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Arvinas Inc (ARVN)ARVN
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ARVN (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Profits (-19.14%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -34.22% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -34.22% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.49B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 63.05 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 640393 | Beta 1.97 |
52 Weeks Range 21.17 - 53.08 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.49B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 63.05 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 640393 | Beta 1.97 |
52 Weeks Range 21.17 - 53.08 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate -0.96 | Actual -0.68 |
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate -0.96 | Actual -0.68 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -191.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) -58.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -20.07% | Return on Equity (TTM) -59.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 17.7 |
Enterprise Value 366851440 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.23 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.62 |
Shares Outstanding 68713104 | Shares Floating 57184414 |
Percent Insiders 7.22 | Percent Institutions 108.21 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 17.7 | Enterprise Value 366851440 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.23 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.62 | Shares Outstanding 68713104 | Shares Floating 57184414 |
Percent Insiders 7.22 | Percent Institutions 108.21 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.55 | Target Price 65 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.55 | Target Price 65 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Arvinas Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History: Arvinas Inc. was founded in 2013 with a vision to revolutionize protein degradation for the treatment of severe diseases. Their Protein Degrader Platform utilizes PROTAC (PROteolysis TArgeting Chimera) technology to eliminate disease-causing proteins, providing a unique approach within the pharmaceutical landscape.
Core Business Areas:
- Oncology: Develops protein degrader therapies for cancers with limited treatment options, like prostate cancer, breast cancer, and lung cancer.
- Other Therapeutic Areas: Exploring the potential of PROTACs in other indications such as neurology, infectious diseases, and cardiology.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- John H.R. Baker - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
- Michael R. Levin - President and Chief Operating Officer
- Dr. Christopher G. Miceli - Chief Medical Officer
- Dr. Michael R. Shalinsky - Chief Technology Officer
- Board of Directors comprises seasoned industry veterans with diverse expertise.
Top Products and Market Share
Products:
- ARV-110 (Estrogen Receptor degrader): Phase 3 clinical trial for ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer, Phase 1b trial for ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer.
- ARV-471 (androgen receptor degrader): Phase 2 clinical trial for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.
- Preclinical and early-stage pipeline covering diverse cancer types and other therapeutic areas.
Market Share: As a pre-commercial company, Arvinas does not currently hold a significant market share. However, their innovative approach has generated significant interest, and their lead candidate, ARV-110, has the potential to be a leading therapy in the ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer market, estimated to be valued at $6.5 billion by 2027.
Comparison: ARV-110 demonstrates potential advantages over existing therapies in terms of efficacy and safety profile. Their platform technology also holds promise for addressing unmet needs in various therapeutic areas.
Total Addressable Market
Arvinas operates in the global protein degradation market, estimated to reach $27.7 billion by 2027. This includes various therapeutic areas like oncology, neurology, and infectious diseases, offering immense growth potential.
Financial Performance
Revenue: Primarily research and development revenue from collaborations and grants. Recent financials reflect increased R&D spending due to clinical trial advancement. Net Income: No current profitability as the company is pre-commercial. Profit Margins: Not applicable at this stage. EPS: Negative EPS due to ongoing investments in R&D.
Year-over-Year Performance: Revenue growth observed year-over-year due to progress in clinical development and partnerships. Cash Flow: Primarily driven by financing activities as the company is not yet generating revenue from product sales. Balance Sheet: Stable cash position with sufficient runway for ongoing operations and clinical development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividends: No current dividend payout as the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth. Shareholder Returns: Share price has experienced volatility due to its pre-commercial stage and dependence on clinical trial outcomes. However, long-term investors may benefit from potential upside if key product candidates achieve commercial success.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Rapid growth observed in R&D activities and clinical development progress. Future Growth: Dependent on the success of ongoing clinical trials and commercialization of lead product candidates. Market potential and anticipated product launches suggest strong growth prospects. Recent Initiatives: Strategic collaborations, licensing agreements, and ongoing clinical trials aim to propel future growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: Increasing interest in protein degradation technologies, personalized medicine, and targeted therapies. Growing demand for novel cancer treatments with improved efficacy and tolerability. Arvinas Positioning: Arvinas is at the forefront of protein degradation technology and enjoys a differentiated position with its PROTAC platform. Their ability to adapt to changing market dynamics and address unmet medical needs will be crucial for success.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Kymera Therapeutics (KYMR)
- Harpoon Therapeutics (HARP)
- C4 Therapeutics (CCCC)
- Ipso Therapeutics (IPSO) Market Share: These competitors are also in the pre-commercial stage, and the market is still evolving. Arvinas holds a leadership position with their diverse pipeline and advancement in clinical trials.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages:
- Proprietary PROTAC platform technology
- Promising clinical data for lead product candidates
- Strong intellectual property portfolio
- Experienced leadership team and strategic partnerships
Disadvantages:
- Pre-commercial stage with no current product revenue
- Regulatory and development risks associated with novel therapies
- Competition from other pharmaceutical companies pursuing similar technologies
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Demonstrating clinical efficacy and safety of product candidates
- Navigating regulatory approvals and potential commercialization hurdles
- Maintaining competitive edge in a rapidly evolving field
Opportunities:
- Potential for substantial market penetration with successful product launches
- Expanding PROTAC technology applications into new therapeutic areas
- Establishing strategic collaborations and licensing agreements for growth
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
- 2022: Acquired certain assets of Principia Biopharma Inc., including PB-2452 (a novel, oral, small molecule EZH2 inhibitor), further expanding their oncology pipeline.
This acquisition aligns with Arvinas's strategy to diversify its portfolio and accelerate the development of promising therapies for patients with cancer.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Innovative technology with strong scientific foundation
- Promising clinical data for lead product candidates
- Experienced leadership and strategic partnerships
- Large addressable market with significant growth potential
However, the pre-commercial stage, regulatory risks, and intense competition pose challenges. Future success depends on successful product launches and achieving commercial viability.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Arvinas Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Third-party industry reports and market research
Disclaimers: This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and with the help of professional financial advisors.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arvinas Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New Haven, CT, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-09-27 | Chairperson, CEO & President | Dr. John G. Houston Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.arvinas.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 445 |
Headquaters | New Haven, CT, United States | ||
Chairperson, CEO & President | Dr. John G. Houston Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.arvinas.com | ||
Website | https://www.arvinas.com | ||
Full time employees | 445 |
Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to degrade disease-causing proteins. The company engineers proteolysis targeting chimeras (PROTAC) targeted protein degraders that are designed to harness the body's own natural protein disposal system to degrade and remove disease-causing proteins. Its product pipeline includes Bavdegalutamide and ARV-766, investigational orally bioavailable PROTAC protein degraders for the treatment of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, which are in Phase 1/2 clinical trials; and ARV-471, an orally bioavailable estrogen receptor degrading PROTAC targeted protein degrader for the treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic estrogen receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-breast cancer, which is Phase 3 clinical trial. Arvinas, Inc. has collaborations with Pfizer Inc., Genentech, Inc., F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd., Carrick Therapeutics Limited, and Bayer AG. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut.
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