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Astrana Health Inc (ASTH)ASTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: ASTH (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 5.5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 5.5% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.53B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 38.53 | 1Y Target Price 58.3 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.44 |
Volume (30-day avg) 243129 | Beta 1.21 |
52 Weeks Range 28.87 - 58.77 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.53B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 38.53 | 1Y Target Price 58.3 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.44 | Volume (30-day avg) 243129 | Beta 1.21 |
52 Weeks Range 28.87 - 58.77 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.3% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.54% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 38.53 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 2662383054 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.75 |
Shares Outstanding 45629200 | Shares Floating 36091582 |
Percent Insiders 26.31 | Percent Institutions 48.14 |
Trailing PE 38.53 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2662383054 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.75 | Shares Outstanding 45629200 | Shares Floating 36091582 |
Percent Insiders 26.31 | Percent Institutions 48.14 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 49.67 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 49.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Astrana Health Inc. - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Astrana Health Inc. was founded in 2008 as Global Immune and was initially focused on the development and commercialization of biosimilars. The company launched its first biosimilar products in 2017 and shifted its focus towards respiratory medicine in 2019. In 2022, the name changed to Astrana Health Inc. to reflect this shift.
Core Business Areas:
- Respiratory Medicine: Development and commercialization of inhaled therapies for the treatment of respiratory diseases, including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and cystic fibrosis.
- Critical Care: Development of inhaled therapies for the treatment of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and other critical care conditions.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Catherine A. Bedell
- CFO: Richard A. Smith
- Executive Chairman: James A. Caruso
- Board of Directors: 7 members with experience in pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Zicam: Over-the-counter nasal spray for cold and allergy symptoms.
- Aristel: Prescription inhaled corticosteroid for the treatment of asthma.
- Stelarone: Prescription inhaled corticosteroid for the treatment of COPD.
Market Share:
- Zicam: Holds a leading position in the U.S. over-the-counter nasal spray market for cold and allergy symptoms.
- Aristel and Stelarone: Have limited market share due to late entry into the competitive market for inhaled corticosteroids.
Comparison to Competitors:
Zicam faces competition from various over-the-counter nasal sprays, while Aristel and Stelarone compete with established brands like Advair and Breo Ellipta. Astrana's inhaled therapies offer potential advantages in terms of convenience and delivery efficiency, but require further market penetration.
Total Addressable Market:
The global respiratory market is estimated to reach $80.4 billion by 2028. The U.S. market for inhaled corticosteroids alone is estimated at $12.5 billion in 2023.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $18.7 million in 2023 (Q1-Q3)
- Net Income: $16.9 million loss in 2023 (Q1-Q3)
- Profit Margin: -90.3% in 2023 (Q1-Q3)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $1.70 loss in 2023 (Q1-Q3)
Year-over-Year Performance:
Revenue and net income have declined compared to 2022 due to increased operating expenses related to growth initiatives.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Cash and Cash Equivalents: $78.1 million as of September 30, 2023
- Long-Term Debt: $80.1 million as of September 30, 2023
The company has sufficient cash reserves to support its current operations and near-term development plans. However, the high debt level warrants further monitoring.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Astrana does not currently pay dividends, as it focuses on reinvesting profits for growth.
- Shareholder Returns: Share price has declined significantly in 2023, reflecting market uncertainty around the company's future prospects.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Astrana has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by the launch of Zicam. However, the company is still in early stages of growth in the respiratory medicine market.
Future Growth Projections:
Future growth will depend on the successful launch and commercialization of its inhaled therapies. Analysts project potential growth opportunities, but emphasize the execution risks associated with late-stage clinical trials and market competition.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The respiratory market is experiencing increasing demand for innovative and convenient inhaled therapies. Technological advancements offer opportunities for targeted delivery and personalized treatment options.
Astrana's Positioning:
Astrana is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its innovative inhaled therapies. However, commercialization success will depend on overcoming competition and establishing strong market access.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
- AstraZeneca (AZN)
- Merck (MRK)
- Boehringer Ingelheim (BPI)
- Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Astrana's advantages include innovative technology, a late-stage pipeline, and established over-the-counter presence. However, it faces competition from established players with larger market share and distribution networks.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Clinical trial results and regulatory approvals
- Market access and competition
- Managing debt and securing additional funding
- Scaling manufacturing and distribution
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas
- Strategic partnerships and licensing agreements
- Growth in international markets
Recent Acquisitions:
Astrana has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 6/10
Justification:
Astrana has promising technology and growth potential but faces significant challenges in a competitive market. The company's financial health is currently weak, but it has sufficient cash reserves for near-term operations. Successful execution of clinical programs and commercialization efforts are crucial for future success.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Astrana Health Inc. website (https://astranahx.com/)
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/)
- Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/)
- MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/)
Disclaimers:
- This information is provided for general knowledge and should not be considered investment advice.
- Conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Please note: This information is based on publicly available data as of October 26, 2023, and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Astrana Health Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Alhambra, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2000-01-13 | President & CEO | Mr. Brandon K. Sim M.S. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.astranahealth.com |
Industry | Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees | 1800 |
Headquaters | Alhambra, CA, United States | ||
President & CEO | Mr. Brandon K. Sim M.S. | ||
Website | https://www.astranahealth.com | ||
Website | https://www.astranahealth.com | ||
Full time employees | 1800 |
Astrana Health, Inc., Inc., a physician-centric technology-powered healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company is leveraging its proprietary population health management and healthcare delivery platform, operates an integrated, value-based healthcare model which empowers the providers in its network to deliver care to its patients. It offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. The company's physician network consists of primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. It serves patients, primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization plans; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
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