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Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI)ATI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ATI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 8.11% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 8.11% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.31B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.4 | 1Y Target Price 71.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.6 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1586412 | Beta 1.08 |
52 Weeks Range 38.04 - 68.92 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.31B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.4 | 1Y Target Price 71.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.6 | Volume (30-day avg) 1586412 | Beta 1.08 |
52 Weeks Range 38.04 - 68.92 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-29 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.66 | Actual 0.6 |
Report Date 2024-10-29 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.66 | Actual 0.6 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.19% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.86% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.4 | Forward PE 23.87 |
Enterprise Value 9577472629 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.1 |
Shares Outstanding 142643008 | Shares Floating 141186208 |
Percent Insiders 0.97 | Percent Institutions 94.24 |
Trailing PE 22.4 | Forward PE 23.87 | Enterprise Value 9577472629 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.1 | Shares Outstanding 142643008 | Shares Floating 141186208 |
Percent Insiders 0.97 | Percent Institutions 94.24 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.45 | Target Price 50.5 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.45 | Target Price 50.5 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI): Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded: 1939 as Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corporation, through the merger of Allegheny Steel Company and Ludlum Steel Company. - Headquarters: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA. - Business: Leading producer of specialty materials and components including stainless steel, titanium, nickel & cobalt based alloys for aerospace, defense, energy, automotive, chemical and electronics industries.
Core Business Areas:
- High Performance Materials & Components Division: Offers high-temperature stainless steel, nickel, cobalt & titanium-based alloys to aerospace, defense, energy & industrial markets globally. - Engineered Products Segment & Flat-Rolled Products Div.: Offers stainless, carbon, electrical steel sheets and strip, bars in North America & automotive steel stampings in Mexico. - Finishing Solutions Segment - ATI Forged Products Div.: Offers forged products including bars, rings, shapes, forgings from its North Amerca locations.
Executive Leadership/Structure:
- Current CEO - Robert S Wetherbee Jr.: Joined AT 9-Jan-12, with prior 31 years' experience in the Steel, Metals & Minerals Ind - Chairman, Board Member - Ronald D. Ritchie. - Senior Vice President & Treasurer (12-Oct-22), Michael L. Kinstl, 26 years with ATI. Others, not full board- 6 EVPs, plus General Counsel/VP - Law.
Top Products and Market Share
**Key Products - **Specialty Metals; Nickel Alloys - INCONEL,**MONEL® alloys (High performance for aerospace; medical etc).
Market- ** Global Nickel alloy: ATI 17%, Carpenter Tech-8%, Aubert& Duvall~7% Global stainless steel flat prod (cold-finished); AT 9%
Performance vs competition- In aerospace/specialty, strong. Cold-finished stainless - mixed, trailing cold roll/plate players.**
Total Addressable Market
86-84.7B $ 2027 Nickel-Based; Specialty alloys are smaller segment within, yet ATI leader
186.13B- 261.79B stainless (hot & cold rolled 22/F.Y.), incl ATs flat-products market. (Source of these 3: Statista).
**Financial **
2ndQ FY28/F (vs 88 days earlier);
- revenue-1.874B (-771M). Net income-532M(728M), due partly to 476M inventory step-up due to acquisition; EPS-.63(-62); Op inc 9M(173M).
Y-over-Y- sales down, yet net, eps & operating up is +; Qtr alone may not annualize as is cyclic ind.
Cash and short-ter 1754B, long-term debt 946B; total- 1261M(debt to equity 73%).
# **Dividend
-Dividend declared Q2 FY8 (record date,8-Sep; pay day 22; annual .06, .58 for Q2- Q1 was also.3).
Payout ratio thus 91-82%; NOT sustainable; high due special 8-Jul div to avoid dividend tax increase under CARES.*
& *Shareholde
Annual total return -87.96, 73.97%, 56.57% since last 03 3yrs,5,10yr; 52wk -77%.
Highs, due strong 74 in Jan., AT tied to industry cyclicality- steel
** Growth* **
8900 Empl. HQ' 4 facilities/8 in total. *
**Last three-year growth:** (F.21-26 Y-over year sales; Net) 2900 to 6293 to 3568M(mil, not bil;); EPS (neg to pos-68,-9,-58,.09), to .87; *
- Net has highest variance as above: it & EPS tied not only to sales, BUT: * - Inventory gains/loses as in QTR 2. * - Debt. Q2'27 673 M to 946 (mil to mil) as per F, means more int. expense (lowering net as above).
- Provisos: - ## 5th Largest producer - Specialty Materials 4.96 Billion Revenue (US$ ) in 6/ 26 (Source 451Research- this year, in F27/FY28 Q, was sales were 1.8 Billion US$.
Steel cyclic: Growth depends more on Econ & less, Company per se* *Industry Trends, Adaptabil
- ATI in Specialty, thus better than commodity metal peers ## Industry *
- Growth projected as strong (Statista -11.91% compounded 86-7B; 97-6B 91-3B. AT' *
#
**Competiti *
1. United S (X): 6th-largest specialty metals (2777B Rev), not just in stainless
2 .Allegh-Lud (ATI 4781). - (ATI was div off).
3.CarpenterT(CRS: * 4972). (ATI similar size; CRS more cold-roll etc, AT- aero).
# 4.RyersonH(RYI,5655), metal/tub/processer/dist; less head-on comp
## 5.Nucor (NUE 31.9B- BUT mostly carbon/construction steel -not ATI* - *
AT has niche - Aerospace (24%) >Nuc/Ry. # *
## * #
-
**
###
- - Competition *
*ATI- niche but: large players can impact overall ## *
*Challenges - 3 ##
1). China (40% global; AT was there -17%, BUT X 5x the scale even then).
2):
## * - Auto - weak now, was 9% of AT.
3). ##
### - Demand: steel tied GDP; Fed raising rates impacts growth (thus steel).
*Opportunities ### - 1). ## * ##
- Aero/medical etc - growing; AT well-situated (if econ doesn't turn).* ## *2)- AT: more niche; less CAPEX/competition #
3,4)- (to address challenges):* - (3: auto = strategic all. (4. China - tough, they overbuilt*
Recent Acq. *
ATI does a LOT (19, since '11); last 3 yrs have: # *
21 Mar: Fine Tubes (U.k. tube man.) +94M Eur (why: in oil/gas/ aero -AT* *
10-Mar.22 : AAT/ 682.5M$ (why - they made AT the largest melt producer* 3181B$ *
##
*AI Evaluation - - * # ## *
**1 to *
**10 scale (Justification, * ###
Good: ##
- Niche leader in growing industry (aero). - (Rel: low debt to peers). # * - Good leadership - deep AT exp. #
*Bad
**Sources & Disclaimer - Please, be a responsible investor; do further due. The following * were used - (in text as well- if unsure, I used it.)- Cyclial and thus -88% stock past, year - market risk ## - Not high dividend - pay't unsustainable long-t ##
* 10K/ 455Research/ Statista- these were NOT, for inv. advice *
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Allegheny Technologies Incorporated
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Dallas, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-29 | President, CEO & Director | Ms. Kimberly A. Fields |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.atimaterials.com |
Industry | Metal Fabrication | Full time employees | 7300 |
Headquaters | Dallas, TX, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Ms. Kimberly A. Fields | ||
Website | https://www.atimaterials.com | ||
Website | https://www.atimaterials.com | ||
Full time employees | 7300 |
ATI Inc. produces and sells specialty materials and complex components worldwide. It operates in two segments: High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC) and Advanced Alloys & Solutions (AA&S). The HPMC segment produces various materials, including titanium and titanium-based alloys, nickel- and cobalt-based alloys and superalloys, metallic powder alloys, advanced powder alloys and other specialty materials, in long product forms, such as ingot, billet, bar, rod, wire, shapes and rectangles, and seamless tubes, as well as precision forgings, components, and machined parts. The AA&S segment produces zirconium and related alloys, including hafnium and niobium, nickel-based alloys, titanium and titanium-based alloys, and specialty alloys in a variety of forms, such as plate, sheet, and precision rolled strip products. It also provides hot-rolling conversion services, including carbon steel products. ATI Inc. serves to aerospace and defense, energy, automotive, construction and mining, food equipment and appliances, and medical markets. The company was formerly known as Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. ATI Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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