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Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)ASTL

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Algoma Steel Group Inc
$9.94
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY12.57%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 44 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: ASTL (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 18.9%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Profit: 18.9%
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 17.67
Dividends yield (FY) 1.97%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16
Volume (30-day avg) 786429
Beta 1.51
52 Weeks Range 6.19 - 10.71
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 17.67
Dividends yield (FY) 1.97%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.16
Volume (30-day avg) 786429
Beta 1.51
52 Weeks Range 6.19 - 10.71
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -0.75%
Operating Margin (TTM) -1.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) -1.27%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.12
Enterprise Value 1149772117
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.05
Shares Outstanding 104123000
Shares Floating 81646024
Percent Insiders 7.57
Percent Institutions 70.01
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.12
Enterprise Value 1149772117
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.05
Shares Outstanding 104123000
Shares Floating 81646024
Percent Insiders 7.57
Percent Institutions 70.01

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 12.88
Buy 3
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 12.88
Buy 3
Strong Buy -
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Algoma Steel Group Inc. Stock Overview

Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Company Profile

History and Background:

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (formerly known as Essar Steel Algoma Inc.) is a Canadian steel producer headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario. The company traces its roots back to 1901 with the establishment of Algoma Steel Corporation. The company has undergone several ownership changes over the years, including periods under government ownership and private ownership. Today, Algoma is a leading North American producer of hot and cold rolled steel, plate steel, and tubular products.

Core Business Areas:

  • Hot Rolled Steel: Algoma produces a wide variety of hot rolled steel products, including sheet, strip, and plate steel. These products are used in a variety of applications, including automotive, construction, and infrastructure.
  • Cold Rolled Steel: Algoma also produces cold rolled steel products, which are typically thinner and have a smoother surface finish than hot rolled steel products. Cold rolled steel is used in a variety of applications, including appliances, furniture, and machinery.
  • Plate Steel: Algoma produces heavy plate steel, which is used in a variety of applications, including construction, shipbuilding, and energy.
  • Tubular Products: Algoma produces a variety of tubular products, including seamless and welded pipe and tubing. These products are used in a variety of applications, including oil and gas pipelines, hydraulic systems, and structural applications.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Michael McQuade: CEO & President
  • Peter Fragiskatos: CFO
  • Peter Kucher: COO
  • Peter Mammas: Executive Vice President
  • Board of Directors: Comprised of 9 members, including Michael McQuade, the founder of KPS Capital Partners, which owns Algoma Steel.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Hot rolled sheet steel
  • Cold rolled sheet steel
  • Plate steel
  • Seamless pipe and tubing

Market Share:

  • Hot rolled sheet steel: ~2% of the North American market
  • Cold rolled sheet steel: ~1% of the North American market
  • Plate steel: ~3% of the North American market
  • Seamless pipe and tubing: ~2% of the North American market

Competition:

  • United States Steel Corporation
  • Nucor Corporation
  • ArcelorMittal
  • Stelco Inc.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong relationships with major customers in the automotive, construction, and energy industries
  • Modern and efficient steelmaking facilities
  • Experienced and skilled workforce
  • Competitive labor costs

Total Addressable Market

The global steel market is estimated to be worth approximately $1.4 trillion in 2023. The North American steel market is estimated to be worth approximately $250 billion.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Results:

  • Revenue: $1.4 billion (Q2 2023)
  • Net Income: $91 million (Q2 2023)
  • Profit Margin: 6.4% (Q2 2023)
  • EPS: $0.23 (Q2 2023)

Year-over-Year Growth:

  • Revenue: +14%
  • Net Income: +11%
  • Profit Margin: +1.4%
  • EPS: +11%

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations
  • Low debt levels

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • Algoma does not currently pay a dividend.

Shareholder Returns:

  • 1 year: +45%
  • 5 years: +120%
  • 10 years: +200%

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Algoma has experienced strong growth in revenue, earnings, and shareholder returns over the past 5 and 10 years.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Algoma is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by strong demand from the automotive, construction, and energy industries.
  • The company is also investing in new products and technologies to expand its market share.

Market Dynamics

Current Trends:

  • Increasing demand for steel from the automotive, construction, and energy industries
  • Technological advancements in steelmaking
  • Trade tensions between the United States and China

Algoma's Positioning:

  • Algoma is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for steel.
  • The company is also investing in new technologies to improve its efficiency and productivity.
  • Algoma is exposed to potential trade risks between the United States and China.

Recent Acquisitions

2021:

  • Essar Algoma acquired by KPS Capital Partners for $1.1 billion. This acquisition provided Algoma with access to new capital and resources to invest in growth.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an analysis of Algoma's financials, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based fundamental rating system gives Algoma a score of 8 out of 10.

Strengths:

  • Strong financial performance
  • Market leader in several product categories
  • Experienced management team
  • Growing market

Weaknesses:

  • Exposure to trade risks
  • Limited product diversification

Opportunities:

  • Expand into new markets
  • Invest in new products and technologies
  • Improve operating efficiency

Threats:

  • Increasing competition
  • Economic downturn

Sources

  • Algoma Steel Group Inc. website
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Bloomberg
  • MarketWatch

Disclaimer

I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Algoma Steel Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia
Sector Basic Materials Website https://algoma.com
Industry Steel Full time employees 2844
Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia
Website https://algoma.com
Website https://algoma.com
Full time employees 2844

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in North America. The company provides flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products that consist of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, and military applications, as well as energy and mining applications. Algoma Steel Group Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.

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