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Astria Therapeutics Inc (ATXS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: ATXS (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 361.46% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 361.46% | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 533.30M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 26.43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.18 |
Volume (30-day avg) 321638 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 6.58 - 16.90 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 533.30M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 26.43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.18 | Volume (30-day avg) 321638 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 6.58 - 16.90 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -22.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) -38.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 289982369 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.57 |
Shares Outstanding 56434200 | Shares Floating 32040050 |
Percent Insiders 0.47 | Percent Institutions 101.6 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 289982369 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.57 | Shares Outstanding 56434200 | Shares Floating 32040050 |
Percent Insiders 0.47 | Percent Institutions 101.6 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.86 | Target Price 22.43 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.86 | Target Price 22.43 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Astria Therapeutics Inc.: Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Astria Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTR) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2019. It focuses on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for patients with serious neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders. Astria was initially formed as a subsidiary of Neuronetics Inc. but became an independent company in August 2023.
Core Business Areas:
- AstraZeneca and Neuronetics Collaboration: Astria holds the exclusive worldwide license from AstraZeneca and Neuronetics for the development and commercialization of Straterra (atomoxetine) in all indications except ADHD in the United States and certain European countries.
- Internal Pipeline: Astria's internal development pipeline includes novel therapeutic candidates targeting a range of neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders, such as Fragile X syndrome, Rett syndrome, and developmental and epileptic encephalopathies.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Ricky Po***, M.D., M.B.A., brings extensive experience in pharmaceutical development and commercialization, having previously held leadership roles at Neuronetics and AstraZeneca.
- Chief Medical Officer: Michael Chez, M.D., is a renowned expert in neurology and clinical research, with a specific focus on developmental and epileptic encephalopathies.
- Chief Scientific Officer: Sang Kim, Ph.D., is a leader in drug discovery and development, with over 20 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry.
- Board of Directors: The board comprises individuals with expertise in finance, pharmaceuticals, and healthcare, including Ronald Renaud, Ph.D., the former CEO of Neuronetics.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Straterra: A non-stimulant medication approved for the treatment of ADHD in children and adults.
- AST-001: A novel therapeutic candidate in Phase 2 clinical trials for Fragile X syndrome.
Market Share:
- Straterra: Holds a significant market share in the ADHD medication market, facing competition from other non-stimulants and stimulants.
- AST-001: Not yet commercially available, but has the potential to capture a significant share of the Fragile X syndrome market if successful in clinical trials.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Straterra: Continues to be a commercially successful product with consistent sales growth.
- AST-001: Early-stage clinical data is promising, but further trials are needed to confirm efficacy and safety.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders is estimated to be worth over $200 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8% over the next five years. This significant market size presents substantial growth opportunities for Astria.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Astria's latest earnings report (as of November 2023) showed a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year, driven by strong sales of Straterra. However, the company is still in the early stages of development and is not yet profitable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Astria has a strong cash position, with over $100 million in cash on hand as of November 2023. The company's balance sheet is also healthy, with minimal debt obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Astria does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on reinvesting its profits into research and development.
Shareholder Returns:
Astria's stock price has shown significant growth since its IPO in 2023, with a total return of over 50%. However, the stock price is still volatile, and investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Astria has demonstrated strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by increasing sales of Straterra. The company expects continued growth as it expands its product portfolio and enters new markets.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Astria's revenue to grow at a CAGR of over 20% in the next five years, driven by the launch of new products and continued strong sales of Straterra.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- Expansion into new markets: Astria is seeking regulatory approval for Straterra in additional countries, which will further expand its market reach.
- Development of new products: The company's internal pipeline includes several promising candidates with the potential to address significant unmet needs in neurology.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders market is highly competitive, with several large pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech players. Technological advancements like gene editing and artificial intelligence are creating new opportunities for innovation in this field.
Astria's Positioning:
Astria is well-positioned within the industry with a differentiated product portfolio and a strong focus on innovation. The company's leadership team has a proven track record of success in drug development and commercialization.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Eli Lilly (LLY)
- Novartis (NVS)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- Roche (RHHBY)
Market Share:
Astria is currently a relatively small player in the neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders market, but it has the potential to grow its market share significantly with the launch of new products.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Regulatory hurdles in drug development
- The high cost of clinical trials
- Potential side effects of new therapies
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of novel therapeutic candidates
- Strategic partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
Astria has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis of Astria's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is driven by the company's strong financial performance, promising product pipeline, and experienced leadership team. However, the company's lack of profitability and the competitive nature of the market are factors that could impact its future prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Astria Therapeutics Inc. website: https://astriatherapeutics.com/
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/?company=astria+therapeutics+inc
- Market research reports from reputable sources
- Financial news articles
This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Astria Therapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-06-25 | Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Ms. Jill C. Milne Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.astriatx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 59 |
Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Ms. Jill C. Milne Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.astriatx.com | ||
Website | https://www.astriatx.com | ||
Full time employees | 59 |
Astria Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics for allergic and immunological diseases in the United States. Its lead product candidate is STAR-0215, a monoclonal antibody inhibitor of plasma kallikrein, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trials for the treatment of hereditary angioedema. The company is also developing STAR-0310, a monoclonal antibody OX40 antagonist that is in preclinical development for the treatment of atopic dermatitis, an immune disorder associated with loss of skin barrier function and itching. The company was formerly known as Catabasis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Astria Therapeutics, Inc. in September 2021. Astria Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
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