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Arrival (ARVLF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: ARVLF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -19.85% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -19.85% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 0.92M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.69 |
Volume (30-day avg) 14627 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 0.00 - 1.27 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 0.92M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.69 | Volume (30-day avg) 14627 | Beta 2.64 |
52 Weeks Range 0.00 - 1.27 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -13.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.72% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 918755 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.43 |
Shares Outstanding 18375100 | Shares Floating 8038930 |
Percent Insiders 36.6 | Percent Institutions - |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 918755 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.43 | Shares Outstanding 18375100 | Shares Floating 8038930 |
Percent Insiders 36.6 | Percent Institutions - |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Arrival Stock: A Comprehensive Overview
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of Arrival (NASDAQ: ARVL), an electric vehicle company focused on commercial vans and buses.
Company Profile
History and Background:
Founded in 2015 by Denis Sverdlov, Arrival is headquartered in the United Kingdom. The company initially focused on developing electric buses and vans for commercial use. In 2021, Arrival announced plans to go public through a SPAC merger with CIIG Merger Corp. The merger was completed in March 2023.
Core Business Areas:
- Electric Vehicles: Arrival designs, manufactures, and sells electric vans and buses.
- Micromobility: The company also develops and sells low-speed electric vehicles for personal use.
- Software and Services: Arrival provides software and services for fleet management and vehicle maintenance.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chief Executive Officer: Denis Sverdlov
- Chief Financial Officer: John Wozniak
- Chief Technology Officer: Ian Hambleton
- Board of Directors: Denis Sverdlov (Chairman), Peter Cuneo, Michael Diekmann, Michael Goguen, David Neeleman, and Michael Psaros.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Arrival Bus: A 100% electric bus designed for urban and suburban transportation.
- Arrival Van: A lightweight electric van for commercial deliveries and last-mile logistics.
Market Share:
Arrival is a relatively new company in the electric vehicle market. According to a 2023 report by BloombergNEF, Arrival's market share in the electric commercial vehicle market is less than 1%. However, the company is expected to see significant growth in the coming years.
Product Performance and Comparison:
The Arrival Bus and Van have received positive reviews for their design, performance, and range. They are seen as competitive alternatives to existing electric vehicles from companies like Tesla and Rivian.
Total Addressable Market
The global electric vehicle market is expected to reach $1.6 trillion by 2030. The market for electric commercial vehicles is a subset of this market and is expected to grow even faster.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: In 2022, Arrival reported revenue of $1.8 million.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $147.9 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Arrival is not yet profitable.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Arrival's EPS was -$0.35 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Arrival's revenue and net loss increased significantly in 2022 compared to 2021. The company's revenue increased by 3,623% and its net loss increased by 183%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Arrival's cash and cash equivalents were $338.4 million as of December 31, 2022. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Arrival does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Arrival's stock price has declined significantly since its IPO in March 2023. As of November 2023, the stock is down approximately 90%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Arrival has experienced rapid revenue growth since its inception. However, the company is not yet profitable.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Arrival to continue to grow revenue at a rapid pace in the coming years. However, it is unclear when the company will become profitable.
Recent Initiatives:
Arrival is investing heavily in research and development and expanding its production capacity. The company is also partnering with major logistics companies to develop and deploy electric vehicles.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The electric vehicle market is growing rapidly due to government incentives and increasing environmental concerns. The commercial electric vehicle market is a particularly attractive segment due to the need to reduce emissions from transportation.
Competitive Landscape:
Arrival competes with a number of established and emerging players in the electric vehicle market. Major competitors include Tesla, Rivian, Lucid Motors, and Ford.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Tesla (TSLA)
- Rivian (RIVN)
- Lucid Motors (LCID)
- Ford (F)
Market Share Comparisons:
Tesla is the current market leader in the electric vehicle market, with a global market share of over 14%. Rivian and Lucid Motors are also significant players in the market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Arrival faces a number of challenges, including competition from established players, supply chain disruptions, and technological advances.
- The company also needs to scale up production and achieve profitability.
Potential Opportunities:
- Arrival has an opportunity to capture a significant share of the growing electric commercial vehicle market.
- The company is also well-positioned to benefit from government incentives and partnerships with major logistics companies.
Recent Acquisitions
Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
Arrival has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 6/10
Justification:
Arrival has strong growth potential and a competitive product offering. However, the company is not yet profitable and faces a number of challenges. The AI-based fundamental rating of 6/10 reflects these factors.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Arrival website
- SEC filings
- BloombergNEF
Disclaimer:
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arrival
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | - | CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Igor Torgov |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.arrival.com |
Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Full time employees | 2695 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Igor Torgov | ||
Website | https://www.arrival.com | ||
Website | https://www.arrival.com | ||
Full time employees | 2695 |
Arrival engages in the research and development, and design of commercial electric vehicles (EVs), EVs components, robotic manufacturing processes for EVs, and associated software in the United Kingdom, the United States, Russia, and internationally. Its products portfolio includes commercial EV vans, buses, and cars. The company was formerly known as Arrival Group S.A. and changed its name to Arrival. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Howald, Luxembourg. Arrival is a subsidiary of Kinetik S.à r.l.
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