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Arvinas Inc (ARVN)ARVN

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Arvinas Inc
$22.69
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-19.14%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 4 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: ARVN (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Profits (-19.14%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -34.22%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 24
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -34.22%
Avg. Invested days: 24
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.49B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 63.05
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -4.79
Volume (30-day avg) 640393
Beta 1.97
52 Weeks Range 21.17 - 53.08
Updated Date 11/19/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.49B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 63.05
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -4.79
Volume (30-day avg) 640393
Beta 1.97
52 Weeks Range 21.17 - 53.08
Updated Date 11/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-30
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -0.96
Actual -0.68
Report Date 2024-10-30
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -0.96
Actual -0.68

Profitability

Profit Margin -191.56%
Operating Margin (TTM) -58.89%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -20.07%
Return on Equity (TTM) -59.16%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 17.7
Enterprise Value 366851440
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.62
Shares Outstanding 68713104
Shares Floating 57184414
Percent Insiders 7.22
Percent Institutions 108.21
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 17.7
Enterprise Value 366851440
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.62
Shares Outstanding 68713104
Shares Floating 57184414
Percent Insiders 7.22
Percent Institutions 108.21

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.55
Target Price 65
Buy 5
Strong Buy 13
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.55
Target Price 65
Buy 5
Strong Buy 13
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Arvinas Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History: Arvinas Inc. was founded in 2013 with a vision to revolutionize protein degradation for the treatment of severe diseases. Their Protein Degrader Platform utilizes PROTAC (PROteolysis TArgeting Chimera) technology to eliminate disease-causing proteins, providing a unique approach within the pharmaceutical landscape.

Core Business Areas:

  • Oncology: Develops protein degrader therapies for cancers with limited treatment options, like prostate cancer, breast cancer, and lung cancer.
  • Other Therapeutic Areas: Exploring the potential of PROTACs in other indications such as neurology, infectious diseases, and cardiology.

Leadership & Corporate Structure:

  • John H.R. Baker - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
  • Michael R. Levin - President and Chief Operating Officer
  • Dr. Christopher G. Miceli - Chief Medical Officer
  • Dr. Michael R. Shalinsky - Chief Technology Officer
  • Board of Directors comprises seasoned industry veterans with diverse expertise.

Top Products and Market Share

Products:

  • ARV-110 (Estrogen Receptor degrader): Phase 3 clinical trial for ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer, Phase 1b trial for ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer.
  • ARV-471 (androgen receptor degrader): Phase 2 clinical trial for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.
  • Preclinical and early-stage pipeline covering diverse cancer types and other therapeutic areas.

Market Share: As a pre-commercial company, Arvinas does not currently hold a significant market share. However, their innovative approach has generated significant interest, and their lead candidate, ARV-110, has the potential to be a leading therapy in the ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer market, estimated to be valued at $6.5 billion by 2027.

Comparison: ARV-110 demonstrates potential advantages over existing therapies in terms of efficacy and safety profile. Their platform technology also holds promise for addressing unmet needs in various therapeutic areas.

Total Addressable Market

Arvinas operates in the global protein degradation market, estimated to reach $27.7 billion by 2027. This includes various therapeutic areas like oncology, neurology, and infectious diseases, offering immense growth potential.

Financial Performance

Revenue: Primarily research and development revenue from collaborations and grants. Recent financials reflect increased R&D spending due to clinical trial advancement. Net Income: No current profitability as the company is pre-commercial. Profit Margins: Not applicable at this stage. EPS: Negative EPS due to ongoing investments in R&D.

Year-over-Year Performance: Revenue growth observed year-over-year due to progress in clinical development and partnerships. Cash Flow: Primarily driven by financing activities as the company is not yet generating revenue from product sales. Balance Sheet: Stable cash position with sufficient runway for ongoing operations and clinical development.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividends: No current dividend payout as the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth. Shareholder Returns: Share price has experienced volatility due to its pre-commercial stage and dependence on clinical trial outcomes. However, long-term investors may benefit from potential upside if key product candidates achieve commercial success.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth: Rapid growth observed in R&D activities and clinical development progress. Future Growth: Dependent on the success of ongoing clinical trials and commercialization of lead product candidates. Market potential and anticipated product launches suggest strong growth prospects. Recent Initiatives: Strategic collaborations, licensing agreements, and ongoing clinical trials aim to propel future growth.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends: Increasing interest in protein degradation technologies, personalized medicine, and targeted therapies. Growing demand for novel cancer treatments with improved efficacy and tolerability. Arvinas Positioning: Arvinas is at the forefront of protein degradation technology and enjoys a differentiated position with its PROTAC platform. Their ability to adapt to changing market dynamics and address unmet medical needs will be crucial for success.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Kymera Therapeutics (KYMR)
  • Harpoon Therapeutics (HARP)
  • C4 Therapeutics (CCCC)
  • Ipso Therapeutics (IPSO) Market Share: These competitors are also in the pre-commercial stage, and the market is still evolving. Arvinas holds a leadership position with their diverse pipeline and advancement in clinical trials.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages

Advantages:

  • Proprietary PROTAC platform technology
  • Promising clinical data for lead product candidates
  • Strong intellectual property portfolio
  • Experienced leadership team and strategic partnerships

Disadvantages:

  • Pre-commercial stage with no current product revenue
  • Regulatory and development risks associated with novel therapies
  • Competition from other pharmaceutical companies pursuing similar technologies

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Demonstrating clinical efficacy and safety of product candidates
  • Navigating regulatory approvals and potential commercialization hurdles
  • Maintaining competitive edge in a rapidly evolving field

Opportunities:

  • Potential for substantial market penetration with successful product launches
  • Expanding PROTAC technology applications into new therapeutic areas
  • Establishing strategic collaborations and licensing agreements for growth

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)

  • 2022: Acquired certain assets of Principia Biopharma Inc., including PB-2452 (a novel, oral, small molecule EZH2 inhibitor), further expanding their oncology pipeline.

This acquisition aligns with Arvinas's strategy to diversify its portfolio and accelerate the development of promising therapies for patients with cancer.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

  • Innovative technology with strong scientific foundation
  • Promising clinical data for lead product candidates
  • Experienced leadership and strategic partnerships
  • Large addressable market with significant growth potential

However, the pre-commercial stage, regulatory risks, and intense competition pose challenges. Future success depends on successful product launches and achieving commercial viability.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • Arvinas Inc. Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Third-party industry reports and market research

Disclaimers: This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and with the help of professional financial advisors.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Arvinas Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters New Haven, CT, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-09-27 Chairperson, CEO & President Dr. John G. Houston Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.arvinas.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 445
Headquaters New Haven, CT, United States
Chairperson, CEO & President Dr. John G. Houston Ph.D.
Website https://www.arvinas.com
Website https://www.arvinas.com
Full time employees 445

Arvinas, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to degrade disease-causing proteins. The company engineers proteolysis targeting chimeras (PROTAC) targeted protein degraders that are designed to harness the body's own natural protein disposal system to degrade and remove disease-causing proteins. Its product pipeline includes Bavdegalutamide and ARV-766, investigational orally bioavailable PROTAC protein degraders for the treatment of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, which are in Phase 1/2 clinical trials; and ARV-471, an orally bioavailable estrogen receptor degrading PROTAC targeted protein degrader for the treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic estrogen receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-breast cancer, which is Phase 3 clinical trial. Arvinas, Inc. has collaborations with Pfizer Inc., Genentech, Inc., F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd., Carrick Therapeutics Limited, and Bayer AG. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut.

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