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ASTH logo ASTH
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ASTH logo

Astrana Health Inc (ASTH)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$29.86
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: ASTH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -29.88%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.35B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 33.18
1Y Target Price 50.45
Price to earnings Ratio 33.18
1Y Target Price 50.45
Volume (30-day avg) 373028
Beta 1.3
52 Weeks Range 23.12 - 63.20
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 23.12 - 63.20
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.9

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.12%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.11%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.8%

Valuation

Trailing PE 33.18
Forward PE 23.04
Enterprise Value 1588174733
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.67
Enterprise Value 1588174733
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.78
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.2
Shares Outstanding 45348700
Shares Floating 37531637
Shares Outstanding 45348700
Shares Floating 37531637
Percent Insiders 24.73
Percent Institutions 53.54

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.67
Target Price 63.6
Buy -
Strong Buy 10
Buy -
Strong Buy 10
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Astrana Health Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Astrana Health Inc, formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, was founded in 1994. It has evolved from a primary care physician group into a technology-powered healthcare company focused on value-based care. Key milestones include acquisitions of physician practices and technology platforms to expand its integrated healthcare delivery system.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Physician Practice Management: Provides administrative and clinical support services to affiliated physician practices, enabling them to focus on patient care and improve operational efficiency.
  • Accountable Care Organization (ACO): Participates in ACOs, coordinating care for Medicare beneficiaries and sharing in cost savings achieved through improved quality and efficiency.
  • Independent Physician Association (IPA): Manages a network of independent physicians, providing them with access to technology, resources, and managed care contracts.
  • Value-Based Care Programs: Designs and implements value-based care programs that reward providers for delivering high-quality, cost-effective care.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Brandon Sim is the current CEO. The organizational structure includes executive leadership overseeing finance, operations, technology, and clinical services. The company has a board of directors responsible for overall governance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Estimated Revenue: Not able to provide exact revenues for this product, revenue bundled.
  • Physician Practice Management Services: Comprehensive support services to affiliated physician practices, including billing, coding, credentialing, and IT support. Market share data is not publicly available, but this segment is central to their value-based care model. Competitors include Optum, DaVita Medical Group, and Privia Health.
  • Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Programs: Participation in Medicare Shared Savings Programs (MSSP) and other ACOs. Market share data varies by region. Competitors include other ACOs and healthcare systems like Kaiser Permanente and Mayo Clinic.
  • Estimated Revenue: Not able to provide exact revenues for this product, revenue bundled.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The healthcare industry is undergoing a shift towards value-based care, driven by rising costs and a focus on improving patient outcomes. The industry is characterized by increasing consolidation, technological advancements, and regulatory changes.

Positioning

Astrana Health Inc is positioned as a leader in value-based care, leveraging its technology platform and physician network to deliver high-quality, cost-effective care. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated approach and focus on data analytics.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for value-based care is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Astrana Health Inc is positioned to capture a growing share of this market through its expansion into new geographies and partnerships with health plans and providers.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong physician network
  • Proprietary technology platform
  • Focus on value-based care
  • Experienced management team
  • Strong financial performance

Weaknesses

  • Concentration of revenue in California
  • Dependence on government healthcare programs
  • Competition from larger healthcare organizations
  • Potential for regulatory changes

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Partnerships with health plans and providers
  • Acquisition of physician practices and technology companies
  • Development of new value-based care programs

Threats

  • Changes in government healthcare policy
  • Increased competition
  • Economic downturn
  • Cybersecurity risks

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
  • CVS Health (CVS)
  • Humana (HUM)

Competitive Landscape

Astrana Health Inc is smaller than its major competitors but differentiates itself through its focus on value-based care and its technology platform. Its integrated approach gives it a competitive advantage in certain markets.

Major Acquisitions

Network Medical Management

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 60
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Astrana Health's network of affiliated physicians and strengthened its presence in Southern California.

Pacific Partners Management Services

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 206.5
  • Strategic Rationale: Aimed to expand Astrana Healthu2019s footprint in the senior-focused healthcare sector in Central California.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: The company has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by acquisitions and expansion of its value-based care programs.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates are needed for detailed future projections. Generally, growth is expected to continue as the company expands its market reach and develops new programs.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its ACO network, investing in technology, and acquiring physician practices.

Summary

Astrana Health is a rapidly growing company focusing on value-based care with a strong physician network and proprietary technology. It is well-positioned to capitalize on the shift towards value-based healthcare, but faces competition from larger, established players. Geographic concentration and reliance on government programs present some risks. Acquisitions and partnerships are key to future growth.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Press Releases
  • Analyst Reports
  • Yahoo Finance
  • MarketWatch

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is estimated based on available information and may not be precise. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Astrana Health Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Alhambra, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2000-01-13
President & CEO Mr. Brandon K. Sim M.S.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Full time employees 1900
Full time employees 1900

Astrana Health, Inc., a healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. Its physician network consists of primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. The company serves patients primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California.

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