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Academy Sports Outdoors Inc (ASO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Academy Sports Outdoors Inc
$46.64
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/22/2024: ASO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 22.66%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 38
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 11/22/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 22.66%
Avg. Invested days: 38
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/22/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.86B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.19
1Y Target Price 62.53
Dividends yield (FY) 0.87%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.05
Volume (30-day avg) 1265923
Beta 1.37
52 Weeks Range 44.64 - 75.17
Updated Date 12/19/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.86B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.19
1Y Target Price 62.53
Dividends yield (FY) 0.87%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.05
Volume (30-day avg) 1265923
Beta 1.37
52 Weeks Range 44.64 - 75.17
Updated Date 12/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-28
When Before Market
Estimate 1.3
Actual 0.98
Report Date 2024-11-28
When Before Market
Estimate 1.3
Actual 0.98

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.98%
Operating Margin (TTM) 12.27%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.29%
Return on Equity (TTM) 26.4%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.19
Forward PE 8.53
Enterprise Value 5378395490
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.24
Shares Outstanding 69397104
Shares Floating 69081024
Percent Insiders 3.13
Percent Institutions 105.54
Trailing PE 9.19
Forward PE 8.53
Enterprise Value 5378395490
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.24
Shares Outstanding 69397104
Shares Floating 69081024
Percent Insiders 3.13
Percent Institutions 105.54

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.89
Target Price 68.44
Buy 1
Strong Buy 8
Hold 10
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.89
Target Price 68.44
Buy 1
Strong Buy 8
Hold 10
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Academy Sports Outdoors Inc. (ASO) Stock Overview:

Company Profile:

History:

  • Founded in 1938 as a small family-owned sporting goods store in Texas.
  • Acquired by Leonard Green & Partners in 2004.
  • Went public in 2021.

Core Business Areas:

  • Retailing of sporting goods, outdoor products, and athletic apparel.
  • Operates 280 stores in 16 states across the southern and southeastern United States.
  • E-commerce platform for online shopping.

Leadership:

  • CEO: Kenneth Hicks (former President and COO of Academy Sports + Outdoors)
  • CFO: Douglas Tucker (former CFO of Advance Auto Parts)

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Firearms and ammunition
  • Fishing gear and tackle
  • Camping and outdoor equipment
  • Apparel and footwear
  • Team sports equipment

Market Share:

  • Holds approximately 4% of the sporting goods market share in the US.
  • Faces competition from larger retailers like Walmart, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Bass Pro Shops.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The US sporting goods market is estimated to be around $80 billion.
  • The outdoor recreation market is estimated to be around $887 billion globally.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Data:

  • Revenue in 2022: $7.3 billion
  • Net Income in 2022: $396 million
  • Profit Margin: 5.4%
  • EPS in 2022: $2.80

Year-over-Year Growth:

  • Revenue grew 8.3% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Net Income grew 21.8% in 2022 compared to 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow generation with operating cash flow of $529 million in 2022.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Initiated a dividend in 2022 with a dividend yield of 0.9%.
  • Payout ratio is currently around 25%.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder return has been 28.7% since the IPO in 2021.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 10% over the past five years.
  • Net Income has grown at a CAGR of 15% over the past five years.

Future Growth Projections:

  • The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by store expansion and e-commerce growth.
  • Analysts project revenue to grow at a CAGR of 8% over the next five years.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

  • The sporting goods industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.5% between 2022 and 2027.
  • The increasing popularity of outdoor activities and health and fitness trends are driving growth.

Competitive Landscape:

  • Key competitors include Walmart, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Bass Pro Shops.
  • ASO differentiates itself through its focus on value pricing and its strong presence in the southern and southeastern US.

Recent Acquisitions:

No acquisitions made in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
  • Healthy balance sheet and cash flow generation.
  • Growth potential in the sporting goods and outdoor recreation markets.
  • Facing competition from larger retailers.

Sources:

  • Academy Sports Outdoors Inc. Investor Relations
  • MarketWatch
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Statista

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Academy Sports Outdoors Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Katy, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-10-02 CEO & Director Mr. Steven Paul Lawrence
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.academy.com
Industry Specialty Retail Full time employees 21000
Headquaters Katy, TX, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Steven Paul Lawrence
Website https://www.academy.com
Website https://www.academy.com
Full time employees 21000

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods and outdoor recreational retailer in the United States. The company outdoor division comprises camping products, such as coolers and drinkware, and camping accessories and equipment,; fishing products, including marine equipment and fishing rods, reels, and baits and equipment; and hunting products, which includes firearms, ammunition, archery and archery equipment, camouflage apparel, waders, shooting accessories, gun safes, optics, airguns, and hunting equipment. Its sports and recreation division offers fitness equipment, fitness accessories, and nutrition supplies; team and specialty sports equipment, including baseball, football, basketball, soccer, golf, racket sports, volleyball, backpacks, and sports bags; recreation products, which includes patio furniture, outdoor cooking, trampolines, play sets, watersports, and pet equipment, as well as wheeled goods including bicycles, skateboards, and other ride-on toys; and electronics and watches, as well as front-end products, such as consumables, batteries, etc. The company's apparel division provides outdoor and seasonal apparel, denim, work apparel, graphic t-shirts, and accessories; boys and girls outdoor, and athletic apparel; sporting and fitness apparel; and professional and collegiate team licensed apparel and accessories. Its footwear division offers casual shoes, slippers, seasonal footwear, and socks; work and western boots, shoes, and hunting footwear; boys and girls footwear; athletic footwear, such as running shoes, athletic lifestyle, and training shoes; and team and specialty sports footwear, and slides. The company sells its products under the Academy Sports + Outdoors, Magellan Outdoors, BCG, O'rageous, Game Winner, Outdoor Gourmet, and Freely brand names. Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Katy, Texas.

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