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Grupo Aval (AVAL)AVAL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/01/2024: AVAL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -34.81% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/01/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -34.81% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/01/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.34B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 14 | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.15 |
Volume (30-day avg) 26762 | Beta 0.5 |
52 Weeks Range 1.92 - 2.57 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14 | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) 5.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.15 | Volume (30-day avg) 26762 | Beta 0.5 |
52 Weeks Range 1.92 - 2.57 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.07 | Actual 0.0772 |
Report Date 2024-11-13 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.07 | Actual 0.0772 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 30.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.1% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 14 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 47591182041088 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 377112992 | Shares Floating 4070344049 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.49 |
Trailing PE 14 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 47591182041088 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 377112992 | Shares Floating 4070344049 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.49 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 3 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 1 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 2.5 | Target Price 3 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 1 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Grupo Aval: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (GAVAL) is a Colombian financial holding company established in 1997. It is the leading financial group in Colombia, operating in retail, commercial, and investment banking, as well as asset management. GAVAL was formed through the merger of several major Colombian financial institutions, including Banco de Bogotá, Banco Comercial Antioqueño, and Banco de Occidente.
Core Business Areas:
- Retail Banking: GAVAL offers a range of financial products and services to individuals, including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, loans, and mortgages.
- Commercial Banking: GAVAL provides financial solutions to businesses of all sizes, including loans, credit lines, treasury management services, and trade finance.
- Investment Banking: GAVAL's investment banking arm provides services such as mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and brokerage services.
- Asset Management: GAVAL manages a diverse portfolio of assets for individuals and institutions through its subsidiaries such as Corficolombiana, Porvenir, and Scotia Colpatria.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The leadership team of Grupo Aval is led by Luis Carlos Sarmiento Angulo as Chairman and Jorge Mario Velásquez as CEO. The company's corporate structure is composed of several subsidiaries, including Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular, Banco AV Villas, Corficolombiana, Porvenir, and Scotia Colpatria.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Checking and Savings Accounts: GAVAL offers a variety of checking and savings accounts to meet the needs of its individual customers.
- Credit Cards: GAVAL issues a wide range of credit cards with various features and rewards programs.
- Loans: GAVAL provides loans for individuals and businesses for various purposes, including mortgages, auto loans, and personal loans.
- Investment Products: GAVAL offers a range of investment products, including mutual funds, fixed-income instruments, and equities.
- Pension Funds: GAVAL's subsidiary, Porvenir, is one of the leading pension fund managers in Colombia.
Market Share:
- Colombian Banking Market: GAVAL holds the largest market share in the Colombian banking market, with a total market share of approximately 20% as of 2023.
- Retail Banking: GAVAL has a market share of approximately 15% in the Colombian retail banking market.
- Commercial Banking: GAVAL holds a market share of approximately 25% in the Colombian commercial banking market.
- Asset Management: GAVAL's asset management subsidiaries manage over $70 billion in assets, making it one of the largest asset managers in Colombia.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
GAVAL's products have generally been well received by the market. The company's strong financial performance and focus on innovation have helped it to maintain its market leadership position. However, the company faces competition from other major Colombian banks, as well as international banks entering the market.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Grupo Aval is the Colombian financial services market, which is estimated to be worth over $200 billion. This market is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising disposable incomes and increasing financial inclusion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
GAVAL's recent financial performance has been strong. The company reported revenue of $7.7 billion in 2022, with net income of $1.5 billion. GAVAL's profit margin was 19.5%, and its earnings per share (EPS) were $2.50.
Year-over-Year Performance:
GAVAL's revenue and net income have grown steadily in recent years. The company's profit margin has also remained stable, while its EPS has grown at a strong pace.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
GAVAL has a strong cash flow and balance sheet. The company has a healthy level of cash and equivalents, as well as a low level of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
GAVAL has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The company's recent dividend yield has been around 3%. GAVAL's payout ratio has been around 40%.
Shareholder Returns:
GAVAL's shareholders have enjoyed strong returns in recent years. The company's stock price has increased by over 50% in the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
GAVAL has experienced strong historical growth. The company's revenue and net income have both grown at a double-digit pace over the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
GAVAL is expected to continue to grow in the coming years. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the Colombian economy and the increasing demand for financial services.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
GAVAL has recently launched several new products and initiatives to support its growth. These include the launch of a new mobile banking app, the expansion of its branch network, and the development of new investment products.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The Colombian financial services industry is growing rapidly, driven by factors such as rising disposable incomes and increasing financial inclusion. The industry is also becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants from both domestic and international markets.
Company Positioning:
GAVAL is well-positioned within the Colombian financial services industry. The company is the market leader with a strong brand and a wide distribution network. GAVAL is also investing heavily in innovation to stay ahead of the competition.
Competitors:
- Bancolombia (BCOLOMBIA): Bancolombia is the second-largest bank in Colombia, with a market share of approximately 15%.
- Banco de Bogotá (BOGOTA.CN): Banco de Bogotá is a subsidiary of GAVAL and the third-largest bank in Colombia, with a market share of around 10%.
- BBVA Colombia (BBVACOL): BBVA Colombia is the Colombian subsidiary of Spanish banking giant BBVA, with a market share of approximately 5%.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: GAVAL faces intense competition from other domestic and international banks.
- Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in the Colombian economy could have a negative impact on GAVAL's earnings.
- Technological Change: The rapid pace of technological change could disrupt GAVAL's business model.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in the Colombian Economy: The Colombian economy is expected to grow in the coming years, which could provide opportunities for GAVAL to expand its business.
- Financial Inclusion: The increasing demand for financial services from unbanked and underbanked populations could create new opportunities for GAVAL.
- Digitalization: GAVAL is investing heavily in digitalization, which could help the company to reach new customers and improve its efficiency.
Recent Acquisitions:
- Corficolombiana (2021): GAVAL acquired 100% of Corficolombiana, a leading Colombian holding company with interests in energy, infrastructure, and financial services. This acquisition strengthened GAVAL's position in the Colombian market and diversified its business portfolio.
- Banco AV Villas (2020): GAVAL acquired Banco AV Villas, a small Colombian bank focused on mortgages and consumer lending. This acquisition expanded GAVAL's presence in the retail banking segment.
- Capitalia (2019): GAVAL acquired Capitalia, a Colombian asset management firm. This acquisition strengthened GAVAL's asset management business and expanded its distribution network.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
GAVAL is a strong company with a solid financial profile, a leading market position in Colombia, and good growth prospects. However, the company faces some challenges, including competition and technological change. Overall, GAVAL is a well-positioned company with the potential for continued growth in the future.
Sources:
- Grupo Aval website: https://www.grupoaval.com/en/
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/0181428D:CO
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/GBOGOTA.CN
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grupo Aval
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2014-09-23 | CEO | - |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.grupoaval.com |
Industry | Banks - Regional | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.grupoaval.com | ||
Website | https://www.grupoaval.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. provides a range of financial services and products to public and private sector customers in Colombia and Central America. It offers traditional deposit services and products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, time deposits, and other deposits. The company also provides commercial loans comprising general purpose loans, working capital loans, leases, loans funded by development banks, corporate credit cards, and overdraft loans; consumer loans, such as payroll loans, personal loans, automobile and other vehicle loans, credit cards, overdrafts, leases, and general purpose loans; and microcredit and mortgage loans. In addition, the company offers pension and severance fund management services; investment banking, including services relating to capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, and project finance transactions; mobile and online banking services; and bancassurance, insurance, trust, bonded warehousing and brokerage transactions, real estate escrow services, merchandise and document storage and deposit, customs agency, cargo management, surety bond and merchandise distribution services, and payment and collection services. Further, it is involved in equity investments in various sectors, including infrastructure, energy and gas, agribusiness, and hospitality; and treasury operations. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia.
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