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Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$14.31
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/22/2024: ASPN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -27.09%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/22/2024

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 636
1Y Target Price 29.27
Price to earnings Ratio 636
1Y Target Price 29.27
Volume (30-day avg) 3232328
Beta 2.21
52 Weeks Range 10.75 - 33.15
Updated Date 01/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 10.75 - 33.15
Updated Date 01/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.02

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 0.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.83%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.33%
Return on Equity (TTM) 0.33%

Valuation

Trailing PE 636
Forward PE 29.59
Enterprise Value 1133873503
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52
Enterprise Value 1133873503
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.17
Shares Outstanding 82047296
Shares Floating 80906831
Shares Outstanding 82047296
Shares Floating 80906831
Percent Insiders 1.62
Percent Institutions 89.51

AI Summary

Aspen Aerogels Inc. (NYSE: ASPN) Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

  • Founded in 1993 as Pyrogel Technology, Inc., a spin-off from Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).
  • Initially focused on developing aerogel powders and films.
  • Renamed to Aspen Aerogels, Inc. in 2006 and went public in 2014.
  • Acquired Pyrogel USA, Inc. in 2011, expanding its production capacity.

Core Business Areas:

  • Manufacturing and selling aerogel-based products, primarily Pyrogel® aerogel blanket insulation.
  • Offering thermal management solutions for various industries, including energy, construction, and aerospace.
  • Developing next-generation aerogel products for new applications.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Donald Loftus
  • CFO: John Fairbanks
  • Board of Directors: Experienced professionals with diverse backgrounds in finance, business, and technology.
  • Corporate structure: Headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts, with manufacturing facilities in the US and Europe.

Top Products and Market Share:

Products:

  • Pyrogel® XT-E aerogel blanket insulation: Excellent thermal performance, fire resistance, and water repellency.
  • Spaceloft® aerogel: Lightweight, high-performance insulation for various applications.
  • Pyrogel® HPM aerogel: High-temperature insulation for extreme environments.

Market Share:

  • Global leader in aerogel-based insulation materials.
  • Estimated market share of around 40% in the US and 80% globally.
  • Faces competition from traditional insulation materials and other aerogel producers.

Product Comparison:

  • Pyrogel® XT-E offers superior thermal performance compared to traditional insulation materials like fiberglass and foam.
  • Lighter weight and higher fire resistance compared to other aerogels.
  • However, it is more expensive than traditional insulation materials.

Total Addressable Market

Market Size:

  • The global aerogel market is estimated to reach $2.3 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 12.5%.
  • The US market represents a significant portion of this growth, driven by increasing demand for energy efficiency and fire safety.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Performance:

  • Revenue for the fiscal year 2022: $117.5 million.
  • Net income: $14.9 million.
  • Gross profit margin: 37.5%.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): $0.42.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue increased by 30% compared to 2021.
  • Net income increased by 21% compared to 2021.
  • Gross profit margin increased by 4.5% compared to 2021.
  • EPS increased by 33% compared to 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations, enabling investment in growth initiatives.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • Aspen Aerogels does not currently pay dividends.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return over the past year: 30%.
  • Total shareholder return over the past 5 years: 150%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 20% over the past 5 years.
  • Strong growth driven by increasing demand for aerogel-based insulation materials.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Management expects continued strong revenue growth in the coming years.
  • Growth will be driven by new product launches, increasing market penetration, and strategic partnerships.

Recent Growth Initiatives:

  • Launched new insulation products for the construction and aerospace industries.
  • Expanded production capacity to meet growing demand.
  • Entered into strategic partnerships with major companies in the energy and construction sectors.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

  • The aerogel market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for energy efficiency and fire safety.
  • Technological advancements are leading to the development of new aerogel-based products with improved performance.
  • Growing awareness of the environmental benefits of aerogel is also driving demand.

Aspen Aerogels' Position:

  • Aspen Aerogels is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the aerogel market.
  • The company's strong brand reputation, innovative products, and global reach give it a competitive advantage.
  • The company is actively adapting to market changes and investing in new technologies.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Cabot Corporation (CBT)
  • Armacell (ARMAY)
  • Owens Corning (OC)
  • BASF (BASFY)

Market Share Comparison:

  • Aspen Aerogels: 40% (US), 80% (Global)
  • Cabot Corporation: 20% (US), 15% (Global)
  • Armacell: 15% (US), 10% (Global)
  • Owens Corning: 10% (US), 5% (Global)
  • BASF: 5% (US), 5% (Global)

Competitive Advantages:

  • Aspen Aerogels' proprietary aerogel technology and manufacturing processes.
  • Strong brand reputation and customer relationships.
  • Global reach and distribution network.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Higher product cost compared to traditional insulation materials.
  • Limited product portfolio compared to larger competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions and rising raw material costs.
  • Intense competition from both traditional and new entrants in the aerogel market.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the use of aerogel materials.

Opportunities:

  • Increasing demand for energy efficiency and fire safety in various industries.
  • Development of new aerogel-based products for new applications.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand market reach and product portfolio.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)

  • No acquisitions were made by Aspen Aerogels in the last 3 years. The company has focused on organic growth and internal development.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

AI Rating: 8.5 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability.
  • Leading position in the growing aerogel market with a strong brand reputation.
  • Innovative product development and strategic partnerships driving future growth.
  • Some challenges exist, including supply chain issues and competition, but the company is well-positioned to overcome them.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Aspen Aerogels Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Northborough, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-06-13
President, CEO & Director Mr. Donald R. Young
Sector Industrials
Industry Building Products & Equipment
Full time employees 548
Full time employees 548

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and sustainable insulation materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. It operates in two segments, Energy Industrial and Thermal Barrier. The company offers PyroThin thermal barriers for use in lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles and energy storage industries; Pyrogel XTE that reduces the risk of corrosion under insulation in energy infrastructure operating systems; and Pyrogel HPS for applications within the power generation market. It also offers Pyrogel XTF to provide protection against fire; Cryogel Z for sub-ambient and cryogenic applications in the energy infrastructure market; Spaceloft Subsea for use in pipe-in-pipe applications in offshore oil production; and Cryogel X201, which is used in designing cold systems, such as refrigerated appliances, cold storage equipment, and aerospace systems. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts.

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