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):

  • Arcturus UAV (2023): Acquisition expands AeroVironment's portfolio of larger UAS and strengthens its capabilities in medium-altitude long-endurance (MALE) systems.
  • TCOM LP (2022): Acquisition enhances AeroVironment's intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities by adding advanced payloads and data analysis tools.
  • HighLine Robotics (2021): Acquisition strengthens AeroVironment's presence in the inspection and infrastructure maintenance market with specialized robotic solutions.

These acquisitions strategically expand the company's product offerings and technological capabilities, driving growth in new markets and applications.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

7.5 out of 10:

AeroVironment exhibits strong fundamentals with positive financial performance, leading market positions, and a promising growth trajectory. However, competition and market dynamics remain key challenges. Continued innovation and strategic execution will be crucial for sustained success.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This information is not intended to be financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About AeroVironment Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-01-23
Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi
Sector Industrials
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Full time employees 1403
Full time employees 1403

AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through UnCrewed Systems (UxS); Loitering Munition Systems (LMS); and the MacCready Works (MW) segments. The company supplies uncrewed aircraft and ground robot systems, loitering munitions systems, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense, other federal agencies, and to international allied governments. It also offers airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including training, spare parts, product repair, product replacement, maintenance, and upgrade services. Further, it develops mars Helicopters and high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

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