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ATSG logo ATSG
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ATSG logo

Air Transport Services Group Inc (ATSG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$22.44
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY34.86%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 150 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: ATSG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.95%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.48B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 56.1
1Y Target Price 22.5
Price to earnings Ratio 56.1
1Y Target Price 22.5
Volume (30-day avg) 771469
Beta 0.8
52 Weeks Range 11.69 - 22.46
Updated Date 03/31/2025
52 Weeks Range 11.69 - 22.46
Updated Date 03/31/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.4

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.4%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.12%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.92%

Valuation

Trailing PE 56.1
Forward PE 12.41
Enterprise Value 3019963399
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value 3019963399
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.59
Shares Outstanding 65890500
Shares Floating 46691260
Shares Outstanding 65890500
Shares Floating 46691260
Percent Insiders 22.59
Percent Institutions 79.17

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 22.5
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Air Transport Services Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Air Transport Services Group Inc. (ATSG) was founded in 1980 as ABX Air. Originally a division of Airborne Express, it became independent in 2003 after Airborne Express was acquired by DHL. ATSG has since grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, focusing on aircraft leasing and air cargo services.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Cargo Aircraft Management (CAM): CAM leases cargo aircraft, primarily Boeing 767s, to external customers, including Amazon and DHL. CAM also provides maintenance and other support services for these aircraft.
  • Air Transportation Services (ATS): ATS provides air transportation services, including cargo and passenger charter flights, and aircraft maintenance. It operates a fleet of Boeing 767 and Boeing 737 aircraft.
  • Other Activities: This segment includes aircraft maintenance and ground handling services.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Joe Hete is the Chairman. Rich Corrado is the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure, dividing its business into the key segments listed above.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Aircraft Leasing (Boeing 767): ATSG leases Boeing 767 freighter aircraft primarily to Amazon and DHL. Market share is difficult to quantify precisely but ATSG is a dominant player in this niche market with strong relationships with these major logistics players. Competitors include Titan Aviation and Cargo Aircraft Management's own aircraft.
  • Air Cargo Transportation: ATSG provides air cargo transportation services, including scheduled and on-demand cargo flights. Competitors include FedEx and UPS for express services.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The air cargo industry is driven by e-commerce growth, global trade, and demand for express delivery services. The industry faces challenges related to fuel costs, labor shortages, and economic uncertainty.

Positioning

ATSG is a key player in the air cargo market, specializing in leasing aircraft and providing related services, particularly to e-commerce giants like Amazon. Its competitive advantage lies in its large fleet of Boeing 767 freighters and its established relationships with major customers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global air freight market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars annually. ATSG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its aircraft leasing and air cargo transportation services. ATSG's position is to enable other major players to expand their fleet so the TAM is that of enabling the logistics expansion.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong relationships with key customers (Amazon, DHL)
  • Large fleet of Boeing 767 freighters
  • Expertise in aircraft leasing and maintenance
  • Stable revenue stream from long-term contracts

Weaknesses

  • Concentration of revenue with a few major customers
  • Exposure to fluctuations in fuel costs
  • Dependence on the Boeing 767 aircraft platform
  • Labor costs and negotiations can put pressure on margins

Opportunities

  • Expansion of e-commerce and express delivery services
  • Growth in international air cargo traffic
  • Acquisition of additional aircraft and expansion of the fleet
  • Diversification into new markets or service offerings

Threats

  • Economic downturns impacting air cargo demand
  • Increased competition from other air cargo providers
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices
  • Regulatory changes impacting the aviation industry

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • FDX
  • UPS

Competitive Landscape

ATSG competes with larger integrated logistics providers like FedEx and UPS. However, ATSG differentiates itself by specializing in aircraft leasing and providing tailored solutions to its customers.

Major Acquisitions

Cargo Aircraft Management

  • Year: 2003
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 190
  • Strategic Rationale: This acquisition was to establish CAM as the aircraft leasing arm of the company.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: ATSG's growth has been driven by the increasing demand for e-commerce and express delivery services. It has expanded its fleet and customer base significantly in recent years.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth for ATSG driven by the expansion of e-commerce and international trade. Check recent earnings calls and guidance.

Recent Initiatives: ATSG has been investing in expanding its fleet of Boeing 767 freighters and has secured long-term contracts with key customers. They have also been exploring opportunities in new markets.

Summary

Air Transport Services Group (ATSG) is a key player in the air cargo market, especially in aircraft leasing. Its close ties with Amazon and DHL offer a stable revenue stream, but also pose a concentration risk. The company's growth is linked to e-commerce trends, making it poised for future expansion. However, they must also manage fuel costs and economic uncertainties to maintain profitability.

Similar Companies

  • FDX
  • UPS
  • AAWW
  • CVH
  • HTLD

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Presentations
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • ATSG Website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is dynamic, and this information may not be current. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Air Transport Services Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Wilmington, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-07-23
CEO & Director Mr. Michael L. Berger
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 4745
Full time employees 4745

Air Transport Services Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides aircraft leasing, and air cargo transportation and related services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cargo Aircraft Management Inc. (CAM) and ACMI Services. The company offers aircraft, flight crews, aircraft hull and liability insurance, and aviation fuel services; and aircraft maintenance and modification services, including airframe modification and heavy maintenance, component repairs, engineering services, and aircraft line maintenance. It also provides equipment maintenance services; cargo load transfer and package sorting services; crew training services; and airline express operation, line and heavy maintenance, and ground handling services. The company's ground support services include labor and management for cargo load transfer and sorting; design, installation, and maintenance of material handling equipment; leasing and maintenance of ground support equipment; and general facilities maintenance. Further, the company operates cargo and passenger transportation business; resells aviation fuel at the air park in Wilmington, Ohio; resells and brokers aircraft parts; and performs passenger-to-freighter and passenger-to-combi conversions of aircraft. It provides its services to delivery companies, freight forwarders, airlines, air transportation, e-commerce, package delivery, and logistics industries, as well as government customers. The company was formerly known as ABX Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Air Transport Services Group, Inc. in May 2008. Air Transport Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Ohio.

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