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Ardmore Shpng (ASC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2024: ASC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 182.92% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/05/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 514.22M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 3.45 | 1Y Target Price 18.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 3.45 | 1Y Target Price 18.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 992478 | Beta 0.38 | 52 Weeks Range 10.86 - 22.34 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 10.86 - 22.34 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.55 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 36.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.36% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 3.45 | Forward PE 3.39 | Enterprise Value 533701062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 |
Enterprise Value 533701062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.78 | Shares Outstanding 42011400 | Shares Floating 39237948 |
Shares Outstanding 42011400 | Shares Floating 39237948 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.51 | Percent Institutions 72.99 |
AI Summary
Ardmore Shipping: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Ardmore Shipping is an international company that transports crude oil and other petroleum products through a fleet of mid-size tankers. The company was founded in 1997 by Anthony Gurnee and Mark Cameron. Ardmore is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (Symbol: ASC) and has been growing its fleet through strategic acquisitions and organic growth.
Core Business Areas:
- Seaborne Transportation: Ardmore's primary focus is transporting crude oil and refined petroleum products on international routes, mainly between Europe, the United States, and the Far East.
- Chartering: Ardmore charters its vessels to various clients, including major oil companies and trading firms, providing a stable income stream.
- Ship Owning: The company owns and operates a fleet of modern, fuel-efficient mid-size tankers ranging from 38,000 to 165,000 deadweight tons (DWT).
Leadership and Structure:
- Anthony Gurnee: Founder, Chairman, and CEO
- Mark Cameron: Co-founder and President
- David Humprheys: Chief Financial Officer
- Lars Ringdal: Chief Operating Officer
- The board of directors consists of 9 members with extensive experience in the maritime and financial sectors.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- ECO-class LR2 Tankers: These modern, fuel-efficient vessels have a capacity of 115,000 DWT and are designed to meet stricter environmental regulations.
- Aframax Tankers: These vessels range from 80,000 to 119,000 DWT and are widely used for transporting crude oil and refined products.
Market Share:
Ardmore holds a significant market share in the global mid-size tanker segment. The company's fleet of modern and fuel-efficient vessels provides a competitive edge, particularly in the current market focused on sustainability. However, the company faces stiff competition from larger players like Euronav and DHT Holdings.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global market for seaborne transportation of crude oil and refined products is estimated to be around 2.2 billion tons annually. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by increasing global energy demand and the expansion of trade.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $270.2 million (2022)
- Net Income: $80.4 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 29.7% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.42 (2022)
Year-over-Year Performance:
Ardmore has shown strong financial performance in recent years. Revenue has grown steadily, driven by increased fleet utilization and strong market demand. Profitability has also improved, with margins expanding due to cost optimization measures.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Ardmore has a healthy cash flow and a solid balance sheet. The company has consistently generated positive free cash flow, allowing for reinvestment in the fleet and strategic acquisitions. The balance sheet shows low levels of debt, indicating financial stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Ardmore has a consistent dividend payout history. The company currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of around 4%.
Shareholder Returns:
Ardmore has generated strong shareholder returns in recent years. Over the past year, the stock price has appreciated by 35%, outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Ardmore has experienced significant growth over the past five years. Revenue has nearly doubled, and the fleet size has expanded through strategic acquisitions. The company has also improved its operational efficiency, leading to increased profitability.
Future Growth Projections:
Ardmore is well-positioned for future growth. The company expects to continue to benefit from the increasing demand for seaborne transportation of crude oil and refined products. Additionally, Ardmore's focus on modern and fuel-efficient vessels provides a competitive advantage in the current market.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The mid-size tanker market is characterized by strong demand and limited supply. The global fleet of mid-size tankers is aging, and there are few newbuilding orders on the horizon. This supply-demand imbalance is expected to continue to support higher charter rates and profitability for ship owners like Ardmore.
Technological Advancements:
The maritime industry is seeing increasing adoption of digital technologies. Ardmore is actively investing in data analytics and digital tools to optimize fleet performance, reduce fuel consumption, and improve safety.
Competitive Landscape:
Key Competitors:
- Euronav (EURN)
- DHT Holdings (DHT)
- International Seaways (INSW)
- Frontline (FRO)
Competitive Analysis:
Ardmore has a strong competitive position in the mid-size tanker market. The company's modern fleet, experienced management team, and focus on operational efficiency give it an edge over its competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition from new entrants
- Volatile oil prices
- Environmental regulations
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Acquisitions of strategic assets
- Development of new technologies
- Partnership opportunities
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Ardmore acquired 2 Suezmax tankers for a total of $102.5 million. This acquisition expanded the company's fleet size and diversified its operations.
- 2022: Ardmore acquired 4 ECO-class LR2 tankers for a total of $280 million. This acquisition strengthened the company's presence in the environmentally-friendly segment of the market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Ardmore Shipping exhibits strong fundamentals, supported by its healthy financial performance, modern fleet, and experienced management team. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for seaborne transportation of oil products and the ongoing recovery in the shipping market. However, potential risks such as economic downturns, volatile oil prices, and competition should be considered.
Sources:
- Ardmore Shipping website
- Maritime Executive
- Bloomberg
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and you should always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Ardmore Shpng
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-08-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Gernot Ruppelt | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Marine Shipping | Full time employees 56 | Website https://ardmoreshipping.com |
Full time employees 56 | Website https://ardmoreshipping.com |
Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 22 owned vessels including 21 Eco-design and 1 Eco-mod vessel, and four chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, oil companies, oil and chemical traders, chemical companies, and pooling service providers. Ardmore Shipping Corporation was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
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