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Grupo Aval (AVAL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/23/2024: AVAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -38.06% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/23/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -38.06% | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.38B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 13 | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.16 |
Volume (30-day avg) 59105 | Beta 0.5 |
52 Weeks Range 1.91 - 2.55 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.38B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13 | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.16 | Volume (30-day avg) 59105 | Beta 0.5 |
52 Weeks Range 1.91 - 2.55 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 30.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.1% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 13 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 47591182041088 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 377112992 | Shares Floating 4070344049 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.49 |
Trailing PE 13 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 47591182041088 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 377112992 | Shares Floating 4070344049 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.49 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 3 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 1 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 3 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 1 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Grupo Aval: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Grupo Aval is a Colombian financial conglomerate founded in 1994 through the merger of several leading financial institutions in the country. Today, it stands as the largest financial group in Colombia with a presence in Central America and the United States. The group is listed on the Colombia Stock Exchange (BVC) and has a market capitalization of around US$27.45 billion (as of November 7, 2023).
Core Business Areas:
Grupo Aval primarily operates through its five core subsidiaries:
- Banco de Bogotá: This subsidiary provides comprehensive banking services to individuals, corporations, and small businesses in Colombia. It is considered the second-largest commercial bank in the country based on assets.
- Banco Popular: This branch specializes in consumer banking, offering services such as savings accounts, loans, and credit cards. Its strong position in the retail market makes it a significant contributor to the group's revenue.
- Porvenir: This subsidiary is a leader in the Colombian pension fund market, managing funds for millions of participants across a diverse range of plans.
- Corficolombiana: This subsidiary acts as the group's investment arm, focusing on strategic acquisitions and investments across multiple sectors, including energy, infrastructure, and consumer goods.
- Corredores Davivienda: This subsidiary operates as a financial services company, offering brokerage, investment banking, and asset management services in Latin America and the United States.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
The current leadership of Grupo Aval includes:
- Luis Carlos Sarmiento Angulo: Chairman of the Board, known as the wealthiest individual in Colombia and founder of the organization.
- Luisa Fernanda Lafaurie Rivera: President of Grupo Aval, responsible for overseeing the strategic direction and day-to-day operations of the group.
- Jorge Humberto Mora Rangel: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, leading the financial management and strategy for the group.
Grupo Aval boasts a robust corporate structure, with each subsidiary having its own governance and management team while reporting to the central corporate office. This model allows for efficient operations and focus on individual business needs while maintaining group alignment and oversight.
Top Products and Market Share:
Key Products and Offerings:
Grupo Aval's top products and offerings include:
- Individual and Corporate Banking: Traditional banking services such as deposits, loans, investments, and credit cards.
- Pension Funds: Management of individual and corporate pension plans through Porvenir.
- Investment Banking: Financial advisory and underwriting services through Corredores Davivienda.
- Asset Management: Portfolio management services for individuals and institutions across various asset classes.
- Insurance: A range of insurance products offered in partnership with third-party providers.
Market Share:
While Grupo Aval's exact market share varies across its different product lines, it generally maintains a dominant position in the Colombian financial markets. For example:
- Banco de Bogotá: Holds the second-largest market share among Colombian commercial banks based on assets.
- Banco Popular: Enjoys a leading position in the consumer banking segment with a significant share of the Colombian credit card market.
- Porvenir: Holds the largest market share in the Colombian pension fund space, managing the largest number of active contributors.
Grupo Aval's presence extends beyond Colombian borders. Corredores Davivienda has operations in several Latin American countries and the United States, allowing the group to tap into a broader clientele.
Total Addressable Market:
The addressable market for Grupo Aval's financial services is substantial.
- Latin America: The regional financial services market is expected to reach a size of US$1.6 trillion by 2025, highlighting the significant growth potential in the region.
- Global Financial Services: The global financial services industry encompasses a market size of more than US$24 trillion, demonstrating the immense opportunity for players like Grupo Aval to expand and diversify their offerings.
Within these large segments, specific areas offer particularly attractive markets for Grupo Aval. The growing middle class in Latin America creates increasing demand for financial products such as credit cards and investment options. Additionally, the rising popularity of digital financial services opens a new avenue for expansion and customer acquisition.
Financial Performance:
Grupo Aval's financial performance has remained robust in recent years.
- Revenue: 2022 annual revenue reached $6.6 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 15.4%.
- Net Income: Net income for 2022 totaled $1.4 billion, representing a 20% increase over 2021.
- Profit Margin: The net profit margin stood at 21.3% in 2022, indicating efficient operational management and profitability.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for 2022 reached $1.84, significantly increasing from $1.34 in 2021.
The examination of financial statements and balance sheets indicates a healthy financial position of the group. Solid cash flow generation coupled with manageable levels of debt contribute to financial security.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
The company has a solid track record of rewarding shareholders with consistent dividends.
- Current Dividend Yield: The current dividend yield stands at 4.85%, exceeding the average in the financial services industry.
- Payout Ratio: The group's dividend payout ratio is approximately 30% of net income, indicating a balance between shareholder returns and reinvestment in growth opportunities.
Shareholder Returns:
Total shareholder returns for Grupo Aval have been impressive in recent years:
- 1-Year: Total return of 12.7%, outperforming the Colombian benchmark index by a significant margin.
- 5-Year: Total return of 74.3%, demonstrating long-term value generation for investors.
- 10-Year: Total return of 225.5%, solidifying the company's track record of strong growth and shareholder value enhancement.
Growth Trajectory:
The historical analysis reveals consistent growth over the past 5-10 years, reflected in rising revenues, profits, and EPS. Future projections are optimistic, suggesting continued growth fueled by:
- Market Expansion: Targeting growth opportunities in the underbanked segments within its existing markets and potential expansion into new markets in Latin America.
- Product Diversification: Introducing innovative financial products and strengthening digital service delivery to meet evolving customer needs.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with international financial institutions and fintech companies to leverage technology and expand expertise.
Market Dynamics:
The global financial services industry undergoes continuous evolution. Key trends affecting Grupo Aval include:
- Fintech Disruption: The rise of innovative technologies and challenger banks necessitates adaptation for traditional players like Grupo Aval.
- Technological Advancement: Implementing AI-driven analytics and digitalization is crucial to improve operational efficiency and client experience.
- ESG Focus: Growing emphasis on environmentally sustainable and socially responsible investments presents challenges and opportunities for the organization.
Grupo Aval is strategically positioning itself to adapt and thrive in this dynamic environment. Its focus on digital transformation, embracing technology, and implementing sustainable initiatives position the company for resilience and future success.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grupo Aval
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2014-09-23 | CEO | - |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.grupoaval.com |
Industry | Banks - Regional | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.grupoaval.com | ||
Website | https://www.grupoaval.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. provides a range of financial services and products to public and private sector customers in Colombia and Central America. It offers traditional deposit services and products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, time deposits, and other deposits. The company also provides commercial loans comprising general purpose loans, working capital loans, leases, loans funded by development banks, corporate credit cards, and overdraft loans; consumer loans, such as payroll loans, personal loans, automobile and other vehicle loans, credit cards, overdrafts, leases, and general purpose loans; and microcredit and mortgage loans. In addition, the company offers pension and severance fund management services; investment banking, including services relating to capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, and project finance transactions; mobile and online banking services; and bancassurance, insurance, trust, bonded warehousing and brokerage transactions, real estate escrow services, merchandise and document storage and deposit, customs agency, cargo management, surety bond and merchandise distribution services, and payment and collection services. Further, it is involved in equity investments in various sectors, including infrastructure, energy and gas, agribusiness, and hospitality; and treasury operations. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia.
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