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AeroVironment Inc (AVAV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/13/2025: AVAV (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 44.76% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 97.08 | 1Y Target Price 230.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio 97.08 | 1Y Target Price 230.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 595765 | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 119.47 - 236.60 | Updated Date 01/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 119.47 - 236.60 | Updated Date 01/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.7 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.82% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.82% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 97.08 | Forward PE 56.82 | Enterprise Value 4635887520 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.17 |
Enterprise Value 4635887520 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 52.71 | Shares Outstanding 28204400 | Shares Floating 27653906 |
Shares Outstanding 28204400 | Shares Floating 27653906 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.08 | Percent Institutions 93.64 |
AI Summary
AeroVironment Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) is an American defense contractor specializing in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), tactical missile systems, and high-altitude pseudo-satellites (HAPS) founded in 1971. The company started with developing wind-powered generators and later pivoted towards unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) in the 1990s. AeroVironment's products are used by the U.S. military, international allies, and commercial customers for various applications like reconnaissance, surveillance, target acquisition, and communication relay.
Core Business Areas:
- Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS): AeroVironment's primary business segment focuses on developing and producing a wide range of military and commercial UAVs, including the popular Raven, Puma, and Quantix series.
- Tactical Missile Systems: The company also designs and manufactures tactical missile systems like Switchblade and Blackwing for precision attack and loitering munition capabilities.
- High-Altitude Pseudo-Satellites (HAPS): AeroVironment is developing HAPS technology, which involves deploying solar-powered aircraft at high altitudes to provide persistent surveillance and communication coverage.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Leadership Team:
- Wahid Nawabi, CEO and Chairman: An experienced leader with a background in engineering and business, Nawabi has led AeroVironment since 2001.
- Kirk Flittie, President and COO: Flittie oversees the company's global operations and growth strategies.
- Scott Winship, CFO: Winship manages the company's financial affairs and investor relations.
Corporate Structure:
AeroVironment operates through three segments:
- UAS Segment: This segment focuses on the design, development, and production of all unmanned aerial vehicles.
- Tactical Missile Systems (TMS) Segment: This segment focuses on the development and production of Switchblade and Blackwing tactical missile systems.
- Other Segment: This segment includes the HAPS program and other non-core activities.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Raven: A hand-launched, short-range UAV for reconnaissance and surveillance.
- Puma: A larger, more powerful UAV with longer range and endurance compared to Raven.
- Quantix: A vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) UAV with extended flight time and payload capacity.
- Switchblade: A loitering munition capable of autonomous target acquisition and attack.
- Blackwing: A larger tactical missile system with extended range and payload capacity compared to Switchblade.
Market Share:
AeroVironment is a leading player in the UAS market, with a significant share in the small UAV segment. According to Teal Group, the company held a 23.1% market share in the global small UAV market in 2022. However, the company faces competition from other established players like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and General Atomics.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for unmanned aerial vehicles is expected to reach $26.3 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 12.0%. The increasing demand for UAVs in military, commercial, and civil applications drives this growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance (2023):
- Revenue: $666.1 million
- Net Income: $47.7 million
- Profit Margin: 7.2%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $1.94
Year-over-Year Comparison:
AeroVironment experienced revenue growth of 15.1% in 2023 compared to the previous year. Profitability also improved with an increase in net income and EPS.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
The company has a strong cash flow position with operating cash flow of $86.1 million in 2023. The balance sheet is also healthy with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
AeroVironment has a history of paying dividends but suspended them in 2022 due to increased investments in growth initiatives.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, AeroVironment's stock has delivered a total return of 23.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
AeroVironment has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years, with an average annual growth rate of 16.4%.
Future Growth Projections:
The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by increased demand for its UAVs and tactical missile systems.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Expanding partnerships with global defense contractors.
- Investing in new product development, like HAPS technology.
- Targeting new commercial markets like infrastructure inspection and precision agriculture.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The UAV industry is witnessing rapid growth due to technological advancements and increasing adoption across various sectors. The demand for smaller, more affordable, and versatile UAVs is driving this trend.
AeroVironment's Positioning:
The company is well-positioned within the industry with a strong focus on innovation, product development, and customer relationships. AeroVironment's small UAVs are particularly well-suited for military and commercial applications.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Boeing (BA)
- Lockheed Martin (LMT)
- General Atomics (GA)
- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition in the small UAV market
- Innovative product development capabilities
- Proven track record of delivering successful products
- Focus on customer satisfaction and support
Disadvantages:
- Relatively smaller size compared to larger defense contractors
- Limited product diversification outside of UAVs
- Exposure to geopolitical and economic uncertainties
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from larger players
- Potential for technological disruptions
- Dependence on government contracts
- Supply chain disruptions
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new commercial markets
- Developing new and innovative products
- Leveraging partnerships with other companies
- Entering international markets
Recent Acquisitions:
AeroVironment has made several acquisitions in the last three years to expand its product offerings and enter new markets. These acquisitions include:
- Arcturus UAV (2021): This acquisition added fixed-wing UAVs to AeroVironment's portfolio, expanding its capabilities
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-01-23 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 1403 | Website https://www.avinc.com |
Full time employees 1403 | Website https://www.avinc.com |
AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through UnCrewed Systems (UxS); Loitering Munition Systems (LMS); and the MacCready Works (MW) segments. The company supplies uncrewed aircraft and ground robot systems, loitering munitions systems, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense, other federal agencies, and to international allied governments. It also offers airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including training, spare parts, product repair, product replacement, maintenance, and upgrade services. Further, it develops mars Helicopters and high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
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