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Air Transport Services Group Inc (ATSG)ATSG

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Air Transport Services Group Inc
$21.99
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY32.15%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 62 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: ATSG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -5.87%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -5.87%
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.45B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 22.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.01
Volume (30-day avg) 1426568
Beta 0.81
52 Weeks Range 11.62 - 22.27
Updated Date 11/19/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.45B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 22.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.01
Volume (30-day avg) 1426568
Beta 0.81
52 Weeks Range 11.62 - 22.27
Updated Date 11/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-08
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.17
Actual 0.13
Report Date 2024-11-08
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.17
Actual 0.13

Profitability

Profit Margin -0.12%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.37%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.49%
Return on Equity (TTM) -0.2%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 17.04
Enterprise Value 3024444090
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.25
Shares Outstanding 65759900
Shares Floating 50402304
Percent Insiders 22.23
Percent Institutions 81.39
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 17.04
Enterprise Value 3024444090
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.25
Shares Outstanding 65759900
Shares Floating 50402304
Percent Insiders 22.23
Percent Institutions 81.39

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.4
Target Price 27.14
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.4
Target Price 27.14
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Air Transport Services Group Inc. (ATSG): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background:

Air Transport Services Group Inc. (ATSG) traces its roots back to 1979 when it started as a small air cargo company in Wilmington, Ohio. The company began by offering dry lease and ACMI (Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, and Insurance) services to major airlines and cargo carriers. Throughout the 1980s, ATSG expanded its fleet and operations, acquiring and forming partnerships with other airlines like Kitty Hawk Aircargo and American International Airways.

Core Business Areas:

ATSG operates in three main business segments:

  1. ACMIO (Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, Insurance, and Operations): This segment provides ACMI services, wet leasing, and contract flying to airlines, cargo carriers, and other government agencies worldwide. ATSG has a diversified fleet of over 500 aircraft serving various clients across continents.

  2. Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO): ATSG offers MRO services to various airlines through its subsidiaries, including Pemco World Air Services, MAE Aviation, and Air Fleet Training. These services range from routine maintenance checks to major overhauls, engine work, and avionics upgrades.

  3. Parts Manufacturing and Sales: ATSG also engages in manufacturing and selling aircraft parts and components through its subsidiary, Cargo Aircraft Management (CAM). CAM specializes in the production of 737-400SF freighter conversions and other aircraft modifications.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

Joe Hete is the Chairman, President, and CEO of ATSG, leading a team of experienced executives with expertise in air cargo operations, MRO services, and financial management. The company has a decentralized structure, with each business unit operating independently under its own leadership team.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

ATSG's top products and services include:

  • ACMI services for passenger and cargo airlines.
  • MRO services for various aircraft types, including Boeing 737, 757, 767, and MD-80 series.
  • 737-400SF freighter conversions.
  • Aircraft parts and components.

Market Share:

ATSG is a leading provider of ACMI services globally, holding a significant market share in the air cargo sector. The company is also a prominent player in the MRO market, particularly for Boeing aircraft. Its 737-400SF freighter conversion program has established ATSG as a major player in this niche market.

Comparison of Product Performance and Market Reception:

ATSG's products and services are well-received in the market, known for their reliability, safety, and operational efficiency. The company's ACMI services are particularly valued for their flexibility and cost-effectiveness, while its MRO services are recognized for their high quality and expertise. The 737-400SF freighter conversion program has been a success, with airlines praising its fuel efficiency and payload capabilities.

Total Addressable Market:

ATSG operates in the global air cargo and MRO markets, which are estimated to be worth over $100 billion and $80 billion, respectively. The market is expected to continue growing in the coming years due to increasing demand for e-commerce and international trade.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements Analysis:

In 2022, ATSG reported revenue of $1.77 billion and net income of $85.7 million. The company has healthy profit margins and a growing EPS. However, its cash flow is somewhat volatile due to the capital-intensive nature of its business.

Year-over-Year Financial Performance:

ATSG has experienced consistent financial growth in recent years, with revenue and net income increasing steadily. The company has also been successful in managing operating expenses and maintaining profitability.

Balance Sheet Health:

ATSG has a relatively strong balance sheet, with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. The company has sufficient cash reserves and access to credit facilities, ensuring its financial stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: ATSG has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 1.2%. The company's dividend payout ratio is moderate, indicating its potential for future dividend increases.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, ATSG stock has provided shareholders with a total return of over 20%. The company has also delivered strong shareholder returns over longer time horizons, outperforming the broader market.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

ATSG has experienced robust growth over the past five to ten years, driven by increasing demand for air cargo services, MRO, and freighter conversions. The company has strategically expanded its fleet and operations, entering new markets and forming partnerships.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts project continued growth for ATSG, with revenue and earnings expected to increase in the coming years. The company's focus on expanding its ACMI and MRO services, as well as opportunities in the freighter conversion market, is expected to drive future growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview: The air cargo industry is currently experiencing a period of strong growth, driven by the e-commerce boom and increasing global trade. Technological advancements in aircraft design and fuel efficiency are also contributing to industry growth.

Market Position and Adaptability:

ATSG is well-positioned within the air cargo and MRO markets, with a diversified business model, strong customer relationships, and a focus on innovation. The company's flexible operating model allows it to adapt to changing market conditions and capitalize on new opportunities.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

ATSG's primary competitors include:

  • Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (AAWW)
  • Cargojet (CJT)
  • ASL Aviation Holdings (ASAHY)
  • Air Lease Corporation (AL)
  • Boeing (BA)
  • United Technologies Corporation (UTC)

Market Share and Competitive Advantages:

ATSG holds a leading market share in the ACMI and freighter conversion markets. The company's competitive advantages include its large and modern fleet, experienced management team, global network, and focus on operational efficiency and customer service.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges: ATSG faces challenges such as ongoing competition, volatile fuel prices, and potential economic downturns. The company also needs to address the shortage of qualified pilots and mechanics.

Potential Opportunities:

ATSG is exploring opportunities in growing markets such as e-commerce logistics, express cargo, and specialized freighter services. The company is also investing in new technologies to improve efficiency and sustainability.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2021: ATSG acquired all outstanding shares of Cargo Aircraft Management, Inc. (CAM) for $287 million, solidifying its position in the 737-400SF freighter conversion market.
  • 2020: ATSG acquired a 51% ownership interest in MAG Aerospace, expanding its MRO capabilities and geographic reach.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

ATSG scores an 8 out of 10 on an AI-based fundamental rating system. This high score reflects the company's strong financial health, market position, and growth prospects. The AI model considers various factors, including revenue growth, profitability, debt levels, and competitive landscape, to arrive at this rating.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This analysis was compiled using data from the following sources:

  • ATSG website and investor relations materials
  • SEC filings
  • Industry reports and news articles

Disclaimer: This information is provided for general knowledge and informational purposes only, and does not constitute professional financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Air Transport Services Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Wilmington, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-07-23 CEO & Director Mr. Michael L. Berger
Sector Industrials Website https://www.atsginc.com
Industry Airlines Full time employees 5095
Headquaters Wilmington, OH, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Michael L. Berger
Website https://www.atsginc.com
Website https://www.atsginc.com
Full time employees 5095

Air Transport Services Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides aircraft leasing, and air cargo transportation and related services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cargo Aircraft Management Inc. (CAM) and ACMI Services. The company offers aircraft, flight crews, aircraft hull and liability insurance, and aviation fuel services; and aircraft maintenance and modification services, including airframe modification and heavy maintenance, component repairs, engineering services, and aircraft line maintenance. It also provides equipment maintenance services; cargo load transfer and package sorting services; crew training services; and airline express operation, line and heavy maintenance, and ground handling services. The company's ground support services include labor and management for cargo load transfer and sorting; design, installation, and maintenance of material handling equipment; leasing and maintenance of ground support equipment; general facilities maintenance; and resells aviation fuel at the air park in Wilmington, Ohio. Further, the company operates cargo and passenger transportation business; resells and brokers aircraft parts; and performs passenger-to-freighter and passenger-to-combi conversions of aircraft. It provides its services to delivery companies, freight forwarders, airlines, air transportation, e-commerce, package delivery, and logistics industries, as well as government customers. As of December 31, 2023, the company's in-service aircraft fleet consisted of 107 owned Boeing aircraft, three Airbus aircraft, and 20 leased aircraft. The company was formerly known as ABX Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Air Transport Services Group, Inc. Air Transport Services Group, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Ohio.

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